₦airaland Forum

Devil1Messenger:
Tinubu has no hand in Lagos development you fool
Can u mention a single bridge in Lagos that Tinubu constructed?
Mumu read through again
When dangote and others where bringing their businesses to Lagos, Tinubu was in chicago pushing drugs

omonnakoda:
You sound stupid and I don't argue with stupid people

Devil1Messenger:
Chinua Achebe was from Anambra but moved to Lagos where he worked at NBS in Ikoyi in 1957. Nnamdi Azikiwe was from Anambra but schooled in Lagos and started politics there with Herbert Macaulay in 1944, Sir L. Ojukwu, the father of Emeka Odimegwu Ojukwu lived in lagos. The list is actually endless. Cosmas Maduka of Coscharis, Olisa Agbakoba (SAN), Ifeanyi Ubah, so many others operating in Lagos before Tinubu ever dreamt of becoming a governor.
But Tinubu and his supporters believes Anambra indigenes and igbos in general are in Lagos because Peter Obi or igbo leaders failed, and because he tinubu built Lagos and made it conducive for them

Even the none Igbos like Dangote have been Lagos since the 1970s. Does the fact that Dangote lives in Lagos mean that all governors in Kano have failed, or it was Tinubu imaginery development that brought Dangote to Lagos in the 1970s?
Tinubu family have to run away from Osun state to the same Lagos
Mike adenuga left ibadan to lagos, the adeleke family left Osun to lagos and the list goes on.

My conclusion: Tinubu supporters are the most daft fellows i have ever seen.
Lagos as a capital of Nigeria brought the entire Nigerians together regardless of your region or state of origin and the Tinubu family benefited from that also.

JoeNL22:
The analysis below is a detailed presentation on how the elections might look like come February 25, 2023.

This analysis is Objective and shows no fear or favour to any of the candidates. It's just pure Analysis.

The analysis is divided into 3 parts or sections,
MINOR, MAJOR & MAJOR-GENERAL.
The reason so is to ensure all areas are covered within and across Nigeria.
MINOR
OBI
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 40%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 20%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 20%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 70%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 20%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 40%
35% of 27.7 = 9.7m

TINUBU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 50%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 40%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 40%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 10%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 40%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 50%
37% of 27.7 = 10.3m - WINNER

ATIKU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 10%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 30%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 30%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 20%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 30%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 10%
22% of 27.7 = 6.1m

MAJOR
Northwest(22million)
Tinubu- 40%-9m
Atiku - 30%-7m
Obi - 20%-4m
Kwankwanso - 10%-2m

Northeast(12 million)
Tinubu- 30%-4m
Atiku - 40%-5m
Obi - 20%-2m
Kwankwanso - 10%-1m

North central(15 million)
Tinubu- 33%-5m
Atiku - 33%-5m
Obi - 33%-5m
Kwankwanso - 1

Southwest(18 million)
Tinubu- 50%-9m
Atiku - 10%-2m
Obi - 40%-7m

Southeast(11 million)
Atiku - 10%-1m
Obi - 80%-9m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

SouthSouth(14 million)
Atiku - 20%-3m
Obi - 70%-10m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

Average Total%(NE+NW+NC+SE+SS+SW)÷6. No of voters are added.
Tinubu - 29%-29m
Atiku - 24%-23m
[/b]Obi - 44%-37m - WINNER

MAJOR-GENERAL
The south(SW, SE & SS)(43million)
OBI-(40+50+50)÷3=47%-20m
TINUBU-(50+25+25)÷3=33%-14m
ATIKU-(10+25+25)÷3=20%-9m

The north(NW, NE & NC)(49million)
OBI-(20+20+33)÷2=24%-12m
TINUBU-(40+30+33)÷2=34%-17m
ATIKU-(30+40+33)÷2=34%-17m
KWANKWANSO-10+10+1=7%-3m

Average Total%(South + North)÷2. No of voters are being added.
OBI-36%-32m - WINNER
TINUBU-34%-31m
ATIKU-27%-26m

FINAL OVERALL PROJECTIONS. (MINOR+MAJOR+MAJOR-GENERAL)÷3
For both % & no of voters

Tinubu- 33%-23.4m
Obi-38% - 26.2m - OVERALL WINNER
Atiku-24%-18.4m

Takeaways from the analysis;
1. Tinubu needs to work on getting more votes from the SS & SE.
2. Atiku needs to work on the entire south. The zoning is not a favouring him at all.
3. Obi needs to work the Core north, and some parts in the NC.
4. Nigerians must collect their PVCS'
5. Nigerians must all come out to vote.
6. The 2023 elections might be different from every other elections.
7. This 2023 elections reminds us of 1979 & 1983. Will history repeat itself?. I leave that for you to answer .

