₦airaland Forum

Ogun State INEC official Results:
1947258/570985/invalid:27270/valid:/ACN:199555,ANPP:2969,CPC:17654,PDP:309177

onome25:
for those of u insulting me cos of my previous post should continue o, i.am enjoying the curse o.
i have lived in the north for close to 25 years! & i can best tell u what a core hausa or muslim man is.
for me i said the truth about them period.
so i dont care about any insult frm u oooooooo cos i.m enjoying the insult & as long as i log on to nairaland, i will never insult anyone here.
tanx to u all

I think the way u are being critical of the north is unfair, I live in the north too, aside from the times of crisis, live there is good, people go by their daily lives without any intimidation, the igbo man is every where selling spare parts, electronics etc, if the people weren't accomodating like your posts seem to suggest they won't be there.we keep saying the hausa man will not vote for a xtian or a southerner, yet GEJ got 440,000+ in kano, sokoto 309000+, Jigawa 414000  votes. Those voting for GEJ in the north are northerners and muslims too, likewise many South western Muslims have voted GEJ.
Lets stop this spread of hate that has no basis nor any empirical evidence, in the last 12 years the south has rules for 9 years, and most likely the south will have another 4 years, but yet guys keep saying the north has been ruling us since, the north is responsible for our woes.

cantell:
They voted for him because they believed in him.

That question will be answered in the next 4 years, I think we should forget about who lost and why someone lost, i think we all should start thinking ahead, and instead be yearning for the appointing of credible personalities as ministers.Whether Goodluck's government will fail or perform will depend largely on his appointment, so far He has made only one good appointment and that is JEGA

STATES                      Goodluck Jonathan        Muhammad Buhari    Ribadu

ABIA                             1,175,954                          3,608                       4,156

OGUN                         303, 0000                            17,000                 199,000

OSUN                           188,409                                6,997                 299, 711

OYO                              484, 758                              92, 396               252, 240

KWARA                        268,243                                83,603                  52, 432

KANO                             440, 666                             1,624, 354            42, 353

EDO                               542, 173                               17,795

ENUGU                          802, 144                                3,753

LAGOS                        1, 281, 688                            189, 983             427, 000

With these results posted on saharareporters I think it is safe to say GEJ is going to win. Buhari can't make the 2/3 requirement. Congratulations to Mr. Goodluck Jonathan; we pray you would not disappoint us, even though I am a BB supporter

Sagamite:
Not possible!

Under both 134 (1) and 134 (2), anyone that is declared winner must have majority of the overall votes.

There is a slim chance of this happening, I can only think of 19 states (Zamfara,Yobe,Taraba,Sokoto,Niger,Nasarawa,Kwara,Kebbi,Kogi,Katsina,Kano,Kaduna,jigawa,Gombe,Borno,benue,bauchi,adamawa,plateau) in which Buhari is sure of getting over 25%, but with the low figures being posted in the south west in particular, it is possible He still gets majority over a very slim margin. For example at my polling station it is about 800 cpc votes to 100 pdp votes, that 700 margin can cover about 5 polling booths in lagos.GEJ on the hand is likely to score very low in core north (e.g Sokoto, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Borno, Gombe). there is a slim chance it can happen

mrjingles:
134. (1) A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be  
   deemed to have be been duly elected, where, there being only two candidates  
   for the election -  
         (a) he has the majority of votes cast at the election; and  
         (b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election  
         in each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and  
         the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.
     (2) A candidate for an election to the office of President shall be deemed  
     to have been duly elected where, there being more than two candidates for  
     the election-  
         (a) he has the highest number of votes cast at the election;  
         and  
         (b) he has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election  
         each of at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and            the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.

