₦airaland Forum

raumdeuter:
WHat was the gap in Lagos, Oyo, Ogun in 2011, What now swung the votes?

My point is they are now the base of APC, I didn't give Edo and Rivers to APC.

raumdeuter:
How can you base 2015 projection on 2011 results? Everyone can see that a lot has changed in the last 4yrs in Nigeria

4yrs ago Jonathan won 5 SW states, He would be lucky to win 2 now

Exactly, I gave Oyo, Ogun and Lagos states to APC.
I didn't based my submission on the last elections, it was just a guide.

babadee1:
Adamawa is now a hot spot for Boko Haram attacks, I doubt if Jonathan can even show up there to campaign cos there's a lot of bitterness against him now. Ondo PDP just recently split and half the party has joined the APC. The governor who decamped from Labour party to PDP has lost a lot of grassroots support as a result of that move.
Everything depends on local politics not just theories or projections.

I pointed out that we are not even sure if elections will hold in Adamawa but for Ondo state, the gap is about 300,000 votes from the last elections. Do you think the local politics can swing 300,000 votes?

softwareman:
Projecting 2015 based on 2011 is the the worst premise imaginable. A lot of underlying factor has changed. Most of all APC is very, very diffrent from CPC, Jonathan have lost two much ground and many other factors too innumerable to mention.

I don't think so. Check the last voting pattern and see my points.
I couldn't have given the states to any party without any reason.

raumdeuter:
Ondo is a swing state and Ekiti should be in the PDP corner

Adamawa is either with APC or at best a swing state.

I wonder why anyone would call Kwara a swing state, A state thats firmly in the grip of APC when the governor and all the power brokers there (Saraki) are in APC.

Nasarawa when did the governor decamp? Almakura was the only CPC (Buhari's party) governor elected if I remember correctly

I expect all SS and SE to go for Jonathan making 11 states plus Benue, Plateau, Taraba Kogi and Ekiti making 16

I expect All NW(7states) Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Yobe, Niger, Kwara, Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun to go GMB making 17

Swing states are Nasarawa, FCT, Adamawa and Ondo making 4 states

The basis of my analysis is the last presidential election. Check out Ekiti state's result.
About Nassarawa, you are right, I meant he moved with CPC into APC.
Kwara's margine is also wide, check the results too.

babadee1:
You're wrong about Adamawa, APC will win very comfortably there same thing in Ondo. You need to factor in recent changes in the local politics.

If you check the last results, the gap is quite wide. I think much has not changed since then in local politics. I may be wrong.

This is just an academic exercise.

Going by the results of the last elections and current happenings in the country, I will attempt to analyze the upcoming presidential elections. This is not mere speculation as about 80% of my conclusion will based on empirical data which is the last presidential election.

I expect PDP to win comfortably (greater than 50%) in 17 states of Abia, Adamawa, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Benue, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Edo (Yes EDO), Enugu, Imo, Kogi, Ondo, Plateau, Rivers and Taraba. I gave Edo and Rivers to PDP despite having governors of the opposition because PDP had 85 and 98% of total votes cast there in the last election. I very much doubt that the clout of the governors can upturn this even as I believe that the APC might garner a better figure than the 2011 polls.

I expect APC to win comfortably (greater than 50%) in 16 states of Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kano, Kastina, Kebbi, Lagos, Niger, Ogun, Osun, Oyo, Sokoto, Yobe and Zamfara. I am going to give Lagos, Ogun and Oyo states to APC because they happen to be the base of the old ACN party that has metamorphosed into the APC. There is however doubts in some quarters whether there will be elections in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa states where insurgency is raging like wild fire.

The swing states is where the battle will be decided, these are
Ekiti – Very close results in the last election coupled with the new governor’s activities.
FCT – Close results and divided opinions
Kwara – Close results and decamping of the current governor to APC.
Nassarawa – Close past results and decamping of the sitting governor to APC.

I did not base my conclusion on any basis for the leading political parties, as it stands both parties have almost the same chance of winning the presidential polls…
Let the swing states decide…

Corruption Perceptions Index between 2007 and 2014 for Nigeria.

CPI 2007 - Nigeria - 147th

CPI 2008 - Nigeria - 121st

CPI 2009 - Nigeria - 130th

CPI 2010 - Nigeria - 134th

CPI 2011 - Nigeria - 143rd

CPI 2012 - Nigeria - 139th

CPI 2013 - Nigeria - 144th

CPI 2014 - Nigeria - 136th

Source: http://www.transparency.org/

Corruption Perceptions Index between 2007 and 2014 for Nigeria.

CPI 2007 - Nigeria - 147th

CPI 2008 - Nigeria - 121st

CPI 2009 - Nigeria - 130th

CPI 2010 - Nigeria - 134th

CPI 2011 - Nigeria - 143rd

CPI 2012 - Nigeria - 139th

CPI 2013 - Nigeria - 144th

CPI 2014 - Nigeria - 136th

Source: http://www.transparency.org/

It is obivious that both candidates are not the best that Nigeria can produce, even Mr President was mixing up his tenses and adding s to women even with his Phd.

