₦airaland Forum

ElevationD:
So I should begin to stress myself over what was all over tvs and social media spaces? So you did not see Tompolo in his compound, walking beside his Bentley and telling everyone to vote for Asiwaju? Oga talk of Edo state.

https://dailytrust.com/tompolo-launches-campaign-for-tinubu/

Thankfully you corrected yourself by saying that you underestimated Obi in Delta in 2023. Obi was a huge wave long before the election and it was clear what would happen.

Once again, never say never. Even your Edo state is a huge battle, inspite of the fake Okpebolo’s 2.5 million non existent votes.

Note that migration will also be a factor in 2027. Northerners who migrated to the south and registered, would support their candidates, specifically northern candidates. So take notice of northerners in Edo and Delta states.

Like I said, there's no evidence of Tompolo supporting Tinubu 2023. That link you posted said that group was formed this year not 2023. If he did, it might have been silently. You can see how open he is this year. We all saw Ayiri and Chief Michael Johnny..
A month to the elections, I analysed delta as 50 50 with Atiku edging narrowly so I noticed his wave just like in Edo.. Edo being a battleground is good news for Tinubu...
I haven't noticed any northern migration down south. The northern votes will be divided between tinubu and Atiku

Ezeama400:
Tinubu will win Delta South because of Remi ? lol


Just like saying Obi will win Akwa ibom because of
Magreet..

We don’t vote that way here . We vote competence over ethnic affiliation..

Did I mention remi anywhere? Did Remi deliver delta south to Tinubu 2023? Atiku win delta south in 2023, tinubu will win it this time sir

ElevationD:
So it is no longer that Tinubu will win Delta south?
Who says that Atiku is no longer a factor in Delta politics?

Obi won 18 local governments in 2023, while Atiku won seven. Sheriff was contesting the governorship and Okowa was contesting the vice presidency. The two of them could not deliver their senatorial zones then.

Once again, never say never in politics. We expect a huge battle, but Obi, just like Ademola Adeleke, has the same people and more behind him this time.

Lol, all the five lgas I mentioned are in delta south. If Tinubu wins 5 out of eight in delta south, he has won that zone sir though I think he will win more than five. He will also win Okowa's LGA. With okowa defecting and ibori moving to APC, atiku is finished in Delta like in all southern states..
You can't win everywhere. You win some, lose some. Where you lose, try and get reasonable votes. Delta is an example. Politics is unpredictable although they are some instances that can be predictable kike obi winning delta, failing in the core north

HIGHESTPOPORI:
that's to tell you gov power is overated,anyway,his people will not abandon him now he is on the ballot

They have abandoned him since 2015 he betrayed Gej. Atiku also betrayed Gej, they will never forgive him. He is finished in Rivers

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Has Ameachi ever be VP candidate

It doesn't matter. As governor, he couldn't deliver with all the powers. As campaign DG, he couldn't deliver also even with army by his side. Most of his followers have abandoned him

ElevationD:
How will Tinubu take Delta South please?

Do you know the areas that make up Delta south and Delta central?

Tinubu will win warri north, warri south west, Burutu, Bomadi, patani which Atiku won. Obi will win warri south, isoko north and maybe isoko south.

ElevationD:
No be only Tompolo. Na Okpebolo.

Tompolo worked for Tinubu in 2023 openly against the then ruling PDP. After the defeat he went silent, just like others.

Maybe you need to understand that in politics, never say never. It was the same “fait accompli” in Osun state last weekend, when Adeleke defeated APC.

It was the same “fait accompli” in 2023 when Obi defeated Tinubu in Lagos, Edo and Delta states.

You must not underestimate the will of the people. You can confine yourself to Edo state and enjoy your fait accompli there. An example of what Edo APC should expect happened last week, with the brief visit of Obi there.

No one underestimated Obi in Delta state in 2023. Long before the election, they saw the momentum. It was very clear, just like now. Obi’s popularity continues to soar there. Whether they choose to wake up sleep is immaterial now. The fact remains that APC will have a serious battle in the state in all the elections.

Tompolo never worked for Tinubu in 2023 sir openly or hiddenly. I challenge you to bring any evidence. You can see his campaign group door to door mow. Only Ayiri, uduaghan and Orubebe work for Tinubu. Most delta south politicians where pro pdp.

I underestimated Obi in delta because of Okowa. Obi popularity is actually reducing especially with all the recent gaffes at interviews and serial defections...

Delta becoming a battleground as you say is good for Tinubu. It means the state will be tight unlike 2023

HIGHESTPOPORI:
Keep hoping on politicians while the people fight against rigging,you had 15apc gov in Osun and said Apc would win Osun,as for Wike and Rivers,Ameachi is now the vp candidate of a party and nobody would allow election to be rigged there

Has amechi ever delivered rivers

Ezeama400:
Wike will never deliver Rivers again..

