₦airaland Forum

Bimpe29:
Bala Muhammad will chop APC money and clean mouth as I don't see him joining the ruling party now.

APC boat is sinking 😂

Lol, hate speech. ADC has no boat

LagosOrigin:
We saw more than this in 2023 election but guess what , tinubu lost disgracefully in Kano state to Dr. Rabiu musa kwankwaso who has now join forces with Peter Obi in Kano state .

Forget this paid crowd, Kano state is on lock for Dr. Rabiu musa kwankwaso.

Even buhari couldn't take away Kano state from Kwankwaso for tinubu, they both lost Kano to kwankwaso .

What did Atiku and obi score in Kano

Okoroawusa:
And how have they fared politically all these years?

The answer is inescapably clear

zicoraads:
He is a massive failure. He would have lost the election even if he had remained. In fact, decamping now is a negative to the APC.

The more the merrier after all ADC are celebrating the defections of animals too. At least he is human

Gadaffi9ja:
This is not about his defection or party, he has nothing to show for the pity votes he got last time.

Then APC will take back the seat as adc is non-existent

WhizdomXX:
What do you gain from lying?

He lost there 2019, won there narrowly. It's like a loss. He won massively in southern kaduna

Svoboda:
Eulogies for Tinubu? Time will tell. Even an APC chieftain said today that many of his appointees and governors aren't loyal to him. All I know is that Tinubu has lost more than he had in the north in 23.

A disgruntled APC member? There are even more betrayers around Atiku. You are assuming without clear facts sir.

Finally in the NC, Saraki is no more with Atiku. Lai Mohammed is begging to come back. ADC is empty in kwara. For Niger, Atiku's supporters Muazu Aliyu and Zainab kure have endorsed Tinubu. The senator representing Niger south Peter Jiya just joined APC rather than ADC. In Kogi, the Wadas are shifting towards Tinubu. Ofcourse here is a no go area for Atiku. In plateau, all the who is who defected with Muftwang to APC. ADC is empty here. With the recent massacre by suspected herdsmen, Atiku is bad news. In nasarawa, the popular senator Wadada has pledged loyalty to Tinubu alongside Hon Gaza. Sen Adamu and Gov Sule where suspected of sabotaging Tinubu 2023 so no issue. In Benue, they are all struggling to impress tinubu. Suswam that was with Atiku has dumped him alongside senator morro. Even David Mark daughter isn't stimulating. Mark is in his own. Anyway you already admitted that Atiku has no chance in north Central.

Just today, 14 reps mostly from the north joined APC. 8 joined Adc. Nigerians still prefer APC to any other new evil.

Gadaffi9ja:
Not to be sarcastic, but that guy can't give APC 1000 votes. He just want to summarize his shortcomings.

Lol, for him to win the senate shows he is strong. How many votes can ADC defectors give ADC

jom28gy:
So before you people don't know? APC will see surprises when the time comes

Surprises for Atiku and obi? What can they offer

Mrexcell:
They might work against tinibu behind the scenes but not to defect to the adc it's too late for another defection again right now.

They won't, not for Atiku and obi

COEMMA:
It's very glaring
Even d blind can clearly see it

More betrayers are with Atiku

AMINDA:
The momentum against Tinubu will be so strong heading into 2027 that it will be suicidal for anyone to attempt to rig. The election would have been won and lost before the first ballot is cast. Time is a gentleman.

The momentum in Kano? It will die off before may

onatisi:
Kano is no longer sure for APC ,let's wait and see what other states are up to.

Tinubu never won Kano. Obi and atiku are finished here

ogascomax:
Are you sure that ADC is dead. Just talk truth you won't die oo 😂

Is it alive? Has it won any election?

AMINDA:
Same Southsouth that Tinubu's water carriers told us is in the bag? Where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Goodluck might just spring a surprise and contest under the NDC.

He will divide Atiku northern votes

AMINDA:
He also won just 4 states out of 17 Southern states and all 4 were from the Southwest. That shows you the level of his unpopularity and how hard his Northern allies had to work to give him the margins he got. He couldn't even deliver himself in Lagos. Can the North love Tinubu more than he's loved at home?

But he humiliated Atiku up north

Blitzerz:
Tell him to mention one state outside southwest that will guarantee votes for tinubu?
None.