Understand  the constitutional provisions.[s] Candidate must FIRST win MAJORITY  in at LEAST 2/3 of states with a MINIMUM of 25% of votes cast in EACH  state he wins. It means if candidate A wins a state but he does not receive  at LEAST 25% of votes he will NOT have won that state as far as the election is concerned. It means if there are many candidates in a state and one of them wins but all his votes amount to say 15% of ALL votes cast then he has not won that state.[/s] Lets understand to avoid confusion when results are declared. BTW above is S134 of the CONSTITUTION

Thanks it is clearer now, it means the winner must have 24 states in which He got not less than 25% of the votes in that state. If any candidate can't meet this then really He doesn't deserve to be the President. But my grouse now is, if  candidate A gets the majority of the votes (134(1)a) and candidateB gets more than 25% of votes counted in 24 states(134(1)b). What happens, will candidate B be declared winner or will there be a re-run. I am really concerned because very few are aware of this provisio, and it is a potential recipe for crisis .

themano:
With the results i am seeing from all over the North, Buhari will SURELY win the popular total votes. He is leading MASSIVELY in ALL the nothern states including Plateau! not sure of Benue yet.Not sure if he will get the required 25% in 24 votes.  Even though GEJ is sweeping the south, the figures are not encouraging. Poor turn out of registered voters. Buhari is even winning in Ibadan and won some wards in Lagos. I can smell run off between the 2.

This thing is still very fussy, what states will make up the 24 states (2/3 of 36 states). If Buhari wins plateau, Benue then GEJ is finished,; but kai Buhari can never win Plateau, those people hate hausa like mad

Sagamite:
You are on point there!!!

I agree with you, but sincerely speaking I think southerners are more guilty. North voted for Obasanjo, North voted for Abiola. Don't want to debate it anyways, but I think both North and South needs to rethink, we won't get anywhere with this kind of attituide

Quoted from Buhari Facebook fanpage: In my pollin center at Lagos Agege local gov ward c . CPC 192 PDP 62 ACN 45. I doubt it though

Adamuhassa:
When were you born? You must be one of the underaged voters. Buhari? Qualities?

You may be over 18 in age, but your brain is underaged. Must you result to insults to pass a simple point Rather than state the qualities He lacks and backup with evidence and also state how GEJ fares  better with his own qualities you resulted to insults I guess it is because you are empty.

aletheia:
From the Buhari4change facebook site:

"Katsina PU:20/21/04/019
PDP:215 CPC:184 ACN:0" some one from katsina should confirm this reuslt

Can this be true If it is, then game over

Princek12:
If Jonathan wins, which I believe he will, I just hope that something good comes out of his presidency. He has promised-and he is taking affirmative steps--to deregulate and privatize the PHCN (Nepa). That would be a sustainable path towards solving Nigeria'a power crisis once and for all.

If he can pull it off, that would be  a legacy. My qualms with Buhari is that he wants to "reform" the PHCN. How can you keep reforming an entity that is hemorrhaging money and will never be successful. Reforming the PHCN also endangers our power sector because if another inept government takes over in the future, their ineptitude could revert the PHCN to the way it ways, meaning we would be back to square one without adequate power.

Privatization and deregulation present the best prospects to end our power crisis once and for alll.

Privatizing PHCN is not the solution, Tinubu gave us the solution 8 years ago but PDP or should I say Obasanjo killed it. The solution is to allow other power companies exist side by side with PHCN, Enron was coming to do that but Obasanjo frustrated it.NITEL existed side by side with MTN, Econet and Glo but couldn't survive the competition. That is the type of competition the power industry needs. There is a lot of money to be made in the power sector of Nigeria, so I believe the private companies will make the investment if the environment is right

Adamuhassa:
, And the mooooron is going to win and become your President, Actually that is the beauty of democracy. MAJORITY RULE.

Lets face it and stop beating around the bush, the major reason Buhari is unpopular in the south is not because of his qualities or lack of it but because He is a northerner. simply put it majority of southerners don't want a northerner at the moment even if Buhari were to be contesting against Bode George, most southerners would still prefer Bode George especially christian southerners

Princek12:
Dont worry. buhari will do a good job fighting corruption as head of the efcc. since his entire campaign bottomed on anti-corruption, he would be better situated if he heads the efcc; that way he can maximize his desire for ending corruption

If I were Goodluck, should I win, I will go to Buhari and talk to him to come and head EFCC, that way Goodluck Government's image will receive a major boost that He is confident in the face of opposition.But I know even if He has the guts, PDP members wouldn't let him

odumchi:
[size=8pt]If you want progress vote GOODLUCK NIGERIA[/size]

Too late for campaign all is in God's hands now, for those who believe in destiny

deking:
BB2011 is not doing badly in Lagos just yet as they are still within the essential 25% which will be required at the end of the day following a massive sweeping of the north. Ribadu like I told my colleagues was deceived by Tinubu. Here are results from some polling units in VI,

