₦airaland Forum

fergie001:
I have read a copy of Obi's petition.

1. He never challenged Asiwaju's Candidacy to participate in the APC Primary.

2. LP held their Primary where Utomi stepped down for Obi to become the sole Candidate.

3. Even if inter alia, the APC and/or LP Primaries were wrongly conducted, Peter Obi and LP lacks the locus to challenge that of the APC and vice-versa.

. Ok sir we appreciate your contribution always.

fergie001:
Well, having read the submissions of the APC in response to the LP's petition:

This is just the defendant's reply to the petition, we have not even gotten to the pre-hearing stage, let alone proper trial.

The LP now has 7 days to apply for pre-hearing or 5 days to respond to the defendant's new facts which I believe there is.
However, it is expected that the Tribunal will respond to the Objections first, during the ruling proper.

A Presidential election petition of this magnitude will naturally not dwell on technicalities.

1. That Obi was not a registered member of the LP before May 24 last year.

This is at best puerile. Does the APC have the locus standi to challenge? NO.

a. Once there is no locus standi, there is no jurisdiction. Jurisdiction is the lifeblood and existence of any case. Once there is no jurisdiction, no matter how finely delivered a case is ruled upon, it becomes null and void, ab initio.

Only a member of the LP can challenge the membership of Peter Obi. The Court can best describe the APC as meddlesome interlopers and busybodies.

b. This matter is a pre-election matter. Membership, nomination and sponsorship of any Candidate in a political party is a pre-election issue that should be filed not more than 14 days after the cause of action at the FHC.

Same suit was brought up by a political party, the APM and the Appeal Court ruled in February 2023, that they do not have the locus. The PEPT or SC will not even delve into the merits but shut it out for lack of locus standi.

2. Non-joinder of Atiku Abubakar & PDP
This again should likely not upturn anything. This is an election petitions tribunal and it is declaratory in nature.

It is an independent and individualistic appeal, at best, this is academic considering that the PDP & her Candidate are also in Court. It is urging the Court to subject to intellectual argument and satisfy intellectual prowess which cannot answer the questions in the live issues to be determined in the suit.

3. Arrangement of tables, etc.

Is this enough to throw out the petitions before we even get to the stage of hearing in the petitions? In my humble opinion, NO.

I believe all 3 Objections will be dismissed so that we can really listen to the REAL ISSUES.

What the defendant has done is not unexpected, raise up issues to dismiss the suit.

press9jatv vicdom ejimatic garfield1 senatordave1 kyase

. Does Obi have the locus standing to challenge BAT candidacy when asat the time of APC primary Obi was in PDP? Was there any primary LP? In view of AC judgement on acceptability of BVAS what is likely to happen to the basis of LP petitions at the PEPT if the AC opinion is sustained at the SC?

Clevite:
https://www.premiumtimesng.com/news/592693-tinubu-apc-asks-election-tribunal-to-dismiss-obi-lps-petition-gives-reasons.html

. The Back Eend Server reports Obi relied upon have been jettisoned as secondary data at the AC in Oyetola vrs Adeleke 2023. Funny days ahead at the SC on the lagality and acceptability of Back End server reports from BVAS as litigation instrument in Nigerian electoral jurisprudence.

seanfer:
Same thing happened in the case of Dakuku vs Wike 2015

You are right sir

Penguin2:
I’ve seen/read a lot of Tinubu supporters making statements like “the case will drag on for 3 years” and similar things in response to Peter Obi’s case in court against Tinubu’s victory in the last election.

Well, do not know if they have been making those statements out of ignorance or they deliberately want to misinform the public.

Well, I’m here to educate them and the rest of Nigerians, that Election Petition dragging on for years is a thing of the past that has been taken care of by Amendments to the constitution.

This amendment was made to ensure that wrong candidates who were wrongly declared at the polls do not enjoy the privilege of such office for years before being booted out of office through the courts.

To this end, the lifespan of Election Petition Tribunals was pegged at 180 days for Election Petition Tribunal. 60 days for Appeal Court and 60 days for Supreme Court. That’s cumulative of 360 days that an election thief can hold onto a stolen mandate from the time that the petition was filed in court.

This is the reason why the former governor of Imo State, Emeka Ihedioha, spent just about 8 months in power before he was sacked by the Supreme Court. Again, if you have followed Election Petitions in recent years in Nigeria, you’d have realized that no Election Petition has lasted up to one year from the Tribunal to the Supreme Court.

However, it becomes different in the Presidential Election Petition because the Presidential election petition originates at the Appeal Court and not the High Court/Tribunal. What this means is that the Presidential Election Petition Tribunal MUST decide the petition within 180 days from the day the case was filed in court. Any party who disagrees with the ruling of PEPT would now proceed to Supreme Court which MUST also give its ruling within 60 days.

What this means is that the PEPT can decide to give judgment within 30 days or 50 days, but MUST not exceed 180 days. Same thing applies to the Supreme Court.

This goes to say that if Peter Obi and his Lawyers push for a speedy trial as many people are advocating, and get it, the election petition can be decided before May 29th.

Meanwhile, Tinubu and his Lawyers have 21 days from the day they were served with the Petitioner(s) case to respond to the case. They have just about 6 days to that after which trials will begin proper.

So, next time you hear Tinubu boys say that the Election Petition can drag on till infinity, just laugh at their ignorance and move on.

Nlfpmod
Mynd44
Fergie001
Ejimatic
Senatordave1
Kyase
Freestuff
Ihordspy

. Thank you my brother for your thread.Whoever thinks the PEPT and SC judgementa will last for many years is dreaming.As you have said it has a time limit as you have indicated. PEPT is 180 days while SC is 60 days. So PEPT and SC decisions on presidential election are not to be determined till eternity..If time is against the SC , the Apex court will give the judgement in summary and select another day for the details. Buhari vrs ATIKU 2019 SC judgement ...

kiyosaki1:
https://dailypost.ng/2023/04/09/debate-with-chimamanda-not-datti-ahmed-atikus-camp-to-soyinka/

Wjho is Chiamanda Adiche beside Soyinka? Litrrarary midget with Literary Guru! Egbe Ori omode!

9jahotblog:
Osun Governorship Verdict And Issues Before The Supreme Court

The Court of Appeal judgement upholding the election of Governor Ademola Adeleke is widely adjudged as one of the best in recent judicial history. Compared with the judgement of the Tribunal, the Appeal Court restored judicial normalcy based on laws and precedents. The Supreme Court is not likely to have problem with upholding the Court of Appeal ruling as the Tribunal judgement was adjudged locally and internationally as a misnomer and an aberration in the hall of justice.

