₦airaland Forum

MasterJayJay:
https://punchng.com/soldiers-shoot-two-policemen-dead-in-taraba/

AMAECHI SAID IT THAT THERE IS TOTAL COLLAPSE OF GOVERNANCE IN NIGERIA

AlaafinOfOyo:
We've reached the point where the fate of Nigeria and Nigerians may be decided by the traditionally rotten Nigerian courts. This institution is known to sell justice to the highest bidder and now I'm wondering.
Between the INEC and the Supreme Court, which is more corrupt? Let's not forget that all the armed groups we have in the country are the consequences of a society where people cannot get justice. Can the Supreme Court perform where INEC failed woefully?

THE SUPREME COURT & ITS NOT CLOSE

senatordave1:
Apc will win jos north,quan pan and bokkos.pdp wins only jos south

You are at it again. You need deliverance. APC can only win Jos North of those 4

senatordave1:
Plateau has 17 local government areas but only the results of 13 had been announced at the INEC state collation centre in Jos as of Sunday night.

From the results presented by the returning officers of the 13 LGAs, the candidate of the PDP, Caleb Mutfuwang, won in seven with 318,250 votes while that of the APC, Nentawe Yilwada, won in six with 317,148 votes. The margin between the two candidates is about 1,000 votes.

The Labour Party candidate, Patrick Dakum, is currently in the third position with 34,829 votes recorded across the 13 local governments announced so far.

The local government areas whose results have yet to arrive at the INEC collation centre are Jos North, Jos South, Quan Pan and Bokkos.

Idris Amali, the vice-chancellor of the Federal University Lafiya and collation officer for the governorship election, adjourned till Monday at 10 a.m. to complete the collation and announcement of results.


The results of the 13 LGAs announced so far are as follows:

Jos East
APC – 11, 852
PDP – 9290
LP 1347

TEXEM Advert
Barikin Ladi
APC – 18568
PDP – 32119
LP – 4118

Bassa
APC – 25788
PDP – 29135
LP –

Langtang South
APC 12437
PDP 16104
LP 846

Kanke
APC 35436
PDP – 6870
LP 633

Langtang North
APC 20756
PDP 27826
LP 6575

Mikang
APC 10690
PDP 12027
LP 672

Pankshin
APC 28827
PDP 15957
LP 7949

NAHCON State AD NAHCON Tour Operator AD NAHCON Cargo Operator AD
Kogi AD


Dangote adbanner 728x90_2 (1)
Shendam
APC 30815
PDP 17733
LP 5169

Riyom
APC 12657
PDP 18647
LP 1878

Wase
APC – 35011
PDP – 26557
LP 269

Kanam
APC 48790
PDP 28706
LP 1171

Mangu
APC -25570
PDP -77,279
LP – 1629


Cc
Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Obinoscopy
Seun
Asobo
Fergie001
Kyase
Kahal
Immaculatejoe

I taught you said LP was going to win Plateau? Do you see them as a threat in results revealed so far? You argue with people that know about plateau state as if you are from here. You smart but very partisan

garfield1:
South east
Abia-lp
Enugu-lp 60% apga 30% pdp 10%
Imo- no guber but apc to dominate assembly
Ebonyi-Apc 60% pdp 30% lp 10%
Anambra- no guber but assembly to be evenly shared between lp and apga

South west
Lagos- Apc 70% lp 30%
Ogun-Apc 80% pdp 20%
Ondo- apc to dominate assembly
Ekiti- Apc to clear assembly
Osun- pdp to dominate assembly
Oyo- pdp 60% apc 30% accord 10%

South south
Cross river- Apc 60% pdp 40%
Akwa ibom- ypp 50% pdp 25% apc 20% nnpp 5%
Rivers- pdp 25% apc 20% sdp 20% lp 20% ac 15%
Bayelsa- pdp to dominate assembly
Delta-Apc 60% lp 25% pdp 15%
Edo- lp and apc to dominate assembly

North central
Kwara- Apc
Niger- Apc 70% pdp 30%
Kogi-apc to sweep assembly
Nasarawa- Apc 40% pdp 40% sdp 20%
Plateau- lp 40% apc 35% pdp 25%
Benue-Apc

