Jedisco's Posts
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OpenHeaven2019:Hehe... It's same cycle that keeps recurring Whales sell into euphoria for a while (this time at 60k)>> afterwards, the FUD mill goes on and all the bad news starts reeling out>>they then start market selling causing a dip, at first>>folks are buying and longing the dip but with persistent selling, they cause a capitulation cascade of leveraged traders to fill their resting bids below>>of course there'd be a bounce and not all their bids are filled>>they sacrifice some betece and market sell into the bounce and thesame time adding more FUD (remember the new china release 2 days ago), this time, new folks capitulate and sell their bags at a loss into support>>>When they're done buying, they increase the volume on the positive news>>>Folks who recently sold at a loss will then FOMO into the pump... People are saying its Elon musk that caused the pump... Not necessarily... Those who caused it where the whales who were buying 30k past few days... Now, retail is pumping the news.... Don't be surprised there's more good news over the next few days of what institutions bought at 30k causing further FOMO |
CodeBlooded:Apologies.... Just learn from it.... During yesterday's drop was about the worst time to sell...... If you're going to close positions to buy lower, then be sure of levels before pulling the trigger.... Cos most times, once stuff starts nuking and you panic sell, you end up selling the bottom... Most folks who sold yesterday would end up buying higher. |
OpenHeaven2019:Hehe... Nice one... In summary, it's best to take profits on the way up...so one can have firepower to bid red days |
jedisco:On this, seems 30k was bid heavily..... The printing press was in overdrive I was looking at the usdc and usdt market cap charts on coinmarketcap (attached)... Though its a lagging one (hence its not a smooth curve)... But almost 10 billion usd was added to the market over these past few days... Not including busd and Tusd which also saw some uptick.... I still believe there's a non-negligible chance that in the future, price may come to dip briefly below 30k to clear all liquidity there... Eitherway, I don't think that happens soon.
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jedisco:This didn't age badly... It's always darkest before daybreak.... It's worth remembering lessons learnt on this selloff cos it'd occur again and again in future... Always remember... this market flows in cycles..... |
jedisco:Out of curiosity... Did anyone snipe some of these entries? Was a difficult one at the time... But yes, if you bought the dip, you deserve the pump... P.s... stuff is still in range... Not expecting most coins to start creating ATH as yet.... Difficult to say how far up they'd rally, but as always, a good number who panic sold into major support would fomo in at higher prices to push stuff up...... The daily- weekly candles should serve as a good guide on when to take profits |
Same Goldman Sachs in 2021 are soon to publish an article arguing for and actually classing crypt0 as a new asset class... (Reminds me a bit of myself) I'd post some snapshots here but should be a good read for those interested in the workings of the space.... Two things to note from the snapshots are: 1. 90% of all bitc0in that would ever exist has already been issued... Out of this, a small but significant percentage is lost. 2. The supply of bitc0in is cut in half every 4 years... In essence, it's deflationary...as demand grows, supply reduces. In summary, I'd argue against the consistent back and forth here regarding crypt0... At this stage of its existence, one of two things can either be true about crypt0 viz- 1. It turns out to be the greatest ponzi scheme known to man- one that lasted over a decade, managed to hoodwink lots of both regular folks and institutions in different continents, one that made Governments enact rules governing its trade and taxation (after being unable to ban it) and various central banks look into further utilisation... Would be one hell of a scheme.. 2. That in some way still brewing but not as clear to us now, it'd play a huge role in shaping finance and transacting in future years just like the internet did with communication.... It's obvious what side of the bet I've taken... Would be a good one to watch how it pans out
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Still on crypt0.... I note a number of arguments have been partly put against it here. This snapshot from an article by Goldman Sachs in 2020 summaries most of the arguments put forward against crypt0....and arguing against it being an asset class.
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stevemims:You could quote me here, on the crypt0 thread or any thread of your choosing.... But if it's on the economics around crypt0, personal research will usually answer most of your questions.... |
Lazyyouth4u:Gracias... Good to know people pick up stuff from posts given I largely stay off crypt0 discussions here..I will still post thoughts from time to time.... It's good having healthy discussions around different assets. Perhaps, I was a bit emotional with some of my responses.. Was a red but healthy week in crypt0 and it was annoying seeing folks who have been waiting on the sidelines to say I told you so (rather ignorantly)... Think I was triggered and went on a rant.... Well weekend is over... New week, new focus.... |
jedisco:On this... First 4hrly close above the 4hr ema since 58k... Betece Now in the process of confirming it as support and also looking to make a higher high above the last high of 38k... Hold this and me thinks the bottom (at least for now) is in Interesting times....
