₦airaland Forum

rolams:
Kastina wey nearly everybody don run enter the PDP?

kenzysmith:
States Likely To Be Won By The Four Major Presidential Candidates

PETER OBI:
*Abia
*Anambra
*Enugu
*Ebonyi
*Imo

BOLA TINUBU:
*Osun
*Ekiti
*Ondo
*Oyo
*Lagos
*Ogun
*Kogi
*Kwara
*Niger
*Nassarawa
*Borno
*Yobe
*Katsina

ATIKU ABUBAKAR:
*Adamawa
*Gombe
*Bauchi
*Taraba
*Sokoto
*Jigawa
*Kebbi
*Plateau
*Kaduna
*Zamfara
*Benue
*Delta
*Edo
*Akwa Ibom
*Rivers
*Cross Rivers
*Bayelsa
*FCT

RABIU KWANKWASO
*Kano

garfield1:
No.he might win Edo.atiku come third

garfield1:
I see obi as a future president by 2031.but he might beat atiku..gboko,makurdi and iturkpo gives bloc votes

garfield1:
Kwara
Apc 400,000
Pdp 150,000
Labour 50,000

Niger
Apc 500,000
Pdp 400,000
Labour 50,000

Kogi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 250,000
Labour 150,000

Nasarawa
Apc 200,000
Pdp 200,000
Labour 150,000

Plateau
Apc 350,000
Pdp 400,000
Labour 200,000

Benue
Apc 350,000
Pdp 340,000
Labour 250,000

Fct
Apc 150,000
Pdp 200,000
Labour 130,000


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Kyase
Kahal
Frowland
Silver tongue
Asobo
Cajal
Noethnicity
Ekpeitit
Offiong
Vicdom
Tutudesz
Jrusky
Esseite
Helinues
Omenkalives
Passing shot
Topmaike
Ebubu4
Ogbuefi77
Zellenskky
Midolian
Moferere
Pakute
Parachoko
Warriaproko
Chrixxx
Seanfer

buttlover:
Sometimes I laugh out when they keep saying the number of votes in the North is this and that. Look at how many unregistered voters queuing in line. It shows that 70% of southerners are not documented. Even the northern population is made up of many tribes from around Nigeria mainly Igbos and Yorubas with middle belt. We can assume that all northerners already have their PVC. It means all registrations now is for the south. To me out of the 200 million population, southerners are more than 135 million all put together and northerners take the rest.

dignity33:
What is happening in Nigeria surprised me, Since ongoing PVC registration across the country, I never see any video coming out from the core North where people queue to register for PVC. I want to asked, is Northerner no longer registering for PVC anymore or they have all been registered. Then why the numbers of registered people growing tremendously in the North but in the South the numbers are not noticeable. Is there no longer journalists in this country to investigate what is going on up there or have their finaly cutoff from Nigeria.

HilcomTech:
Stop taking mkporu miri

HIGHESTPOPORI:
It will be shared 40/40/20 btw Apc, LP and Pdp

raumdeuter:
Tinubu ill get at least 70% of SW and 40% of the entire South which includes SE, SW and SS

raumdeuter:
Last election in 2019, Kwankwaso was already out of APC. Max is for Kwankwanso to win Kano state

DontBullshitMe:
If Obi's rising profile gets to a stage where it can upset things for Atiku, don't be shocked if he withdraws from the race. He can cite different reasons and back out to tilt it towards Atiku. Alot can still happen.

For now, Obi will struggle to get 1.5 million votes, win 0 states so he's not a threat for now.

The SE people who felt betrayed by PDP will rather not come out to vote at all than come out to queue and vote Labour Party that CANNOT WIN. Obi will put up a fair fight no doubt but he can't do much.

Did you watch Ekwenremadu's recent interview? Why are PDP SE politicians not decamping to Labour Party in solidarity with Peter Obi?

Those of us supporting Peter Obi are giving him November while others say once his alliance with Kwankwaso doesn't work out, they would switch to ATIKU

aumeehn:
lol i thought i was the only person that smell the hypocrisy from his post. The dude is being emotional. He hate Fulani President but want Fulani VP.

garfield1:
How will that be when badaru is in control and has even endorsed tinubu? Lamido has divided pdp my fielding family members as candidates..