That notwithstanding, beneficiaries of the miscarriage of Justice at the lower Court are not likely to relent until the last lap. A look at a recent article written by Mr Samson Owoyokun, an aide of Mr Oyetola , confirms that the plot to usurp the mandate of the people is still in play. In the article titled “THE NEGATIVE IMPLICATION OF THE OSUN STATE APPEAL COURT JUDGEMENT ON OUR ELECTORAL SYSTEM AND DEMOCRATIC PROCESS”, Mr Owoyokun struggled so hard to convince himself and his cohorts that the appellate court judgement on the governorship contest did not serve justice.

By way of foundation, Mr Owoyokun suggested that the judgement of the Appeal Court was premised on voters’ register, which he spared no effort in playing down as no longer necessary in establishing over-voting in an election. But that was not the true reflection of what transpired at the Court of Appeal. This is because the judgement of the Court of Appeal did not only uphold justice but also saved our democracy from imminent collapse.

This was even made obvious by Mr. Owoyokun in his piece, especially in the excerpt of the judgement he quoted. For clarity, page 41 of the lead judgement by Justice M.L Shuaibu, which he referenced in his article, reads as follows: “In the instant case, Exhibit BVR clearly is report from backend server of the 3rd Respondent (INEC) and not PHYSICAL EVIDENCE OF ACCREDITATION AND TRANSMISSION OF RESULTS IN THE DISPUTED POLLING UNITS (Emphasis is mine). This is premised on the fact that BVAS transmissions are not done instantly from the polling units; furthermore, the Tribunal was wrong to have admitted and acted on the said evidence in isolation of the voters register for the disputed polling units.”

From the above, it was clear that the voters’ register was just one of the premises applied by the Justices of the Appeal Court in invalidating the Tribunal judgement. The judgement upheld the arguments advanced by the appellants that the BVAS machines used in the election hold more relevance in establishing over-voting as alleged by Oyetola and the APC. “Apart from failing to tender the register of voters, they also did not tender the BVAS devices from which the data was extracted,” Justice Shuaibu had held in his judgement.

This very fact was established by the INEC recently when in an affidavit filed at the Presidential Election Tribunal in the Court of Appeal in Abuja, asserted the primacy of the BVAS machines over every other source on datas realized from elections. Tanimu Inuwa, SAN, while arguing an application for the need to allow the reconfiguration of the BVAS machines used for the presidential and national assembly elections in order to use them for the governorship and state assemblies election before the panel, noted that “We have already stated in our affidavit that no information in the BVAS machine will be lost as we transfer all the data in the BVAS to our backend server.” His argument was strengthened by INEC’s Deputy Director, ICT Department, Lawrence Bayode, who pointedly noted that “before purging is approved by the BVAS devices, the data on the BVAS devices have to be uploaded to the accreditation backend server.”

The clear deduction from the above is that, contrary to Oyetola and his party’s insistence, any data on the backend server originated from the BVAS machines, hence, placing the device as the primary source of evidence for accreditation data or any other data for an election. If the INEC still needs to extract accreditation data and results on the BVAS machines to the backend server after 12 days of conducting the presidential and national assembly elections, then one can realize the inherent deficiency of the incomplete server report that Oyetola and the APC relied upon at the lower court.

Access reaching further
It was on the strength of this simple truth that Justice C. Ifeoma Jombo-Ofo held that “It was therefore wrong of the trial Tribunal to determine the petition based on Exhibit BVR which exhibit is amenable to continuous update.” Like so many election deniers, Mr Owoyokun chooses not to interrogate this conclusion, but rather twist the reality of the judgement of the Appeal Court.

But that was not all. Justice Shuaibu held that while Oyetola and the APC tried so hard to hide under Section 137 of the Electoral Act, 2022, in prosecuting its case, they nonetheless made “PW1 gave oral evidence ostensibly to demonstrate over-voting from the report, Exhibit BVR.” However, the witness, who though, was presented as an expert by the Petitioners at the Tribunal, was an APC member and again, did not proffer his qualifications before the Tribunal to confirm his status. In essence, Justice Shuaibu held that “The provision of Section 83 (3) of the Evidence Act, 2011, is to the effect that evidence made by a person interested at the time when the proceedings were pending or anticipated, involving a dispute as to any fact which the statement must tend to establish is inadequate.”

Even more, is the question of fair hearing, which the Appeal Court held was not accorded to Governor Adeleke, the PDP and INEC, at the Tribunal. In their separate judgements, all the three justices were unanimous in holding that the majority judgement at the Tribunal violated the defendants’ right to be heard in law and so, render the processes and decision arrived, in the end, a nullity.

Touching on this in her judgement, Justice C. Ifeoma Jombo-Ofo wrote that “With the terse and scanty reference to the various preliminary objections properly laid before the learned Tribunal and the lumping together of same without giving them individual and dispassionate consideration and determination, the Tribunal has failed in the performance of its statutory duty. Because the issue of jurisdiction as raised in the preliminary objections constitutes the livewire and access to the consideration and determination of the substantive issues before the Tribunal, the said Tribunal ought to have done better. The appellant as well as the 3rd and 4th respondents are in the circumstances robbed of their right to fair hearing and a miscarriage of Justice, which is capable of rendering the proceedings and Judgement of the Tribunal a nullity and of no effect.”

This finding was similar to that of Justice James Gambo Abundaga, who pointed out the refusal of the majority judgement of the Tribunal to consider the various applications by Governor Adeleke, the PDP and INEC at the Tribunal was denial of fair hearing, hence, occasioned miscarriage of justice. “It can not be gainsaid that this failure occasioned miscarriage of justice. It is settled law that where there is a denial of fair hearing, the proceedings in which it occurred is rendered null and void,” Justice Abundaga wrote in his judgement. The judge who quoted the Supreme Court decision in the case of Alexander & Ors v. Albert & Anor (2022) LPLER–56855 (SC) and several other authorities, went on to hold that “Therefore the breach of the Appellant’s right to fair hearing can lead me to no other option other than to declare the proceedings and judgement of the Tribunal null and void, and so declare. Accordingly, the entire proceedings and judgement is declared null and void for this reason.”

Clear enough, the decision of the Court of Appeal in upholding the election of Governor Adeleke is beyond the issue of voters’ register as Mr Owoyokun tried to portray. Even more, it is inconceivable to accept the argument of Mr Owoyokun that the voters register is no longer a critical part of our election with the advent of the Electoral Act, 2022. Perhaps, it will help to stress for Mr Owoyokun’s understanding that the voters register remains the very foundation that the BVAS machines rest on.

Aside from the fact that the register of voters in each polling unit is embedded in the BVAS machines, hence, its ability to identify and accredit registered voters, it is right to point out that voters must pass the physical verification on the voters register to be able to get a ballot paper to vote. Providing the voters register and other primary evidence, like the BVAS machines and form EC8A that were at the polling units on the day of the election, shouldn’t be a hard ask for anyone who is convinced that over-voting occurred and wants to prove it. Those are the primary pieces of evidence in the election along with party agents, which the APC and Oyetola, failed to present at the court.