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mike8804:My brother it goes both ways oo... E be like say shit coyns never do you something... Have you ever asked yourself why most people who've been long in this market and trading volume stick mainly to majors? Even if your portfolio is small, to grow it, you have to think like those with larger portfolio... Like I always say, making money in crypt0 is easy... keeping it is the hard part. |
On betece..... Throughout this selloff, it's held the 21ema on the 4gr chart (1st pic) as resistance....continuously rejecting off it... Getting above and flipping this would be key for any further upside.... Currently sits at 36.9k which is close to the previous high of 38k On the daily chart, yesterday's close lost the daily support of 36.7k... not a good sign... Overall, 30k is still holding as support and the 37-38k level is resistance... Soon enough, one of them would give and let this drawn out horror end
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DieRich5:Anyone can write anything on twitter... Tesla bought their bitc0in at low 30k and sold 10% or so around 50-60k.... A Google search should confirm this |
DieRich5:Source?... BTW, there are those in this for the long haul and not interested in every weekly move... Interestingly, those are the people who win big in this game... You could watch the video below and see someone explaining what bitc0in would be and begging people to buy it for a few dollars 8 years back... I'm sure some would have been more interested in whether it was 1.8 or dipped 1.t dolls then... Today all that doesn't matter... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cw29h7LhEuE My point is folks like Tesla bought cos they believe in the Tech nd know that in future, it wouldn't matter whether he bought for 20k or 40k |
Stumbled upon this... It's not as bad as it looks.... Being in the fastest growing asset class comes with some price
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olushollys:Hmm.. not so much a drawback considering current market conditions.... Things should balance soon... |
DieRich5:Where are you getting this information from? Teslas entry was in the low 30k... Bitc0in pumped from 33 to 38k after the news broke out... |
DieRich5:Teslas entry was in the low 30k |
On ada... jedisco:Who else remembers this... On the ada/betece chart (1st pic), Two important weekly levels are labelled 1 (0.3) and 2 (0.37 While I had thought it'd selloff to 0.3, which was the previous high, it seems to be flipping the 0.37 level... Whats more interesting is ada/eith (2nd pic) I mentioned before... It's now completely flipped the 0.6 weekly level even with this selloff which is quite impressive. All that's left is a bounce.... Funny thing is that I thought eith held up better until I looked at the charts... I'd be keeping an eye on this Flipping levels on both eith and betece is bullish. Even in the midst of chaos, there seems to be some pattern...
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NisforNicky:1. 3 years?... Not advisable to trade alyts that way... Except bitc0in.... The market flows in waves, maximizing those moves saves you stress 2. Why are you keen on those less than $1... That's the mistake most new folks make that sees them chasing micros... What's important is your ROI and sustainability of investment not actually the cost of the coyn... Yeah, micros with minimal value tend to be more volatile in both directions, and most times, if not timed well, you're left with nothing. As a new person in this space, it may be difficult juggling between coyns. It might be better to start with splitting your portfolio accordingly... Allocating your portfolio depends on the time of the market cycle you're buying. Betece, Eith, Ada, xrp and one of the newer coyns likt (aave, dot, ksm or uni)... would top my list |
olushollys:What coyn did you buy?...and at what price? |
LauraClasikVibe:I agree... It's good to have a diversified investment portfolio.... That way, one can cycle profits across investment options |
BUGOFF:Hehe... What I find funny is how you're calling everyone to come and solve maths for you |
CryptoMatic:Let's see... There's definitely been an uptick in the 'printing press' |
Raeheemwayne:I'd say it's still early to say if we've flipped bear... This market can move quickly in any direction... Let PA decide... I'm leaning more towards a period of ranging before betece progresses to make new ATH's... Eitherway, for now, trades would be rangebound.. Regarding coyns, everyone has their favourites... Personally, I do better when I trade majors (e.g eith,ada, xrp,bnb) and flip them into betece, eith or fiat... |
FomoKING:I'm sorry sir... No vex |
Who else has noticed a significant uptick in USDC and Tether printing since this selloff... Especially USDC? I'm talking of 10-100's of millions.. Though a hard metric to use, but it reminds me of the selloff at 12k It can be a sign of new money (likely institutional) flowing into the market.... I'd look later to see if the number of wallets holding large sums of betece has been on an increase.... One thing to note is that when large traders buy, they may market buy causing an uptick or immediate pump which folks fomo into to lift prices higher... Whereas, when institutions buy, it's usually via resting bids which can take days to fill... They wouldn't chase prices. So if it rallies, they wait for it to come back down... That's something to note...e.g like when Tesla nd the rest bought earlier this year, the only notable thing was just that 30k didn't break despite dips to 28k... It was later on after price had lifted and it was announced, that it became obvious that some folks were buying at that level. The question now is are they buying now or are they waiting for lower prices to ladder in bids |
bayobabe:Eitherway, it doesn't really matter now... If we we are in a bear market, we're quite far gone already... Personally, I think betece ranges for a while before making new highs later this year/next... |
FomoKING:Baba no disrespect.... But at this point in the market, if you get into a shi*t coin and betece does not reverse, you're on a long thing... Even if betece reverses in the coming months, the sh*t coyns that'd rally wouldn't be the current ones as they have too many bag holders under water.... Those who rugpulled this time will go on to make new sh*t coyns |
Xrp/betece Xrp is an odd but resilient major... It's taken all sorts of beating this bullrun but still has a way of coming back. It's another one approaching support... Funny enough, it created a double top (blue arrows) just before this selloff...wonder how I missed it....I had thought it was even going to rally in usd... Usually, I set alarms/resting bids at such levels and flip into betece... Either way, it's approaching support both against betece... If it fails to hold (not expecting that) the carnage will be bloody as there's lots of space before the next level. On USD, it's also similar... I attached a chart (2nd pic) I posted a few months back before its breakout... Then I highlighted how the level between 0.6-0.8 was one which was good resistance and had caused issues then.... It split through that resistance... Now looks like a retest..... If I was targeting an entry, I'd go for as close to 0.6 as possible
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bayobabe:Stoploss is unlikely to help in such situations. Except you had a good entry which is already in profit and you want to protect it...... Most times, your stoploss is hit before stuff gets to its destination.... Bear market no easy to trade... Mostly, what I do then if I notice betece may start rallying soon is just to but, forget and sell in a few months |
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