North west
Kebbi-Apc 65% pdp 35%
Sokoto- Apc 70% pdp 30%
Zamfara- Apc 65% pdp 35%
Katsina- Apc 55% pdp 45%
Kano- nnpp 65% apc 35%
Kaduna- Apc 33% pdp 32% lp 20% nnpp 15%
Jigawa- Apc 50% pdp 30% nnpp 20%

North east
Yobe-Apc 90% pdp 10%
Borno-Apc
Gombe- Apc 40% nnpp 35% pdp 25%
Bauchi- pdp 55% apc 45%
Taraba-Apc 50% pdp 30% lp 20%
Adamawa- Pdp 60% apc 40%


Cc lalasticlala
Mynd44
Nplfmod
Fergie001
Seun
Legendhero
Helinues
Aiel123
Kyase
Vicdom
Donphilopus
Chrixxx
Olatuns
Efewestern
Tutudesz
Mrvitalis
Calmobserver
Ojiofor
Caseless
Raumdeuter
Metaphysical
Roktation
Obinoscopy
Bennycollins
Buddha3
Fibonacci88
Rolams
Ihenzy
Mymouth
Saintinoo

24hrs away we go know the truth

garfield1:
True,jang is the leader of beroms.APC is very strong in that mangu.if labour can't replicate their performance, APC will take it

Continue with ur know it all. If not for rigging Tinubu for no win. How many states him win? How many states did you say Tinubu was going to win?

garfield1:
Abia state: lp swept this state on the 25th.they won obe senate and 6 reps retiring ikpeazu,ikuku and the t.a orji dynasty.come 18,they will massively vote for alex Otti.enyinnaya of ypp will come second,Greg ibe of apga third and mascot kalu 4th.pdp and apc will drag bottom.

Enugu:majority of enugulites will vote edeoga but there are insinuations that he is a mediocre and that he hails from same Enugu north district as madam ugwuanyi and that lp should vote a technocrat like Dr frank nweke who hails from Enugu east.voting edeoga will distort the zoning formula.nnaji of apc and mbah of pdp will fail woefully.

Plateau: pdp won massively here during the presidential poll because of the berom bloc votes.if they still decide to vote Patrick dakum and backed with the support of ex gov sen dariye,he will win.he already has bokkos,mangu,pankshin on lockdown.once the berom divides votes,he will take it.if he doesnt,nentawe of apc will take it.

Rivers; with the performance of lp in rivers on 25,rivers guber will be a 5 man race featuring apc,pdp,ac,sdp and lp.anybody can win and the decisive votes might come from the obidients.if obidients deliver ph,obalga, ikwerre and eleme to otobo,she will win.they also need to find a way to beat wike in his violent game.

Delta: it looks like most obi fans are going with agege but if they can unite behind ken pela,he will prove his mettle.

Edo; there will be no guber poll here but lp will clear half of the assembly seats esp in edo south and if this momentum is maintained,they will knick the guber next year.

Taraba: I dont understand the true position of things in taraba but the lp candidate sen ikenya is strong and will go far though I heard he lost in court to someone else who endorsed pdp but all things equal,sen bwacha will win taraba.

Lagos: if grv started making waves from last year,he might have won but he shot into limelight immediately obi won Lagos.obi margin of win was just 10k which means it can't be replicated.all opinion polls that showed obi winning Lagos pointed to a mass victory for sanwoolu.up to 40% of obidients will not turn up,many obi voters like sanwoolu.unlike tinubu,he is likable and popular.he is a Christian therefore many Christians that voted obi will vote him plus most yorubas that voted obi will go with him.finally,sanwoolu antics of endearing himself to the masses by being a mechanic has soften the minds of many unenlightened voters.it will be like 2019 Lagos guber,a landslide....


