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BabsO2's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:00pm On May 16, 2024
ositadima1:
Testing...
Who are the official 3 Nigerian $ billionaires in that statistics?
Dangote, ? and ?.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:35am On May 16, 2024
Hogwarthtrades:
Stanbic IBTC AGM ongoing livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gPCEiYF5jd0. enjoy the lamba!!!
Fidelity AGM should be holding too. Make them do quick finish. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
vacanci:
Now you see what i am talking about.

After selling at 26.9 and today price closed at 22 that's already N4.9 out.

Who dividend help?

entered at 22 and will start averaging down from there.

My holding will be more and profitable than grabbing the dividend and re-entering with it
Observed psychology of the market around dividend is working. Well done for the observation. I have noted a price drive up pre-dividend by the dividend herds and a price slump post dividend driven by the post dividend bears too on many liquid dividend paying stocks. But never took time to quantify it or act on it.

Also there is the general post dividend season bears that usually pull prices down from May to August. That has been observed by many on this forum too. With the current macro despair (high interest rates, inflation, reduced purchasing power etc), these bears may pull down prices this year unlike last year when there was optimism. However, some sellers may realize taking profit too cheaply may be a double jeopardy with the high inflation and therefore not sell with deep discounts. Make we day watch. Some TA people may be able to see more with their tools grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:53pm On May 14, 2024
Camoready:
What is really delaying FBNH?
Perhaps the insurance subsidiary of the hold co.
Have insurance companies started releasing their results?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:13am On May 14, 2024
KarlTom:
Actually it happens everywhere: only in varying degrees of entitlement and force.
We have the omo onile who harrass builders on construction site.
The claim of the militants can be termed host community entitlement. However, 25% is unthinkable...
Many places across many states are unproductive because of host community entitlement spirit. It chases away people migrating there for ventures when these entitlement spirits don't waste time to shed blood. When you see a state with net migration out of it this entitlement spirit must be wicked in such places.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:58am On May 14, 2024
KarlTom:
Actually, they are raising the bar to get a good deal during negotiations.
Now there will be an unwarranted rise in the operating costs of OKOMU.
This is a similar scenario to the crude oil discuss: SECURITY.
Recall that OKOMU has at least FOUR expatriates on their board.

This whole situation brings to mind the Niger Delta Agitation... It. Is. Well sad
Looks like Land Ownership/compensation disputes. Or just the wickedness of unproductive folk that want to reap where they didn't sow. Has Okomu used all the land in the area. Are there no other unproductive lands in the area lying fallow.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:38pm On May 13, 2024
mikeapollo:
Haba!
Oando's 40% of the 40,000bpd would be 16,000bpd only!
The +N300b PAT was not calculated based on this production. It's just coming soon grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:23pm On May 13, 2024
KarlTom:
Another good news of OandO faithfuls

Oil production officially commence at OML 13 with the first ever 6,000 barrels on 6th May, 2024. This figure should rise to 40,000 bpd by 27th May, 2024... grin

OandO has a 40% working interest in OML 13
I see over N300b PAT being announced soon. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:21pm On May 13, 2024
Transcorp Poise to Sustain Profitability

The President and Group Chief Executive Officer of Transcorp Group, Dr Owen Omogiafo, who highlighted the six strategic pillars at the group’s Q1 2024 analysts conference call, stated that the management is poised at improving & sustaining its power generating capacity, continue innovation and optimization to improve customer experience in its hospitality businesses and robust maintenance plan to ensure that its businesses operate optimally and efficiently through the year.

“Transcorp is poised to take advantage of reforms in the electricity sector and continued to deliver value for all stakeholders.

https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2024/05/13/transcorp-poise-to-sustain-profitability-with-six-strategic-pillars?utm_medium=Email&utm_source=Zenter-System&utm_campaign=%23105051+%3D%3E+MORNING+NEWS+HEADLINES&utm_content=71043eb8ce939a781ee004f5918df06ad94def69
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:30pm On May 12, 2024
Adinije:
The thing is, if you have enough more to buy as much shares as you want, then no need to be jumping in and out.

