Jedisco's Posts
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jedisco:Glad I got into this position... It looks to be revving it's cylinders.... Hopefully, it doesn't collapse under the Betece pressure.... Once betece settles, it should make a runner... |
Almajirihunter:Added to initial post |
People fail to understand that it's easier for betece to dump on a day everyone thinks its bullish and going to the moon e.g at when it was 62k than on a day when the overwhelming majority thinks it's bearish and going to nuke..... This market does not reward fear. |
Mizwalterz:EPS is a coyn that has been listed for less than 8 weeks.... Ideally, one should wait for such coyns to selloff before going close... Portfolio allocation, is an important aspect of risk management... If you don't want to buy betece, then sensibly own some majors that'd maintain structure during dips... They have less volatility and nay not pump as much but you're more likely to leave this space with profits than randomly chasing new coyns.. One thing you should remember is that every rally comes with it's new coyns... The new coyns that did well this rally would be lost the next as folls would move on... It's the major caps you're likely to hold even in dips cos you're sure it'd bounce back in time |
Almajirihunter:I don't gie advice on when to buy coins... But my best trades in this space were days like this when I woke and the sentiment was overwhelmingly bearish (with everyone feeling the market is going much lower) and I averaged into bitc0in... (E.g 44.5k, 42.5k, 40.5k) Almost always, 2-3 weeks down the line, I looked like a genius.... On betece it's easier cos at this stage, even if the market continues dipping, It'd very likely comeback to retest this level in few weeks... Another advantage of buying such dips and is that when stuff reverses and those who were scared now FOMO into pupms and start telling how things are going to the moon, you'd smile, be level headed and take profits cos you bought a dip and know things don't go up in a straight line... |
It's interesting how same thing keeps happening in this market over and over again and yet people react thesame way anytime it happens... Let me draw our attention to the weekly RSI so people can appreciate where we are in the market... First RSI shows momentum in the market... Mostly likened to buying/selling pressure.... When it's oversold, it means folks are selling more. I've attached the weekly RSI which spans over the last 6 years... Generally, the midrange (around 50-56) acts as support in a bull market amd as resistance in a bear market... The point I'm making is simple... If you're sh*tying your pants on this, you're better off packing your load when there's a relief rally and leaving crypt0... The RSI will definitely dip into oversold territory one day and would remain there for months (of course there'd always be a narrative).... Thesame euphoria we witnessed over the past months will be replaced by proper FUD.... Folks are already asking a bear market and I'm smiling... In a bear market, the FUD is x10 of what we have now, it's unrelenting and unforgivable..... It's easy to say I'd buy the blood during a rally, it's another to really buy it when it comes It's interesting how this space has grown.. I've not yet seen anyone who's traded crypt0 over 1 year that's calling dooms day on this.... Even if it dips much lower folks have seen worse and they know stuff will still rebound..
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jedisco:Update on this..... It's called respecting a level.... Bulls are lurking Two other things I see..... 1. Two wicks on the weekly charts to around 43k (blue arrows)... This selloff didn't takeout the previous wick... Further makes me think perhaps one more capitulation dip to take out liquidity on both levels... 2. A pattern that looks like a 'head and shoulder pattern' on the weekly... That'd be a bearish one if it breaks down... Personally, I'm not so bothered about it... There's also a bullish case and patterns should be played only on confirmation
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Ibime:No wahala... Hopefully, the week brings good news |
Ibime:Ok... But at what rate did you sell? Just curious |
Ibime:My brother you know at 60k, Bitc0in still has about the highest ROI among investments of the past decade...... People are used to bitc0in always on the move.. sometimes, it just ranges. Last year, bitc0in spent 6-8 weeks in a very narrow range between 9k and 9.4k... it's about a trillion dollar industry now, rapid movements will take time... The expansion we're enjoying as this bullrun was cooked in almost 3 years of proper consolidation... Many folks came in after 20k and are used to bitc0in only going up... This time last year, virtually no one would have envisaged a 60k bitc0in in February this year... One thing you're very right about is always being cautious in buying... whether dips or rallies.... Out of curiosity, at what price did you sell? |
DigitalMallam:Hehe... What coyn did you buy? 2ndly... Did you think the market only goes in one direction? The fear is getting palpable... |
Ibime:Crypt0 space is still relatively new... lot's of possibilities into the future...lets see how it goes... You're right in buying dips with caution to avoid catching a falling knife... That's why it's sensible to buy in stages or close to support zones and not all at once... One can always add on confirmation... But same way, we should exercise more caution in buying green.... But quick question.... What was betece's performance before institutions came along? Secondly, do you really think big money isn't layering into this dip?..... If no one was buying, it'd have dipped to 20k already.... As brutal as the capitulation to 4k last year was it was guzzled up..... People underestimate how far this space has come P.s... it's always interesting how quickly narratives in crypt0 change... It can switch from really bullish to proper bearish in hours... |
jedisco:Got there...no problems... Some bids still sitting in the support cluster beneath...
