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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 9:21am On Jan 18, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 8:26pm On Jan 11, 2017
fxuser:
FCMB
- rejected at 1.40 halting the bulls
- yesterday's price action looks like '' an abandoned baby ''
- SP closed at Monday's price level 1.28 , SP needs to break this b4 it turn to new resistance
- RSI & Macd still in bullish support
- those who bought the N1.00 support , shud be over 25% up

#justObserving
Locodemy is responsible for this. He is the technical indicator here. cheesy cheesy cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 8:24pm On Jan 11, 2017
Godisfaithful:
Sir, they might be right or wrong but history always repeat itself. They projected last year (420 Naira to $1) and i heed to their advise with my own due diligence. They are projecting between 632-650 Naira to $1(6-12 months horizon). And the government is not helping the situation at the moment cool.


Note: This is just their opinion not a recommendation to buy $$$ and hold. Current average price base on their recommendation last year is 256 Naira to $1 and don't trust most of our Nigerian banks.
I don't think the economic indicators this year will be terrible, it's going to be mild deceleration or correction. In view of that at 600-650, dollars will be too expensive and naira asset will be very cheap.

We'll get more dollar inflows this year than 2016 (from sources such as Oil proceeds, diaspora bond and eurobond). Don't forget that this Govt will also demonize imported product (name them toxic, set DSS on them and confiscate the rest thru customs).

I hope I am right. Otherwise, Venezula, here we come. cheesy cheesy cheesy cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 8:16pm On Jan 11, 2017
currentprice:
bro... the stock is not in oil or bank sector. the stock is not liquid but am ready to roll with it unless somethings change grin grin

fully loaded with plus 36% paper gain so far grin

the stock is among top gainers today

do your DD grin
@Currentprice, that stock is a mistery in terms of its PAT and revenue. It's supposed to be having less biz in this Buhari-led, no-import and frustrating-export, plant-here/eat-all-here economy grin grin grin.
Abi, they transport recession and poverty to advanced countries.

However, how you take they identify this diamonds? wink wink
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 4:04pm On Jan 11, 2017
currentprice:
aagreed bro,,,,, but there is still one unpopular stock missing on your list which is likely to be among the best performing stock this year. bonus and dividend very likely grin



do your DD
Is there any unpopular stock aside Total/Mobil/FO? cool grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 9:19am On Jan 10, 2017
feelamong:
Please Brethren......is this a good time to take Margin Loan to mop up UBA and FBNH?

My brokers have just dangled that bait to me now..
The broker ignored the oportunity to invest the money directly, for a guaranteed return on your head. Head or tail, they get to make some money, albeit marginal profit.

You are been lured to take on the whole risk alone. That is the scenario you need to internalize ATM. What is the Cost-Benefit to you, if it turns out right or the table turns against you? Answer that question, and you are good.

The returns are good but the consequence, won't let me. Can't be telling stories that hurt at 74(Buhari's age grin cool).
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 9:49am On Jan 09, 2017
holm:
Thanks for the compliment, My Oga,

My bad, the bolded is what i summarized in this hashtag ( #i-pity-fringe-players-in-all-sectors-of-our-economy ) I should have explained. Big players in individual sectors will devour all fringe players, please watch Access bank director say they have gotten more corporate accounts from fringe banks in 2016. Will MTN, Cocacola, Dangote babies keep account in the likes of Skye bank and be rewarded with maybe 50,000 cash back if the bank goes under; D grin ( I laugh in CAPSLOCK grin cheesy)

Market leaders such as Flourmill gained market share as alluded to by the CEO in 2016. Dangote Flour/Sugar is big players in the North. With BH decimated, and, Buhari/CBN/Osinbajo in the "President to the President & Governor to the Governor" pocket (Dangote). If they don't play, Dangote will just announce that the refinery will not be ready till after election in 2019 (as they say, the rest is history: D cheesy cheesy).

