₦airaland Forum

seunmsg:
Ali Pate worked against Tuggar because of his own 2031 ambition. The question now is, is Abubakar Mohammed popular enough to win the general election? Is he no longer from Kogi state since that was the accusation they labeled against him in 2019? Considering how powerful Ali Pate already is, will MA be willing to support him in 2031?

Former governor of Bauchi State, Barr. Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar, SAN, has officially emerged as the winner of the All Progressives Congress (APC) governorship primary election in the State ahead of the 2027 general election.

Chairman of the APC Governorship and House of Assembly Primaries Committee for Bauchi State, Assistant Inspector General of Police, John Bassey Abang (retired), announced the results early Saturday morning, stating that the governorship primary was conducted on Friday, May 22.

According to him, Abubakar secured a total of 57,517 votes to defeat six other aspirants who participated in the exercise.

He said the immediate-past Nigeria’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, Yusuf Maitama Tuggar, scored 26,001 votes, while Nura Manu Soro polled 13,638 votes.

Other contestants included Bala Maijama’a A. Wunti, who secured 13,648 votes, and Kabir Baba Ma’aji, who polled 8,157 votes.

Also in the race were Baba Abubakar Suleiman with 7,688 votes, and Yakubu Yakubu Abdullahi, who scored 7,181 votes.

Declaring the winner, AIG Abang (rtd) stated that M.A. Abubakar, having secured the highest number of votes cast, was duly returned as the winner of the APC governorship primary election in Bauchi State.

The committee chairman also announced the results of the party’s State House of Assembly primaries, noting that the election was conducted earlier on Thursday, May 21.

LEADERSHIP reports that Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar served as governor of Bauchi State from 2015 to 2019 under the APC platform.

He lost his re-election bid in 2019 to incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). His victory in the primary election now positions him as the APC’s flag bearer in the 2027 governorship election as he seeks a return to office for a second term..

fergie001:
This administration is more dangerous.

fergie001:
I said and I repeat yes, the INEC guidelines are borne out of the CFRN. However, in a conflict between a delegated legislation and the Principal Act, the latter prevails. The Principal Act here is the Electoral Act and 10/10 will prevail over the INEC guidelines.

fergie001:
Some will still defend it.
This administration will destroy every fabric of our nation.

peleson1:
Your dreams show you are having acute malaria. APC won't win more than 10 states in this election. Not Rivers , not Middle belt ,not north east or north west

fergie001:
INEC guidelines bow to the Electoral Act.
Let INEC appeal.

franchasng:
Check again, I have fixed your errors

fergie001:
What is 120 days from January?

fergie001:
The Electoral Act says names of Candidates should be submitted 120 days before the Election.

120 days from January should be September.

Again, the Electoral Act says the register should be regularly updated. The Electoral Act 2026 also says that the membership register should be submitted 21 days before the Primary. This simply means the Primary could even hold later than June.

seunlayi:
APC want to clear road for Makinde candidate to Agodi.

fergie001:
Na now the real anti-party go start.

KanwuliaExtra:
Senator ABBO is crying gaaaaan.
APC about to die a natural death!😂

seunmsg:
Tuggar should win the ticket. Former governor Abubakar is not really very popular with the people. He was voted out in 2019 and I don’t he still has what it takes to win the election. Is Bala Wunti still in the race??

seunmsg:
Shehu Buba has stepped down. Is Bala Wunti still in the race?

heniford2:
wish I was in Nigeria would have placed bet in you NDC will win 3 or more states in this particular election

Ofunaofu:
You lie if you say Nasir El-Rufai played no role in delivering Tinubu 2023. Even Tinubu himself acknowledge his contribution in the early part of his administration. Agreed, he didn’t deliver his own state, but his influence across the North during that election was obvious.

All these politicians you mentioned that you claim are still with Tinubu, can they actually deliver their states for him today?

And more importantly, what exactly will they tell their people Tinubu has done to deserve another vote?

Or are we now pretending Tinubu’s performance over the last three years won’t be a deciding factor in 2027?

Svoboda:
Fingers crossed. The caveat is that Tinubu isn't as popular as Buhari.

