₦airaland Forum

dalongjnr:
From the submissions of APC counsel, PDP might likely win the case.
His assertion is lain.

When will you stop this self deceit? PDP has no case

ogascomax:
This one never still known say Atiku never get his time. Make Atiku win the election for 2027 then I will be ready to listen to Woke, he should be ready to fight then.

Atiku can never win any election. Oga, reason carefully

ogascomax:
At this point it's all about the combination that can win an election. Atiku Obi is that combination. All the North this time will want to vote massively for Atiku. In election it's more of people they vote for not necessary party.
The South right now will be muzzled by APC so the right thing now is to go North.

North won't give Atiku blocc

dalongjnr:
This is a joke taken too far.
If election is to be conducted today, Tinubu will not get 35% of the total vote cast in the north West and north east. He may get that in the north Central only. Zamfara, kebbi,katsina, kaduna,kano,sokoto have already greatly swing against the president,considering how the president worked against the former appointees of Buhari who brought him to power.
The northern votes is gone 😢 😪 😕 😫.

You lie sir. Which appointees of buhari did Tinubu work against? Is it malami that is irrelevant in Kebbi? Zamfara is controlled by Yari and Yerima, they are with Tinubu. Kebbi is controlled by Aliero who just joined APC. PDP is virtually dead there. Remnants of pdp in Katsina led by Majigiri and Shema are now in APC leaving the carcass for Baba kaita. The 2023 elections clearly shows kwankwaso owns Kano and in his absence , tinubu follows. They dont rate Atiku. Sokoto is controlled by Wamakko, Tambuwal is a featherweight. I can concede kaduna to Atiku but Tinubu will win SK this time and get 30%.
It is good you said Tinubu can get 35 In NE/NW meaning Atiku will get 50%, Obi and others will share the remaining 15%. Tinubu will neutralize it with SW votes and win with NC votes. You already know Atiku is finished in the south. No matter his performance in the north, the south will bury him

dalongjnr:
I was telling someone about the struggle within the APC,but he turned deaf.
I only pity the decampy.

Which struggles? It is normal. There are even more in the new ADC. With kwankwaso, Tinubu will get the Kano bloc votes. Borno and Yobe will vote Atiku narrowly. Tinubu will clearly win Nw which will neutralize NE.

Badb0y4lyf:
Bro stop saying Yoruba we don’t have the herd like mentality like the Hausa where the sultan or Iman say na this man.
SW is very educated and we do reason tinubu will lose in all cities Lagos Abuja, even PH will shock him this time after what wike did. SW votes will be divided as usual it’s easier to rig in the rural areas. This is my prediction

60% of yorubas will still vote him. Even the north will divide. The SE that vote herd mentality are they not educated? Stop the deceit

SpatialKing:
With the coalition he will get some votes in the South West and South South but not South East...

That's if he contest with obi. But if he goes alone, he will fail woefully. He won't see 25%. In any southern state without Obi because in 2023, he won 3 southern states narrowly because of governors and these three governors have abandoned him. Atiku is dead in the south

SpatialKing:
Otilo for APC

Where will the votes come from in 2027

Oga, nobody in the south will vote atiku

Chinjo2:
Kwankwaso, Tinubu will use and dump you if you accept to work for him.
He is not to be trusted. It is better you join hands with the coalition for a better Nigeria.
Tinubu think he is intelligent but he can not be more intelligent than over 200 million Nigerians.
Please wise up for the overall interest of Nigeria

What will he gain from coalition? Will he be president? Is it atiku that is coming to change Nigeria

Olumaeme:
You missed the point when you said if not for Buhari cult like followership in 2019.

APC lost the 2019 election, it was so clear that they had to deny ever having a server in court, which they actually did.

In 2023, the Server that they denied in 2019, suddenly had a glitch and people could no longer follow live updates, cant you see that, winning elections is more than who is popular where?

If Tinubu picks a goat as Vice, he will still win because the election will be rigged.

