Jedisco's Posts
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Just thought I should mention this again.... I've attached snapshots of similar time in May 2016 and 2017. A good number of the coyns in the top 20 then are no where today.... Look at yhe price of betece and eith and see how they've performed in comparison to others... Point I'm making is that bitc0in (and eith to a lesser extent) will outperform 99% of other coyns overtime... No need fighting it..... it's what it it.... I trade alyts heavy but we've seen that when bitc0in is volatile or in uncertain situations, alyts do not generally perform as well..Alyts do well when the market conditions are right and there's no much need trying to snipe the absolute bottom with them. This market generally flows in cycles...alyts have been performing better than betece for months now, wouldn't be surprised betece does it's thing too... If betece starts misbehaving or remains at the lows for too long, alyts will bleed badly.... Most folks who lost loads after bullruns, did so cos they held unto certain alyts longer than necessary... I'm not saying to panic sell your alyts, but in the coming weeks, folks might find this helpful in allocating their portfolio P.s Also with unlisted coyns, lets remember that thise who issue them are old folks in thos space... They've seen multiple rallies and know that every rally comes with its coyns... Once a rally is done, those coyns fritter away.... Wouldn't be surprised that if this run continues later this year, we'd have a completely new set of new coyns from the popular ones now.
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Swiftlee:My concern is that people fill multiple threads saying how bitc0in is scam. Those same people might return to buy the top later this year Ask them what was their target profit per annum when they invested and they start pulling up outrageous figures... Some want 2000% increase... Those I pity are folks who jump into unknown coyns as their first investment here.... There is a reason why virtually every crypt0 site has bitc0in and majors listed untop as default by virtue of their market cap If your target profit in crypt0 is 10% pa, (which is reasonable and well above what treasury bills or an average stock on the NSE give), you can set a buy order for 35k... If it fills, you set a sell at 38.5k, take your profit and capital, go home and return next year..... Thats well over what people make in other known investments. Folks should not come and spam this thread calling crypt0 scam cos of their greed and personal mistakes. |
maasoap:Where does the value of the naira in your pocket come from? The value of almost everything you see around you is embedded in the price people are willing to pay for it. No material asset has an 'intrinsic value' |
People invest in TB's to make 5-10% per annum... They invest in stocks to make some similar percentage too... They buy land and wait years for it to appreciate... But folks want to invest in crypt0 and make 100% overnight... If your target in crypt0 was 10% per annum (which is a sensible rate for lots of investments), you wouldn't have a problem trading bitc0in... Folks should examine what other investments they have and how much profit they generate there per annum |
CryptoMatic:Free talk my brother.... It's understandably new folks to crypt0 that say such If I don't invest good money on bitc0in, what else would I invest good money on?.... Abi na Nigerian stocks wey dey dig well? The funny thing is that it's the volatility in crypt0 that attracts alot of people.... You have an upward trending market with good volatility.... Sensibly use the volatility to make more money... |
On the NSE, without sounding sour, I've looked at it over and over again and avoided bias but I can't seem to answer the 4 questions above 1. Is the market trending upward? Do I have that needed insurance? 2. Is it a robust market with a clear tradable pattern where there are periods that portend good buying opportunities, ranging and good rallies to take profits? 3. Looking back, is there a tradeable pattern to make money in the NSE yearly, 2yrly e.t.c? That after 13 years the NSE all share index has not been able to match the high it created during it's only bullrun in 2008 is quite concerning and says alot about the strength of the market... Contrary to some opinion, bullruns are part of any strong markets as they represent human greed.... The ability of the market to keep trending after a parabolic top and correction shows strength... We can see that with both the dotcom, 2008 and covid crash of the US stock market... The market came back stronger..... That's what makes the average Joe invest in a market Until the NSE matches its 2008 high at least (which means current stock prices almost doubling), it technically remains in a downtrend.... Understanding that shows you what it means for a marjet currently valued at over 1 trillion dollars to create new highs 4yrly Regarding crypt0, I'm not so worried... Bitc0in has created new highs every 4 years. Strong markets don't need advertisement... The masses will keep trooping in until it enters a confimed bear correction.