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Seun
Obinoscopy
Fergie001
Nplfmod
Seunmsg
Helinues
Bayelsaowei
Aiel123
Efewestern
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Afamed
Kyase
Yarimo
Penguin2
Vicdom
Mrvitalis

This one no bi analysis. Your plateau analysis tells me you dont know whats going on in Plateau & likely rest of the country. Abia is LP. Rest u are beating around the bush

garfield1:
Tinubu will win
Tinubu will win the north or lose narrowly.
Kwankwaso will win kano followed by tinubu.
Tinubu will beat atiku in kano.
Tinubu will get 25% in 3 ss and se states.
Tinubu will win one ss se state.
Obi or atiku will win ss
Obi won't get bloc votes in ss
Obi weakest states in ss is bayelsa and akwa ibom
Obi won't meet the spread
Atiku won't meet the spread
Tinubu will surpass the spread
Obi will finish 2nd ahead of atiku
Tinubu votes in nw ne will surpass obi votes in ss se
Tinubu highest votes from se will come from imo and abia
Gov hope will deliver his lga
Izunaso will win senate same as umahi
Ouk will return to the senate while ikpeazu loses
Lp will clear anambra
Obi will get bloc from only se.
Obi's highest votes will be from anambra while atiku highest votes will come from Adamawa and bauchi
Tinubu will win or lose nc narrowly
Atiku will take third in nc without winning any state.
Obi biggest win in nc will come from benue,plateau, fct,nasarawa with tinubu following behind.
Obi will perform poorly in kwara,Niger,kogi.
Fr alia influence will help tinubu in benue
I predicted that asari dokubo will deliver kalabari to tinubu and magnus abe will deliver ogoni
I predicted that obi will highest votes in rivets will come from urban areas of ph.
Obi will do well in urban parts of ss and fail woefully in the countryside
Many lp agents won't be well paid and will be compromised.
Bvas will reduce rigging but cannot stop it.
Tinubu will win borno,yobe and gombe.
Tinubu to win kaduna and kebbi.
Tinubu to get at least half of what buhari polled.
Ss se to have a low turnout while core north will record high turnout.
Sw to give tinubu bloc votes
Tinubu to win all sw states.
Tinubu to meet the spread in at least 17 northern states.
Ortom to lose senate,lalong to win
Obi highest votes in nw to come from kaduna at least 200k while recording less than 200k in the other 6 states.
Obi highest votes in ne to come from taraba.
Akpabio to win senate and give tinubu 25%
Tinubu to beat atiku in one of se ss or match him.
Tinubu to beat atiku obi with over a million in sw.
Obi won't have 25% outside Lagos.
Atiku not having 25% in kano,Lagos,benue,plateau
Tinubu and atiku lowest votes to come from anambra and Enugu
Apc to dominate nass
Obi to win southern kaduna and southern taraba



Cc mynd44
Lalasticlala
Seun
Nplfmod
Kyase
Kahal
Kwanza
Penguin2
Vicdom
Moh247
Fergie001
Efewestern
Passibgshot
Donphilopus
Buddha3
Chukel
Esseite
Fratermathy
Iriruaga
Legendhero
Helinues
Aufbauh
Silvertongue
Ejimatic
Mrvitalis
Mrksquare
Sonoyom
Immaculatejoe
Digitron

I no fit laugh

opalu:
Lies. No single court has the power to invalidate an Electoral process that the whole Nation is going to elect their leaders. Even the supreme court has limited powers. Supreme court doesnt have the right to rule that I as a man should become a woman.

E go shock you for naija. Our courts fir reconfigure your sex from man to woman. Wetin Nigerian courts can not do does not exist

garfield1:
Kebbi: the apc candidate nasiru idris is very popular and from gwandu.he was strolling yo victory until 25 Feb.aliero has shown that he is a master in kebbi and may make things harder though I still see idris winning narrowly.

Sokoto: the apc candidate Ahmed aliyu should get a hard-fought victory over rookie saidu umar.it might be a slugfest reminiscent of 2019

Zamfara; matawalle will sweep zamfara hopefully

Katsina;looks 50% 50% but the internal division between shema and lado might give dikko of apc victory.

Kano; Abba yusuf of nnpp should win barring any miracle.

Jigawa;the deputy gov will trounce lamido's son though lamido can spring surprises
Kaduna:any of lp,apc,nnpp or pdp can win.

