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Clefstone's Posts

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Christianity EtcRe: Pray For Your Enemies Or Destroy Your Enemies? by clefstone(m): 6:46am On Sep 25, 2016
Don't tell this to an mfm member
CultureRe: The Dearth Of Urhobo And Other Niger Deltan Languages by clefstone(m):
fratermathy:
Thank you for the commendation. May God bless you too.
op, good write up. Personally I believe the problem is beyond the Urhobo language. To me, the Urhobos are not an organized group and lack a rich history that they can identify with. I say so because I grew up in a an Urhobo town and when I left to school in Benin I could notice the difference. While one has a rich cultural identity which is evident from their art, folklores and behaviour the other was flat and only identifiable by it's language. It is therefore easy for an Urhobo man to drop his language and not feel lost. The Urhobos will most definitely be consumed by superior culture, it is already happening
PoliticsRe: KOWA, ACD Candidates Step Down For Ize-Iyamu by clefstone(m): 1:13pm On Sep 20, 2016
maestro299:
The wife na Uniben lecturer? Which dept?
dentistry
PoliticsRe: KOWA, ACD Candidates Step Down For Ize-Iyamu by clefstone(m): 12:21pm On Sep 20, 2016
This man go win this thing o. So my lecturer for uniben that year, the pretty and swagged up Dr mrs Ize-Iyamu go turn first lady
PoliticsRe: 25-Year-Old Hindatu Umar In Kebbi Appointed As Arugungu LGA Caretaker (Photo) by clefstone(m): 12:18pm On Sep 20, 2016
She's straffing the govnor and is either rubbing juju in her womanliness(Seun's word) or she's blessed with d sweetest kpekus ever
PoliticsRe: Army Denies Attack On Chibok church by clefstone(m): 12:14pm On Sep 20, 2016
Lie lie army
PoliticsRe: Buhari Presented With Evidence His Chief Of Staff Took N500m To Help MTN Reduce by clefstone(m): 12:04pm On Sep 20, 2016
Sahara again
BusinessRe: Banks To Close Branches As Recession Bites Hard by clefstone(m): 11:57am On Sep 20, 2016
But the mmm people pay their money thru banks na
CrimeRe: Gang Members Of Wanted Benue Gangster Shot Dead By Security Task Force. Photos by clefstone(m): 11:37am On Sep 18, 2016
Ok
PoliticsRe: Benin Palace Chiefs Endorse Ize-iyamu by clefstone(m):
Oshobaba go piss for body when he hears this one
PoliticsRe: Who Knows The Real Meaning Of Recession by clefstone(m): 11:14am On Sep 17, 2016
GoldenJAT:
that was certainly a typographical error!ur shallow mind sure knows that,but wont admit!
you must be an APC member. Always have an excuse or lie to come up with when they goof
PoliticsRe: Who Knows The Real Meaning Of Recession by clefstone(m): 8:55am On Sep 17, 2016
GoldenJAT:
keep quite and learn!
learn from you who spells quiet as quite?
PoliticsRe: Who Knows The Real Meaning Of Recession by clefstone(m): 8:35am On Sep 17, 2016
Recession: is a word (Kemi Adeosun's definition)
PoliticsRe: The Single Wrong Policy That Guided Nigeria Into Recession by clefstone(m): 8:17am On Sep 17, 2016
4Play:
This view is popular but quite naive. Most of the drop in oil price occured in the second and first halves of 2014 and 2015 respectively. Most Nigerians will tell you that whilst things were hard then, they have gotten significantly worse today. GDP growth was 3.86% in the first quarter of 2015 (when oil prices had falled 50%) but -0.36% in the first quarter of 2016.

This suggests that the factors explaining the recent plunge in growth are not simply oil related. Nigeria is not the only commodity dependent state in the world (almost all African countries are). But with the exception of countries like Venezuela, which in any case was in recession as far back as 2013, Nigeria stands apart in the speed with which its currency and economy has collapsed.

Another thing I have noticed is the way people conflate the fall in oil prices with the government's spending power. The government depends on oil for 60-70% of its income - a 50% fall in oil prices will equate to 30-35% drop in oil dollar income. But here is what people forget - the Nigerian government's spending is largely on recurrent expenditure and is largely naira denominated and should not be dramatically affected by a loss of dollar income. I will use a much simplified example for illustration:

Supposing the government has oil revenues of $30bn from oil prices of $100 p/b - at N160 to $1, this will equate to N4.8 trillion. If oil prices fall to $40 p/b but the naira depreciates to N400 to $1 - assuming oil revenues of $12bn (i.e., 40% of $30bn), the domestic spending power will be N4.8 trillion. Of course, inflation erodes the actual purchasing power of money but most government spending going back to the GEJ era has been on recurrent expenditure - things like wages and debt servicing - which are largely unaffected by inflation. This government didn't help matters also by fixing the exchange rate but this is self-inflicted misery.