Kwara, kogi, Niger, benue, sokoto, kebbi

AMINDA:
These are the people the so-called master strategist replaced Elrufai with? Shehu Sani cannot mobilise his own ward to vote for himself, let alone deliver his state to Tinubu.

El rufau was humiliated in kaduna recently

Validated:
Kano, Jigawa, Kaduna (North and South), Kebbi and Katsina are gone. All those that helped Tinubu rig in the KKK states have left him.

How is Jigawa gone? Jigawa is controlled by Badaru and governor Namadi who are in APC? The godfather of zkebbi politics Adamu Aliero is in APC. Reason well please

ogaemma:
With his naked failure, is obvious he will lose in the North.
Then use rice and 5k to buy vote in the South.

He will still get the needed percentage up north

Svoboda:
Fingers crossed.

Not yet. I am not done. No ticket can defeat Tinubu though the best combo will be Atiku/Obi...
In Yobe, all the gladiators are in APC. But there are suspecting Buni so Senator Geidam is there to neutralize him. The Machina/ Lawan feud is settled. In Borno, same thing. The Kanuris are totally with Tinubu unless shettima is dropped. In Bauchi, Dogara who supported Atiku is back with Tinubu. Bala has left atiku. Mohammed Sadiq supported Atiku while in APC so his move means nothing . In Gombe, Goje may join ADC but it is obvious he was against Tinubu. He is a long time atiku boy. The people of Gombe central including the Emirs of Yamaltu deba and Akko have called for the retirement Goje. The popular Isiaka Gwamna and Abubakar Barde are with Tinubu. Pantami who worked with the cabal has pledged loyalty to Tinubu. In Taraba, all the juggernauts are with Tinubu. Even T. Y Danjuma seems to move towards Tinubu which means Atiku has lost Taraba for the first time. We have said enough about Adamawa...
Tinubu is a politician's delight, an average politician will prefer to work with Tinubu than Atiku who plays mercantilist politics. He uses his followers during elections and abandons them. He believes everything is transactional, no loyalty. Tinubu on the other hand has cultivated long time loyalty. Even so many critics admit Tinubu assisted them in the past...
Most of the Apc chapters having issues are over local matters, they are united for Tinubu. Infact Tinubu is so good at fence mending that he gets different opponents even in opposition to work for him. Look at Suswam in pdp who worked for Atiku aligning with Tinubu, Muazu Aliyu also. Atiku is divisive, cannot resolve party issues. Tinubu isn't perfect but is far better than Atiku

Svoboda:
Fintiri was never atikus man. With or without him, Atiku will sweep what he wants. Sokoto apc is divided. They held a parallel congress. Senator Lamido is defecting. Badarus one foot is out of apc in jigawa. Tinubu didn't win KD, but Elrufai helped him over the line with almost 400k votes. What even makes you think all the northern apc govs will work for Tinubu? The only factor that worked against Atiku in 2023 was buharis last minute endorsement of Atiku. This time, there's no Buhari to help him. Even down south, delta apc is divided. I told you something before. Let's see how many northern candidates will campaign with Tinubus poster or wear his chain insignia cap for their campaign.

Lol, a last minute endorsement that was missed by millions of bubarists? If delta APC is divided, does ADC even exist in delta? Delta APC has been divided from 2019 between the Emerhor/ Keyamo/ Agege faction which forced ogboru to defect. Tinubu lost there so it doesn't matter but this time he will at least get 25%, Atiku nothing. Sokoto APC is not divided, it is completely in the hands of Wamakko/ Aliyu. Senator Lamido is nobody, he was made by Wamakko and will be buried. It is even ADC that is divided...
Badaru for now is in APC, if he goes, Lamido and saminu turaki are coming. Governor Umar Namadi is in total contro. Atiku lost here which is very basl. In 2023, how many northern candidates campaign with Tinubu pix? Did it make any difference?
Look at the recent ADC membership registration, the highest numbers are from Adamawa, kaduna, Bauchi and Gombe and these states gave Atiku his highest votes in 2023. No new changes for Atiku.his support base is stagnant.Membership in the south is abysmal..
Obidients have shown multiple times that 95% of them will only vote for Obi. If obi is not on the ticket as president, sorry for Atiku. Even if obi is on as running mate, at least 50% won't vote which means some states like Ebonyi, imo and Enugu may tilt to Tinubu and worse in the south south. By now you know south south is controlled by political gladiators and all are in APC and eyeing 2031 as running mates. No hope for ADC. Even in the north, many radical voters who would have voted Atiku would be disgusted by obi pairing. Kwankwaso statement in 2022 was very apt..

