₦airaland Forum

jl115:
Logistics and communication!!! imo the 2 most important aspects to any armed conflict.............And people always wondered why I brought up the communication capability of the SANDF! Which FYI has the first tactical communications system in the world that provides a complete inter-operability between all elements of the battlefield (air force, army, navy, etc.) without using gateways or protocol converters.

So good are our communication systems that a soldier from 4 Arty(I became friends with while I was still living in Potch) told me they can literally hit moving targets up to 50km with the G6 thanks to Link ZA and the Chaka C4 systems.

Reading the transcripts of the intercepted Russian comms, it's astounding how shambolic their campaign has been.
BTW, have you seen the latest comms gear Reutech is currently delivering to the SANDF?

Nemesis4you:
Not regarding the comms

But the pic you attached needs to seen in the overall context

During Iraq war first 2-3 weeks approx 10000 civilian casualties were there , Iraqis were just another race non western , so everything was fair i guess or rather that's what the stats say

One reason russian ops look half hearted is bec they didn't go full force ie brute force everything on site ie depending on one's perspective one could say that from beginning Russians were looking to minimise civilian collateral damage, hence restraint to possible extent or attempt at such


In my opinion War has to be total/brutal war from the word go inorder to get a good show or figures on own side won't look good ever

( or exceptionally well conducted war effort will result in good figures on own side but than in modern warfare that's a tough ask in my opinion due to availability of assymetric capabilities )

Oh I was only using that pic to illustrate the needless losses on the Russian side. We may never know the extent directly attributable to bad comms.

Why Russian radios in Ukraine are getting spammed with heavy metal

Ukrainians are eavesdropping on the invaders and broadcasting on their frequencies

One of the many surprising failures of the Russian invasion force in Ukraine has been in radio communications. There have been stories of troops resorting to commercial walkie-talkies and Ukrainians intercepting their frequencies. This may not sound as serious as a lack of modern tanks or missiles, but it helps explain why Russian forces seem poorly co-ordinated, are falling victim to ambushes and have lost so many troops, reportedly including seven generals. What is going wrong with Russian radios?

Modern military-grade radios encrypt signals and change the frequency on which they operate many times a second, making their transmissions impossible to intercept. But many Russian forces are communicating on unencrypted high-frequency (HF) channels that allow anyone with a ham radio to eavesdrop. The Russian army does have some modern tech. It started receiving Azart radios, which have built-in encryption and can operate on much higher frequencies, in 2012. Thomas Withington, a military analyst specialising in electronic warfare, says that the Azart system seems adequate, if inferior to the equipment used by NATO forces. But there are not enough radios to go around. Russian news reports have talked enthusiastically about deliveries of a few hundred radios shipped to whole army groups comprising several thousand troops. By the most optimistic estimates only a fraction of the invasion force could have Azart radios.

https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2022/03/28/why-russian-radios-ukraine-war-intercepted-heavy-metal?utm_medium=social-media.content.np&utm_source=facebook&utm_campaign=editorial-social&utm_content=discovery.content

Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu made an official statement on the progress of the special operation in Ukraine.

The main thing:

▪️The main tasks of the first stage of the special military operation in Ukraine have been completed.

▪️The Ukrainian army suffered significant damage, which allows us to focus our efforts on achieving the main goal - the liberation of Donbass.

▪️Over the past 2 weeks, about 600 mercenaries have been destroyed in Ukraine, more than 500 have left the country.

▪️Moscow is monitoring the statements of the leaders of the NATO countries on the supply of aircraft and air defense systems to Ukraine, and if these plans are implemented, they will respond adequately.

A "degraded" military that's currently conducting various counter-attacks!

So, this is how they admit failure in Russia!

The Russian army said Friday that the first phase of its military campaign in Ukraine was over and troops will now focus on the complete "liberation" of the country's eastern Donbas region.

"The main tasks of the first stage of the operation have been completed," said Sergei Rudskoi, chief of the Main Operational Directorate of the General Staff of Russia's armed forces. "The combat potential of Ukraine's armed forces has been significantly reduced, which allows (us) -- I emphasise once again -- to focus our main efforts on achieving the main goal -- the liberation of Donbas."

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2022/03/23/ukraine-as-its-happening-a76553

Meanwhile, in Mozambique:

Lesotho Defence Force CASA-212 at FOB Mueda with resupply for Lesotho SF and Botswana SF.

Meanwhile, in the DRC.

Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria took part in the UAE SWAT challenge in Dubai, which was held from 13 -17 March 2022.

They formed part of the 33 teams from 25 countries that participated within 5 challenge categories that tested each team's global and tactical, weaponry ability and proficiency.

Photos and videos here:
https://swat.dubaipolice.gov.ae/swat/home/finalStandings?day=final&year=2022

Final results below

In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king!

kabe1:
Instead of laughing like a fool, why don't you contribute meaningfully so we can read your thoughts?

The only appropriate reaction when some rando on the internet, who has not so much as fired a pistol, arrogates to pronounce on what the militaries of 55 countries should do.

Meanwhile, in Mozambique.

The Namibians have also just deployed; video here:
https://fb.watch/bRf2YVckKt/

Toju200:
don't start

Don't start what? Must I not commend a good thing?

NTSA:
After the el adde attack, KDF fortified its Forward Operating Bases (FOBs). There are about 13 to 20 FOBs that are used to support strategic goals and tactical objectives of the KDf in somalia .

An army that learns and adapts!