We should concern ourselves more with the content of their speeches than the way they have delivered it.

meresse:
jonathan is a kind hearted man, he believes that this election is not a do or die affair. dont be surprice that if buhari wins all thess insurgents will automatically stop.
unlike other past president, some top sturborn oppositon would ve be assasinated.
my only advice for mr president is to do away with all these old bad eggs around him. and bring him young and vibrant youth that can make things happe
Mr president has learnt his lessons now and he would do better
pls let us all join and vote for him pleeeeeeeeeeeaaaaaaaaase.

I can't belief you are still stuck to the sentiments of the past that brought us this mess...

OP, I sincerely hope this is not the mind of the Mr President.

I am personally not against the presidential pardon for corrupt officials since they will quickly become change agents who will tell others that corruption is bad.

But I will like to ask Mr President what he will do to the families of people who have become victims of their corrupt activites?

Many people have died because there are no drugs in the hospitals, how will you comfort the people who their parents collapsed waiting on the queue for their pension that had been diverted, how will the families of the 18 job seekers in abuja and other venues be comforted or their loved ones returned?

Mr President, technology makes corruption even easier....

iamfbanj:
my experience ....Total off grid cant work in Nigeria, it is impossible for now, because for you to stay total off grid , mehn you have to be some electronic genius, like converting DC stuff to AC, because i notice DC stuff is gud, but due to some things you cant rely on them, but my latest advice is to use LED things, tv, bulb, nd there are sow low wattage device like fan , dvd, (3w), e.t.c but that total off grid is impossible for now, because most solar panel are not that full wattage, they are labelled wattage... thats my opinion

My friend, off grid solar powered home is not rocket science. Setup is quite expensive but with the right equipment and knowledge...piece of cake.

I have ran my home in the past 26months on solar and I did celebrate a year uninterrupted power supply 4months ago.

There is also a thriving solar energy thread on Nairaland. It's under the tv and satellite section.

Informative and matured discussion between theVoice and agaba123.

I opened a thread today where I expressed my thoughts, the coming elections is not about the person of Buhari or any other presidential aspirant, it is about Nigerians.

It is about the future of our children and our well being.

san316:
This election is no longer about Muslims and Christians, it is about Nigerians and their survival as humans.

These are the exact words in my thoughts...

F22RAPTOR:
True, the election is not about GMB, Pls Google Abuja declaration 1989 or 2001... you'll find what this election is about, you will find things to note about what's really going on in your country... And u shall know the truth and IT shall set you Free!

I did goggle that and I cannot see how this impacts the election in Nigeria.
This declaration was in 1989 and we have had elected leaders from both leading religions in Nigeria since then.
I have not seen people who are poor just because they come a tribe or religion.

The real questions are Mr President, you have been there for 6years and you want 4 more, what are you going to do differently?
And Mr(s) Opposition candidate, what flaws have you seen in the current leadership and how do you want to correct them...Sikena!!!

Mr President...

On security, you said Buhari did not buy any rifle when he was in government 30years ago.

On Education, you said Buhari did not build any school 30years ago...

On the Economy, you said Buhari was not able to improve the Nigerian economy 30years ago and you read us a speech of Saint Babangida who removed him after 2years in the office.

On Corruption, you said your approach is not like Buhari who jailed those who were alleged to be corrupt.

On Governance, you said Buhari cannot even remember his mobile line number...

I am not a fan of those who call you unprintable names and the opposition party is also not doing any better.

But Mr President, the coming election is not about Buhari or any other presidential aspirant, it is about Nigerians.

I am sorry too, I found the mail was still in my draft.
I have responded, the number you placed up is not on whatsapp?

Oga, you have not uploaded the pictures and has not responded to my email...

Shinner2010:
just call me, if u are interested

It is new, UK used or Nigerian used?
Can you put some pictures here?

I am in Ibadan and intrested in buying.

RipVanWink:
that #8 u see there doesnt mean 8 batteries..i use same cc as u..the cc has 1 to 8 dip switches u select based on ur batt type, flooded, sealed etc....on mine i selected dip switch 3, so 3 is showing on my CC

Thanks, I got it.

I also found out that the number is a combination of dip switches 4, 5 and 6.
For your setup it is 3 because you set the switches 4, 5 and 6 to OFF, ON, OFF respectively for sealed and mine is 8 because I had my switches set to ON, ON, ON which is custom charge settings.

Thanks once again.

Barezzi:
Dunno if this will help...Dip switch settings?? See attachment.

Thanks but I think the dip switches are not related to the number of batteries.
It was like I used a software that is not MSView to do the settings but unfortunately I can't seem to figure.

Dear friends, does anyone here know how I can change the number of batteries in this Tristar MPPT CC?
I entered the number 8 myself a couple of months back but I can't seem to figure how I did it back then.

NB. The float voltage setting is for a 36V battery system.

In as much as I am in noway holding brief for Buhari and APC, I am growing tired of seeing threads like this with the same baseless content evrytime.