Borno: zulum should easily win
Yobe: apc should win here

Gombe; with the loss of apc in gombe,it looks dicey between gov inuwa and mailantarki.
Bauchi: the race looks dicey but gov bala has the advantage.

Taraba: the apc candidate sen bwacha will easily stroll to victory
Adamawa: the governor has a slight advantage over binani but with lp candidate defecting to apc,anything can happen.

Kwara:the APC candidate gov abdulrahman will win.
Niger: bago will stroll to victory though kantigi will put up a fight.
Nasarawa; a three horse race with the governor having the advantage
Benue; fr alia is the gov in waiting.

Plateau; Patrick dakum of lp has the advantage though nentawe of apc can spring a surprise.

Lagos; sanwoolu will have a landslide victory.
Ogun; gov dapo should struggle to victory.

Oyo; gov omituntun should get reelected

Delta: omo agege should easily win.

Rivers; unpredictable

Cross river; sen prince otu has the advantage
Akwa ibom: the ypp Candidate sen oba will demolish pdp

Enugu: edeoga of lp will thrash mbah of pdp

Abia; alex Otti is governor in waiting.
Ebonyi; hon nwifuru will defeat pdp and lp.

Mynd44
Seun
Nplfmod
Obinoscopy
Fergie001
Kyase
Kahal
Naptu2
Anigbajumo
Penguin2
Vicdom
Angelfrost
Fatgerofjesus
Tutudesz
Efewestern
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Mymouth
Svoboda
Gabaasky
Itstutsi
Raumdeuter
Sammy
Obembet
Oghenaogie
Beremx
Digitron

No body is counting LP candidate in plateau. U dont learn even after the presidential

youngwarlocks:
I think it isn't.

Its fake & am from plateau. We intend to deny APC 25%

garfield1:
Its same as 2019.they most collate from lgas first

Noted. Thanks

garfield1:
Na presidential I want

The results i saw for Zamfara was APC 450K & PDP 130K. DONT KNOW ITS AUTHENTICITY

garfield1:
Sokoto
Apc 35%
Pdp 40%
Nnpp 23%
Lp 2%

Kebbi
Apc 40%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 20%
Lp 5%

Zamfara
Apc 65%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 15%

Katsina
Apc 33%
Pdp 33%
Nnpp 33%
Lp 1%

Jigawa
Apc 35%
Pdp 30%
Nnpp 30%
Lp 5%

Kaduna
Apc 40%
Lp 30%
Pdp 18%
Nnpp 12%

Kano
Apc 32%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 43%
Lp 5%


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Seun
Seunmsg
Kyase
Quotasystem
Itstutsi
Kahal
Legendhero

Hours away so just relax. You'd be shocked

garfield1:
Adamawa
Apc 25%
Pdp 55%
Lp 20%

Taraba
Apc 33%
Pdp 42%
Lp 25%

Bauchi
Apc 30%
Pdp 37%
Nnpp 28%
Lp 5%

Gombe
Apc 45%
Pdp 30%
Lp 15%
Nnpp 10%

Yobe
Apc 70%
Pdp 20%
Nnpp 10%
Lp 0.11%

Borno
Apc 80%
Pdp 10%
Lp 7%
Nnpp 3%


Mynd44
Seun
Nplfmod
Obinoscopy
Mukina2
Farano
Rotation
Indispensable
Donphilopus
Afamed
Calmobserver
Majole
Yarimo
Ttalk
Ityp
Penguin2
Digitron
Spencekat
Immaculatejoe
Ihenzy

Am not saying anything again. 6 days from today at this time we shall know pretty well if those percentages would hold or not

garfield1:
South east
Apc 15%
Pdp 15%
Lp 70%

South south
Apc 30%
Pdp 33%
Lp 37%

South west
Apc 58%
Pdp 20%
Lp 22%


Mynd44
Seun
Obinoscopy
Fergie001
Kyase
Kahal
Naotu
Kwanza
Igboson
Meleszenawii
Legendhero
Raumdeuter
Cajal
Muykem
Quickberry
Udopasa
Indispensable
Capitalcee
Blackpanda
Penguin2
Vicdom
Mrvitalis
Norsyk

Just less than 6 days away. We go know those who do analysis based on sentiments

Opzyguitar:
Atiku, Peter Obi and Kwankwaso can not beat my achievements – Tinubu boast




Asiwaju Bola Tinubu, the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), has confidently stated that his rivals in the 2023 presidential race cannot match his track record. In an opinion piece published in The Economist, Tinubu touted his achievements during his tenure as the governor of Lagos state.