There has been several bye elections since 2023 and ADC couldn't even win one. Even in Adamawa, ADC lost to APC. When buhari was president, APC nevee won any staggered election in Adamawa or Taraba. You want to joke with Tinubu? Everyone will hustle for votes to impress him..
Fintiri being Atiku man or not means nothing as far as they where in same party and he helped Atiku one way or the other. El rufai was never Tinubu man and he didn't hide it but are you not the one preaching about his efforts? Most of those who helped buhari in 2015 including Tinubu never liked him, I am surprised you are raising this. Fintiri controls a large amount of indigenous Christian voters in Adamawa in case you don't know esp in madagali/ michika, toungo, guyuk, lamurde, Song ,hong axis which will hurt Atiku. Abdulazeez Nyarko who is popular in Adamawa central and Mayo belwa has joined APC...
In 2023, most northern governors where not seeking reelection and could afford to betray Tinubu but they didn't. Now that most are seeking reelection, they are stuck with Tinubu. In 2023, Atiku had up to 10 govs yet he failed. How much more now. We know people like Buni, Sule, Inuwa yahaya might have sabotaged Tinubu bought it doesn't matter. Sometimes I even feel El rufai worked against Tinubu last minute

Svoboda:
In 2023, apc had Ganduje and majority of the hoa members but still lost to Kwankwaso in both the presidential and governorship elections. Invariably, Abba Yusuf decamping with 50% of his govt makes no difference. Apc in Kano is divided. Doguwa and others are aggrieved. The old apc members in most states are angry and disenchanted. Atiku didn't win KD south in 2023, but he has Ashiru. But there's no bigger northern persuader, if I'm allowed to use that phrase, than el rufai. Tinubu didn't only lose him. He exposed his treachery to the north. No northern farmer would cast his vote for Tinubu. Right now, Tinubu has trust deficit. Not just that, his trust issues would be mounting now. Thank God the future is pregnant. But one thing I know is that a lot of states even in the south aren't certain for Tinubu. Forget about the noise. Can Tinubu get 25% in the se with obi on the ballot? That's a capital no for me.

Is ADC not divided? Are there not also having numerous court cases? This divide in APC has always been there even from after 2015 victory. So many of those disgruntled members will still prefer Tinubu who treats politicians better than Atiku who discards his allies. Imagine Fintiri and okowa dumping atiku, what is more humiliating? You can't use that to gauge sir. El rufai lost kaduna so where is the persuasion? Atiku didn't win Southern kaduna but he beat Tinubu there. If obi hadn't contest, he would have won. A lot in the north don't really trust or like Tinubu same as they don't like Atiku so it is even. In the absence of Buhari, kwankwaso is the king of the north. Tinubu was never going to win Kano with kwankwaso contesting but Atiku as a northerner should have gotten 25% but he failed woefully, the only state he failed in the entire core north. Why can't you see the brutal truth?

In sokoto, Abubakar Gada has dumped Atiku. Tambuwal used incumbency to narrowly deliver the state, that's now gone. APC is intact. In zamfara, Governor Lawal is gone alongside most of those who supported Atiku. In Katsina, Lado Dan marke, Dahiru mangal , Ibrahim shema have dumped Atiku. The emir of Daura publicly endorsed Tinubu, this is massive and unprecedented. In Jigawa, Lamido has abandoned Atiku. The emir of Hadejia endorsed Tinubu. I can go on and on. Atiku camp is bleeding more sir...

An average northern peasant or farmer would vote a simple minded, incorrupt, mass oriented, Islamic radicals candidate. Kwankwaso is the closest to that. Atiku doesn't represent that so nothing for Atiku sir. The northern voters have always been influenced by their clerics, emirs and politicians and most are with Tinubu. Atiku can only manage a narrow victory...
Except obi is pairing with Atiku which is unlikely , Tinubu will massacre Atiku everywhere down south and even north central. It will be like 2011 polls. You saw how the fct polls and other bye elections went. The nation still love APC sir

WhizdomXX:
What LGA?