Can you guys tell us more reasons why we should vote for your candidate and stop reclining this old and unsubstantiated rumors.

The topic of this thread crossed my mind some few days back although I think the occupant of the office president should not be called a bigot.

I keep saying this and I am afraid this is how trouble starts. Our political leaders both in the ruling party and the opposition are sowing seeds of discord by subtly crying minority and dividing Nigerians along ethnic and religious lines.

The other day, some bishops in the south east said they will not vote for a governorship candidate if his deputy is not from their denomination. The governorship aspirant is already a Christian.

Whether we like it or not, power will one day rotate to the hands of the people that we freely call unprintable names...that is when we will get paid back in the coins we once served them.

...so much for issues based campaign and a classic example of what President Jonathan said the social media has been turned into...
Any way there are birds of the same feather.

exxell:
[b]After viewing the comments above, I can't but shudder for this country. Atimes, I wonder why our YORUBA BROTHERS and stupidity are like Banana and groundnut. Why do you guys like promoting Buhari and Tinubu as saviours of this country? People who are more interested in wresting powers from PDP rather than discuss how to form a unity government where the welfare of the masses who elected them should come first. In a sane country, Buhari should be an elder statesman now, giving advices to young politicians on how to run this country best.

Before Yall Hausa Malus and Yoruba bigots start shuting "Igbo Man this, or Igbo man that", try first of all to see reason in Peter Obi's ideas. Personally, I am an Igbo man from Anambra but that will not deter me from saying the truth devoid of sentiments. Yall keep on Comparing Mandela's age to Buhari's Age. Are you people stuppid? Are you aware that Mandela resorted to stay in prison rather than preach violence in the liberation cause of his people? But this was the same Buhari I watched in a clear video yesterday shouting "Halaka" in his election campaign. Immediately after the election, what happened? Even if you lost an election and it was prolly rigged, why not take your case to the courts? Why not resort to world court for justice? Why incite people to maim others because of ordinary presidency of a country and not even the world or the universe?

Yorubba People! Yorubba People!! Yorubba People!!! How many timess did I call you? This was the same way Ojukwu liberated Awolowo from prison and told him to declare Oduduwa republic. But the Young Man chickened out because of their ever eternal slave mentality!

Same way Babangida truncated Abiola's ambition while installing anarchy in this country in the person of Abacha.

NDI YORUBA, EMERE UNU OGWU? GINI MERE UNU JI DI NZUZU NKE UKWU? NDI HAUSA ERIRI UNU ERI?

Personally, I know Jonathan did not perform well as expected. But truth be told, THIS YOUNG MAN TRIED! Till I see a viable alternative to Jonathan, He will always have my vote or I void it entirely. A vote for Buhari is a vote of insensitivity to the plight of this nation. How can I vote a senile man like that when we have the likes of Fashola, Akpabio, Sullivan Chime, Peter Obi and other vibrant politicians in this country?

BUHARI IS NOT COMING TO RULE NIGERIA! THIS MAN IS COMING TO CAUSE PROBLEMS AND TROUBLES. YOU YORUBA folks should not be suprised when this Northern Cabals kill Osinbajo and elect an Hausa VP. Ndi Yoruba, you people should not work hard ok? Continue depending on government money to survive. While your so called enemies from the other side of the Niger continue to thrive in Business and industry.

Continue waiting for a government that will shut Igbo businesses like your brother Obasanjo did so that few Hausa like Dangote will gain immensely. Continue ok?

BUT COME 2015, JONATHAN IS GOING BACK TO ASO ROCK. BUHARI WILL LOOSES AGAIN! [/b]

All these would have made a lot of sense if it was not filled with half truths and unsubstantiated accusations and heavily laced with tribal bigotry.

You are free to vote who ever you think can move the country forward but you should try not abuse the sensibilities of those who would also like to vote for your candidate.

The OP is very correct jooor... I have been trying to figure it too. But I am more worried that President Jonathan will also use 21Billion to campaign for votes with all the transformation and fresh air that we have had in the past 6yrs.

You should also kindly mention who the forces of light and darkness are.

I am also wondering why religion should be top on the list of who gets voted into power.

You shouldn't be part of the people who are easily deceived by the top coat (religion) that our politicians are wearing.

Do you think any of them is specially kind or wicked because of the religion they practice by the words of faith that can only be found on their lips?

How much longer do you think these politicians can continue to divide us along the lines of religion and ethnicity? I have an answer...for as long as we get carried away by their words...

TrishaP:
Pls ask the oracle where I'll be 5yrs from now?

In your husband's house....

Even if this act is not immoral and against the laws of the land, why is a party planning to use 21billion to stay in power in the midst of dwindlling national revenue and insecurity?

If the party as done so well like we have been made to belief, will they still be required to spend this much to convince Nigerians?

The democracy Nigeria is practicing itself encourages corruption. While I do not see how the opposition will make any much difference, it will amount to foolishness to continue with the status quo that has brought retrogresssion in the last 16yrs.