Remember also that the government's budget this year is the largest in Naira terms, fuelled by borrowing. We are also led to believe that the previous government was stealing with reckless abandon which is no longer the case today. All these should have cushioned the effect of the fall in dollar income.

The reality is that those who just mouth off about the government's income falling by 60% are being disingenous.
The bolded has been my point for a long time, bros ur overall comment is so on point
PoliticsRe: Igbo Vs Delta-Igbo: What A Guy Posted On Facebook by clefstone(m): 7:42pm On Sep 15, 2016
Igboid:
You were well and roundly educated on that thread by SEners and even an Aboh man that was invited to that thread.

So, after these years, you are yet to repent?
after these years I'm still who I am; an Aboh man
PoliticsRe: Igbo Vs Delta-Igbo: What A Guy Posted On Facebook by clefstone(m): 7:24pm On Sep 15, 2016
clefstone:
www.nairaland.com/1362294/abohs-delta-state-not-igbos
the above is my opinion as a 'delta igbo' man
PoliticsRe: Igbo Vs Delta-Igbo: What A Guy Posted On Facebook by clefstone(m): 7:23pm On Sep 15, 2016
PoliticsRe: Dino Melaye Poses With His Lamborghini Gallardo And Ferrari California by clefstone(m): 1:10pm On Sep 15, 2016
This can cause lynching in this period of ''the just a word'' recession
PoliticsRe: $15m: Where Were Sagay And SERAP When... by clefstone(m): 11:49am On Sep 15, 2016
Pierocash:
no one is holding any charge against her for nt declaring evn tho she ought av done that cos d Yaraduas did.bt she is only been asked to go explain hw she got such huge fund without any knwn business.d op complained of buratai whc ws y i said Buratai declared his' so what is point.
PDP alwys crying wolf evn whn they r guilty
Was Buratai asked how he got the money to buy his dubai mansions
PoliticsRe: $15m: Where Were Sagay And SERAP When... by clefstone(m): 11:12am On Sep 15, 2016
Pierocash:
this OP needs brain transplant in order to reason fine.let madam Peshe go defend herself and prove her innocence.
Buratai's asset were properly declared
PEJ isn't a public servant and doesn't need to declare her asset. OP made a very valid and intelligent submission
PoliticsRe: Joe Abah Complains About His Innoson SUV Is Giving Him Wahala by clefstone(m): 10:52am On Sep 15, 2016
A public servant that should be encouraging Nigerians to patronize Inoson is here giving them public bashing. This guy deserve d sack
PoliticsRe: Kabiro Sokoto Still In Prison - NPS by clefstone(m): 2:56pm On Sep 13, 2016
Picture or wedonbelivit
PoliticsRe: Throwback Photos Of Dr. Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala by clefstone(m): 1:47pm On Sep 13, 2016
I love this woman. She reps africa in her dressing and accent
RomanceRe: Kenyan Man Proposes To His Girlfriend With His Biker Friends' Help by clefstone(m): 1:03pm On Sep 13, 2016
Na rubber rubber full there
PoliticsRe: Sultan Describes Fulani Herdsmen Moving With Guns As ‘foreign Terrorists’ by clefstone(m): 8:22am On Sep 13, 2016
The coming of the foreign terrorists coinciding with the election of an ethnoreligious bigot into office begs a lot of questions
TravelRe: Foreign Flights To Nigeria Forced To Refuel Elsewhere - YahooNews by clefstone(m): 8:14am On Sep 13, 2016
Does Buhari have any idea on how to govern this country?
Car TalkRe: National Drivers License Now Valid For Five Years by clefstone(m): 6:49am On Sep 11, 2016
Good development
Christianity EtcRe: Saudi Arabia's Execution by clefstone(m): 8:37am On Sep 10, 2016
annunaki2:
Are you this ignorant or you just enjoy fooling yourselfhuh
that's rude
PoliticsRe: FG Okays Loans From World Bank, China, Japan by clefstone(m): 7:37am On Sep 09, 2016
apc doing things d pdp way these days
PoliticsRe: Apapa Customs Generates A Record N35bn In August by clefstone(m): 7:34am On Sep 09, 2016
What is the value of that N35bn today?
PoliticsRe: Oshiomhole Accuses Okowa, Wike Of Deploying Militants To Edo by clefstone(m): 7:04am On Sep 09, 2016
Oshiomhole is scared shit
PoliticsRe: Former Kogi Governor’s Son, Mohammed, Arraigned For Robbery by clefstone(m): 6:55am On Sep 09, 2016
Na this one gang rape that girl wey rant during d last kogi election?

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