During his time as governor, Tinubu claimed to have implemented a “legacy of technocratic governance” by recruiting top talent from the private sector. He also asserted that he successfully tackled insecurity and crime in the state by increasing funding for the police force.

According to Tinubu, his competitors in the race – Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP), Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP) – cannot match his accomplishments. He highlighted that under his leadership, Lagos state quadrupled its tax revenue, which was then channeled into public services and infrastructure development.

Tinubu emphasized that...

See more details here:

https://opzygist.com.ng/local/politics/atiku-peter-obi-and-kwankwaso-cant-match-my-achievements-tinubu-boast/

Which achievement is that?

Trollronaldo:
1. Southwest
Lagos
APC: 40%
LP: 35%
PDP: 15%
Others: 10%

Ogun
APC: 55%
LP: 25%
PDP: 15%
Others: 5%

Oyo
APC: 45%
LP: 25%
PDp: 25%
Others: 5%

Osun
APC: 45%
PDP: 25%
LP: 25%
Others: 5%

Ekiti
APC: 65%
LP: 20%
PDP: 10%
Others: 5%

Ondo
APC: 50%
LP: 25%
PDP: 15%
Others: 10%

2. Northwest

Kano
NNPP: 40%
PDP: 25%
APC: 20%
LP: 10%
Others: 5%

Kaduna
APC: 35%
LP: 30%
PDP: 20%
NNPP: 10%
Others: 5%

Katsina
PDP: 40%
APC: 30%
NNPP: 20%
Others: 10%

Zamfara
PDP: 40%
APC: 35%
NNPP: 15%
Others: 10%

Jigawa
PDP: 40%
APC: 25%
NNPP: 25%
Others: 10%

Kebbi
PDP: 45%
APC: 35%
NNPP: 10%
Others: 10%

Sokoto
PDP: 50%
APC: 25%
NNPP: 20%
Others: 5%

3. Northcentral

Niger
PDP: 40%
APC: 30%
NNPP: 15%
LP: 10%
Others: 5%

Kwara
APC: 50%
PDP: 25%
LP: 15%
Others: 10%

Kogi
APC: 40%
PDP: 30%
LP: 25%
Others: 5%

Benue
LP: 50%
PDP: 20%
APC: 20%
Others: 10%

Plateau
LP: 40%
APC: 30%
PDP: 25%
Others: 5%

Nasarawa
LP: 30%
APC: 30%
PDP: 25%
NNPP: 10%
Others: 5%

4. Northeast

Adamawa
PDP: 50%
LP: 25%
APC: 20%
Others: 5%

Bauchi
PDP: 50%
APC: 20%
NNPP: 20%
Others: 10%

Yobe
PDP: 40%
APC: 40%
NNPP: 10%
Others: 10%

Borno
APC: 50%
PDP: 35%
Others: 15%

Gombe
PDP: 45%
APC: 25%
NNPP: 15%
LP: 10%
Others: 5%

Taraba
PDP: 40%
LP: 35%
APC: 20%
Others: 5%

5.Southeast

Anambra
LP: 85%
Others: 15%

Imo
LP: 70%
APC: 20%
Others: 10%

Ebonyi
LP: 75%
APC: 15%
Others: 10%

Abia
LP: 80%
Others: 20%

Enugu
LP: 80%
Others: 20%

6. Southsouth

Rivers
LP: 65%
PDP: 15%
Others: 20%

Edo
LP: 55%
PDP: 25%
APC: 15%
Others: 10%

Delta
LP: 45%
PDP: 35%
Others: 20%

Crossriver
LP: 55%
APC: 25%
Others: 20%

Bayelsa
LP: 40%
APC: 25%
PDP: 30%
Others: 5%

Akwa ibom
LP: 50%
PDP: 30%
Others: 20%

7. FCT
LP: 50%
PDP: 25%
APC: 25%
Others: 10%



25% requirment
APC: 22 states
PDP: 23 states
LP: 23 states.