Amechi will frustrate it weather he delivers Rivers for Atiku or not is a story for Another day. Wike succeeded in 2023 because no one was there to challange his madness
Again , Fubara’s group is not happy with Wike and you know what that means…
And lastly, the masses are with Obi, Wike’s madness will be resisted..



You are talking of Delta state?. Well I am from Anioma, you can’t lecture me about the politics of my state.

You are speaking emotionally. Face hard facts. They have been bye elections since 2023, wike delivered all effortlessly across parties. In 2015 Amechi as governor couldn't deliver 25% for buhari. In 2019, he had command of the 6th div of the army in PH but still failed to deliver 25%. In 2023, he secretly supported Atiku and still failed. Tell us how he will fight wike when most of his followers like Magnus Abbe, Hon Odum udi, Ojukaye Amachree, Ikunyi ibani etc are with Wike. Wike is simply better than him.
All fubara followers have surrendered. Even if they want to fight wike, it will be at Guber level not presidency. Fubara no get level for rivers..

In delta, obi will take delta north and central, tinubu will take south. You know this, let's not argue

WhizdomXX:
Thank GOD you are not a Deltan. So no need.

Counter my permutations intellectually. Obi will take delta north and central, tinubu delta south

Ezeama400:
Why should Tinubu’s votes be increased in Delta , tell me why ?
And why should Obi’s votes should decrease ?
Is Obi the one that is currently destroying Nigeria that will make people to loose confidence in him, hence getting less votes he will have in Delta ?


Tinubu doesn’t have any political base in SS. Take it or leave it..
Wike can’t do nonsense in Rivers again for obvious reason..

Let me explain even though you won't accept but it's hard facts. Tinubu votes will increase because the ruling party structure that worked for Atiku has collapsed into APC. Add the votes Atiku had to what Tinubu had. Tompolo a big figure in delta south is massively working for Tinubu. Ignore him at your peril.
Delta is one state that the ruling party usually have a big say in elections. A lot of Nigerians vote based on sentiments and not on performance...
Most politicians in delta underestimated Obi during the presidential polls. Everyone is now alert. Wike will still deliver rivers, it's a fait accompli. Tinubu will take ss this time

Svoboda:
Lol. Even your almighty Tinubu has political limitations.

Anambra template has it's uniqueness. Obi loses out in elections he's not heavily invested in, not because he's not loved, but there are local considerations. Those same people who vote against Obis interests coalesce to vote for Obi when he appears on the ballot.

Can that be said about Tinubu in osuns instance? No!

Osun people defied all odds to vote against APC, because they consider APC a symbol that represents Tinubu.

You see how hypocritical and double standard you are. Anambra doesn't affect obi but osun affect Tinubu. This same osun voted against APC in 2022 and even in 2018. Why didn't you use same metrics to say APC will lose? For how long will you keep dribbling yourself? Why didn't they vote against APC in Ekiti? Do you want to pretend that osun polls have not been difficult in recent years?

Your limitations is that you clearly know little about electoral permutations. Tinubu limitations is much less compared to Atiku's. APC has always lost in fct polls but for the first time, they cleared Fct where all Nigerians live despite obi and Atiku public endorsement. Even a child knows this is enough signs

Sonnobax15:
Stale bro . Very very stale . Show me any Nigerian politician both dead and alive and awaiting death , who's a Saint? .

In as much as Obi won and will still win Delta state this time around,the fact that the emergence of Omo Agege into the NDC will add more relevance to the party must not be overlooked.

Na Tinubu wey put him hope governor sheriff I pity pass cuz he no really need to wear helmet before he go even attempt to rig the election.

Tinubu votes will increase in delta while obi own will reduce even though he will still win. Is it Agege that couldn't give tinubu 25%

Svoboda:
Obi or Atiku suffices for me. Nigerians will use the Osun template to boot out this govt.

Obi lost anambra to Apga including his unit. I guess the anambra template will be used. You are just bitter and hateful, your political limitations is evident

EasternActivist:
Love your cries

And your wails. Obi lost his unit

Svoboda:
They changed nothing. Tinubus re-election still hangs in the balance.

You wallow in self deception. If I remember carefully , the pdp before 2018 and 2022 where competitive in elections and even winning some. Even before 2015, APC won osun in 2014 and gave a tough fight where they lost. You can keep deceiving yourself, the opposition is far weaker. Obi will likely get more votes than atiku

DoTheNeedful:
You think Adeleke did not pay voters too or he didn't inflate his votes in places like Ede where he is popular?