My Oga, the list goes on and on. Total Petroleum will win in 2017, it will wipe out all fringe guys in due time( Ayo petroleum, Aruna petroleum and Uche petroleum). Our laws are great for entrenching monopoly.

To be clear, only FCMB, amongst the tier 2 names, is where i'll place my bet for the FY16 result.

http://www.cnbcafrica.com/video/?bctid=5215929981001
http://www.vanguardngr.com/2017/01/firstmobile-achieved-n1-3tr-transaction-value-first-bank-dmd-shobo/
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:07am On Jan 08, 2017
fxuser:
+++


Fav: '' The strong will get stronger in times of crises ''

#WOW
Hey Chairman, are you @ogus on twitter?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 3:27pm On Jan 07, 2017
Coolcash1:
@holms, impressive narrative as always and you never disappoint me...

I quite agree that the boisterous risk-free rate on guilt egde securities is adequate for deposit money banks in not creating credit...Its suffient for any bank to just turn it into ATM because of the guaranteed huge return. Although the objective of CBN coming up with such policy was to woo foreign portfolio investors, to me has been defeated..Thus, there is need for Emefiele to sit back and retrace his steps by changing the policy to a favourable and growth-induced one that aligns and support various fiscal measures of the government.

You said only banks will be profitable to invest in this year, this is wrong. Not all of them are healthy for Investment because some are down and only drastic Strategic measure in form of M&A, share reconstruction, etc can revive them...Don't forget also that cetris paribus, cement manufacturing, oil and gas including agric would IMMENSELY be profitable... Thus, I see them as game changers too.

Again, i say nice post.
Thanks for the compliment, My Oga,

My bad, the bolded is what i summarized in this hashtag ( #i-pity-fringe-players-in-all-sectors-of-our-economy ) I should have explained. Big players in individual sectors will devour all fringe players, please watch Access bank director say they have gotten more corporate accounts from fringe banks in 2016. Will MTN, Cocacola, Dangote babies keep account in the likes of Skye bank and be rewarded with maybe 50,000 cash back if the bank goes under; D grin ( I laugh in CAPSLOCK grin cheesy)

Market leaders such as Flourmill gained market share as alluded to by the CEO in 2016. Dangote Flour/Sugar is big players in the North. With BH decimated, and, Buhari/CBN/Osinbajo in the "President to the President & Governor to the Governor" pocket (Dangote). If they don't play, Dangote will just announce that the refinery will not be ready till after election in 2019 (as they say, the rest is history: D cheesy cheesy).

My Oga, the list goes on and on. Total Petroleum will win in 2017, it will wipe out all fringe guys in due time( Ayo petroleum, Aruna petroleum and Uche petroleum). Our laws are great for entrenching monopoly.

To be clear, only FCMB, amongst the tier 2 names, is where i'll place my bet for the FY16 result.

http://www.cnbcafrica.com/video/?bctid=5215929981001
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 3:26pm On Jan 07, 2017
[quote author=Coolcash1 post=52607786]@holms, impressive narrative as always and you never disappoint me...

I quite agree that the boisterous risk-free rate on guilt egde securities is adequate for deposit money banks in not creating credit...Its suffient for any bank to just turn it into ATM because of the guaranteed huge return. Although the objective of CBN coming up with such policy was to woo foreign portfolio investors, to me has been defeated..Thus, there is need for Emefiele to sit back and retrace his steps by changing the policy to a favourable and growth-induced one that aligns and support various fiscal measures of the government.

You said only banks will be profitable to invest in this year, this is wrong. Not all of them are healthy for Investment because some are down and only drastic Strategic measure in form of M&A, share reconstruction, etc can revive them...Don't forget also that cetris paribus, cement manufacturing, oil and gas including agric would IMMENSELY be profitable... Thus, I see them as game changers too.