I predict a rerun, however either of these parties ca manage to get 25% in one more state. Even at that, a rerun is still most likely as that worn guarantee that the party will get the highest figures in terms of voters.

QUIET HONEST PREDICTION. KEEP IT UP

ashacot:
This Is My Projection for this month election.
This projection is based on current reality and dynamics of present political settings.
A lot has changed since 2019 election especially the Dynamics.
But i will be givibg my projection based on the following.
1. The candidates
2. The pulse or mood of the country. Voters turn out, Party structure
Please note that this is subjected to changes until the D election. So i will give my projection region by region and may break them down into states.

SOUTH WEST.


OGUN STATE: with an APC governor and the fact that the APC candidate is a son of the soil will deliver a possible 65-70% of the votes. PDP not strong in Ogun and labour party doesn't have any real presence here. APC 65% PDP 20% LP 15%
OYO STATE: is ruled by PDP but the governor is among the G5 governors of PDP that renegade against the PDP presidential candidate. Feelers already has it that the G5 governors are working for Tinubu's emergence. And the Oyo governor is already scheming to trade the presidential votes in his state for his reelection for second term. APC to get 65% here while PDP 20%, labour 15%.
OSUN STATE. Also a PDP state. The governor is firmly an Atiku fan but he will not be able to stop the APC from taken at least 70% of the votes here. While PDP will score %15, labour will get 15% here.
EKITI STATE. An APC state with key players in both parties working for APC. Ex gov, Fayemi who stepped down for Tinubu in the APC primaries is firmly working with the governor to deliver the state. While another ex gov Fayose who is a PDP leader in the state is also working to deliver votes to Tinubu.
There is little or no presence of labour party in the state. APC 70-75% PDP 15% LP 15.
ONDO STATE. An APC controlled state is the swing state of the south west. One can most times not predict the direction the state will vote as APC lost the presidential election here. Unless there is a significant change here, APC may not win here convincingly So in Ondo, APC %50, PDP 25, LP 20% others %5.
Lagos. The headquarters of APC south. The party has not really won the state convincingly. This is the state APC presidential candidate made his name and consolidated his achievements. Though there are many forces against his victory. Here APC %50. LP 35% PDP %10 others 5%.

SOUTH SOUTH.

DELTA STATE. A PDP stronghold. The VP is from the state. Though he has quite a lot of battle to fight to successfully deliver block vote to his party. He has fallen out with his godfather ibori too and APC look like ..has penetrated the state. The APC got over 25% in the region and won some assembly and senate seats too in 2019 election. With the increasing popularity of LP candidate in the state too, block votes here is looking almost impossible. APC 25%, PDP 40% LP 35%
BAYELSA STATE. A PDP state and ex president Jonathan state too. The PDP is still the strongest party here even though it lost the last gov election to APC but got it back through the court. Here PDP 40%, APC 18% LP42%
AKWA IBOM STATE. A PDP state. But will be largely threatened by LP. The governor here is a strong ATIKU ally with APC structure here shakky despite the presence of ex gov Akpabio. Here APC to get 20% PDP 45% LP 35%
CROSS RIVER STATE. An APC state. The governor has vowed to deliver the state to Tinubu. But even at that, the APC will still not win the state. It has been a traditional PDP state. Here APC will get 25-35%, PDP 30% LP 35-40.
RIVERS STATE: A tradition PDP state too. Its governor is the leader of the G5 govs against ATIKU. He has already showed sign that he is supporting the emergence of Tinubu. Here APC to get 30% PDP 30% Labour party 40%.
EDO STATE: PDP has a strong structure here with a governor. However, APC too has a deep structure here led by ex gov Oshomole. The state has always given the APC 30% AND IT will not change. The only changes here will be in introduction of LP which will harm the PDP. APC 30%, PDP 35%, LP 35%

SOUTH EAST .