One thing many of people are not querying is how 1 million people voted in Osun. That figure almost rivals the numbers you would get in places like Lagos, Kaduna, Katsina, and Kano. Many of you don't care because APC lost. Anyway, I am sure Tinubu's people are looking into those numbers.

I suspect voters inflation

Svoboda:
Which elections are we expecting in Anambra and edo?

They all happened after 2023 general polls

Svoboda:
Were Ekiti and Osun by-elections?


Tinubu is beggining to have doubts as 2027 draws near.

They where all elections and all point to an APC victory. None point to an opposition victory. We have anambra, Edo

Svoboda:
You want to go back to using almost meaningless by-elections to assess the mood?

But if APC loses, you will start gloating abi? APC won ekiti, you where silent. Actually we can use Ekiti and osun to analyse. Ekiti is how the south will vote, osun is how north will be

Svoboda:
Story!

Are Tinubu and the govs Siamese twins? If that were the case, Osun people should have voted for the APC guy in appreciation of the humongous faac from Tinubu. In any case, what is the magic that has been done across Nigeria by the fg with the subsidy removal? Within 3 years of Buharis govt he'd begun commissioning impactful projects, despite oil hovering around 21 dollars per barrel. What has Tinubu commissioned so far?

Inec has fixed another round of bye elections for September. Let's see what NDC and ADC will perform

EasternActivist:
Dey play, Tinubu kinsmen rejected him.

They even dey scream apc Ole...

Take your L in pieces

They rejected obi and Atiku

fergie001:
I will never mock you.
You chose your Candidiate.
My own was that the incumbent was and is better than Oyetola's stooge.

You fought vehemently for Adeleke 8 years, you took abuses and curses for him, so why waiver now, that he is loved.....that was my point. The way you claimed Adeleke treated you, APC did worse to Omisore so don't blame the man.

You still be my guy, no matter what. Please return to the Imole camp.

Oga, ambo is better than Adeleke

naija1stnigar:
you are talking of Edo State that even the blind could see broad daylight rigging. Edo has 3 senatorial districts, the PDP candidate had already won 2 all of a sudden, votes from Edo North just came from no where to declare APC winner whereas it's Edo North that has the lowest population in the state.

APC has always won Edo north. APC also won Edo south. Pdp where never leading

Tifay:
I dont agree with the bolded. Lets be honest, the guy is way above her as a spec especially in terms of looks, and she knows it

Even in the outside world, he'll have at least 5 propositions from women, before she gets one from a guy. She knows this too and knows Araga is a catch.

Na because Barry dey put in the work, that's why she's been tempted but not at the risk of losing Araga. Haven't you noticed she always comes back. That day he shouted at her after his task win, did you see her facial reaction and expression, she quickly settled with him when she could have just taken the opportunity to take the needed break but she wont. Even her hate for Kamsy stems from the girl liking Araga

She goes to him even when he's alone once they arent by each other after a while. Like I said, na because Araga dey gumbody, dats why y'all cant see it. My own problem with them is that the cameraman likes the ship so much and wants to force us to do same. To be fair, that's probably why I see the things i'm writing now

It's production ship

Oshokhai69:
Araga knows what he’s doing. He’s just trying to be the Saga and Ozo of the season. There are different ways to get noticed. For him, this is his game plan. To be the loyal lover boy. If it worked for Saga and Ozo, why won’t it work for him?

How did it work for them

Friendly25:
Sultex, with your dancing like Liquorose, how do you expect the girls to take you seriously abeg?

Why should a girl weigh him based on dance

Bullet01:
What happened in Osun shows that Tiknubu the controversial Presido and his APC goons are no longer popular.

What of Ekiti? Did APC win osun before

Atlantis585:
When it suits your purpose Kwara is Yorubaland and other times it is NC and therefore inconsequential.

Core votes slipping away.

As far as I know, Olawepo is still a Yoruba name unless it changed overnight after APC lost Osun state back to back.

Epele sir.

Slipping to who

Atlantis585:
You are absolutely correct.

But where will Alhaji Tinubu get his core votes from?

NE, NW or SE?

Which one now that it is looking doubtful that Oyo, Lagos and Osun are in the bag as dem don dey look am somehow with one eye?

Outside se and parts of SS where will obi get votes. Outside core north, nothing for Atiku

Atlantis585:
But one of their parties just won in almost 30 LGAs and the governorship seat in Osun.

They may not win the presidency in the next election, but they can also deny Tinubu a return to Aso Rock for second term by taking away votes from his core base in SW.

So keep making fun of them.

Those votes they take is also denied from NDC and ADC

Prince111111:
yes they voted for him

Plus omisore people as you predicted