Again, i say nice post.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm:
Godisfaithful:
I greet all my NSEMPAs' family. I hope everyone enjoy there Christmas and New Year holiday. Certainly, this year must remains favor to us and our household. Back to business, Concerning stock market, everyone (Including me) opinion is neither right nor wrong when emotions, fate, fear, and fortune are involved. My only simple advise is that let's thread carefully with all this companies especially the banks before making our BUY decision. The coast is not that clear when it comes to our(NIGERIA) economic policy. Remember, there's always a BULL market somewhere when your entry price is right so you don't have to be worry. "DON'T RUSH A BUY DECISION THAT MIGHT COST YOU...WE STILL HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO"

Once again, I'm wishing us all blessed and favorably 2017!!!
I stand to be corrected by the FY2016 results as they trickle in. While I believe there is need to cherry-pick amongst the bank and financial institution, this year belongs to the banks. 2016FY will be positive for most banks. For clue, take a look at the 2016Q3 for UBA, FX gains were carefully stated under special income but not included in the overall profit. That will be captured in the FY16 profit.

Just imagine that bank do not need to create new credit/loans in 2017.
1). That means no new NPL's will be created as all retained earnings, new deposits, and new credit line will be channeled into FG's TB and Bonds at +/-20 rate(that is next to blood money, alas MMM). That is the miracle inherent in the stupidity of CBN governor (with the full backing of the Economic genius of our time/ Buhari).

#i-pity-fringe-players-in-all-sectors-of-our-economy.

2).Take a look at the rise in transcactional income of FCMB/FBN, and project for the 2017. That is becoming a new but huge like of profit for top banks with presence in the electronic business space.

3). For as long as we have crazy TB rates. You'll never get it wrong with UCAP. Just imagine buying FG TB with 9months profit. I guess the staff can as well take a year long vacation in idanre hill(buy-naija-to-grow-the-naira).
#Masterclass-in-Economic-policy-in-a-reccession(Buharinomics-101)

In 2017, there is no business for banks like FG-TB&Bonds, till CBN/FG stays clear of expired weed from Dauraland.

Take a look at NPL projection for Access Bank/UBA/Zenith & GTB in this piece: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-06/troubled-nigerian-loans-seen-spiking-before-economic-rebound
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:06pm On Jan 05, 2017
feelamong:
Oga go and post those jargons in the Politics section....

we are trying to seperate serious fight between bulls and beers here
grin cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 8:04am On Dec 28, 2016
bolabiyi:
Compliments..pls can someone help me wit d price of zenith...tanks
N14.45
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 7:03pm On Dec 26, 2016
grin
foandt:
Academy press resembles your moniker now
grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:12pm On Dec 21, 2016
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 12:40pm On Dec 21, 2016
Sterling sells 8194 units, in multiple fold, everyday. Which sane person does that?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 10:28am On Dec 21, 2016
FO(MMM) ponzi scheme is back in business grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 4:51pm On Dec 14, 2016
currentprice:
leave coolcash ,, man can not eat all alone. he already in TOTAL and MOBIL train
Make Coolcash move to better things nah grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:10pm On Dec 14, 2016
currentprice:
no be only deposit,,,,what of withdraw brother grin
Oga Curentprice, in the spirit of BNSITL, please transfer so FO to Oga Coolcash at current price.
cool cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 10:18pm On Dec 12, 2016
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 11:25am On Dec 07, 2016
9free:
My People, lately I have been unable to access SMN.
Seems that site is down.
Are you Duduspace? undecided
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 12:38pm On Dec 06, 2016
kam045:
Ladies $ Gentlemen,
Morgan capital group e-mail addresses seems to be bouncing back. I have sent mail severally but keep bouncing back. I need to withdraw my cash resident in my stock broking account with Morgan.
Any information to the speedy resolution of this issue will be highly appreciated.
My email sent yesterday, bounced back as well, but i made a call to this number +23413429613 and was told the email was recieved.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 11:23am On Dec 02, 2016
Coolcash1:
Are you tired of the roller coaster ride?
An why did you just sell your 20000units? wink cheesy grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 2:58pm On Dec 01, 2016
rebekah2011:
Sir, just be careful. some did this with skye and oando. They are currently on the mountains fasting and praying
grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 12:02pm On Dec 01, 2016
angelo82:
You might take your words back concerning the VP because he seems to be the only one who cares and who forced the devaluation somehow because Buhari was not ready to neither float nor devalue and beside that he is the one in charge of the economy.
It is not his job to make claims on monetary policies. He can give his view. He did that before and phew the currency was fraudulently stage/state managed(Nigerian version of Float). He has just smartly said the same. Expect the outcome soon.