Maybe because the primary pieces of evidence will not support their false claim and they want to seize on the confusion of a controversial secondary evidence to deliberately cancel the lawful votes of the eventual winner and subvert the will of the Osun people. This plot failed at the Appeal Court and it is the strong hope of the people of Osun that the Supreme Court reject the overreach of a mandate usurper and go ahead to affirm the election of Governor Adeleke. That will put a total end to the dangerous plot to damage our democracy, and in turn, the power of the people to choose who leads them will be asserted.

Sarafa Ibrahim writes from Osogbo, Osun State.

https://championnews.com.ng/osun-governorship-verdict-and-issues-before-the-supreme-court/

. The Tribunal gave judgement according to their understanding of the case. The AC ruled according to their understanding of the situation. The SC has seven members and they will judge as they understand the situation. Their judgement is the final.
My questions are 1. Are back end servers. irrelevant in electoral prosecution in view of the ammended electoral laws? 2 What do we need to prove overvoting .voter register or BVAS record? 3 Is BVAS not introduced to replace Voter register which is usually manipulated during accreditation? 4 What did the PDP achieve with the BVAS machines brought to the court? 5 Must BVAS machines be brought to court to prove overvoting or the report generated from the machines.6.The SC will have to set a standard in their decision now because whatever their ruling is now will decide other judgements coming up on 2023 elections.7. Let wait and see what will happen at the SC on the matter! 8 .Congratulations to whoever wins at the SC.

9jahotblog:
July 16: How Adeleke Won Appeal Court’s Unanimous Decision

Sodiq Yusuf

Governor Ademola Adeleke of the State of Osun, on Friday, won at the Appeal Court, against the January 27, 2023 judgement that favoured his predecessor, Adegboyega Oyetola.

Oyetola, had approached the Election Petition Tribunal which sat in Osogbo, the state capital, after Adeleke was declared the winner of the July 16, 2022 governorship election.

The three-man Court of Appeal panel led by Justice Muhammed Lawal, assisted by Justice James Gomno and Justice Ifeoma Jombo-Ofo held that the grounds of the verdict of the lower court were inappropriate.

The court also awarded N500,000 fine against the defendants, the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Mr. Adegboyega Oyetola, for abuse of court process.

Delivering the unanimous judgement, Justice Lawal stressed that the tribunal was wrong to have rejected the judgment of the Court of Appeal that cleared Adeleke of forgery.

The appellate court noted that grounds as raised on the adoption of the INEC server report as against that of the BVAS machines used for the election. It stated that the BVAS machines remained the primary source for the results collated manually and transmitted to the server.

The court ruled that the tribunal only relied on the table provided by Oyetola and the APC, to give judgment in their favour, which was not enough to prove over-voting.

Justice Lawal said for the defendants to prove over-voting, the voters register must be tendered as it is intrinsically part of accreditation, according to Section 137 of the Electoral Act.

On the issue of Governor Adeleke’s certificate, the court of appeal declared that Oyetola’s witness was not an expert which he held himself out to be at the tribunal. It said the Principal Witness 1, Rasak Adeosun who claimed to be an expert, did not give evidence of his qualifications, as well as deny his membership of the APC, making his evidence barren.

The Judge announced the decision of the Court of Appeal to set aside the tribunal judgment of 27th January and affirmed the victory of Gov. Ademola Adeleke.


https://www.osundefender.com/july-16-how-adeleke-won-appeal-courts-unanimous-decision/

. I have read your post .Thank you Let us await the opinion of the SC on the lingering legal tussle!. Long live Osun State.

booksbo0k:
Sorry for the long write up my people, I need advice.

My first son has been behaving somehow in our family, as if he's not part of this family...
You and this boy can be in the same house but you might not set your eyes on him once for a whole day. He will be inside his room through out...

He has been telling me that he is currently working on going to rent his own place and live on his own and that if God helps him and he is able to achieve that, He will not have anything to do with our family again and that we will never set eyes on him ever again :[ ...

I would have not been bothered by such statement if it were coming from someone else, I would take it as a bluff. But this my son is someone that normally doesn't call people to check on them, not even us his parents..

When he was in his previous University before he dropped out, this boy can go for months, that is a whole semester stretch without calling anybody to know how you're doing, except you call him or maybe he wants to ask for money for something or school stuff....

We have five children and he is the first, the second and third children are away in University, he and the two last siblings are the only one's with us.. My husband refused him from going to University in a far place instead he gives him transport money to be going to his own University from home everyday...... He and his father don't even talk again except good morning greetings. He is only 21 ohh..

Let me give you guys small back story so that you can understand how all these things started.

My son graduated from secondary school (a boarding school) in 2017 at 16 years old... Initially, he said he wanted to study computer science as he said that was the course he loved and wanted to study. But my husband refused and persuaded him to study pharmacy because he worked at NAFDAC and he saw the way pharmacy graduates were living at his work place and the salary they were recieving. He and one of his chemist friend sweet talked him into going to study the course and I guess it was because he was young then and could not challenge his dad then that was why he gave in....

He wrote JAMB but he did not meet the cut of mark for pharmacy (but I later realised his score was good for computer science then)... No public University was willing to admit him for pharmacy then because his score was not good for the course but due to my husband love for the course and not wanting my son to lose admission that year , he decided to go the way of private University not minding their school fees...Long story cut short, my son got admitted into Madonna University where we were paying 1M naira every year.....After 3 years in the school and in 300L @18 years old, he began saying he was not interested in the school any longer, that he was tired of the course, that he's body is no longer in the school and blablabla that he wants to go and play football in Europe...

He came back for holiday during the beginning of covid and refused to go back to the school when they resumed, saying that he was only wasting our money by being in that school and he did not want to continue.....This got my husband really sad and angry....My son stayed home for almost two years doing nothing because my husband was adamant that if he would not go back to school, nothing for him, that all the money he has spent for school fees in that school can not be for waste that he can become a footballer after he graduates, saying no one can become a successful footballer without being a graduate, that it would later affect them in life...

But my son refused. I must confess, my son is extremely good at playing football. That was the talent i can confidently say that God personally gave to him from birth. Infact when he was graduating from secondary school, they gave him the award for the best graduating footballer and he was always the centre of attention anytime he plays at our church events. He friends used to call him "nima" then, I think...