IMO STATE. An APC state. But even at that, Labour Party still has an edge here. Obi will get the bulk of the votes here. APC 25% PDP 20% LP 55%
ABIA STATE. Another PDP state. Though its gov is among the G5 govs, it may likely work for PDP due to the death of his choice successor. Labour Party still have an edge here. APC 20-25, PDP 25% LP 55-60%
EBONYI STATE: a traditional PDP state. Though presently ruled by an APC gov. Labour party will still edge this state.
Here APC 25% PDP 10% LP ... 65%
ENUGU STATE: the headquarter of PDP states in south east. Its gov is among the G5 govs. His godfather chimaroke is working for Tinubu emergence but LP will dominate here. APC 15-25%, PDP 20%, LP %65.
ANAMBRA STATE: the home state of LP candidate. He is expected to sweep here even though PDP always sweep here in previous election. APC 9%, PDP 1O% LP 81%. APGA O%

NORTH CENTRAL.

ABUJA: APC lost this place to PDP last election. It may do badly here too but it might not significantly harm them bBecause of LP. here APC 30%, PDP 35% LP 35.
NASARAWA STATE: an APC state with both Christians and muslims. Religion may be a factor here. APC 40%, PDP 35% LP 20% NNPP %5
PLATUE STATE: an APC state and also the state of APC presidential DG. Just like nasarawa, religion and tribe will play a major factor here. APC 35%, PDP 25% LP 35 others 5%.
KOGI STATE: An APC state. And also the state of PDP campaign spome person Dinno Malaye. Here APC 50% PDP 30%, LP 15% Others 5%.
KWARA STATE: An APC state. Though PDP has a presence in the state with ex gov saraki still available, labour little or no presence. Here APC 65% PDP 30, LP 10% NNPP 5%.
BENUE STATE. A PDP state. Its gov has vowed not to work for Atiku. But APC has a strong presence with ex gov George Akume still a big factor. with APC having a Popular gov candidate, APC 40% 40% PDP 20%.
NIGER STATE: A state with an APC governor and senators. But president Buhari will not be on the ballot here. PDP are fairly strong here too. and NNPP may get a chunk here. APC 40%, PDP 40% NNPP 15% LP 10%

NORTH EAST

GOMBE STATE: an APC state, here APC 50%, PDP 35% NNPP 10% Others 5%
TARABA STATE: A PDP state. Religion and tribe has always defined vote ..here. PDP won the state at both fed and state level in 2019 election. Here, APC will score 30%, PDP 35%, LP 25% NNPP 10% OTHERS 5%
BORNO: An APC state and the home state of APC presidential candidate. Here APC 60%, PDP 28%, LP8, NNPP, 12%
ADAMAWA: The home state of PDP presidential candidate. He won the 2019 election here by the whiskers but president Buhari is not on the ballot here. APC to get 25%, PDP %60, LP 7% NNPP 7%.
YOBE STATE. An APC state. Here APC will slighly edge PDP. APC 45% PDP 40% LP 1% NNPP %10 others 4%
BAUCHI: PDP state. Here PDP will take this state. Though APC has a strong presence here. APC 30%, PDP 60% LP 10% NNPP, 10%

NORTH WEST

ZAMFARA STATE. Here all the ex governors are in APC. the state is predominantly APC. However, PDP has slight presence here. APC 50%, PDP 30% LP, 5% NNPP 15%
KADUNA STATE: A dynamic state. Presently ruled by an APC governor and a henchman of Tinubu campaign el rufai. The state is also the home state of Labour party candidate. No buhari on the ballot here means APC will get 35%, PDP 35% LP 15%, NNPP 15%
KEBBI STATE. Here the APC and PDP will slug it out even though it is an APC STATE. . APC 35% PDP 35% NNPP 15% Others 15%
JIGAWA: is also an APC state and both APC and PDP will slug it out, with Kwankwanso also in the mix with them.
KASTINA STATE. An APC state and also the home state of president Buhari. Buhari is not on ballot here and PDP has a strong presence here. APC 40% PDP40%, NNPP 10% Others 10%.
KANO state. APC state. But APC will not dominate here because president Buhari is not on ballot and presence of kwankwanso. APC30%, PDP 25% NNPP 30%, Others 15%.
SOKOTO STATE: A PDP State. However, APC also have a strong presence here with ex governor Wamako a strong pillar in the state.
APC 35% PDP 40% NNPP 15% Others 5%.