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jedisco:This is why I invest in bitc0in
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essay007:It's was a banned word in the early days here... Spambot picks up on it and gives the person 3 days... Surprisingly, seems spambot still bans me anytime I use it or quote someone who does. |
DigitalMallam:Why do I have a feeling that you'd return in August to buy another top... If you failed this time, ask yourself what did thise who traded profitably do... Perhaps, you might need to approach things differently Like it or not, some folks took profits at around 60k... What do you think they'd be doing now? Waiting for August or looking for cheaper entries to sell later on? Lastly, you sound like you invested a large amount on a no name coin... If gou are trading size, think like those who trade size and stick with bitc0in or certain large caps.... |
LauraClasikVibe:No offense but I didn't come to crypt0 to invest what I'm willing to lose... If that was the case, I'd invest in treasury bills at 5% PA... On taking profits, there are times to trade longterm and times to trade short-term |
Looking at the bitc0in profitable days since its been in existence... Even at the selloff yesterday, it's been profitable for 3829 out of 3929 days in existence... Let's look at bitc0in closely 1. It's an asset that has cyclical bullruns every four years. These are periods to make good profits and are due to the fact that the supply of bitc0in is cut in half every four years... Thus supply would keep reducing while demand increases... It's simple maths, prices would trend up... 2. Every year on the average, (whether in a bull or bear market) bitc0in gives 2-3 good buying opportunities to make upto 30-70% profit that same year... Those buying opportunities just like the one we had are usually quite obvious for those looking at the big picture. 3. Due to the supply/demand curve, bitc0in is likely going to trend up for the foreseeable future (bu this I mean longterm). Thus has held true for a decade... This simply means that even if you mistakingly buy at the wrong time, you can go to bed knowing that sooner or later, you'd be in profit... That's about the greatest insurance any asset can give you. Combine that with the continued devaluation of the naira, then it becomes difficult to argue against 4. Bitc0in just like every other strong asset class has dependable cycles which have held thru for over a decade.... You have periods of great opportunity to buy, periods when tge market ranges, nad periods when it rallies irrationally when you can take good profits.... That is what I look out for in any market I invest/trade.... Is there a tradeable pattern? With such a simple cyclical and relatively quick pattern, anyone who lost money investing in bitc0in should not blame the asset These are the reasons why I trade bitc0in and do it heavy.... I've had no regrets so far... My question which is one that is simple and out of genuine inquisition..... What other traded asset has been that dependable to retain value with time and give similar profits margin? What are the alternatives?
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On investing what you can afford to lose.... I find it interesting when people use this statement... As a general rule, this holds true for any investment but people use it here to refer to crypt0 as equivalent to gambling... Even with the selloff yesterday, bitc0in remains one of the most profitable assets of the last decade... I have seen no other asset I have invested as much as I have done in crypt0 and no other asset has given me as much profits as crypt0.... If you want to gamble, stay away from crypt0... If you want to invest, bitc0in might just be a gift.... |
@op, you are a gambler... This is the bitc0in lifetime profitability chart. As of yesterday when bitc0in sold off, anyone who had bought bitc0in in 3820 out of it's 3929 days of existence would still be in profit... That's a massive 97%.... What other named asset has been this strong over the last decade? Bitc0in has been the most profitable assest of the last decade... Look at that chart, if you have problems trading bitc0in profitably, I wonder what other market you'd trade with any degree of profit.... Bitc0in is a gift to the young generation... You can either use it sensibly to build wealth or gamble away your future.