I and my husband got tired of him staying at home for long so I went to meet with one pastor in our street who was based in the UK with his family but comes home sometimes for church related matters. I explained my son's situation to him and he offered to help my son travel out to chase his football career provided we have the funds for it. The man was secondary school class mates with "victor ikpe ekong" who was a former super eagles player but currently a pastor in Sweden. To my greatest surprise he called him on a WhatsApp video call in my presence and i was really surprised...He gave me the man's phone number to keep in contact and also scheduled a day to meet with my husband and have a discussion.. I told my son and he was very happy..I also told my husband and he was eager to meet with him at least, anything to solve my sons idleness at the time..

The pastor came to my our house on several occasions and discussed with my husband. My husband kept telling the pastor, saying he would like my son to be going to school while chasing his football career at the same time, a feat which pastor let us know would be difficult as one has to be dropped for the other. Unfortunately, my husband changed he's mind and said he was no longer interested in the whole footballer thing. He said he knew that my son wanted to become a footballer only because of girls. That he, my son knew that if he becomes a footballer, all the girls would like him, that that was the only reason he wanted to become a footballer, and that if football was his true destiny, he doesn't need to travel out for it to manifest, that he can be in Nigeria and make it from here.....That was how that chapter close like that. Pastor left for England few months after.....

After years of my son staying at home, my husband got tired. One night, he hired some Street thugs to come take my son away and beat him up...my son stayed with them for 2 weeks. When he returned, he said he was ready to go back to school. But my husband told him he won't be going back to any private University again. My son wrote jamb again to study computer science and was admitted into COOU. but my said he would not allow him go to any University that is not in the same state we are residing. Now the problem here was that all the public schools in the state we are staying will not accept you to study computer science unless you did chemistry in jamb. And my son did not do chemistry in jamb because he is not good in chemistry. If he was to study in the same state we were staying, he had to settle for another course, which he did...Now another problem arose. My husband refused to rent an apartment for my son around the school because the school is considerably far from our house, instead he decided to be giving him money (2000) everyday as transport fare to be going from home. This did not sit down well with my the boy and he again, said he was no longer interested in schooling again sef that he can't be going such far distance from home to the school everyday to study a Course he does not even like siting that it would be stressful and affect his academics and that it was unwise to be paying 60k a year as school fees while you spend 2k everyday as transport..My husband got angry and called on our estate CSO to come pick him up. They beat him so badly in public that when he got back home later in the evening, I went to check him in his room, his buttocks and back where scarred and red with huge marks...

Ever since, he has been going to the school from home and he has become very distant from us especially his dad. They don't talk again in the same house except "good morning sir"...

My son has turned into something else. He can stay indoors from morning till night. I would have said he has started keeping bad company but he does not even have a single friend, not one..Nobody calls him, and he doesn't call anybody...I have five children and he is the first. The second and third already gained admission this year in a private University and are in school currently, so he and he's last two siblings are the only one's with us now..

Why I'm writing this is because I'm scared..I'm beginning to fear that my son might commit suicide, he's beginning to show that kind of attitude.. And the plans he have to leave us forever to go and stay alone, I don't like it ohhhh...

Nairalanders please I need your advice.

. 1 Your son has been living a secluded life since secondary school days.
2 He has been reading useless impractical motivational books in his privacy.
3 .There is no time for parents -chikd discussion in your family!
4. You believe everything is about money and money is the solution to every problem. Yiu are solving one and craeting another with yiur poor parenting techhnique.
5 His seclusion life in school is affecting him greatly
6 Until the communication gap is closed between him and his father they will continue to hate each others
7 Children differ so parenting technique differs too .
8 Many people in schools have influnced him and his thinking.
9 With his strange behaviour now it is clear he is frustrated and feels isolated. Don't be surprised if he commits suicide (God forbids)
Remember the case of Abdulmuktalab ,a Nigerian with strange acts only to be a sucide bomber in America
10 Yiur child needs pyschratic evaluation now.This is important so that his broken mental pieces can be brought together again.
11. Parents should be the friends of their children and mind when and how yiu send
them away to a boarding school before they are destroyed mentally there.
12 Pray to God and give him assistance too. Death will not take him away from you in Jesus name. .

Herdsmen:
We all know Tinubu will be sworn in May 29

We don’t argue that .. and don’t think anyone argues it
We’re only saying that Tinubu will be in health to return that mandate he stole..

And already we said it’s time..

And na very short time..


ThAts all

We wait for Supreme Court decision .., and that decision is what scares deep beings in Apc and the very reason for all propaganda launched


Na time.. e go play

. Don't decieve yourself Ariwoola SC led CJN will never ever set INEC declaration of BAT aside. Why was Onoghe removed? Why was Mohammed removed? Let wait and see!

[quote author=Gucciblog post=122319620]https://twitter.com/PeterObi/status/1643698718820950021? Do we all remember Kano man Lawal , the super cop. Kiyari and many others whose video and audio were leaked? Let await the outcome of this one confirmed by Keneh Okokwo, LP spokesperson.

Ofunaofu:
https://www.vanguardngr.com/2023/04/fg-lied-on-credible-2023-polls-treason-allegation-afenifere-2/

. Our Babas are getting older daily with old age confusing challenges.May their old age brings joy to Yoruba land! Afenifere caucaus led by Baba Adebanjo may be supporting OBi but the generality of Yorubas are wiser than the group on decision making. Baba Adebanjo and his people may be wiser than us but they are
not more "foolish" than us.Out of our " foolishness " we have chosen BAT. We are happy with that! Long live Nigeria!

ejimatic:
Prince Adesuyi Haastrup, deputy governor to the first executive governor of Osun State, late Senator Isiaka Adeleke, has given a comprehensive analysis of how former vice president Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP and Labour Party, LP respectively to Bola Tinubu of the All Progresives Congress, APC in the February 25, 2023 election.

The Ilesa-born in a detailed analysis personally signed and addressed to Ambassadors of Western Powers, Haastrup, using the state by state results, said that he visited former president Olusegun Obasanjo three weeks before the election and told him that Obi that he was supporting was a loser.

On the demographic rationale for the losses of the duo, Haastrup explained that “I told Papa Obasanjo that Labour Party has not won even a local government seat in the entire country and therefore has no structure. I didn’t see the Labour Party being able to fund party agents at all in the polls in Nigeria and that at the moment, the core north will not support an Igbo President.

“The best arrangement,” I had told Papa Obasanjo, “was to support Tinubu, saying that if he wins, you (Papa Obasanjo), Asiwaju Tinubu, and other Southern Leaders can meet the Northern Leaders, Clerics, for a final settlement between the Igbos and the Core North.

“Papa Obasanjo admitted he had worked for Obi’s success in the South- south, South-east, South-west, and Christians in the North but a lot still needed to be done in the core North,” he added.

He continued: “The new Naira note crunch came in the nick of time that should have helped Atiku win in a landslide. This also helped Obi in the South as people were frustrated and angry. But, because Asiwaju is a man of ‘destiny’, there came a three pronged crises that robbed Atiku of his victory.

