₦airaland Forum

Svoboda:
It's not about speaking. Even a mad man can speak. It's about conviction. Jonathan had people who could speak for him. We all know how it ended. The adc won't have been on people's lips if the govt had done average. People are naturally pivoting towards alternatives because they believe nothing can be worse than what we have now.

Most of those pivoting are those who where always against Tinubu. Looking at the bigwigs for instance, apart from El rufai who dislikes Tinubu, I challenge you to mention someone who moved from tinubu camp.( Gawuna is for Guber, Aregbe didn't support Tinubu 2023).
The momentum or media drive happening now is what happened in 2019 and 2023. A month to the poll, the opposition lost steam. The government made moves which confused the opposition camp. It is not a new thing. Even in 2015, Gej could have turned the tide if he had more time. That 6 weeks postponement enabled him to close the gap. Until ADC replicate what happened in 2015, no chance.
By the way tinubu son is running for house of reps under APC. Atiku has lost Katsina

Svoboda:
The problem is that the pro APC clerics are having a difficult time justifying the mess the country finds itself to their followers. How can they successfully market a bad product with a clear conscience?

They will do it in due time, they don't need to speak to the media or press. Pro government influencers are usually silent while opposition are loud like Obidients. It doesn't mean they have a majority, there's what we call the silent majority. While you condemn APC, it is clear the adc is not the solution so there's a stalemate. At the right time, the government supporters will make a decisive move

Svoboda:
This externally influenced crisis is free advert for the adc. Perhaps it's something that will backfire right in the faces of the instigators. It is now left for the adc to harness the widespread sympathy from across Nigeria and transform this to popular support. Obviously, there is voter fatigue that will transpire in the presidential election for the APC in 2027. Beyond that, Tinubu has nothing to campaign with. That said, with many of the Muslim clerics speaking out against the government with more boldness presently, it tells you just one thing.

Most of those clerics supported Atiku and many other clerics are pro APC. It evens itself out. The core north is a tug of war

Coolgent:
APC mouthpiece...
I hope you are not in those local governments to cause havoc.
I'm currently in Sokoto too...
In few hours time another defection will be announce

Tinubu will win sokoto

Coolgent:
Senator Gada is a paper weight politician...
He can't win even his own local government let alone the most populous zone

Tambuwal is also a paperweight if you look at it critically.

Jaylord12:
I said it here that the North is not with APC/Tinubu but some of these tribal bigots will not stop to rain insult on themselves...This man is a very strong force in Sokoto East......Mark my word he will contest for governorship election..

You said the same thing 2023

Svoboda:
The north made Tinubu president. That same north will dethrone him thru the ballot. Tinubu realizes this, and that's why it's so important that all major opposition vehicles are made ineffective. Even northern political stalwarts in APC have their loyalties elsewhere. The north are masters in skirts and blouse elections. In 2027, they will express that tendency expertise at the polls. Having parallel campaign structures in each state will not save him...

I thought we discussed all these. Lamido issue is with control of the party structure right from his inception, has nothing to do with Atiku. Wamakko made him and will unmake him. Senator Gada has dumped ADC. Atiku will lose sokoto

fergie001:
Someone said Alli should go to court and get an injunction so he can be crowned and still contest.

I do not know the tradition around the Ibadan stool but is it not something he can decline?

He has declined na. The desperation from Seyi is nauseating

LegendHero:
I don’t think he will decamp to APC.

Yusuf Tuggar seems like the APC candidate so how will Bala install his own successor if he dey APC?

Except if he wan forgo and just go senate

Tuggar isn't strong please. I prefer Pate or ex Governor Mohammed Abdullahi

fergie001:
You don't understand the angst.
This man resigned on May 17, 2025.
And it was expected to take effect May 26, 2025.
The thing is that INEC is in receipt of NWC resolutions that day.
They only went back to him to use the Courts.

Tinubu wants to run alone......it's a fact!
You see this ordinary issue will get to June....Mark it!

Seriake's Party is next.

What about NDC

fergie001:
I contradicted myself with LP, then PDP, then NNPP, then now, ADC.
Tinubu doesn't trust the Northerners and want to RUN ALONE, period.

The Judiciary/INEC is helping him but we have seen the script before.

You have said it all. Stop stressing yourself

OredoPikin2:
My Edo or another Edo?
Jokers
Make ADC just give Obi ticket
Wetin una see for 2023 na child's play.
Same Edo that has started tinubu must go protest already
Is like you are not following news🤣🤣🤣

I thought so too but not after the recent bye elections

Bimpe29:
Bala Muhammad will chop APC money and clean mouth as I don't see him joining the ruling party now.

APC boat is sinking 😂

Lol, hate speech. ADC has no boat

LagosOrigin:
We saw more than this in 2023 election but guess what , tinubu lost disgracefully in Kano state to Dr. Rabiu musa kwankwaso who has now join forces with Peter Obi in Kano state .