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The issue with such a sellooff is that all the support zones above that have been holding price up have now become resistance... Also, unlike a usualpullback, with this sellooff, there's been a confidence dip in the market... Not an issue long-term.... But for the short-term it's not a good environment for alyts... |
Ibime:Hehe... My brother na wetin dey make am be capitulation... It can be fearful to watch though.. On bitc0in, the major resistance/support zones are very obvious... 60k, 50k, 40k, 30k, 20k.... It's highly unlikely It'd split through any of those zones without a response... That's why I wasn't so keen on the 38k narrative....... Good chance support is tested again Technically, it's not lost the 21 week ema yet (closed last week above) although it seems probable... This market can be tricky.. E.g yesterday started green and ended red... Today might end green... Most reversal candles start tge opposite direction.... I wouldn't be surprised if it finally creeps back to hold the 21 week as support by close of this week... That's a huge ask though But then, Even in a bear market, things don't go down in a straight line... My style of trade then is just by bidding major support and selling at the next major resistance Nd repeat... |
Sailor1:I remember this post from a while back.... Today 3 months after, bitc0in nicely hit 30k.... Of course, the narratives are numerous and the FUD (fear, uncertainty and doubt) is everywhere... For those who have waited to get into bitc0in, this might represent an opportunity, for those who believe, it'd eventually go to zero, again I say no worries. |
Ibime:That's capitulation for you... Set some very low orders on leveraged tokens which were picked up before binaz suspended trading on them... Just hope the suspension does not mess them up... I think you're going about buying the dip wrongly...Youre trying to catch the absolute bottom... It's never fun buying them... It's in the coming days you'd enjoy your entries....... You may likely keep moving your targets lower until stuff rebounds and leaves you chasing... I usually see buying dips like selling rallies... Waiting for a proper top to confirm before selling most yimes means you'd sell much lower..same also with dips... I usually outline proper weekly levels (on majors) and target them... Once it's obvious the bottom is in, stuff wouldn't dip as much as on the initial way down. It's a fine balance between averaging in and avoiding catching knive... Obviously on betece, its much easier... Na alyts dey give person headache Now I'm sure you'd be waiting for 30k for betece and similar lows for other coyns... No be only u go dey wait... After this bounce, there's some renewed confidence and room for more fiat to come into the market.... My concern with alyts now is this new betece volatility.... If bitc0in is making 10-20% moves daily, then alyts may not keep up... |
emmanuelewumi:I don't see how this is possible.. Even if that person bought bitc0in at the ATH of 64k, I don't see how a see how their balance would be 16k... Again the doom sayers are around... Reminds me of the selloff to 4k last year... It was months later that people started saying of they had known they'd have bought...hehe It'd interst you to know that I've been buying since 44k over the last couple of days and also bought more this afternoon.... |
locodemy: locodemy:Hehe... Misery loves company... 1. The volatility with bitc0in would make the average stock volatility look like a joke... 2. The difference between bitc0in and the NSE is that Bitc0in is a robust upward trending market that has highs, lows and periods of consolidation... 3. That your worst case scenario is 10k shows how far bitc0in has come... Close to this time last year, people were calling zero 4. This would be about the 100th time China has 'banned' bitc0in... This selloff has little or nothing to do with China. Bitc0in has had 6 straight green months rallying from 10k to 60k... Any strong market will consolidate and create good structure as folks take profits and also allow new money come in... 5. Funny enough, if you're worried about the NSE, this selloff may even portend worse things for it... Lets see how the next couple of months develop |
Tamel:Though I don't like chasing narratives for price action, but this might be probable... Good stuff with binaz suspending leverage trades at the lows.... Cos it was looking more manipulative than usual trading..... Good bounce so far |
Whew!!! What a day.... This is typical crypt0 volatility....Reminds me of last year's selloff to 4k Good response at 30 so far but lets see how the day closes... If it closes bullish (>43.4k), then this might have just been a proper capitulation. Some of my positions took a hit (but good bounce so far). I don't really regret that I started averaging in at the low 40's as it suited my trading pattern... Still bought lil during the capitulation this pm.... When the dust is settled, I'd re-examine the events and see what things I could have done differently... Kudos @Ibeme for calling this.... But then, I'm surprised you didn't average in at the lows and around your targets.... I remember what happened last year when bitc0in sold off to 4k... I had closed my position at 8k... Knew 4k was a good buying opportunity but kept watching... finally ended up buying at 5.8k and 6.2k in the coming days/weeks. |
manitoba:Easy my brother, the day might end quite different from how it started, also, yesterday's betece candle wasn't the most bullish... It's worth remembering that on such rallies after a dip, folks have been burnt and are agressive in taking profits once they see weakness.... If you caught dips over the past few days, it's might be good to target resistances to take profits.. |
jedisco: jedisco:If xrp makes a runner, I'd look to cut some around 2 dolls and perhaps bid a retest of 1.6...