“If Dr. Kwankwaso had not left the PDP and formed his own party, Alhaji Atiku would have captured about 1,200,000 votes in Kano State which would have narrowed Asiwaju’s lead to a small margin. If Obi had not pulled out of PDP, Atiku would have won the whole of the south-eastern states, giving him a good lead over Asiwaju Tinubu.

“The G5 crisis that finally nailed PDP, would have been averted if Ayu had voluntarily stepped down as Chairman in the interest of the party.

“When Asiwaju won the primary, many counting on the tightly knitted culture of the North, were sure, that most APC governors in the core North would rather work for Atiku than Asiwaju. However, the ‘generational changes’ that helped Obi in Lagos, helped Tinuu in the Core-North. Thus, the new generation leaders in the Newsdirect



Prince Adesuyi Haastrup, deputy governor to the first executive governor of Osun State, late Senator Isiaka Adeleke, has given a comprehensive analysis of how former vice president Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP and Labour Party, LP respectively to Bola Tinubu of the All Progresives Congress, APC in the February 25, 2023 election.

The Ilesa-born in a detailed analysis personally signed and addressed to Ambassadors of Western Powers, Haastrup, using the state by state results, said that he visited former president Olusegun Obasanjo three weeks before the election and told him that Obi that he was supporting was a loser.

On the demographic rationale for the losses of the duo, Haastrup explained that “I told Papa Obasanjo that Labour Party has not won even a local government seat in the entire country and therefore has no structure. I didn’t see the Labour Party being able to fund party agents at all in the polls in Nigeria and that at the moment, the core north will not support an Igbo President.

“The best arrangement,” I had told Papa Obasanjo, “was to support Tinubu, saying that if he wins, you (Papa Obasanjo), Asiwaju Tinubu, and other Southern Leaders can meet the Northern Leaders, Clerics, for a final settlement between the Igbos and the Core North.

“Papa Obasanjo admitted he had worked for Obi’s success in the South- south, South-east, South-west, and Christians in the North but a lot still needed to be done in the core North,” he added.

He continued: “The new Naira note crunch came in the nick of time that should have helped Atiku win in a landslide. This also helped Obi in the South as people were frustrated and angry. But, because Asiwaju is a man of ‘destiny’, there came a three pronged crises that robbed Atiku of his victory.

“If Dr. Kwankwaso had not left the PDP and formed his own party, Alhaji Atiku would have captured about 1,200,000 votes in Kano State which would have narrowed Asiwaju’s lead to a small margin. If Obi had not pulled out of PDP, Atiku would have won the whole of the south-eastern states, giving him a good lead over Asiwaju Tinubu.
. Thus, the new generation leaders in the North did the unprecedented; Coordinated by our First Lady, Aisha Buhari, El-Rufai, Gan Duje, Bello, Massari, Bagudu and other APC governors rebelled against the old order and forced primary election on the older generation in APC, which saw Tinubu to victory in the primary. Similarly, they worked hard for his victory in the general election. Thus, Tinubu ran neck and neck with Atiku in the core North with a solid vote from the South-west, and the 3-pronged crisis in the PDP coasted him to victory: A man of ‘destiny’ indeed,” he explained.

Dissecting the arithmetic and demographic analysis of the Nigeria presidential election, he said “Obi defeated an incumbent Governor and Vice-Presidential candidate of PDP with a percentage margin of 57.2%- 27% because of the predominance of Igbos in Delta state. Also, we see where there is a high Christian population in Plateau, F.C.T and Nasarawa States, Obi won, and where he did not win, he performed very well e.g. (Kaduna state).

In the South East, the elder statesman said it can be deduced that “With the presence of sitting governors of other parties in the Southeast, Obi would not have scored 78.5 percentage if not for intimidation. Another is monopoly— no wonder a source close to INEC reported in most parts of the state, that it was only Labour Party agents that signed the election results.

“In the South West, we can say the election is free and fair. This is why Obi can beat Asiwaju Tinubu in his own state, while Alhaji Atiku beats Asiwaju Tinubu in Osun, where PDP has a sitting Governor. In line with the above statement, how free and fair can the election be, unless the ‘Obidients’ ‘ want INEC to rig in their favor and declare Obi the winner?,” he revealed.

According to him, the total votes for the nation’s election are 25,286,611 while the total number of votes in the core North is 12,133,695. This represents 48% of the total votes. Obi was able to score 1,014,408 representing 8.3% of the total votes from the Core North. Saying that it was obvious that Papa Obasanjo was not able to help Obi in the Core-north with 48% of our total votes, Adesuyi “wonders why Obi, our Elders, and others are saying the election was rigged. They could not see how Obi scored the highest number of the votes cast in his home state Anambra while Asiwaju scored 46.2% in his home state Lagos, yet they are saying the election was rigged. If it was, it can be said or deduced that Obi rigged with southeast votes. Obi’s scores here are unprecedented in the history of elections in Nigeria. They could not see how Obi defeated the incumbent Governor and Vice- presidential candidate of the PDP in his state (Delta).”

Expressing disappointment, Haastrup explained that “Given Obi’s story of how prudent he was while ruling Anambra, he would have been one of my options in the last presidential election if he had won the PDP ticket.

“As a politician, he ought to have known that without good votes in the core north (representing 48% of national votes), he was only going into the election, not to win but to make an impression. I am therefore astonished, that coming a distant third, he actually believes that the court can give him the mandate, skipping Alhaji Atiku. He cries wolf, calling for protest, opening up religious wounds, and bringing Nigeria into disrepute in the eyes of the world. This is unbecoming of someone that one thought would provide the change Nigerians are yearning for in the future.

“Even Dino, we all know, did not call out PDP members to protest since they came second. Obi as an accountant ought to have done his due diligence in the arithmetic and demographic analysis of the election before disturbing the peace of the nation. Now we know, that Obi’s Labor Party is an offshoot of the End-Sars crisis, hijacked by IPOB.

“Your Excellencies, this is a simple arithmetic and demographic analysis of our election results in the nation: Asiwaju Tinubu won, and the electronic nature of the election cut rigging to the barest minimum where there was no intimidation as in the East,” he added.

. What I love most in what he said is that Igbo presidency is realisable only if the SW takes the lead in making a case for it before the core north. If the SE thinks it can achieve it all alone without the SW , it is a waste of time and another public outcries in the making . The core North doesn't believe in the SE presidency. Thereason? Read our political history from 1966. Granted many people who are idealists will hate it but realists know what Haatrup said in support of my personal opinion is a reality

Prince Adesuyi Haastrup, deputy governor to the first executive governor of Osun State, late Senator Isiaka Adeleke, has given a comprehensive analysis of how former vice president Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP and Labour Party, LP respectively to Bola Tinubu of the All Progresives Congress, APC in the February 25, 2023 election.