Seun
Nlfpmod
Mynd44

siofra:
Reggie

Kai Reggie oo!!

Ever since I saw him on Kortyeo's channel, I've been in love.

Natse Jemide ooooooooh!

I once met a guy that looked like him....well that's a story for another day, in the meantime, feed your eyes.

Abfinest007:
Mikano boiz and agbadorians are same

Think9ja:
Pandora is going nowhere and he knows.

After February 25, Nzogbu Nzogbu politics will end and then the struggle for Biafra will start.

Good thing is, they are not getting both.

Pandora, I know is very shameless. He might come back to PDP immediately because he lacks ideology.

The question is what will now become of LP and all their frenzy?


Pandora will not win a single state.

Ttalk:
Obi will have zero vote in at least 20% polling booth across Nigeria

Atiku will perform better than Obi in SW

Obi will not win single LG in Lagos state

Obi will not win any state in NC

Obi will not get 25% in any of the states from NW and NE

Obi will struggle to win states in SE

Obi will come distant 3rd in the election

LP will be reduced to regional party that will exist only on SE.

Obidients will embrace Biafra agitation.

Jennyclay:
Evil party. God will shame APC in this forthcoming election.

Peter Obi is the next president of Nigeria.

Superwave16320:
Nigerians should please vote wisely. A man every one from his state complained he was a colossal failure as a governor for solid 8 years can not transform Nigeria when he could not transform a part of Nigeria.

Vote wisely vote visible n proven experience. Do not vote criminals that loot over N250 million cash monthly using his governor's convoy as decoy.

Fedrick100:
God bless Russia

With the reviews am getting here, I’ll forget American Australia and Germany.

It’s now Russia, Scotland or nothing

4teenblaq:
Seun

Mynd44

nlfpmod

25% plus is sure for Obi here!

post=119796789:
Tinubu didn't bother to pay homage to Oba of Benin or any traditional ruler in Edo few days ago he campaigned in Edo state, that's very bad, but if it was far North he will be licking their a.s.s

SerikiFulani:
In all honesty,I want Peter obi to be Nigeria's next president.

But from the look of things,Only the Almighty God can stop Bola Ahmed Tinubu from becoming Nigeria's next president.

Tinubu has the power of Incumbency

He has the current Number 2 and Number 4 most powerful man in Nigeria as his boys ( V.P & Speaker )

He has the support of so many northern governors....From Zulum to Ganduje to Masari to Lalong

He has money at his disposal....If Tinubu needs 20 billion naira today,Sanwo olu alone can drop it.

He has the men that run the streets as his boys etc Kabaka in Edo state and MC oluomo in Lagos state....These two men I mentioned got thousands of loyal supporters at their beck and disposal

His daughter is the Iyaloja General of Lagos state.....That woman only need to issue a decree to all market women in Lagos to vote her Father or get punished heavily.

If you know Lagos markets so well, you'll know they don't play with the Iyaloja cos she's very strict.

Tinubu has supporters from the Corporate world.....I'm talking Big players like Adenuga,Dangote,Wale Tinubu etc

More than 70 percent of Entertainers support Tinubu

More than 90 percent of Yoruba actors/actresses support Tinubu

I can go on but let's stop

Only God can stop Bola Ahmed Tinubu

SilverOrLead:
Indian High Commissioner to Nigeria, Gangadharan Balasubramanian, paid a courtesy visit to Tinubu on Nov 30th and just about a month later Igbos are being deported from India.

The Ohaneze Ndigbo youth branch has accused Bola Tinubu of ochesteating mass deportation of Igbos from India following the courtesy visit of the Indian High
Commissioner to Nigeria.

The youth group said that from reliable intelligence at their disposable , Bola Tinubu paid the Indian High Commissioner to have igbos deported from India.

Faber:
wake up! wake up!! It's Obi o'clock. INEC should give APC +1.6million votes and PDP +1.8million votes on their result potal before elections...we still gonna beat them silly, thats how confident we are.

lordm:
Ashawo politicians. No ideology, we really need to work on this.

Newton2024:
These radical muslims are recruited by MURIC terrorists to defend Tinubu's muslim-terrorist on Nairaiand and other social media platforms.
Christians in NIGERIA be wise. Don't allow Satan to use you against Christianity.

Some of their monikers: Abdul05 Moh247 (MuhamMad) drlateef herkeem Ayamed Seunmsg sarrki AntiChrist etrouble yarimo I8Xtians DevilAdvocate LeoDeKing FreeStuffsNG PandoraObi Osibajo2023 UnfairLife7 etc. Solve of them are proud muslim Terrorists while others are wolves in sheep's clothing. Beware!