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jedisco: jedisco:I'd look to cut some of my Aave around 700 if it gets there... Don't think the top is in, but in these market conditions, I like having firepower and would be bidding 580-600 for a repeat
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On betece.... I've attached 2 charts which contain same untouched trendlines from my January post... First is a daily chart which also shows the RSI has been making lower highs and lower lows for sometime now... 2nd is a 4hr chart which sheds more light on recent PA Lets see the bullish vs bearish case... Bullish case: 1. Betece held the 21 week EMA last week despite the selloff 2. Both 4hrly and daily RSI are bottoming with the 4hr already in oversold territory... Good also is that they are forming bullish divergence so far 3. The hash ribbons (shared here a while back) which is quite an accurate indicator has already printed a capitulation signal, soon enough, it'd print a buy signal which would signifiy a good opportunity 4. Market is extremely bearish currently- though not a technical reason, I'd be surprised betece dumps thru 40k straightaway without at least getting a relief rally considering market sentiment Bearish case: 1. Betece has lost the diagonal support (see attached charts)... While this can be a fakeout, what happens when it gets to retest that trendline would be significant. For a support that has held for long, loosing it proper would mean significant downside.. 2. Though the daily RSI is at bottom, there's still some room to go lower into the oversold territory... 3. With repeated rejection off 60k, betece has to find proper support where new buyers are willing to go all in... Below 40k has lots of support clusters and would be a sweet area for new money. In summary, there are good reasons to support either scenario.... But personally, I wouldn't be selling betece into an RSI that looks that way now.... I'm playing this bullish and would be adding on dips and targeting the 49.5 k region to reduce exposure and re-evaluate. If things nuke, so be it
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jedisco:I remember sharing this in January when betece was at a similar precarious situation, reason I quoted this post is that I'd be sharing same charts in that post, see what's happened since and examine the bullish and bearish case |
On Elon... There's been alot of talk about his effect on this space and him being the cause of this drop.... While one cannot deny the correlation between the timing of his tweets and some market moves, the thing is with crypt0, it's easy to get carried away with the narrative and forget the big picture... If you've traded this market long enough, you'd agree that from time to time, bitc0in correlates with certain things before going on to do its thing.. Take the last year for example... It was once so correlated with the US stock market that it'd mimic intraday US market moves... I had to start monitoring the S&P then.... everyone then was about how the US stock market controls crypt0.... After a while, betece moved its way... Later it was how betece would always dump at the opening of trading hours in Asia...this continued for a while before decoupling... Now it's Elon... I wouldn't be surprised if in the next few months, we'd ne blaming dips on something else Case in point is that the initial part of this bullrun has been quite fast and most new folks who joined this space recently are only used to bitc0in going up and call dooms day on every dip... Wouldn't blame no one. Bitc0in has had 6 straight green months... It's easy to forget that rarely occurs. Folks should also remember it's also had 6 straight red months too and it wasn't the end of crypt0. Give bitc0in some credit it's come a long way. In the 2017 run, as betece travelled from 2 to 20k, there were multiple >30% retracements. Each of those pullbacks came with its own narrative and FUD, weak hands sold, strong hands bought... This rally is just having its first really deep retracement... Of course, there'd be more in future, and there'd always be a narrative... Let's look at some narratives over the last year From 12-10k: Bitfinex CEO arrested and investigated. From 58-43k: US stock market crashing and crypt0 going much lower From 60-47k: US president announced new tax rules and US citizens closing crypt0 trades.. Some people bought these dips, some panic sold into these dips, some simply stayed away But then, (although not apparent at the time), looking at the monthly chart (attached), we can see thst as far back as January, 60k had already started showing sighs of being proper resistance... Personally, I believe big money have just been taking profits at that level and looking to reload lower. My point is that in crypt0, volatility is part of the game and there'd always be a narrative for every dip.... Every dip comes with proper FUD and every rally with proper FOMO.... One can play it to their benefit or get lost with the narrative. I prefer to filter out the noise and focus on what's important..cos in this space, the majority never wins
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IMAliyu:Betece was able to close above the weekly ema last week which was a good thing... It's a weekly candle and still has 7 days to close.... At this stage, a monday/Tuesday selloff before reclaiming the range and closing as a bullish hammer will not surprise me |
jedisco:Almost there..... Will ada give me 1.8 ![]()
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jedisco:Link at 35 LTC at 250 Hmm.... |
jedisco:On the breakout group, I went with aave and it's had a nice bounce so far...... Still think the others are equally as hot |
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