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WTF is this ![]() Reason why I keep off new and popular coyns until the hype has died down....then I evaluate how many trapped folks are looking to escape
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nna777:Lol... Sometimes, such posts make me wish the bullrun is over mk all man settle down |
Ibime:On buying, you must not buy everything today, it's always good to have cash just in case or stacked low bids on majors On Elon, one cannot deny the effect of Elon's tweets right now but seriously, I think it hastens what's already in place... Right now, it's difficult to agree with.. Lemme give examples... Every proper betece dip comes with a narrative... It's the narrative that makes folks irrationally sell causing a capitulation. It's that same irrational selling that whales use to fill their bags.. That's why when folks say I wish bitc0in will dip to --- so I buy, I just smile cos they've not experienced the fear surrounding such dips The last brutal betece dip from 12k to 10k, the narrative was that bitfinex ceo was arrested and the exchange partly hacked... Of course, fear was plapable... Looking back, we see how it went... Same also, with the selloff to 4k last year.... Very very few bought in... Most thought the market was done Recently, when it was announced that Tesla sold some part of their holdings, that happened when betece was at 52k... It didn't stop a rally to 60k and subsequent rejection..... Also, Tesla was done buying bitc0in before they made the announcement... It was after the announcement that the coyn rallied past 40k... Personally, I'd say the buying that caused the breakout occured around the bottom of the initial selloff at 28-30k..... Regarding betece currently, there's a daily cluster around 43k, there's chance price goes for it... Most times, when betece starts selling off slowly like this, I start getting skeptical...same with when it starts toying around resistance.... I've come to see that when betece is ready to break a resistance/support, it goes for it and doesn't toy around. I have some low bids on the leveraged tokens of certain coyns, just hoping they fill up overnight |
Of late, there's been an increase in the number of posts offering free this and free that... Even though I know most are scams, I'm saying this cos there seem to be some new folks buying in... The other day, someone was looking to buy an unlisted coyn as their first coyn in crypt0...... It's no doubt that such folks would likely lose it all... People should understand that there's no free lunch... Also, folks should understand that with unlisted coyns come huge volatility... If you've been unable to trade the 'slow moving' large caps profitably, chances are you'd get eaten up in that space if not careful... Finally, can those offering numerous 'free tokens' please tone down on spamming this thread?... |
Ibime:My brother, this market no easy.... No free lunch... But I tell myself, if I can't buy proper fear, then I shouldn't be buying proper greed.. On LTC, there's been so much buying at 300 without a proper bounce that I'm holding fire for now... Makes me think it'd dip to 250.... Same with link too (a dip to 35)... Also, I'm yet to see some proper capitulation on betece.. On betece, if I was buying it, I wouldn't be as bothered... I'd just place my bids at levels and go to bed.... Even if it sells off to 38k, in a matter of weeks, it'd be knocking on the doors of 46k again... on betece, I can blindly buy strong support... Na alyts dey give wahala |
Ojemedad:Lol... When the time to buy the lowest of the low comes, you'd be thanking God for not buying last week.... It's easy to quote those saying buy the blood and sell the greed when the market is green.... It's another thing to really buy the blood brother... |
Finally... On betece... I'm still waiting for the daily close...and yes the daily candle is looking nasty so far. But just a quick reminder... Betece is oversold on the 4hr RSI (1st chart) and close to being oversold on the daily RSI (2nd).... On both, it's already printed bullish divergence (i.e lower price on lower selling momentum)... That's typical of panic selling The last time the daily RSI dipped this low was over a year ago... Even the selloff from 12 to 10k last year didn't dip this low on the RSI... That should give an idea of how often it happens. On this whole rally up, the 4hr RSI printing bullish divergences while being oversold has marked a good point of entry on a selloff In summary, even though betece is looking more and more like it'd nuke downward (and yes it may), selling into an oversold RSI both on the 4hr and daily doesn't look like a good idea....Such opportunities should be bought and make no mistake, whatever the narrative, folks are buying this fear....
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Ibime:I'm waiting for betece daily close and would be sharing thoughts on it looking at both the bullish and bearish case... But one thing I know about this market is that it does not reward fear.. Funny enough, it's more likely to reward greed than fear...... On majors.... Ada seems to be on board now, Xlm and xrp are looking to be next.... I'm not so keen on etc yet except for range plays... It's just had a parabolic rally which was also based on eiths strength... safe to assume it'd consolidate for a while........ But then, it's close to the daily support, an entry at that support should portend a good risktp reward |
Still on majors.... Ltc and link (to a lesser extent) have been following a distinct pattern since the turn of this year.... Take LTC for example (1st chart)... It's usually 2-3 weeks of an upward rally and then 1-2 weeks of a selloff to confirm support before resuming the upward rally... But then, it maintains an uptrend by still maintaining higher lows and higher highs each time That this pattern has been in repeat for so long makes me think that same folks who are buying the pullbacks are those selling the rallies.. it's called smart money... LTC's current support are at 300 and 250... For link its 40 and 35 For those that keep asking what to buy at the highs, this is the time to ready your shopping bags... LTC from its current 300 back to 420 is a cool 40%, if it dips to 250, that's even better. If you were happy with buying the top, you should be more happy in buying the pullback.
