₦airaland Forum

Kenobsky:
All I know is that Eyeneck can not do anything against ADC because the political heavyweight in that party is like a coal of fire on their laps that when gotten burnt they must let it out.

Those heavyweights are useless

Bluntguy:
Bro you can say that again.

He will trample on opposition when reelected

Svoboda:
The irony is that he has all these powerful forces, according to you, yet he is fearful of plurality of parties.... Your points have been negated by this seeming reality.

Only mad incumbent or a novice won't fear opposition. A good politician must always be on guard, watch his back and always be cautious until the election is over. Otti with all his performances is pushing opposition to join Lp or endorse him. Gej made desperate moves against APC through DSS, trying to use Mbu to cage Amechi. You forgot how he forced inec to postpone election, how he brought dollars to Lagos. Even buhari showed desperation towards reelection by forcing election to be postponed, made PDP deputy chair to defect, velied threats at SE governors via Malami. No politician no matter how strong takes chances. Gej took chances and by the time he personally got involved, it was late. Tinubu is not fearful, these are normal political moves... You cannot win Tinubu unless those political giants join APC. Buhari unprecedented votes in the north 2015 was because majority of the chieftains across party lines joined APC or worked against Gej. Atiku cannot replicate this, it is over

Sheuns:
Tinubu and APC had just 8.6 million votes in 2023. Of those 8.6M 5.9 came from the north. That same north has turned its back on Tinubu, what that should tell any reasonable and realistic person is that APC votes have taken a dip (how big the dip, we don’t know yet). Coupled with the terrible period Tinubu and the state of the affairs of the country and the citizens, his total 8.6 million votes have taken serious dips everywhere even in the Southwest (which he thinks is his stronghold), the SE and SS still remain against him as they would have been justified as to why the never supported him. The NC is in no where better than he met it.

If you truly are a Tinubu supporter, you should tell him hard cold facts about how slim his chances are going into the elections next year, not all these lies you all keep telling him because you feel that’s what he wants to hear.

There’s no realistic pathway to Tinubu’s reelection next year. That maybe the reason the plan is to not allow some political parties contest. That itself is a big mistake that can put this country on the brink should they restrict ADC from contesting or this could bring in another underdog win if the people decide to vote any other party on the ballot but APC.

What APC is doing now is more of a damage to itself as to political calculations.

Obi or Atiku have no pathway

Svoboda:
Badaru is stronger than lamido.

Yes and he is still in APC. At least you are truthful. Kawu Sumaila and Barau are stronger than Kabiru Gaya. Tinubu is stronger than Atiku in summary

Svoboda:
You couldnt have put it any better. Eventually, the govt will buckle under the weight of the pressure from the mass migration to the adc. This is the very first time in recent history we're having a reverse migration to the supposed troubled party. It's also a public show of defiance to the authorities.

There was more migration in 2023. You are just being bitter

Svoboda:
The momentum and public sympathy for the Adc would have been too intimidating for those propping up the president to run as the sole candidate. They'd eventually have no option but to back down. Once that is done and we have a formidable opposition against this government....it would have been easier for the camel to pass thru the eye of the needle than for the APC to return to power in 2027.

There's no pathway for Atiku. None of these people are even as strong as Sule Lamido. Stop this false hope

storm001:
E no concern the people of SOUTH EAST. This few anywhere belle face politicians cannot dictate our future.

And we have said NO to Tinubu second tenure.

If obi isn't on the ballot, they will vote Tinubu

opes:
Akin Alabi from Ibadan to deputise Alli also from Ibadan? APC won't try same faith ticket in oyo State.

Shina peller or Akeem Adeyemi

opes:
Fatai is too big to deputize Alli..They will prefer a Christian as deputy..

Religion plays no role. Zacchaeus Adedeji or Olamiju Akala or Akin alabi

opes:
Hon. Remi Oseni is the only strong candidate who can seriously challenge Senator Alli, but Alli has a Godfather working to secure his victory.
Senator Buhari is also strong but the ticket is not going to Oke Ogun, Ibadan candidate will be preferred.

Yes, Oseni will get senate as compensation. Fatai Buhari can deputize Alli

Truths9ja:
folarin

Folarin? You must be an APC hater

Truths9ja:
Alli should forget it, he can't get the APC ticket

Who will get it? Adelabu abi folarin

Truths9ja:
not true. The governorship primary will be direct primary and not consensus.

Whichever way, Alli will energe

AMINDA:
You fell off so badly. There's no coming back from this one. Tinubu will be defeated come 2027.

You have lost Katsina

Oyo next governor. Fergie won't like this at all

Eriokanmi:
When has the allocation which Abians are entitled to, now become Tinubu's money? He's getting the allocation in line with the constitution of Nigeria and the sharing formula, not a free gift or any special consideration. Whenever any apc supporter is talking, you can guess the percentage of their IQ. They're uniformly wired .
Makinde of oyo is getting what is due the state, likewise adeleke of osun state and we can see the great jobs they're doing. That's why godfatherism hampers performance. Unlike here in Lagos where we don't know if we even have a governor,nobody can visit these guys and distract them.Adeleke even financed the LGA salary for over 7 months, which tinubu withheld under the pretext of court order. We need more of such leaders not rulers and these guys I mentioned have walked their talk.

We need much more of such people at the centre, not liars and pharaohs as obtainable today.