He has plenty work in his office to do as the Leader of the econimic team. We don't even have an economic policy(good or bad) at the moment.
We are planting rice and pumping money into the ecomony is not a policy(the outcome of that so far is starvation on the street).

Agricultural Transformation Agenda, Structural Adjustment programme, Operation feed the Nation, Better Life(IBB). These are econimic policies that can be measured against outcome. Some will say they all failed.

What is the Economic Policy from the Staples of this Government? FX rate?

Our disposable income loses value every day and this Govt. collect salaries and other benefits in full, while eating free food in Aso Rock, driving people fueled luxury Automobiles.

Help me here, at what rate does Govt officials( Buhari, Osinbajo, Kemi Adeosun, Udo Udoma, LIE Mohd etc convert the unspent portion of the estacode when they return from foreign trip. I laugh in DSS rate[color=#990000][/color] grin grin grin cheesy cheesy cheesy wink wink wink
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 10:15am On Dec 01, 2016
glogirl:
But I have a question ....
When foreign investors were pouring into the country in the last few years, the exchange rate was still pegged by CBN,no ?
I truly don't recall in the history of this country a floating exchange rate .
Why the sudden pressure from the foreign investors for Nigeria to float it's currency? Isn't this a legal form of blackmail because they know our reserves can never match our consumption?
Even if the currency is floated and it goes upto 1000, what guarantees do we have from them? Our currency went from 160 to 480 in one year and they still didnt come.
I bet you at 1000 they won't come too, if I were them I will wait for your reserve to deplete... it's getting there steadily.
I am not an economics scholar but we must solve our problems at the Fundamental level... refine crude, reduce imports, produce rice, in general drop our consumption of dollar. That is the only genuine and long lasting solution to our problem.
Egypt just floated its currency. They got positive inflow immediately. They got Eurobond afterwards. Thy got IMF consessionary loan immediately. All this happened within a month of Floating the exchange.

When Nigeria decieved the world that it floated. They were fooled about it and they started coming back(check capital inflow in the first 2 months after floatation). Then the truth started coming out about underground schemes the Govt/CBN played. They realised there is nothing like floatation in Nigeria but MARK-UP.

Please how do you treat a cheatng spouse? by going back to be cheated on again?

The foreign investors are not putting presuure on Nigeria, you know they don't say "you must sell your crude oil to Sudan, we market it to anybody and evrybody" when the see value they invest.

Kemi Adeosun and Emefiele ran to America and UK to beg investors to come back to Nigeria and they said we don't see value in at the moment because your BOOKS ARE COOKED. If you cook the book"capital control" and dollar is 1 billion to the dollar nobody will come. Even Nigerians in diaspora don't trust the handling of the FX and Nigerians in Nigeria(NOT BDC) are buying up available dollars for keep under the pillow. So if you know this? will you advice your American/Italian/Angolan/Chinese/Russian/SouthAfrican childhood friend to bring FX to Nigeria today, convert it to Naira and keep in First Bank?

Please note the Egyptian currency has since stabilized and the stock market has done 50% upside. While the Self Appointed Minister for Agric. Emefiele is busy inspecting rice farms while, the Self Appointed CBN Governor is making pronouncement to the world on matter than concern the CBN while wrecking the economy assigned to the office of the VP.

We have been here before, did you see the backlash on the proposed Data Price Review? Lets keep going Occupy Ojota will be a child's play. Thank God Aisha Buhari has agreed to lead(Listen to her last interview).

#corrupt govt is bad, but, incompetent government is deadlier that a currupt govt.