The Ilesa-born in a detailed analysis personally signed and addressed to Ambassadors of Western Powers, Haastrup, using the state by state results, said that he visited former president Olusegun Obasanjo three weeks before the election and told him that Obi that he was supporting was a loser.

On the demographic rationale for the losses of the duo, Haastrup explained that “I told Papa Obasanjo that Labour Party has not won even a local government seat in the entire country and therefore has no structure. I didn’t see the Labour Party being able to fund party agents at all in the polls in Nigeria and that at the moment, the core north will not support an Igbo President.

“The best arrangement,” I had told Papa Obasanjo, “was to support Tinubu, saying that if he wins, you (Papa Obasanjo), Asiwaju Tinubu, and other Southern Leaders can meet the Northern Leaders, Clerics, for a final settlement between the Igbos and the Core North.

“Papa Obasanjo admitted he had worked for Obi’s success in the South- south, South-east, South-west, and Christians in the North but a lot still needed to be done in the core North,” he added.

He continued: “The new Naira note crunch came in the nick of time that should have helped Atiku win in a landslide. This also helped Obi in the South as people were frustrated and angry. But, because Asiwaju is a man of ‘destiny’, there came a three pronged crises that robbed Atiku of his victory.

“If Dr. Kwankwaso had not left the PDP and formed his own party, Alhaji Atiku would have captured about 1,200,000 votes in Kano State which would have narrowed Asiwaju’s lead to a small margin. If Obi had not pulled out of PDP, Atiku would have won the whole of the south-eastern states, giving him a good lead over Asiwaju Tinubu.

“The G5 crisis that finally nailed PDP, would have been averted if Ayu had voluntarily stepped down as Chairman in the interest of the party.

“When Asiwaju won the primary, many counting on the tightly knitted culture of the North, were sure, that most APC governors in the core North would rather work for Atiku than Asiwaju. However, the ‘generational changes’ that helped Obi in Lagos, helped Tinuu in the Core-North. Thus, the new generation leaders in the Newsdirect



Prince Adesuyi Haastrup, deputy governor to the first executive governor of Osun State, late Senator Isiaka Adeleke, has given a comprehensive analysis of how former vice president Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP and Labour Party, LP respectively to Bola Tinubu of the All Progresives Congress, APC in the February 25, 2023 election.

The Ilesa-born in a detailed analysis personally signed and addressed to Ambassadors of Western Powers, Haastrup, using the state by state results, said that he visited former president Olusegun Obasanjo three weeks before the election and told him that Obi that he was supporting was a loser.

On the demographic rationale for the losses of the duo, Haastrup explained that “I told Papa Obasanjo that Labour Party has not won even a local government seat in the entire country and therefore has no structure. I didn’t see the Labour Party being able to fund party agents at all in the polls in Nigeria and that at the moment, the core north will not support an Igbo President.

“The best arrangement,” I had told Papa Obasanjo, “was to support Tinubu, saying that if he wins, you (Papa Obasanjo), Asiwaju Tinubu, and other Southern Leaders can meet the Northern Leaders, Clerics, for a final settlement between the Igbos and the Core North.

“Papa Obasanjo admitted he had worked for Obi’s success in the South- south, South-east, South-west, and Christians in the North but a lot still needed to be done in the core North,” he added.

He continued: “The new Naira note crunch came in the nick of time that should have helped Atiku win in a landslide. This also helped Obi in the South as people were frustrated and angry. But, because Asiwaju is a man of ‘destiny’, there came a three pronged crises that robbed Atiku of his victory.

“If Dr. Kwankwaso had not left the PDP and formed his own party, Alhaji Atiku would have captured about 1,200,000 votes in Kano State which would have narrowed Asiwaju’s lead to a small margin. If Obi had not pulled out of PDP, Atiku would have won the whole of the south-eastern states, giving him a good lead over Asiwaju Tinubu.
. Thus, the new generation leaders in the North did the unprecedented; Coordinated by our First Lady, Aisha Buhari, El-Rufai, Gan Duje, Bello, Massari, Bagudu and other APC governors rebelled against the old order and forced primary election on the older generation in APC, which saw Tinubu to victory in the primary. Similarly, they worked hard for his victory in the general election. Thus, Tinubu ran neck and neck with Atiku in the core North with a solid vote from the South-west, and the 3-pronged crisis in the PDP coasted him to victory: A man of ‘destiny’ indeed,” he explained.

Dissecting the arithmetic and demographic analysis of the Nigeria presidential election, he said “Obi defeated an incumbent Governor and Vice-Presidential candidate of PDP with a percentage margin of 57.2%- 27% because of the predominance of Igbos in Delta state. Also, we see where there is a high Christian population in Plateau, F.C.T and Nasarawa States, Obi won, and where he did not win, he performed very well e.g. (Kaduna state).

In the South East, the elder statesman said it can be deduced that “With the presence of sitting governors of other parties in the Southeast, Obi would not have scored 78.5 percentage if not for intimidation. Another is monopoly— no wonder a source close to INEC reported in most parts of the state, that it was only Labour Party agents that signed the election results.

“In the South West, we can say the election is free and fair. This is why Obi can beat Asiwaju Tinubu in his own state, while Alhaji Atiku beats Asiwaju Tinubu in Osun, where PDP has a sitting Governor. In line with the above statement, how free and fair can the election be, unless the ‘Obidients’ ‘ want INEC to rig in their favor and declare Obi the winner?,” he revealed.

According to him, the total votes for the nation’s election are 25,286,611 while the total number of votes in the core North is 12,133,695. This represents 48% of the total votes. Obi was able to score 1,014,408 representing 8.3% of the total votes from the Core North. Saying that it was obvious that Papa Obasanjo was not able to help Obi in the Core-north with 48% of our total votes, Adesuyi “wonders why Obi, our Elders, and others are saying the election was rigged. They could not see how Obi scored the highest number of the votes cast in his home state Anambra while Asiwaju scored 46.2% in his home state Lagos, yet they are saying the election was rigged. If it was, it can be said or deduced that Obi rigged with southeast votes. Obi’s scores here are unprecedented in the history of elections in Nigeria. They could not see how Obi defeated the incumbent Governor and Vice- presidential candidate of the PDP in his state (Delta).”

Expressing disappointment, Haastrup explained that “Given Obi’s story of how prudent he was while ruling Anambra, he would have been one of my options in the last presidential election if he had won the PDP ticket.