Ofunaofu:
•I’ll replace sharing formula in Nigeria with the production formula




https://www.vanguardngr.com/2023/01/hold-me-responsible-if-i-dont-change-nigeria-peter-obi-2/

Naira20:
Watch him here

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IIZKG6fIdeI

The guy is strategic and finishing work in the north.

Workch:
While I agree that he can hold grassroots mobilization programs and town hall meetings to at least get some votes, northwest and northeast is a total waste of time to invest in for labour party. The reasons are very Obvious:

1. They are islamocentric, they will most likely vote a fellow Muslim. They have been doing that since time immemorial. No Christian has ever Done well in northwest and northeast except Southern Kaduna and Taraba and some part of Adamawa. The only time they voted a Christian was in 1999 when there was no Muslim on the ballot.

2. They have this irrational igbophobia. It's quite unfortunate but it's the reality. Theze regions are not ready to accept any Igbo man or anybody from southsouth. Even Jonathan couldn't win these regions.

3. They have herd mentality, they are the most gullible, easiest to control and will listen to their elites against logic and reason. There's no amount of logical reason you can give an average person from Borno state to vote Peter Obi. It's the truth.

Peter Obi should not bother wasting scarce resources here. The formula here already suggested splitting votes, these regions are never going to give block votes in 2023. The best thing that can ever happen to Obi is for kwankwaso to do very well here so we Obidients can nail the coffins of APC and PDP in Northcentral and Southern Nigeria.

Stop bothering yourself about Obi’s campaign in Northwest and northeast, bother yourself about how kwankwaso is performing there. If Kwankwaso can do well in northwest and northeast, we can deal with PDP and APC in southsouth, Southeast, north central and become scoend in southwest to have a chance in the rerun.

In the election rerun, if it will be between Atiku and Obi, Obi will win him.

SecretAgent770:
https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0cJLCESLKs97CBqad7x3BJw91dMpeCqRFg4spxn2CkYsL7urgb5ah91tHqNDTpLeYl&id=100044230039479&mibextid=Nif5oz

Mazisimonekpa:
https://twitter.com/simon_ekpa/status/1611276291889577984?cxt=HHwWgICy0YTQs9wsAAAA[/quote]That’s what we need, to prevent Obi getting 1000 votes throughout Nigeria is a task that must be done

Gideon20:
A meeting with representative and leaders of 20 associations and groups in IGABI LGA in Rigasa and Kaduna NORTH LGA of kaduna state.

ganisucks:
Coming from a man who has not attended one APC Tinubu rally. I can't wait for the next ANAP poll.

Johnthejohn:
Inconsequential
This is the man we sane Nigerians want

ganisucks:
Go and Google Enron and bankruptcy.

Fibonacci88:
With the buildup to the next elections, many permutations and projections have been thrown arround. The polls, projections all point to one winner. Peter Obi. This pill might be hard to swallow by PDP and APC as they are yet to understand why a structureless party is gathering so much momentum. I have made my own projections based on ANAP and the rececnt BANTUPAGE polls. While ANAP has been a very reputable poll with a decent track record, I was very pleased with the work done by BANTUPAGE hence the need for my own projection based on this two polls. I have attached my projections which i did with xcel. The zones in yellow shows zone i had to do a bit of adjustment. The other zones not colored are zones were the BANTUPAGE projections or ANAP was used without any further input. I had to separate lagos from SW cos 50% of registerd voters in SW are in lagos. Those who understand statistics would understand the need for this. The ANAP poll predicts a landslide for Obi, but I think the election will go down the wire even though Obi will win. Hence I had to combine with that of BANTU which drilled down into ethnicity and religion which will play a major role in this election.

SOUTH-SOUTH- I lowered LP party to get 50% though obi was given 66% on Bantu poll and 46% on ANAP. APC- 10%, PDP-20%

SOUTHWEST- No adjustment was made data from BantuPage.
SOUTHEAST- I had to use ANAP as i couldnt get any poll from Bantu.
NORTH CENTRAL- ANAP was used
NORTH WEST- No adjustment. I had to go with Bantu cos i feel the ANAP poll overstimated LP in this Zone
NORTH-EAST- I had to use Bantu poll even though it dint capture Borno, Yobe and Bauchi. I believe this is an APC stronghold. BANTU POLL gave the following- LP- 15, APC-12, PDP-37(This % didnt capture Borno, Yobe and Bauchi hence i had to do the adjustment.) LP- 15%, APC- 40%, PDP-37. This is APC stronghold hence i expect them to win this region.
SUMMARY
LP- 10,917,751
APC- 7,753,050
PDP- 7,279,552
NNPP- 2,427,785
Feel free to air your opinion. No insult or tribal slur. If you have a pathway for your candidate feel free to let us know.

Sheistoopretty:
Not all Elders are Wise, foolish People like the OP grow old too