A corrupt doctor kills some before being arrested but a bad econimic team wrecks havoc on a whole nation 180M people.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:33am On Dec 01, 2016
lancee:
http://abokifx.com/interview-nigeria-finish-eurobond-sale-end-q1-make-currency-flexible-vice-president-reuters/
This was planned for mid-2016, then pushed till year end. Now its 2017Q1. The God of Osinbajo would have shamed this Govt if they do it this year, under the DSS Controlled FX market. It would have been a epic failure. The template is right there in Venezuela.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:22am On Dec 01, 2016
angelo82:
They have no choice other than float the currency fully but Emefeile must go to restore confidence in our economy.
We are all right, to call out Emefiele and Buhari( worst combo that poverty can bestow on a nation), but what amuses me most is the way the VP, who you would think is well educated, and full of great ideas, open his mouth to make pronouncement on issues purely in the purview of CBN is ridiculous. You can give order and send message to your boys (The gang at CBN) without telling it to the world that you control CBN.

We know the Buhari is intellectually disadvantaged but how about a learned person in the mould of Pastor Osinbade. Can't he deliver the message with some wisdom?

This MISFORTUNE(Buhari and his gang) has proven a simple thesis; corruption destroys a Nation but incompetence is faaaaaarrrr worse than corruption.

Foreign investors have since realised that Buhari has not Changed. They will be measured in coming to Nigeria under him. He has that tendency to bring you into Nigeria in a crate(Dikko style. If you know what i mean).
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 3:45pm On Nov 27, 2016
ExLaidback:
Apparently, FCMB's 3rd quarter loss is 'artificial'. Makes all the difference.

How is the loss Artificial? And how does it make the difference?



$$$
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 5:23pm On Nov 25, 2016
OBAGADAFFI:
Your link isn't working .
http://www.fcmbgroup.com/investor-relations.

You can get it from here.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 5:16pm On Nov 25, 2016
OBAGADAFFI:
EQUITY REPORT

Nigerian Equities Market Closes the Week Bearish… NSE ASI down 62bps
The Nigerian bourse closed the last trading day of the week bearish as the Industrial Goods Index dampened market performance significantly. The NSE ASI fell 62bps to settle at 25,333.39 points, whilst Investors lost N54.04 billion as market capitalization dipped to N8.70tn. The negative performance in the market was due to profit taking in FO (-8.99%), OKOMUOIL (-9.68%), DANGCEM (-0.93%), WAPCO (-3.17%) and JBERGER (-3.05%). Consequently, YtD loss fell to -11.55%, whilst Volume and Value appreciated by 48.41% and 88.00% to settle at N144.16 million and 2.14 billion respectively.

Industrial Goods Index Dampened Market Performance
Most sector Indices closed positive save for the Industrial Goods Index (-1.71%) which lost the most consequent on profit taking in DANGCEM (-1.51%) and WAPCO (-3.17%). The Banking Index (-0.71%) followed suit due to sell down pressure in STANBIC (-3.62%), ETI (-3.06%) and ZENITHBANK (-1.43%). On the flip side, the Oil & Gas (0.39%) and Insurance (0.11%) Indices gained as a result of bargain hunting in TOTAL (10.25%), MOBIL (5.00%) and CONTINSURE (1.01%), whilst the Consumer Goods Index (0.06%) gained on account of positive sentiments in PRESCO (0.50%), DANGSUGAR (3.16%) and VITAFOAM (4.80%).

Market Breadth Turns Negative
Investors’ sentiment remained positive as market breadth (A-D Ratio) settled at 0.8x (vs 1.2x previously) following price appreciation in 15 stocks against losses recorded in 20 stocks. TOTAL (10.25%), MOBIL (5.00%) and VITAFOAM (4.80%) were top gainers, while OKOMUOIL (-9.68%), FO (-8.99%) and OANDO (-5.00%) were top losers.
Profit taking in FO undecided
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by holm: 1:17am On Nov 24, 2016
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin

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