Jesus wept! Some people here believe some really crazy shti!

jl115:
Rand is bolstered by the commodity prices and I see it strengthening in the short to mid term to even as low as R13 to the $....was actually in a Seed investment seminar this morning that stated the rand could theoretically trade at as low as R8 to the dollar at current commodity prices... But we all know there isn't enough demand for that to happen.

In the short term we will see inflation rise about 0.6-0.8pp.... Over all I'm quite optimistic that the Russia/Ukraine conflict has in fact opened more opportunities than Risks for SA.... What we don't want is an escalation of the war because then we are all fvcked but if its going to stay like it is now for a while that could mean a boost for the SAn economy

I learned a long time ago to stop worrying about the Rand and only use the bond market as an ZAR indicator. A strong Rand is good for only 2 things in the real economy: buying crude oil and machinery. Imports of high-end consumer goods and overseas holidays -for which a strong Rand always excites the chattering class -are secondary.

SA reported its largest current-account surplus on record last year as import demand was down due to COVID and the value of gold exports rose to the highest since at least 1960.

A weak Rand is good for exports - $1/R8 to R18 float (certain annual trips to N. America & Europe don't always coincide with business trips ) - as long as Eskom doesn't muck about with our manufacturing, and the commodity boom cycle holds.

To be honest, we fix Eskom, the ports, rail, provide some policy certainty in mining, manufacturing and agriculture, and I would actually become a full-fledged weak Rand proponent.

Postscript: NYSE now up 5.5% since Fed announcement.

Tomorrow, Wednesday 16 March, is going to be very interesting for all those countries generally grouped with Russia amongst "emerging economies".
Moscow needs to hand over $117 million in interest payments on dollar-denominated government bonds, and with roughly $315 billion of Russia's foreign reserves frozen by sanctions, they've indicated an intention to pay in roubles.

Deja vu for me as I started my career with the Russian default of 1998. Interest rates shot up all around the world, and South Africa, with its tradable currency and comparatively open economy, got unfairly thumped. Even the dollar slumped 10% against the yen in two days, the most it has ever fallen against any currency in modern history.
For SA, the effect was enormous. The local prime rate shot up like a rocket, up all the way to a record 25.5%, and the 10-year bond yield hit 20%.

If Russia defaults tomorrow, the effects won't be as severe as 1998, for a few reasons:
1) Russian sovereign debt to foreigners is only $60 billion, an accounting error;
2) The ZAR has remained comparatively stable over the past few months. No longer is the rand a proxy for emerging market currencies, as other currencies, like the Turkish lira, are now as highly traded as the rand was back then; and
3) Unlike 1998, SA’s inflation rate is now lower than the world average, which makes for a stronger currency, less inflationary effects and reduced pressure on the SA Reserve Bank to continue raising interest rates, which should bode well for the economy.

Reading reports of people stockpiling flour and sunflower oil in the Maghreb, a region which depends heavily on imports of these products from Ukraine and Russia.
With the spike in prices on the agricultural futures markets, exporting producers in SA are smiling, but it's an alarming prospect for food insecure countries, regardless of source country.

South Africa’s polar research and logistics vessel, S.A. Agulhas II, has helped enable an expedition team to find the wreckage of Sir Ernest Shackleton’s ship, Endurance… which was crushed by ice in the Weddell Sea, off the coast of Antarctica, back in 1915. For over a century, the Endurance has been one of the most famous undiscovered shipwrecks in the world, lost almost 10,000 feet below sea level, in some of the iciest waters on the planet.

https://www.sapeople.com/2022/03/09/watch-sas-agulhas-ii-helps-team-find-1915-endurance-shipwreck-off-coast-of-antarctica/

Nemesis4you:
You surprised ?
I ain't surprised last 10+ years they wanting to buy J10 Su35 etc etc provided someone would fund or provide loans for the same , Chinese (killed 2 birds with 1 stone) eventually agreed to fund it via loans

Wait till all the crazies in Pastani learn that the J10 is a modern Israeli LAVI and contains parts from the "Little Satan"!

Throwback Thursday.

Nemesis4you:
Quote "Like clockwork: Just hours after the US signals it needs to buy oil from Venezuela again, Bloomberg has decided that Venezuela is no longer a socialist country" end quote

I see Colombia and that puppet Guaido aren't too happy!

NTSA:
The photo is not "fake" as you claim..however, we can dispute the exact dates when the photo was taken ,there are some claims it was in the 80s either in Tanzania or East germany

You can put that pic up on your wall and pleasure yourself for all I care. The only true thing written there is "Samora Machel". Believe whatever, but know you can't falsify history and not expect to be called out!

African Union! People must disabuse themselves of this notion of there being a single "African" voice on international affairs. Just the other day, someone was suggesting African countries must subordinate themselves to Russia and China.
Either from lack of imagination or ingrained inferiority complex or both.
To illustrate, this is how "Africa" voted on the UNGA Resolution condemning Russia's war on Ukraine. Rightly, each country determining its own stance:

Up in Durban, SAS is making steady progress with Project Hotel, the SA Navy's Hydrographic vessel to replace SAS Protea.

GreenandGold:
Russia just placed an order of a 1000 Mwaris, that Turkish drone is evil

GreenandGold:
Putin was nothing important in the Soviet's Communist Party. He just worked as a low level spy like many boys of his era, he was actually close to be an "informat" than being an actual tactical spy. In fact he was so unimportant he even got fired at it and even considered driving a taxi in Moscow for survival.

I don't understand people who continue spreading this fake photo. In 1973 Putin was a 20 year old university student. He was never involved in African struggles. That is not Mnangagwa in that picture.

Fidha254:
Is this true?

No it is not! Is it floating around again? It was thoroughly debunked back in 2014 when it started doing the rounds.