PU/08/02/025
ACN ---- 64 CPC ---- 70 PDP ---- 208 ANPP --- 2
PRP ----1
PNPP---1
FOILED ---10
PU/08/02/024
ACN --- 59 CPC --- 44 PDP ---149 ANPP --- 1
FOR THE FUTURE OF OUR CHILDREN

I think GEJ would be worried about these figures, because when counting starts in the north you would be seeing figures like 1000 votes, should PDP fumble in the north they may be in some trouble.But funnily northern elites are not supporting Buhari although not openly. They are scared of losing their wealth, a lot of their wealthy men got their money through government patronage.

sparkle10:
Just saw loads of under-age voters on queue to vote in Gombe. Shown on AIT minutes ago. Mennh, these malams are stubborn sha. Learn't riot even erupted since they insisted on voting.

Really, I have been glued to AIT since morning, how come I missed the videoBut true talk sha underaged voters dey, I don't know how prevalent they are in other zones, but we have some underaged voters here in the north, but I don't think it issignificant enough to make any serious difference.Speaking from experience at my kaduna voting booth. However, it is difficult to determine people's age by appearance, this malnourished almajiris may not be as young as the appear because of stunted growth and at the same time poverty can also make someone look older than his real age.

Allta:
That makes sense , IMHO, PDP is the only platform which has been able to capture wider spread in Naija. They might have performed less than expected last week, but I'm sure now that the presidential front is a different ball game entirely, my prayer is, whoever wins; should have enough support to move the country forward.

My point is which takes precedence over which, i.e more votes or winning 25% of 2/3 of the states. Will this lead to a run-off I don't think this should be an herculean task for Buhari, if we are saying he only needs to get 25% of the total votes counted in 24 states. Definitely the states that would form the 23 that would be counted for Buhari will include the states in which he has the highest votes, and with the voter apathy in the south, his northern votes may carry a big weight. But the thing is still confusing me, how will it be implemented. How will the states, that will make up the 23 be counted.

azorjiu:
Jonathan begins his win.

http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Home/5690533-146/election_results_live_updates__.csp

Too early, you would argue, but it a a harbinger of the outcome.

Here is where my theory lies, while guys in lagos are pulling a total vote of just less than 200, here in the north polling booths are recording above 1000 voters, speaking from Kaduna experience.

Pain:
The Most Likely Winner Is Not Bringing To The Table Any Laudable Scorecard or Road Map. Same For All The Other Contenders.
It's Rather Unfortunate That We Are A Nation Whose Collective Decision Has Never Been Fact or Issue Based. We Are Merely Driven By Sentiments.

It Is Rather Unfortunate That The Likely Winner Will Be Voted Based On Mere Sentiments.I Groan For Nigeria. We Are Not Ready. We Have Never Been.
Sentiment Is A Lame Horse. It Will Never Take Us To The Promise Land. A Large Section of The Populace Have No Personal Ideology. The Problem is Not Just The Leaders. Nigerians Are Just Followers of Men Armed With The Road map to Hell. Evil leaders, Silly Followers.

It is sad; but with benefit of an hindsight, we are on the track that will lead us to the promised land. People learn best from experience, the way I see it people will vote along sentimental lines and at the end would suffer for it and regret it. That is how the change will come, people need to learn from real life experiences. It was from the 2007 sad election experience that people learnt and resolved not to allow this country go that way again. We are on the path.

How will this elctoral rule play out in deciding the winner of the presidential election: The  regional representation formula which demands that winners must win 25% in two-thirds of the 36 states,   may be the main decider in this election, it could be very controversial and hence my fear. Which will take precedence assuming Buhari gets more votes numerically while Jonathan wins more states numerically, from my calculations this is a possibility, because of the huge turn out in the north and comparably low turn out in the south.

Dav.e:
Quote from Mariory

It is unlikely Rigassa people will rig, because it is just unnecessary, Rigassa is the hub of local Hausa slum settlers, the place is huge and it is slum. They are supporting Buhari 99%, hence there is practically no reason to rig for CPC, it is just like saying PDP is rigging bayelsa.