How did APC lose in 2019? Can't you see that northerners don't like Atiku?
Even in 2023 Tinubu won. If the server is down, why not look for the hard copies

dalongjnr:
Once he dropped shetima,his base in NE is gone.
In NC =only kogi is sure for him,that's if he reconcile with yahaya bello.
Nasarawa can tilt to pdp or adc.
Plateau can vote tinubu if he chose to work with the present governor,if not, he may not get 25%.
Kwara is a very difficult one him.
The governor is not his person and the former governors are still strong and influential and not with him.
Benue is hard to call 35% for him considering how he handle the banditry issues there. People are now having the perception that's jihad that's going on in the state.
Niger state use to be APC stronghold due to bubari's influence but that's no longer there.
Abuja can till to tinubu due to wike's infrastructure drive but if he doesn't handle the issues of civil servants and land allocation/demolition well, he may not get 50%.

I like your analysis but kwara is the surest state in Nigeria for Tinubu outside his SW states. Majority are Yoruba. They just love Tinubu naturally. The performance of Abdulrazak or Saraki resurgence cannot influence this so leave kwara out. I believe Saraki and pdp are finished in kwara by the way. The governor is a tinubu man, he was brought by Lai Mohammed.

Kogi is not as sure as you think but Tinubu will win here whether Bello aligns or not. The okun Yoruba will naturally vote Tinubu. Ebira will likely follow Tinubu as well as a number of igalas... With sdp aligning with tinubu in nasarawa, Tinubu should take nasarawa this time. Tinubu almost won nasarawa last time if not for Karu bloc votes. I believe Tinubu will eat into Karu votes just like Buhari did in 2019 to win nasarawa. APC since 2015 has taken 25% in plateau. This will continue. Despite the massive killings in Benue under buhari, he almost won benue. Despite the obi wave, Tinubu still won. Benue will still divide or APC win since ortom faction of pdp will work for Tinubu... Niger is dicey. This is where Tinubu got his Jagaban title. Atiku is strong here but PDP is very weak. Bago is doing well alongside senator Sani musa. The apc structure will still deliver Tinubu.
For fct, obi will still win but Tinubu as a result of wike work will get 30% at the least.

Penguin2:
Una no dey read.

He said Obi is more popular in Southwest than Tinubu is popular in Southeast.

This expression shouldn’t be difficult to understand naaa!

Is it that bad?

Tinubu will win SS or lose narrowly which is still a strategic win if you have foresight

dalongjnr:
Muslim-Muslim ticket will not fly again.
Wait and see. If APC try that, that would be it's end.

It will sir. Tinubu will win NC and divide ne/ nw..he will take SS or lose narrowly

maestroferddi:
The storm is gathering vigorously....


No hiding place for the grossly wicked and ineffectual...

Failure and suffering will ultimately unite and liberate all Nigerians...

Gathering with paperweights like Tambuwal? Which strong politician is in Kebbi pdp

oyeb15:
The best tactics now is to decamp to APC leaving an empty party for wike to destroy. Bring in your men and take up d structure of APC in states.In APC work for d success of the coalition party at federal and retain your sit as governors in state.
After d election,decamp back to d coalition party and destroy APC totally.

Why are you so bitter and hateful? Pdp and your coalition will keep getting destroyed instead

Ginomel:
Now that the issue of secretary is resolved.

The next convention will choose new executives that's where Anyanwu will be booted out.

It's a strategy.

No sir, wike will still decide and manipulate the emergence of those new excos

fergie001:
Nothing can be done. Anyanwu was the last card and the ticket don cut.
Wike has triumphed 100%, with both Secretary & Chairman. He will decide everything in the next Convention. If you cannot cope, get out of the Party.

Everything revolves around the Secretary, opponents of Wike will defect definitely. Watch out for Mbah & Diri.

What is the fate of dissenting NWC members like Arapaja , ologunagba

fergie001:
With the way things are, how are you sure he will even get 50% where he is now

He will join Lp to labour with Pandora in vainglory

TonyeBarcanista:
APC don't even rate Peter Mbah. They offered him just 50% of the structure after intense lobby.

Dalori will offer him more. But why would APC offer him just 50% when they have no body in Enugu

fergie001:
Makinde na senior man, that is if he wasn't even planning it with Wike.

Politics strong oooooo....... With the NEC meeting now, the matter is laid to rest finally. Didn't you see Mbah talking tough didn't attend!

Makinde is in his second term, he clearly has nothing to lose. I see him returning back to private sector after installing Ogundoyin as governor

TonyeBarcanista:
He can go anywhere he wishes. He is a baby politician without capacity

Very true. Ugeuanyi made him and can equally unmake him

fergie001:
Welcome to APC, Governor Ndubuisi Peter Mbah

The Progressive Family welcomes you.