DontBullshitMe:
I don't disagree but APC party structure will help him. Don't forget that majority of core Northern states have an APC governor who have several of their political allies running for HOR and senate seats (election is same day). They themselves will prefer a Tinubu's presidency because it means it will soon return to one of them as Tinubu's successor.

If Atiku wins, no Northern APC politician will become President again till after 16 years. Imagine that.

DontBullshitMe:
Whaaaat?? lol

First of all, I agree that majority of Peter Obi's votes will be traditionally anti-APC or perhaps newly registered voters. I don't think same can be said for Kwankwanso though. In Kano's Presidential election in 2019, Buhari won convincingly for Presidential election but governorship election was 50-50 courtesy of Kwankwanso influence in PDP. So, those votes he flipped against APC in Kano governorship election will be his now since he is on ballot running for Presidency against people who are not named Buhari.

Then, your Atiku 45% against Tinubu 40% prediction in the North will be hard/unachievable/unlikely. I still believe Tinubu will win the North because he has several sitting APC governors behind him carefully positioning themselves for 2027 or 2031 as a succesor unlike Atiku that's running on being a Fulani man alone. So maybe the 45% should be for Tinubu and 40% for Atiku.

On Peter Obi's case, don't be surprised if he is convincingly beaten by Atiku in SE, his stronghold. I believe Igbos are smart politically and will not gamble the stake they have in PDP for an Obi's Presidency pipedream. This also applies to SS. You better don't be surprised if Labour Party has a better outing in SW than in SE.

So, no way Tinubu is winning the entire South. SS/SE will not risk voting LP. Trust me.


Ẹgbọn Dayo. You are wrong on this ooh.

garfield1:
Ok.please kindly leave my thread

raumdeuter:
Then Tinubu wins Kaduna

You never talk of Edo finish you say Obi will get 40 to 45% so how much will Atiku get to win and how much for Tinubu

Olaoluwa122:
Atiku should win Sokoto Jigawa and kebbi...easily

DontBullshitMe:
The thing about Muslim-Muslim ticket is that only Muslim extremists will see nothing wrong with it. Moderate Muslims might not support it out of sympathy. Like after Buhari's 8 years, Nigeria moves to a Muslim-Muslim ticket? The ticket will do well in NE and NW but that's where it ends. Also, consider that the Media will be harsh on the arrangement so much that some moderate Muslims will rather go for a Muslim-Christian ticket with a Muslim President as well.

So, In as much as majority of the NC states are Muslims, it does not mean they will necessarily be receptive of a Muslim-Muslim ticket. Though I believe that Atiku's Fulani ethnicity will cause him problems too.

Truth is : The race is too close to call especially with the emergence of LP and NNPP. Voting patterns can change.

raumdeuter:
I like your numbers analysis. Tinubu will never get Buharis number in the north.
Atiku will never get his 2019 numbers in the South as long as Obi continues to remain in the race
You are forgetting the Obi and Kwankwanso factor which are mainly traditional anti-APC votes

Obi candidacy is terrible news for Atiku

In the entire North I see Tinubu 40% Atiku 45% Kwankwanso 10% Obi 5%
In the entire South I see Tinubu 40%, Obi 30% Atiku 30% Kwankwanso 0%

Entire country rough average Tinubu 40%, Atiku 37%, Obi 18% Kwankwanso 5%

raumdeuter:
If Tinubu announce a Moslem as vice, he is a goner from where?

garfield1:
Guy,what exactly is your problem? What do you gain from a northern presidency? Are you not tired of fulani supremacy

Prince111111:
This guy makes me laugh with his beer parlor analysis

Olaoluwa122:
Remove Edo Edo Ondo plss

raumdeuter:
Who are these North Central? Kogi Kwara Niger Nasarawa Plateau and Benue

Regardless of Moslem-Moslem Kogi Kwara Nasarawa and Niger are predominantly Moslems and they wont have a problem with Moslem-Moslem

The only 2 NC states that are majority Christians are Benue and Plateau. So the choice for them is between Tinubu Moslem-Moslem ticket, Atiku -Fulani Moslem, or Obi - Rlatively unknown with no structure