I'll like to call out to NairaLanders to take whatever the outcome of this election is in good faith, the name calling, the hate spreading needs to stop; all candidates have the right to be voted and be voted for. Personal abuses are immature and unnecessary. I wish you all the best.
[b]From my side(ungwa dosa, kaduna):[/b]Turn out was huge, election quite organised and going on peacefully. People provided canopies, and even went ahead to serve voters food in take away food packs. Election here is a very serious business, someone actually brought a one month looking baby along with her to vote(that was unreasonable to me)

efeboy:
My heart bleeds to see how religious, tribalistic and sentimental this long awaited election has become.

Some few months ago, a reasonable amount of knowledgeable and politically aware persons were talking about the elections without any sentiments or religious

view attached to it. The guiding thought was that - this was the time for true change in the country. The general talk was about who the

MOST CAPABLE MAN FOR THE JOB was.

How come is it that some people are forgetting all this and bringing tribe and religion into this. Maybe this is showing that Nigerians are not really ready for the

change they really need.

Because that is the only way GEJ can win,; by sweeping up religious and tribal sentiments, pro-GEJ supporters try to scare away rationalists and objective people from supporting Buhari. Watch how they never talk of the good qualities of GEJ (perhaps because there are none!), but they always put all their energy in discrediting Buhaari without evidence. They even had to accuse the man of trying to islamise Nigeria, a claim that was never heard of in the last 2 elections Buhari contested.Suddenly Buhari is a terrorist today, just because they want GEJ to be President.People get what they deserve, if GEJ wins, then that is what Nigerians deserve, I pray I no go ever join una in suffering.

bisiaet:
I'm least surprise that CPC lost out I knew it already and I stand on that fact that Buhari is not a democratic material and will not rule this country. Everybody now has seen the true finger print on the wall what general election will look like. Can any one tell what is CPC? even LP, ANPP, APGA has more winners than the so called sky rockected noise about CPC please in a good sense of judgement as I said long ago that a party that has No single state to itself and is dreaming to become the president can we called that a Miracle Now see how CPC were floored all round like a lost jingolo in a desert and some are still saying they will get it right in general election How. This is just a child joke. 2011 is a game of PDP and ACN anyone waiting for a miracle for Mr pretender Buhari the person is just dreaming and wasting his time absolutely.

Bakare could not even record a single win in his own state in last saturday election and he is talking about presidency I think now he understand well that food doesnt fall from heaven anylonger get your doing right and get result is as simple as that. The same way CPC were floored in saturday election so also they will be floor, flog and humiliated in the presidential election. Let Buhari go back to those who promise him heaven and earth if he win and turn Nigeria to islamic state and tell them Nigeria are wiser now we need no sharia, lynch, maimed and kill politcs, Nigeria is no Somalia, or Yemen. Pretender!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Why must you defame the man, all your allegations have no basis, they are all figments of your imagination. The man ruled as a military rule(where He had power to do and not be questioned) and He didn't attempt to Islamise Nigeria, The man headed one the biggest parastatals ever in terms of finance, and yet No one can accuse him of stealing, without bias, I remember his days as President, they were one of our best times. Even though most of us remember it as the Idi-Agbon era, but now I know the man who was behind Idi-Agbon.

But I see you are quite naive, the voting pattern experienced last saturday will be very different next week, just as we expect PDP to get more votes in the South-WEst, so also is CPC expected to get a lot more votes in the North.Whatever, the case the people voted for their choice (personality) and not party. So come next week people will also vote for their choice, those that like rogues will vote for rogues and those that like honest people will vote for honest people.

tunde300us:
It is too early to celebrate,the major elections are yet to come.But whatever that may happen to PDP(i don't even care much) what i need is only the presidency.Nigerians should vote GEJ massively as president come saturday.Even the 1993 election cannot be as fair as what we are witnessing so far and for his sincerity of purpose,Nigerians will give their votes to GEJ.

And what is talking ?

Jittery GEJ supporter, trying to beg us to vote for GEJ Why don't you speak for yourself, if you will vote for GEJ doesn't mean every Nigerian will. We are fed up of PDP, GEJ lost in ASO ROCK, what else can that tell you

jmaine:
They would understand better next week . . . .    

The Kano people are a peculiar set, their voting pattern can be quite unpredictable.However I must say PDP is having a strong showing because the Kano people are not in support of Abacha's son whom is contesting for governorship under CPC. And this does not mean the people are not in support of Buhari because Buhari himself is not in support of the CPC governorship candidate in Katsina and Kano.