When will Anyanwu tenure expire? I don't think he can get reelected on alcohol platform

Khallicopyro:
I am an indigene of Edo Central. Why haven't I heard of him? What has he done for the people in the constituency?

Mike onolememen or Joseph Ikpea will be the new senator

Ferdinandu:
Can forged result be accepted as statistics. It represents nothing because it is just indicates random imaginations of APC agents

Bring original results

DIVINEEVIDENCE:
With all the irregularities that marred that election?

Abeg rest.

Which irregularities

franchasng:
APC is a gathering of betrayals.


Bola Tinubu - betrayer

Nyesome Wike - serial betrayer

Reno Omockery - worthless betrayer

Ifeanyi Okowa - senseless betrayer

Daniel Bwala - shameless Betrayer


Now add Kwankwaso to the list, very anyhow people forming elites

Obi is the greatest betrayer, betraying Ojukwu. El rufai betrayed Atiku

franchasng:
Continue living in the past, the moving train has left you behind.



Peter Obi won 2023 Presidential election but Northerners who held the Presidential power helped rig Tinubu into office thinking it would favour them, now their eyes are clear and they have seen Tinubu for who he is.



Peter Obi remains the biggest political figure in Nigeria, he is bigger and more popular than Tinubu the President. What Tinubu have is just Presidential powers, but Peter Obi commands more respect and organic followership than Bola Tinubu the Lagos landlord

How did he win when he lost 4 regions

dalongjnr:
This doesn't speak well of our democracy.
The law enforcement officers(police)has nothing to do with our democracy.
This is an intra party affair. It's not a Congress, rally or any party gathering but a gathering of few people who are entrusted with overseeing and checkmating any excesses from the exco.
They BOT/NEC can sit and deliberate anywhere and their decisions are all binding because they are not party EXCO.
In fact, the PDP,constitution is quite when it comes to the issues of meeting venues for BOT/NEC meeting.

Nigerians don't want pdp or Atiku. The fg has nothing to do with this. Up Tinubu

OredoPikin:
And Obaseki couldn't deliver it to Atiku🤣
In the history of Edo election, we have never registered 1m voters per an election. But this illiterate governor and his supporters want to manufacture 2.5million votes🤣
The total registered voters in Edo till now is just about 2.2million and we have never registered even 900k as total votes in any election.
Omo
See as that illiterate and his supporters they disgrace my state🤦‍♂️

Oga, it is normal political talk. It has nothing to do with illiteracy. All politicians always exaggerate what they can do or deliver so forget that side. He is just trying to say that he will deliver totally to him which is what Tinubu wants to hear....

Obaseki couldn't deliver because firstly he has no personal structure or crowd or capacity. He is not a grassrooted politician. He got elected through oshiomhole personae and got reelected through pity votes, protest votes and massive alignments. But he cannot replicate this for another person.
Secondly, he wasn't deeply into Atiku. During the campaigns, he said Edo is obidients. He was dangling between Lp and PDP because of the struggle for structure between him and Wike faction. He sponsored Edo Lp to a large extent..

Thirdly, Edo voters are very independent minded, fierce, aggressive and difficult. They are the most obidient state in SS alongside delta. There's little a politician can do to sway them esp in Edo South that is highly urbanised. Even oshiomhole struggled to deliver Edo north...

Tinubu may not win Edo State but he will surely get good votes this time around with almost all stakeholders in Apc

onatisi:
It's very funny how these politicians underestimate the intelligence of Nigerians; it seems they have this belief that they control the mentality and decisions of Nigerians.

Governors control large numbers of voters directly and indirectly

onatisi:
El Rufai strength is about mobilising the north ,that is what he is always doing , he has a way of mobilising northern elites that is why h is dangerous . Maybe because he was once a radical or of royal blood . Ask obj and Co. When obj wanted to deal with Atiku ,it was el rufia he first gave the task to

It has never translated to raw votes. His two giver victories where down to Buhari popularity

onatisi:
The north is the deciding factor in our presidential elections and they were the ones that have Tinubu over 63© of the votes that brought him in , I don't think he will get up to that this time around and that is why he is trying to pull all the south together to vote for him but that will be very difficult

The north will still divide or share votes. El rufai couldn't even deliver Kaduna