Ofunaofu:
Tinubu will split the NW and NE vote with Atiku?

You think this is still 2023?

Back then, Nasir El-Rufai and northern APC governors galvanized the NW and NE for Tinubu.

Mention one notable northern APC figure today who can mobilize those regions for him the same way.

You should read Deji Adeyanju’s submission on Tinubu’s current acceptability in the NW after his Sokoto visit

hegelian:
One thing is fact Tinubu can't win the North.. He is a leper in the North now and his name is synonymous to suffering and killing.. He is the most hated person after devil himself

Svoboda:
I mean that as far as there is plurality of candidates in the south, it's Tinubus headache. Gej makes it bang worse like a migraine.


Tinubu can't beat Atiku by a million votes in the NC. Neither can Tinubu amass as much as 500k votes in the southeast, how much more beating Atiku with that kind of chasm.


While you make your projections, always never fail to factor in the unpopularity of the incumbent, and the fact that he has no organic mass followership like a Buhari or an Obi.

Thank God you're following the ugly fallouts of the rancourous primaries of the APC across the country.

fergie001:
Only one of them will go through.

Imole de

Svoboda:
The opposition doesn't always share from the same pool. In 2023, many APC members in the north voted for Atiku. In the north, it's widely believed this is Atikus time. Same thing will transpire in 2027.

Gej not contesting doesn't change much. Tinubu still has to contend with Obi in SS and Makinde in SW.

You have to come over to the north and guage the sentiments. Tinubu isn't popular. As it is now, can Tinubu confidently campaign on the streets of Ogbomosho and be received graciously?

Prince111111:
we shall have this discussion again next year!

Svoboda:
You seem to discountenance the fact that Tinubu is very unpopular, and is increasingly unpopular, not least in the north. He has haemorrhaged votes already. 2ndly, saying that Atiku will lose votes to Gej in the NC is oversimplistic. This is because both have divergent vote bases. Atiku, unlike before, now appeals more to the majority fanatic than the minority liberal Muslim, basically because he is seen as the consensus political leader in the north after Buhari. Is it the fanatics you expect would abandon Atiku and vote Gej? Let me put it this way. Gej hurts Tinubu in the south, but hurts Obi in the north because they both appeal to the non Muslim voters in the NC.

Atiku will floor Tinubu in the Nw and NE. The north will vote skirt and blouse.

Svoboda:
Not as simple as you've stated. The constitution recognises both highest votes scored and highest spread. Tinubu might get highest spread but certainly, not highest votes, all things being equal. If Atiku as the only northern contender,gets the highest votes in NW and NE, and gets something substantial in the north central, he is qualified for a run off. He isn't too daft to be banking on southern votes when the south is spoilt for choice.

On the other hand, Tinubu, a southern candidate, has to contend with two or three more southerners. Even a lot of SW voters will abstain rather than vote for him. It affects his total tally.

You've to ask yourself, why would an average northern Muslim want to vote a Tinubu when there's an Atiku? Even in the NC, Tinubu won't have it easy. The major occupation in the north is farming. A lot of them are disillusioned because they've been put out of business by Tinubus incoherent policies on agriculture, especially after seeing day light under Buhari.

Prince111111:
why must you say that? You already know who all this will favour right? Once again, I pray we have more than 5 contestants from South and just 1 Incoming from North so history could repeat itself.

onatisi:
it will be very difficult o but not impossible ,

Prince111111:
Jonathan must contest💪💪💪

OfficialAPCNig:
Made in SW analysis. Tinubu followers are delusional.

So Tinubu will win SW while other major candidates will share their region?


🤣🤣🤣🤣

Svoboda:
Tinubu won't have enough votes in the SS to make up for lost votes in the north should Gej contest. In the SW, if Makinde takes about 40% in Oyo, it would hurt Tinubu as well. Like I said before, in the event of a plurality of southern candidates, Atiku has the advantage with the nimbers as the only northern candidate. All things being equal, no single candidate can afford both highest number of votes and constitutional spread simultaneously. If it goes to a run off, we all know who wouldnt emerge victorious.