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Betece with 7 straight red candles on the 30 min chart... Looking like one of those times where it creates one fat red candle or a selloff that's bought up The fear in the market is getting palpable....but not just there yet... Just see the red piling up
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jedisco:My decision to take profits off Ada and xlm wasn't a bad one.... I will be bidding their 4hr support... Talking about the 4hr 21 ema support, most majors use this support as a bounce off region when they begin an uptrend. I use that to know when to sell and time re-ntries to compound profits and guage when the rally has began to show weakness.. The first chart is the 4hr chart of eith which I shared a while back. After clearing 2k a while back (blue price line) and beginning an uptrend, It kept bouncing off the support until it toped out and lost that support... Safe to say it'd consolidate for a while now. It's also worth noting that throughout this time when eith doubled, Bitc0in looked shaky... 2nd chart is on ada (not as clean cos the rally has just began).. It's taken the 1.5 resistance level and flipped it.. I'd start averaging some profits back in around the 4hr 21 ema support which is around 2-2.1 dolls currently (hopefully a wick to 1. ...... Similar scenario with xlm... Also, these ema supports are not static...Obviously, I would be keeping an eye on what betece is doing, but wouldn't be too perturbed except betece starts selling off properly...
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Ojemedad:Hehe...easy to say...much more difficult to do.... People think buying crypt0 in a bear market is easy until it comes and they're no where to be found |
Betece is at daily resistance (49,800)... If it's not rejected from that zone, EOS looks ready for a run.. Got some at 10.5
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Betece dips can be a good time to target strong coyns which have just broken out of consolidation range but are forced to retest support as betece corrects... Usually, they'd continue their upward trajectory once the correction is complete, they run fast... Recent breakouts have been aave, dot, ksm and atom. On Atom, an entry between 24-25 should be one to keep for sometime. On ada, I took some off at 2.45.... It's hyperextended from the 1hr abd 4hr support... Will look to buy back close to support... I don't believe it's rally is near finished..just looking to compound profits... Same with xlm...took some off at 0.78 |
vicdom:I agree with accumulating more units... Question is how do you accumulate more units despite holding for the long-term? One way is deploying fresh fiat into the market. Another is by trading coins within their range.. Taking profits does not necessarily mean taking it off the table... It most times mean selling some stash into fiat at the highs so one can accumulate more units when theres a dip |
jedisco:I've come to like the relationship doge has formed with its 4hr 21 ema support. It goes far back to when it was at 0.25.. It's been a good one to trade lately both as resistance (when below) and support (when above)... I got my bids at 0.5 filled... Looking to ride it into the highs again... It's making 10-20% moves without much noise On the daily chart (2nd pic), the support is now approaching 0.46.... Would be an area to loadup if it gets there
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OffsahBoye:It's still same concept, just that this time, youre trading between two variables hence more tricky... Going back, in the early days of crypt0, most people mainly had betece and only traded alyts to increase their betece holdings... But with the advent of stable coyns, a good number now trade alyts directly into 'fiat' The concept behind trading crypt0 pairs is that one coyns usually perform better at different times of the cycle (irrespective of what betece is doing). If one undersands the relationship well enough, you could catch the rally on ome coyn before switching to the next. I.e if eith has rallied significantly against betece, and is at resistance, some people would simply just sell eith into betece knowing that soon enough, betece will catch-up. If you're trading pairs, one has to be a benchmark... That's why I limit my benchmark to only betece and eith |
Deledestiny04:A good number of people don't get the concept of taking profits. Personally, I find it interesting... Whenever I see the question, I keep asking myself what's this person doing in crypt0... On your question, of course the amount of units determine your profits when you eventually sell... The price also determines your profit... See it this way, if I buy 5 bags of maize when its cheap to store and sell later. When the price of maize in the market rises, what do I do? Would I keep holding on to my bags of maize so they don't reduce or do I sell so I have profit I can put in other things and buy back when it's cheaper. In this scenario, the total value of your maize stock is dependent on the market price and the number of bags you own. Each bag of maize is equivalent to a unit of coin... What matters at the end of the day is your cash in hand. It's left for you to do the math and see how to make it suit you. |
Deledestiny04:Main question is are you interested in the number of units of a coin you own or the cash/usdt value you have? |
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...... Similar scenario with xlm... Also, these ema supports are not static...