Holm's Posts
Nairaland Forum › Holm's Profile › Holm's Posts
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fxuser:Locodemy is responsible for this. He is the technical indicator here. ![]() |
Godisfaithful:I don't think the economic indicators this year will be terrible, it's going to be mild deceleration or correction. In view of that at 600-650, dollars will be too expensive and naira asset will be very cheap. We'll get more dollar inflows this year than 2016 (from sources such as Oil proceeds, diaspora bond and eurobond). Don't forget that this Govt will also demonize imported product (name them toxic, set DSS on them and confiscate the rest thru customs). I hope I am right. Otherwise, Venezula, here we come. ![]() |
currentprice:@Currentprice, that stock is a mistery in terms of its PAT and revenue. It's supposed to be having less biz in this Buhari-led, no-import and frustrating-export, plant-here/eat-all-here economy . Abi, they transport recession and poverty to advanced countries. However, how you take they identify this diamonds? ![]() |
currentprice:Is there any unpopular stock aside Total/Mobil/FO? ![]() |
feelamong:The broker ignored the oportunity to invest the money directly, for a guaranteed return on your head. Head or tail, they get to make some money, albeit marginal profit. You are been lured to take on the whole risk alone. That is the scenario you need to internalize ATM. What is the Cost-Benefit to you, if it turns out right or the table turns against you? Answer that question, and you are good. The returns are good but the consequence, won't let me. Can't be telling stories that hurt at 74(Buhari's age ). |
holm:http://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/01/firstmobile-achieved-n1-3tr-transaction-value-first-bank-dmd-shobo/ |
fxuser:Hey Chairman, are you @ogus on twitter? |
Coolcash1:Thanks for the compliment, My Oga, My bad, the bolded is what i summarized in this hashtag ( #i-pity-fringe-players-in-all-sectors-of-our-economy ) I should have explained. Big players in individual sectors will devour all fringe players, please watch Access bank director say they have gotten more corporate accounts from fringe banks in 2016. Will MTN, Cocacola, Dangote babies keep account in the likes of Skye bank and be rewarded with maybe 50,000 cash back if the bank goes under; D ( I laugh in CAPSLOCK )Market leaders such as Flourmill gained market share as alluded to by the CEO in 2016. Dangote Flour/Sugar is big players in the North. With BH decimated, and, Buhari/CBN/Osinbajo in the "President to the President & Governor to the Governor" pocket (Dangote). If they don't play, Dangote will just announce that the refinery will not be ready till after election in 2019 (as they say, the rest is history: D ).My Oga, the list goes on and on. Total Petroleum will win in 2017, it will wipe out all fringe guys in due time( Ayo petroleum, Aruna petroleum and Uche petroleum). Our laws are great for entrenching monopoly. To be clear, only FCMB, amongst the tier 2 names, is where i'll place my bet for the FY16 result. http://www.cnbcafrica.com/video/?bctid=5215929981001 |
[quote author=Coolcash1 post=52607786]@holms, impressive narrative as always and you never disappoint me... I quite agree that the boisterous risk-free rate on guilt egde securities is adequate for deposit money banks in not creating credit...Its suffient for any bank to just turn it into ATM because of the guaranteed huge return. Although the objective of CBN coming up with such policy was to woo foreign portfolio investors, to me has been defeated..Thus, there is need for Emefiele to sit back and retrace his steps by changing the policy to a favourable and growth-induced one that aligns and support various fiscal measures of the government. You said only banks will be profitable to invest in this year, this is wrong. Not all of them are healthy for Investment because some are down and only drastic Strategic measure in form of M&A, share reconstruction, etc can revive them...Don't forget also that cetris paribus, cement manufacturing, oil and gas including agric would IMMENSELY be profitable... Thus, I see them as game changers too. Again, i say nice post. |
Godisfaithful:I stand to be corrected by the FY2016 results as they trickle in. While I believe there is need to cherry-pick amongst the bank and financial institution, this year belongs to the banks. 2016FY will be positive for most banks. For clue, take a look at the 2016Q3 for UBA, FX gains were carefully stated under special income but not included in the overall profit. That will be captured in the FY16 profit. Just imagine that bank do not need to create new credit/loans in 2017. 1). That means no new NPL's will be created as all retained earnings, new deposits, and new credit line will be channeled into FG's TB and Bonds at +/-20 rate(that is next to blood money, alas MMM). That is the miracle inherent in the stupidity of CBN governor (with the full backing of the Economic genius of our time/ Buhari). #i-pity-fringe-players-in-all-sectors-of-our-economy. 2).Take a look at the rise in transcactional income of FCMB/FBN, and project for the 2017. That is becoming a new but huge like of profit for top banks with presence in the electronic business space. 3). For as long as we have crazy TB rates. You'll never get it wrong with UCAP. Just imagine buying FG TB with 9months profit. I guess the staff can as well take a year long vacation in idanre hill(buy-naija-to-grow-the-naira). #Masterclass-in-Economic-policy-in-a-reccession(Buharinomics-101) In 2017, there is no business for banks like FG-TB&Bonds, till CBN/FG stays clear of expired weed from Dauraland. Take a look at NPL projection for Access Bank/UBA/Zenith & GTB in this piece: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-06/troubled-nigerian-loans-seen-spiking-before-economic-rebound |