“As a politician, he ought to have known that without good votes in the core north (representing 48% of national votes), he was only going into the election, not to win but to make an impression. I am therefore astonished, that coming a distant third, he actually believes that the court can give him the mandate, skipping Alhaji Atiku. He cries wolf, calling for protest, opening up religious wounds, and bringing Nigeria into disrepute in the eyes of the world. This is unbecoming of someone that one thought would provide the change Nigerians are yearning for in the future.

“Even Dino, we all know, did not call out PDP members to protest since they came second. Obi as an accountant ought to have done his due diligence in the arithmetic and demographic analysis of the election before disturbing the peace of the nation. Now we know, that Obi’s Labor Party is an offshoot of the End-Sars crisis, hijacked by IPOB.

“Your Excellencies, this is a simple arithmetic and demographic analysis of our election results in the nation: Asiwaju Tinubu won, and the electronic nature of the election cut rigging to the barest minimum where there was no intimidation as in the East,” he added.

9jahotblog:
https://dailytrust.com/osun-govship-supreme-court-will-still-favour-me-adeleke/

SC and AC are not the same on decision making! The only concern I have in the AC judgement are the rejection. Of IREV data which are the basisi of all the cases of election in 2023 elections and undue emphasis placed on voter register at the expense of the improved BVAS reports. SC will decide on it . Additionally it is the practice in the Nigeria that when a new government from other parties comes in people usually manipulate other elections that follow it. This does not justify irregularities at the Osun 2022 election where election ended at Ede axis at 10pm...At any rate litigation must end somewhere. In Nigeria it ends at the SC.Congratulations to the winner there!

Arabk25:
So wat is the one Nigeria you people have been preaching since independence where a particular region cannot rule the nation.

. What is the reason why a particular region has been denied the right to Presidency? That is a question we need to look into .That will take us to our political history!

Antimandatethie:
Chieftain of the ruling All Progressives Congress and Special Adviser to Lagos State Governor on Drainages, Joe Igbokwe, on Tuesday said another scandalous telephone conversation involving Obi was coming.

Igbokwe said in a Facebook post:



https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid02BN7QC8BKTxcUuPWTvMmoh7kGhmL6PpnVtR3vL4UXHpASuYki55JJTk5Zo1vncshKl&id=100001155348708&mibextid=Nif5oz

. All mature Nigerians who have been following our political history will quickly understand why the North is not comfortable with the Igbo presidency. If presidential election is conducted 20 times in Nigeria no Igbo man will win it....bitter truth , yet we will tell it.

ijustdey:
https://dailytrust.com/obi-atiku-fayose-other-notable-nigerian-politicians-involved-in-leaked-conversations/

1 Thank God in the name of religion I don't give an undue respect to any man or worship a man under the guise of religion.
2 The content of the audio exchange explains why no Hausa man will never for now hands over the power of the country to an Igbo man.......Whether you like it or not!

steeltrust:
My friend fathers was attacked in ogun state in his farm last week. The old man was marched with cutlass, it was only God that save his life. The matter was reported to the police and they came all the way from Abuja and said there’s nothing they can do.

Imagine in this tech era Nigeria police said there’s nothing they can do. He’s farm scattered, all his hard work for months destroyed and they still want to kill him just because he told them not allow their cow destroy his cassava farm.

Where re we going in this country. Nigeria is sitting on a time bomb and a lot of people don’t know

Picture attached

I can see why Ogun people voted against another Fulani as the president. Osun has not experienced issues like this and I don't pray they experience ithem. Nothing will be done to those behind the attack because it is a sensitive matter. The truth is:If an act like this had happened in Osun those who voted Atiku would think twice and use wisdom in their decision. I sympatise with Baba on this tragedy. God will heal you!I May God bless true sons of YORUBAS who did not vote for another Fulani again .I am happy a Yoruba man is the next president. Eyi ta seru to nile baba wa! Eyi ta jiya to nile baba wa. !

Khalil1103:
In my previous thread I talked about how worried I was due to the late reply from my employer
https://www.nairaland.com/7636868/please-need-answers-should-worried

So this even I got a called to from them to resume tomorrow. Though they have been try to reach me since on Friday but bad network made it impossible...
Thanks to those that supported me with their advice.i appreciate 🙌🙏

. Congratulations ! Even if the roads are rough all of us will find our way to the promised land!

Mirrabel00:
Whatsapp me

. Talk to me here ! It is not confidential

Mirrabel00:
Tinubu don't have anything to say because he don't know what to say

Contact me for your Academic assignment thesis, proposal presentations e.t.c available for any field of writing just Whatsapp me

. Can you analyse thesis in English? Which grammatical theories do you know?

oladahunsi:
I got a job with a school recently and I did a month training by the school based on the job. I wasn't paid salary, please is there a polite way of asking for the salary?

In the course of the training you should have asked if you would be paid or not. For now tactfully ask the Head about it.Good Lucky!

delzbaba:
A farmer has expressed shock and surprise at the odd looking yam he harvested on his farm in a tiny village in the southwestern state of Ekiti earlier this week.

The odd looking yam which could be described as something from a horror movie looked more like the left hand of a giant of some sort, while some people were rebuking and forbidding the odd shape, some elders in the village stated that it could be linked to the practice of some settler farmers who allegedly use water from the mortuary used in bathing dead bodies to water their plants for bigger yeild, what do you think.

. Stop magnifying trivialities and trivializing magnitudes. This is just a case of coincidence!

herkeem:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZsrZsrFyGDc

The President-elect, @officialABAT taking a stroll on the streets of Paris this evening (about an hour ago) with Speaker of the House of Representatives, Rt. Hon. Femi Gbajabiamila. pic.twitter.com/xFCpoeknw1

— Festus Keyamo, SAN, CON, FCIArb (UK) (@fkeyamo) March 31, 2023

. Some people are not happy right now!They will be sad till enternity. Keep enjoying the in-coming president!

Wannabenz:
I married a virgin(21yrs) sex use to hurt her at the initial stage but she's getting comfortable as days go by...so we normally do one or twice a day and it's good so I'm not complaining.

Recently I noticed that after every sex, she'll fall asleep faster...as in deep sleep. I also noticed that most times that she wants to sleep, she'll initiate sex maybe for her to feel better and sleep.

I'm hoping it's not a medical issue.

It is not a medical issue. You can Google it too. Search why do people sleep after sex.Men and ladies can sleep after sex. Sex is like work that involves your whole system. If it done especially early night it enhances deep sleep for many people. So yiur wife is as good as perfect on that .Please keep on enjoying each other sexually!

nairalandkachy1:
https://dailynigerian.com/kaduna-guber-pdp-urges-inec/

. Are you deaf when AC in Abuja BVAS IREV data are meaningless . The food AC has cooked cannot be finished by us!

Mummyfour:
Students from far and near went to their different jamb exam centers to write the mock exams today.