Based on present dynamics, voter's turn out, candidates on the ballot, pulse of the nation and party structure

APC 1st position
PDP Second position
LP 3rd position
NNPP 4Th position.

ALL THESE PRO_TINUBU ANALYSIS NO GO HELP ANYBODY. WE ARE 11 DAYS FROM REALITY

kcnwaigbo:
Oga what exactly happened in Lagos? Please educate me

Who are you? You too much. Lets form a whatsapp group for this 2023 political analysis

[quote author=garfield1 post=120847417]What is your final analysis[/quote

Am in the village. Once i get to the city, id draft one

garfield1:
Benue
Apc 30%
Pdp 25%
Lp 45%

Plateau
Apc 32%
Pdp 25%
Lp 40%
Nnpp 3%

Nasarawa
Apc 32%
Pdp 32%
Lp 32%
Nnpp 4%

Kogi
Apc 48%
Pdp 30%
Lp 20%
Nnpp 2%

Niger
Apc 45%
Pdp 35%
Nnpp 10%
Lp 10%

Kwara
Apc 67%
Pdp 20%
Lp 10%
Nnpp 3%

Fct
Apc 30%
Pdp 30%
Lp 33%
Nnpp 7%




Mynd44
Nplfmod
Obinoscopy
Seun
Vicdom
Mymouth
Kahal
Donphilopus
Indispensable
Noethnicity
Quotasystem
Arewanorth
Silvertongue
Penguin2
Digitron
Sionkpo

We are 2 weeks away

He had no electoral value

garfield1:
Lagos
Apc 50%
Pdp 15%
Lp 35%

Ogun
Apc 70%
Pdp 20%
Lp 10%

Ondo
Apc 55%
Pdp 25%
Lp 20%

Ekiti
Apc 75%
Pdp 20%
Lp 5%

Osun
Apc 55%
Pdp 35%
Lp 10%

Oyo
Apc 60%
Pdp 25%
Lp 15%

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Fergieboy
Seun
Nplfmod
Seunmsg
Legendhero
Cutieking
Spatial king
Moh247
Donphilopus
Kyase
Calmobserver
Coolambience
Yarimo
Osunoriginal
Majole
Penguin2
Mrvitalis
Immaculatejoe

I believe Tinubu would get those figures +/-5% in the SW. Am not too optimistic if Atiku can get those figures you gave him & I want to believe Peter Obi would do better than you gave him and likely come 2nd in the SW

garfield1:
They will be a rerun

You mean another primaries to determine APC gubernatorial primaries in Taraba? Or you mean Nationwide presidential race?

Agbegbaorogboye:

Garfield1 will have a hard time sleeping tonight
What he wished in Kebbi has happened in Taraba
Eish

You said it all. Gardield1 how market na?

senatordave1:
I think apc will get at least 50 senate seats,pdp 30 lp 20 and nnpp 5..apc should have 150 reps,pdp 100,lp 50,others 60.

Apc should win at least 12 senate seats in nw,11 in ne,10 in nc,12 in sw,7 in ss and 3 in se...
Pdp should win 6 in nw,5 ne,4 nc,4 sw,8 in ss and 3 in se..lp will win 7 in se,4 in ss,1 in sw,4 in nc,one in ne and one in nw.

I doubt LP gets 5 senators & 10 Reps

This is a useless poll. Few persons mostly undecided

senatordave1:
Apc has won most of the election with bvas my guy

Winning is different from 90%. Atiku would surely get 25% in both Yobe & Borno

senatordave1:
How do you reason in that your brain kid! If you dont have any reasonable thing to say,keep shut.

Old man you go change your name very soon so that people no go point to your coconut brainless projections

senatordave1:
Plateau results

Lp 40%
Apc 35%
Pdp 25%

This election would be conducted in your brain. I now believe you just out out figures. Tinubu won't see 25% in plateau