feelamong: ![]() |
bolabiyi:N14.45 |
Sterling sells 8194 units, in multiple fold, everyday. Which sane person does that? |
FO(MMM) ponzi scheme is back in business ![]() |
currentprice:Make Coolcash move to better things nah ![]() |
currentprice:Oga Curentprice, in the spirit of BNSITL, please transfer so FO to Oga Coolcash at current price. ![]() |
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9free:Are you Duduspace? ![]() |
kam045:My email sent yesterday, bounced back as well, but i made a call to this number +23413429613 and was told the email was recieved. |
rebekah2011: ![]() |
angelo82:It is not his job to make claims on monetary policies. He can give his view. He did that before and phew the currency was fraudulently stage/state managed(Nigerian version of Float). He has just smartly said the same. Expect the outcome soon. He has plenty work in his office to do as the Leader of the econimic team. We don't even have an economic policy(good or bad) at the moment. We are planting rice and pumping money into the ecomony is not a policy(the outcome of that so far is starvation on the street). Agricultural Transformation Agenda, Structural Adjustment programme, Operation feed the Nation, Better Life(IBB). These are econimic policies that can be measured against outcome. Some will say they all failed. What is the Economic Policy from the Staples of this Government? FX rate? Our disposable income loses value every day and this Govt. collect salaries and other benefits in full, while eating free food in Aso Rock, driving people fueled luxury Automobiles. Help me here, at what rate does Govt officials( Buhari, Osinbajo, Kemi Adeosun, Udo Udoma, LIE Mohd etc convert the unspent portion of the estacode when they return from foreign trip. I laugh in DSS rate[color=#990000][/color] ![]() |
glogirl:Egypt just floated its currency. They got positive inflow immediately. They got Eurobond afterwards. Thy got IMF consessionary loan immediately. All this happened within a month of Floating the exchange. When Nigeria decieved the world that it floated. They were fooled about it and they started coming back(check capital inflow in the first 2 months after floatation). Then the truth started coming out about underground schemes the Govt/CBN played. They realised there is nothing like floatation in Nigeria but MARK-UP. Please how do you treat a cheatng spouse? by going back to be cheated on again? The foreign investors are not putting presuure on Nigeria, you know they don't say "you must sell your crude oil to Sudan, we market it to anybody and evrybody" when the see value they invest. Kemi Adeosun and Emefiele ran to America and UK to beg investors to come back to Nigeria and they said we don't see value in at the moment because your BOOKS ARE COOKED. If you cook the book"capital control" and dollar is 1 billion to the dollar nobody will come. Even Nigerians in diaspora don't trust the handling of the FX and Nigerians in Nigeria(NOT BDC) are buying up available dollars for keep under the pillow. So if you know this? will you advice your American/Italian/Angolan/Chinese/Russian/SouthAfrican childhood friend to bring FX to Nigeria today, convert it to Naira and keep in First Bank? Please note the Egyptian currency has since stabilized and the stock market has done 50% upside. While the Self Appointed Minister for Agric. Emefiele is busy inspecting rice farms while, the Self Appointed CBN Governor is making pronouncement to the world on matter than concern the CBN while wrecking the economy assigned to the office of the VP. We have been here before, did you see the backlash on the proposed Data Price Review? Lets keep going Occupy Ojota will be a child's play. Thank God Aisha Buhari has agreed to lead(Listen to her last interview). #corrupt govt is bad, but, incompetent government is deadlier that a currupt govt. A corrupt doctor kills some before being arrested but a bad econimic team wrecks havoc on a whole nation 180M people. |
lancee:This was planned for mid-2016, then pushed till year end. Now its 2017Q1. The God of Osinbajo would have shamed this Govt if they do it this year, under the DSS Controlled FX market. It would have been a epic failure. The template is right there in Venezuela. |
angelo82:We are all right, to call out Emefiele and Buhari( worst combo that poverty can bestow on a nation), but what amuses me most is the way the VP, who you would think is well educated, and full of great ideas, open his mouth to make pronouncement on issues purely in the purview of CBN is ridiculous. You can give order and send message to your boys (The gang at CBN) without telling it to the world that you control CBN. We know the Buhari is intellectually disadvantaged but how about a learned person in the mould of Pastor Osinbade. Can't he deliver the message with some wisdom? This MISFORTUNE(Buhari and his gang) has proven a simple thesis; corruption destroys a Nation but incompetence is faaaaaarrrr worse than corruption. Foreign investors have since realised that Buhari has not Changed. They will be measured in coming to Nigeria under him. He has that tendency to bring you into Nigeria in a crate(Dikko style. If you know what i mean). |
ExLaidback: |
OBAGADAFFI:http://www.fcmbgroup.com/investor-relations. You can get it from here. |
OBAGADAFFI:Profit taking in FO ![]() |
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