You are so biased and hateful that you can lie blindly. Which project has clownish Adeleke done? Are you aware sanwoolu did the Opebi-mende bridge and the biggest secondary school? Hatred from Tinubu from not blind you from identifying simple facts

AMINDA:
Jigawa State

This was how Sen. Sabo Nakudu joined the ADC in Jigawa State.

Repost to Trigger Bola TInubu's INEC. pic.twitter.com/6v1Cn2WX05

— Abdul-Aziz Na'ibi Abubakar (@jrnaib2) April 7, 2026

Badaru and Namadi owns jigawa

AMINDA:
Senator Kabiru Gaya of Kano state just decamped to the ADC.

Someone that small kawu Sumaila humiliated? He has no value

Svoboda:
https://www.nairaland.com/8649263/how-tinubu-won-lost-north#139020460

This again shows that my opinion and evidences are superior. I am talking about buhari son who can sway millions of bubarists, you are talking about an unknown quantity who has no value that's not even from Kano. When I mention Wamakko, you mention one Lamido that served Wamakko. This is irritating and nauseating

Svoboda:
It's not about speaking. Even a mad man can speak. It's about conviction. Jonathan had people who could speak for him. We all know how it ended. The adc won't have been on people's lips if the govt had done average. People are naturally pivoting towards alternatives because they believe nothing can be worse than what we have now.

Most of those pivoting are those who where always against Tinubu. Looking at the bigwigs for instance, apart from El rufai who dislikes Tinubu, I challenge you to mention someone who moved from tinubu camp.( Gawuna is for Guber, Aregbe didn't support Tinubu 2023).
The momentum or media drive happening now is what happened in 2019 and 2023. A month to the poll, the opposition lost steam. The government made moves which confused the opposition camp. It is not a new thing. Even in 2015, Gej could have turned the tide if he had more time. That 6 weeks postponement enabled him to close the gap. Until ADC replicate what happened in 2015, no chance.
By the way tinubu son is running for house of reps under APC. Atiku has lost Katsina

Svoboda:
The problem is that the pro APC clerics are having a difficult time justifying the mess the country finds itself to their followers. How can they successfully market a bad product with a clear conscience?

They will do it in due time, they don't need to speak to the media or press. Pro government influencers are usually silent while opposition are loud like Obidients. It doesn't mean they have a majority, there's what we call the silent majority. While you condemn APC, it is clear the adc is not the solution so there's a stalemate. At the right time, the government supporters will make a decisive move

Svoboda:
This externally influenced crisis is free advert for the adc. Perhaps it's something that will backfire right in the faces of the instigators. It is now left for the adc to harness the widespread sympathy from across Nigeria and transform this to popular support. Obviously, there is voter fatigue that will transpire in the presidential election for the APC in 2027. Beyond that, Tinubu has nothing to campaign with. That said, with many of the Muslim clerics speaking out against the government with more boldness presently, it tells you just one thing.

Most of those clerics supported Atiku and many other clerics are pro APC. It evens itself out. The core north is a tug of war

Coolgent:
APC mouthpiece...
I hope you are not in those local governments to cause havoc.
I'm currently in Sokoto too...
In few hours time another defection will be announce

Tinubu will win sokoto

Coolgent:
Senator Gada is a paper weight politician...
He can't win even his own local government let alone the most populous zone

Tambuwal is also a paperweight if you look at it critically.

Jaylord12:
I said it here that the North is not with APC/Tinubu but some of these tribal bigots will not stop to rain insult on themselves...This man is a very strong force in Sokoto East......Mark my word he will contest for governorship election..

You said the same thing 2023

Svoboda:
The north made Tinubu president. That same north will dethrone him thru the ballot. Tinubu realizes this, and that's why it's so important that all major opposition vehicles are made ineffective. Even northern political stalwarts in APC have their loyalties elsewhere. The north are masters in skirts and blouse elections. In 2027, they will express that tendency expertise at the polls. Having parallel campaign structures in each state will not save him...

I thought we discussed all these. Lamido issue is with control of the party structure right from his inception, has nothing to do with Atiku. Wamakko made him and will unmake him. Senator Gada has dumped ADC. Atiku will lose sokoto

fergie001:
Someone said Alli should go to court and get an injunction so he can be crowned and still contest.

I do not know the tradition around the Ibadan stool but is it not something he can decline?

He has declined na. The desperation from Seyi is nauseating

LegendHero:
I don’t think he will decamp to APC.

Yusuf Tuggar seems like the APC candidate so how will Bala install his own successor if he dey APC?

Except if he wan forgo and just go senate

Tuggar isn't strong please. I prefer Pate or ex Governor Mohammed Abdullahi

fergie001:
You don't understand the angst.
This man resigned on May 17, 2025.
And it was expected to take effect May 26, 2025.
The thing is that INEC is in receipt of NWC resolutions that day.
They only went back to him to use the Courts.

Tinubu wants to run alone......it's a fact!
You see this ordinary issue will get to June....Mark it!

Seriake's Party is next.

What about NDC

fergie001:
I contradicted myself with LP, then PDP, then NNPP, then now, ADC.
Tinubu doesn't trust the Northerners and want to RUN ALONE, period.

The Judiciary/INEC is helping him but we have seen the script before.

You have said it all. Stop stressing yourself

OredoPikin2:
My Edo or another Edo?
Jokers
Make ADC just give Obi ticket
Wetin una see for 2023 na child's play.
Same Edo that has started tinubu must go protest already
Is like you are not following news🤣🤣🤣

I thought so too but not after the recent bye elections