But for some of us with limited resources, that little build up matters a lot. And we also understand the risk associated with such decisions. If UBA price doesn't go down tomorrow, life goes on. No regrets!
It takes time, effort and stress to monitor prices and trends/information and to target a jump in and jump out. Time & effort is equivalent to money. Not everyone has the time and skill to spend for this jump-in jump-out that may work when done well and may not sometimes as Mr Market has the final say. For those that have the time and skill to invest great - do it!. Otherwise spend time on other stuff.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:34pm On May 10, 2024
cocolacec:
I plan to buy more stocks soon,my question is which are good stocks paying dividends yearly for now?
UBA looks good in meeting that criterion at current price
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:30pm On May 10, 2024
KarlTom:
All these UBA Directors buying their shares are creating a pseudo price rise... smiley
It's a good sign when many of them are buying. It's not too relevant if the market prices UBA right immediately what matters is the directors being consistent in growing the wealth of shareholders with increasing EPS and Dividends as the years roll by. UBA looks poised for growth with Tony as Chairman grin.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:03am On May 08, 2024
Mpeace:
But Access and UBA got more attention despite the economy and despite the factvthat they had far less profit.
Despite any more attention, GTCO sells at a premium to Access & UBA.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:46pm On May 07, 2024
Mpeace:
Witth all the profit of gtb, ppl no dey rush the stock like that. Why naa?
Looks like money no too dey. Or people are risk averse and would settle for bonds instead of stocks. Or people are worried of the economy. Or investors want to be sure numbers are steadily improving and not one-off good results trap.

I think the CBN needs to thread slowly with this recapitalization while the government creates more conducive environment for businesses that exploit comparative advantages like oil palm, rice growing, gas production and distribution, power generation and distribution etc.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:56am On May 06, 2024
megawealth01:
OANDO on full bid grin

And what if it no longer delists? grin

I just wish they don't delist... Wale will join his colleagues in this manipul... business... Tony, Otedola etc same WhatsApp group grin

Peter and prophet should come and give us motivation to use hold body small till everything becomes clear grin
Enough of this Gbelo Gbebo.
It's time for a final take off abegi.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:10pm On May 03, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
What is this other income that shot thr earnings to this kind level in just one quarter.
Zenith had a shot there too. But not as much as GTCO. UBA looks more organic and strong as it did't record outlier other income. Would be be good to know what this other income from GTCO and Zenith are. Perhaps open forex position CBN directed to correct the first couple of months. Good to know what exactly.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:02pm On May 03, 2024
Princkez:
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/41176_UNITED_BANK_FOR_AFRICA_PLC-_QUARTER_1_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2024_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_MAY_2024.pdf
Fantastic print. No one should be selling at current prices. UBA should be selling above N60 The only thing not yet clear is how much dilution (or set back) will come from recapitalization.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:04am On May 02, 2024
OBAGADAFFI:
I suspect he and his cronies might be buying.
Most likely they are doing this to stabilize price and give market participants hope. And not erode hope in the prospects of DangSugar.
I have old DangSugar from the PO. Just waiting and watching. A HOLD for me. No trading. Would rather hope to see the kind of Growth PRESCO has delivered someday for Sugar grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:30am On Apr 26, 2024
bisiki2:
This is a very good observation. Seplat show a full disclosure of what make up it cost of sales, i am still looking for what make up the cost of sales of N1.9 trillion for Oando.
Please if you find it out please share. Or any other information that shed light on what their assumptions for Revenues and cost of sales are and how this differs markedly with Seplat.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:19pm On Apr 25, 2024
Choiceguy:
The only thing Oando needs now to appreciate in price is the issues of delist,once it is settled (suspended) which will be cleared by 24th of June 2024.there is no further adjournment the price will skyrocket.
Delisting aside. Also finance costs aside Oando needs to show operations with stronger margins. The 2022FY conveyed an extremely high revenue as revenue jumped from N805b to N1,993 billion. A rise of 148%. But cost of sales jumped up at a faster rate of 151% and nearly wiped out the whole revenue. Oando achieved a 4% Gross profit in 2022. While Seplat had a gross profit of 49% in 2022. Gross profit is before any finance cost is deducted. The Gross Profit is unusually low in the last two annual reports released.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:08pm On Apr 23, 2024
BullBearMkt:
OANDO TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Much has been said about OANDO recently, but what does the chart says?
Sentiments apart:
- Stock price stalled since Sept 2023
- Sellers are situated above 12
- A close below 9.50 is not favourable for the stock, it will most likely go lower
- Early price rejection above 9.10 may see price testing 12 and above again
- Minor supports at 9.10, 8.76
- Continuation of releasing unfavourable results may drag price down to test 5.50 - 7.20