The exam was supposed to be in two batches.
There was a batch A that was slated for7 am and candidates were expected to have been seated by 6:30 am, then there was the 9 am batch and the candidates were also expected to have been in their centers by 8:30 am.
I actually took my daughter to the CBT professional test centre at bwari FCT not few metres away from the JAMB head office here In Abuja, that was her center.
It was an annoying situation when even as at 12:30 pm the candidates that were billed for the 7am exams had not started.

Parents that were waiting for their children became apprehensive and couldn't just understand what the delay was about.
Most of the children had not eaten and some parents had actually done drop off with the mind of coming later for their ward.

Most of the children that had been dropped off, had no money, phones or even food because they felt they could endure whatever hunger until after the exams.

At about 12:40pm, 3 coaster buses drove into the centre and the staff and security personnel at the centre began to direct some of the children to get on the buses.
In the process, some parents raised alarm and began to shout even as they wondered at the rationale behind such action.
At a point some of the children that had seen parents yelling at them to get off the buses, quickly did.

Meanwhile before then, no body not a even staff came out to address the waiting parents as to what was really going on, and when parents asked them, all they were told was that network was slow thereby affecting "thumb printing", for 6 hours?

It was at the point when parents were yelling at the gate that the Registrar of Jamb drove in with 3 Hilux trucks of security men armed to the teeth.

He grudgingly stepped out to address the parents because they compelled him to.
Before then, parents had begun to look for snacks and drinks for their children who had started complaining of hunger. They kept on coming to the gate to talk and complain to their parents, because they were not in the exam hall, but under a makeshift tent.
Some were even feeling sleepy and tired after staying up late to read at night.

The Registrar with every sense of pomposity told us that we were breaking the law because we came close to the gate to give our hungry children food and drinks.
It's not as if they made any provisions for the children o.

We were even expecting him as a father to sympathize with the children and beg them for understanding being their fault that their systems were not working.

When he said that, all hell let loose.
Parents began to scream at him out of anger, because we were expecting some kind of explanation or even apologies. Instead he told us that we should not have come close to the gate.

I asked him how we would have been able to pass on the food items to our children, and that if they had done the right thing, there would not have been any reason for parents to come close to the gate.
At that question, he began to ramble and tell us stories of network failure and all those annoying lies.

He subsequently told us that the second batch were to get on the buses and go and write the exam in jamb office.

A parent asked how the children will come back to the original center they were posted and he swore that the buses will bring them back

To cut the story short, the exams actually started at 3:45pm and ended at 5:30pm.

And the shocker we received was that those children that were taken to the jamb office had to trek all the way back to their former center, except for those that their parents took them their with either bikes or vehicles.

I don't know when we will get it right in this country.
Ordinary mock jamb in FCT..
So how would it be in other states and local government areas?.

It keeps getting worse every year.
And those children came out of the center broken, dissolutioned, and frustrated. You could see the children that were all fired up in the morning, and ready to do justice to the Mock exam, coming out very cold and troubled.

I have said it, let us go back to the days of shading with HB pencil abeg
It's not worth it.
We can't seem to get any thing right in this country.
Ordinary computer based test?

Mods please push to front page

Like INEC like JAMB

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had perform an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

---

Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

. Appeal Court in Abuja n 2023 ruled that IREV data are secondary so they hold no water in proving cases of election.Oyetola vrs Adeleke 2023. It may interest all of us that IREV data are the premises on which many electoral petitions are based now. Can we see why AC has while trying to solve one problems created another thousands.? Will the judgement pass the litmus test at the SC? Time will tell. Each time I read elections and see IREV I quickly remember AC judgement saga on it.

Zonefree:
He should use his powers to disappear and land inside the bank's vault and collect his money. If he fails to, he should be arrested and detained for constituting public nuisance.

. He just creating an undeserved attention for himself. A confused and frustrated man!

It is longer new that the Appeal Court aiiting in Abuja set aside the January 27 judgement that declared Oyetola the winner of the state 2022 election. The three man panel led by Justice Saibu reinstated Gov Adeleke as the winner of the election. The judgement has raised some dust in the judiciary even among the Osun indigenes. The judgement for now is sacrosanct and can only be tested at the SC where another seven man will evaluate the Tribunal anfy the AC judgement. I have asked some of my people online on legal provisions guidind elections in Nigeria now vis a vis revised electoral laws in the face of the AC judgement. When perusing the electoral laws,I have found the following for our discussion and considetion: Sections 47, 51 and 64 of the Electoral Act 2022.

“For the avoidance of doubt, Section 47 (2) of the Electoral Act 2022 stipulates that ‘To vote, the presiding officer shall use a smart card reader or any other technological device that may be prescribed by the Commission, for the accreditation of voters, to verify, confirm or authenticate the particulars of the intending voter in the manner prescribed by the Commission.’ And in the case of Osun Governorship Election, BVAS was deployed.

“Section 51 (2) of the Act further stipulates that ‘where the number of votes cast at an election in any polling unit exceeds the number of accredited voters in that polling unit, the presiding officer shall cancel the result of the election in that polling unit. ‘

“And in resolving dispute as to election results, Section 64 (6) outlines the steps to be taken, including obtaining ‘data of accreditation recorded and transmitted directly from each

polling unit where the election is disputed as prescribed under section 47(2) of this Act ; and (d) the votes and result of the election recorded and transmitted directly from each polling unit where the election is disputed, as prescribed under section 60 (4) of this Act.’ All these were the materials pleaded before the Tribunal and were transmitted to the Appeal Court. But the learned Justices said the voters should be added .

Again, look at the issue of data from INEC’s back-end server. Ahead of the 2023 Governorship and State House of Assembly elections, INEC in its affidavit to the Court of Appeal, which was granted, says the accreditation data contained in the BVAS could not be tampered with or lost, as they would be stored and easily retrieved from its accredited back-end server. Yet, last Friday’s judgement stated clearly that nobody can rely on accreditation data from the same INEC back-end server. Obi and Atiku rely on BVAS back end data which cannot be manipulated unlike Voters register as the basis of their petitions. The questions are : 1 Can the AC judgement survive the test at the SC? 2 What will be the hope of all those in APC PDP and LP who have filed petitions on our various last elections on the basis of BVAS back end report? What are your opinions. I wish all of us a happy discussion!

N3TRAL:
There's no contention here. Even Atiku's and Obi's lead counsels know they have no case.

If we no ginger clients to file cases in court, how litigation lawyers go take chop?

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[color=#7FFF00] ASIWAJU [/color] [color=#B8860B] IS [/color] [color=#7FFF00] COMING ![/color]

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Abuja already has the toga of state and it is not above other states.All the 37 states are on the same pedestal .So two third of NIGERIA states means 25 states out of 37 in Nigeria. Buhari vrs Obasanjo 2003 Supreme Court judgement.