Forget this paid crowd, Kano state is on lock for Dr. Rabiu musa kwankwaso.

Even buhari couldn't take away Kano state from Kwankwaso for tinubu, they both lost Kano to kwankwaso .

What did Atiku and obi score in Kano

Okoroawusa:
And how have they fared politically all these years?

The answer is inescapably clear

zicoraads:
He is a massive failure. He would have lost the election even if he had remained. In fact, decamping now is a negative to the APC.

The more the merrier after all ADC are celebrating the defections of animals too. At least he is human

Gadaffi9ja:
This is not about his defection or party, he has nothing to show for the pity votes he got last time.

Then APC will take back the seat as adc is non-existent

WhizdomXX:
What do you gain from lying?

He lost there 2019, won there narrowly. It's like a loss. He won massively in southern kaduna

Svoboda:
Eulogies for Tinubu? Time will tell. Even an APC chieftain said today that many of his appointees and governors aren't loyal to him. All I know is that Tinubu has lost more than he had in the north in 23.

A disgruntled APC member? There are even more betrayers around Atiku. You are assuming without clear facts sir.

Finally in the NC, Saraki is no more with Atiku. Lai Mohammed is begging to come back. ADC is empty in kwara. For Niger, Atiku's supporters Muazu Aliyu and Zainab kure have endorsed Tinubu. The senator representing Niger south Peter Jiya just joined APC rather than ADC. In Kogi, the Wadas are shifting towards Tinubu. Ofcourse here is a no go area for Atiku. In plateau, all the who is who defected with Muftwang to APC. ADC is empty here. With the recent massacre by suspected herdsmen, Atiku is bad news. In nasarawa, the popular senator Wadada has pledged loyalty to Tinubu alongside Hon Gaza. Sen Adamu and Gov Sule where suspected of sabotaging Tinubu 2023 so no issue. In Benue, they are all struggling to impress tinubu. Suswam that was with Atiku has dumped him alongside senator morro. Even David Mark daughter isn't stimulating. Mark is in his own. Anyway you already admitted that Atiku has no chance in north Central.

Just today, 14 reps mostly from the north joined APC. 8 joined Adc. Nigerians still prefer APC to any other new evil.

Gadaffi9ja:
Not to be sarcastic, but that guy can't give APC 1000 votes. He just want to summarize his shortcomings.

Lol, for him to win the senate shows he is strong. How many votes can ADC defectors give ADC

jom28gy:
So before you people don't know? APC will see surprises when the time comes

Surprises for Atiku and obi? What can they offer

Mrexcell:
They might work against tinibu behind the scenes but not to defect to the adc it's too late for another defection again right now.

They won't, not for Atiku and obi

COEMMA:
It's very glaring
Even d blind can clearly see it

More betrayers are with Atiku

AMINDA:
The momentum against Tinubu will be so strong heading into 2027 that it will be suicidal for anyone to attempt to rig. The election would have been won and lost before the first ballot is cast. Time is a gentleman.

The momentum in Kano? It will die off before may

onatisi:
Kano is no longer sure for APC ,let's wait and see what other states are up to.

Tinubu never won Kano. Obi and atiku are finished here

ogascomax:
Are you sure that ADC is dead. Just talk truth you won't die oo 😂

Is it alive? Has it won any election?

AMINDA:
Same Southsouth that Tinubu's water carriers told us is in the bag? Where then will Tinubu's votes come from? Goodluck might just spring a surprise and contest under the NDC.

He will divide Atiku northern votes

AMINDA:
He also won just 4 states out of 17 Southern states and all 4 were from the Southwest. That shows you the level of his unpopularity and how hard his Northern allies had to work to give him the margins he got. He couldn't even deliver himself in Lagos. Can the North love Tinubu more than he's loved at home?

But he humiliated Atiku up north

Blitzerz:
Tell him to mention one state outside southwest that will guarantee votes for tinubu?
None.

Kwara, kogi, Niger, benue, sokoto, kebbi

AMINDA:
These are the people the so-called master strategist replaced Elrufai with? Shehu Sani cannot mobilise his own ward to vote for himself, let alone deliver his state to Tinubu.

El rufau was humiliated in kaduna recently

Validated:
Kano, Jigawa, Kaduna (North and South), Kebbi and Katsina are gone. All those that helped Tinubu rig in the KKK states have left him.

How is Jigawa gone? Jigawa is controlled by Badaru and governor Namadi who are in APC? The godfather of zkebbi politics Adamu Aliero is in APC. Reason well please

ogaemma:
With his naked failure, is obvious he will lose in the North.
Then use rice and 5k to buy vote in the South.

He will still get the needed percentage up north