PLAN YOU TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin
This chart need to be inflation adjusted in view of the long time span and Naira devaluation shocked
Otherwise try use the JSE technical plot
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
mikeapollo:
Your observations are legit.!
I also noticed the jump in Oando total revenue in FY2022, even though those revenues were mostly denominated in naira. One can therefore imagine the potential impact of future revenues that are mostly denominated in USD (as Wale said during the AGM) which would help to hedge against FX losses on foreign currency denominated loans and payables.
I just hope they use the USD800m facility from the Africa EXIM Bank to pay off all loans from the commercial banks.

Our permutations ultimately hinge on Wale's intentions as well as the integrity of the Court and SEC
That will be great if the funding is not limited to acquisition of participating interest of the NAOC assets and may help change the going concern narrative in 2023 FY
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:31am On Apr 23, 2024
Bukkydudu:
Good morning everyone


Please can someone help me with what gtco declared as dividend please

Saw it on Naira metrics N.60k

Thanks
N2.70 declared to be paid 9th of May
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:13am On Apr 23, 2024
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:12am On Apr 23, 2024
Zagee:
First off, lovely literature.
Secondly, its not different from the travails of the Nigerian economy as pertaining to the O&G sector of which bulaba seems to be solving with the use of TanTita and what not. I'm sure they can ride on the back of the president to scale the envisaged bond.

Talk of shares issuance not yet concrete, some positives. Revenues are peaking, wars are ongoing, summer is coming and oh beautiful winter is again on the horizon. All these are giving me a pointer to an increase in oilprice ($100 but not likley) benchmark, which the US will prefer instead of upticking the interest rate.

I'd like to see 23FY as to what degree the oil prices have helped them.

Cc KarlTom
It will be good to see what forex gains or losses are declared in 2023 where material exchange rates jumped. We are already in Q2 and should be looking out to see their bond issue. Only wahala is NGN interest rates currently at peak thereby making bond funding very expensive. They may be forced to proceed with equity funding through private placement.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:27am On Apr 23, 2024
SonofElElyonRet:
I no dey sell... we must see the end of this matter
It's on full offer at the moment with maximum price drop. No buyers.

The end of the matter should be clearer before the end of this year.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:21am On Apr 23, 2024
Zagee:
Please give me a page. I might have missed out.
Page 91 & 92 of the just released 2022FY Going Concern statement.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:42am On Apr 23, 2024
Locotrader:
What I saw is Q1 @ NSE website
That is a typo
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:31am On Apr 23, 2024
Locotrader:
Waiting for 2023 Fye result is a scam.
They will use Q1,2,3 and 4 of 2022 to get what they want.

Better begin to jump out now before it's too late for you.
That's FY 2022 not Q1
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:27am On Apr 23, 2024
Zagee:
Numbers numbers. Waiting on 2023FY.
Nah to wait on 2023 as this 2022 bad as forewarned.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:48pm On Apr 20, 2024
megawealth01:
Time will tell until then... OANDO is a heavy gamble
A sizeable chunk of daily trades over the last two years !

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