Kudan

Svoboda:
Thank God you said PROBABLY about Kwankwasos intention. Nobody knows for now, but he's defied your logic by defecting to adc. According to the news, he gave conditions and they were accepted by adc. My argument is that Tinubu has lost grounds in the north. Kwankwaso was a factor in favour of Tinubu. Now, he's no longer so. You don't have to think too far to realize that those who wouldnt vote Tinubu would vote for an Atiku.

Ps. Most of apc Kano south senatorial zone are angry with the apc arrangement in Kano which is in favour of gov Abba Kabir Yusuf.

He hasn't defied anything. Kwankwaso did not support tinubu in 2023 nor buhari in 2019 so he is discounted. If you look closer, Atiku has lost more grounds in the north than in 2023 and 2019 when he was at his strongest. Kwankwaso probable intentions is to contest with obi or someone else but let's discount him. Gawuna left APC while APC gained Abba Gida and Senator sumaila and 50% of kwankwasiyya elected officials.
In kaduna, Atiku gained only El rufai but has lost southern kaduna that has always voted him, lost Makarfi, Senator Hunkuyi, Namadi Sambo, Danjuma laah and most of those who supported him. Kudan supported Atiku in 2023 and 2019 so no difference. In Adamawa, he has lost Governor Fintiri and most of the PDP supporters. Binani supported him in 2023 from APC so no gains. In Kebbi, Tinubu gained the mighty Adamu Aliero and his structures while Malami led the cabal to support Atiku 2023. Where are the gains? I can analyse all the northern states for you to see that Atiku has gone weaker if you want sir. No pathway for Atiku sir. Assuming he manages to win the north, he would be humiliated in every southern state while Tinubu will win many northern states. Even in death, buhari would still clear the north sir. No way for Atiku

WhizdomXX:
Funny enough Isa won the last election.

Someone that always loses his lga

Prince111111:
my brother..Adeleke is supporting Tinubu because he is from Osun state and people around Adeleke including Kings and Baales would not support Adeleke if he bad-mouths Tinubu. Hence his latest and secret support for Wike's faction of PDP.

Does Ambo has a chance in the guber

Prince111111:
yes he will because of tribalism

Or because Adeleke is supporting him?

ogascomax:
Omo this guy really get time o. You are really collecting change from APC to sit down and write all this things that are equal to zero.

Lol, you don't know politics, go and sit down. You and your dead ADC will keep losing to APC. Lol

Svoboda:
Is that the straw you guys are now clutching on? Votes aren't transferrable, but sentiments are. You expect the Muslim north to largely vote a southerner again against their brother, when they have nothing to show for the 2023 deception. Time will tell. But one thing very clear is that Tinubus borrowed support in the north has been vastly eroded by his incompetence and ethnocentricity. There's no more Buhari to exhibit his inked ballot paper nor elrufai to kneel and beg the undecided.

There is nothing like straw here sir. The Muslim north is clearly divided, Atiku has always been overrated and it will finally show again but I don't know why you can't see it. Only buhari can sweep the north, no other sir. It is a free for all and Atiku will be overran... Pause and think, why will kwankwaso who wants to be president support Atiku to do 8 years and bury his chances? Kwankwaso is probably preparing to be running mate to obi or Amechi

SonOfWords:
You no sabi politics aje!

You seriously think Gawuna's alignment with Kwankwaso in ADC is so he can unseat Abba to be the next governor? Lol.

The North is realigning to remove Tinubu and every significant voices in the three Ks are being gathered. Kwankwaso as far as we are all concerned, owns roughly seventy percent of the voting crowd in Kano, and Gawuna equally holds a form of cult followership.

Once yekini amoda is removed, the rug will simply be pulled from under Abba's feet and he'll plop on the dirt like some toddler learning to take steps. Kwankwaso already described Abba's defection as a deep betrayal, and that man is known to hold deep grudges.

With Kwankwaso and Gawuna in one camp, they'll control the voice of Kano for the presidential election and no amount of money or violence is going to deter Kwankwasiyas from following their overlords.

Should ADC win the presidential election, Gawuna will even most certainly play a more significant role in the next administration than being a mere governor. He'll have "choices". And Abba's seat will be one of them. . Checkmate!

Lol, ADC does not have what it takes to gather majority of the north sir. Majority of kwankwaso supporters are already in APC. We saw more of this in 2023. The Ganduje faction is more stronger than kwankwaso faction

Prince111111:
you people should stop over estimating this man please

I believe Tinubu will win osun this time