₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
Kano:
Apc 600,000
Pdp 400,000
Lp 100,00
Nnpp 1 mil

Kaduna
Apc 600,000
Pdp 400,000
Lp 300,000
Nnpp 300,000

Sokoto
Apc 400,000
Pdp 450,000
Lp 50,000
Nnpp 150,000

Kebbi
Apc 300,000
Pdp 300,000
Lp 20,000
Nnpp 100,000

Zamfara
Apc 500,000
Pdp 100,000
Lp 10,000
Nnpp 200,000

Jigawa
Apc 500,000
Pdp 300,090
Lp 50,000
Nnpp 350,000

Katsina
Apc 1 mil
Pdp 500,000
Lp 30,000
Nnpp 300,000


Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Majole
Helinues
Penguin2
Parachoko
Tinubuadvocate
Okoroawusa
Afamed
Omenka
Seanfer
Yarimo
Cajal
Abduljaffer
Noethnicity
Naijjj
Chrixxx

Throwback:
Campaign never even start.

I expect Tinubu to sweep all 6 states of SouthWest, Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Borno, Yobe, Kaduna, Katsina, Kebbi, Nassarawa, Zamfara.

If he wins those 16 states and takes 35% in all other Northern states he loses, he takes majority votes nationally.

He then takes 25% in Edo, Delta, Akwa-Ibom and Cross-River and that puts him over the 24 states out of 36 states he needs to score minimum of 25% of votes cast to avoid any runoff.

With Peter Obi playing his spoiler role for PDP as planned in the South, while Kwankwaso does same to PDP in the North, the path is clear for Tinubu to actualize a life ambition he was patient enough to pursue without political prostitution or opportunism that has dogged the Atiku and Obi campaign.

garfield1:
How will obi win in the north

garfield1:
I wanted apc to win but made no prediction

Ojuntana:
You will just swallow things without logically analysing it.
The person you quoted said:
1. Atiku is not fulani. He made this allegation without proof and failed to mention his tribe. He then claimed he's from a micro- minority. Well, Shettima is also from a minority tribe. Besides that, Atiku is already well known across the North based on his political antecedents while Tinubu is relying on the Buhari-induced APC popularity.
2. Atiku is a moderate Muslim. While that might be true, Tinubu is also regarded as such.
Shettima who is expected to back him up is not also regarded as extremist in the mould of an El-Rufai for example. In the NE where both hail from, who is the bigger name between shettima and Atiku?
3. He already agreed that BAT is easily seen as the most corrupt politician today while Atiku is second to him so I don't see how that works against Atiku.
Now, Tinubu, if he wants to win MUST win the North. He does not have the luxury OBJ or GEJ had of being popular in the South. In fact I've said it, if Tinubu wins, he'll be the first president in Nigerian history who won without support of the zone he represents.
But he has to do that by winning in both NE, NC and NW. This he will be the first to beat a big politician in his own zone.

Whether he'll be able to do this is left to be seen but from facts on ground presently, Tinubu does not hold any advantage over Atiku in the North. Maybe things will change when campaign starts though

garfield1:
Highly irrelevant. Sagbama is pdp no 1 stronghold in bayelsa

garfield1:
Obi will win benue,get 25% in fct,nasarawa,plateau...





Mynd44
Noethnicity
Cajal
Quotasystem
Helinues
Kyase
Arewanorth
Midolian
Famology
Frowland
Warriaproko
Human
Esseite
Jrusky

majole:
The fact that you are this knowledgeable must be appreciated by us all. I prefer if you could reduce your too much generosity towards APC a bit

garfield1:
Cross river;
My sweet state living on past glory.apc through gov ayade will win cross river north, pdp will take crs central while labour might take the south.for guber,Prince otu has it.

Akwa ibom; pdp will win two while ypp or labour will win one.but if akpabio is reinstated, apc will win one..
Rivers: pdp will win rivers east while apc and PDP will fight for rivers west. Apc will definitely win rivers south east with amb oji ngofa set to humiliate mpigi the eleme saboteur...
Delta: efe dafinone will win delta central while pdp will win the rest

Edo: labour will win edo south,pdp edo central and apc edo north
Bayelsa; apc will win bayelsa east and central while pdp will take bayelsa west

Anambra: labour will clear anambra north and central.ypp will take south.
IMO: apc will take okigwe and orlu while senator ezenwa of labour will take owerri zone

Abia: ouk will take abia north,pdp will take abia central while abaribe will take the south.
Ebonyi: apc will take ebonyi south while labour will take the rest.
Enugu; pdp will take two while labour will take one.

Lagos: apc totally
Ogun: apc totally
Ondo; apc takes north and central,pdp takes south
Ekiti; apc all the way
Osun: apc takes two,pdp one
Oyo: apc takes two pdp one(south)

Kwara; apc will clear the state
Niger: another clearance
Nasarawa; apc takes two,pdp one
Benue; pdp takes zone A,apc zone B while labour takes zone C.
Kogi: ohere takes central,karimk takes west while pdp takes the east
Plateau; lalong takes plateau south,pdp and apc battles for the central while labour party through gyang takes the north

Abuja; labour might defeat Phillip aduda.

Adamawa: abbo will clear Adamawa north,abdulazeez nyarko will clear Adamawa central while pdp takes Adamawa south
Taraba: apc takes taraba central. Taraba north is open while taraba south will go to failed governor isyaku
Gombe: saidu alkali will take gombe north, goje will take gombe central while gombe south will go to pdp.

Bauchi: pdp will take bauchi north,apc bauchi central while nnpp will take the south
Yobe:apc
Borno: apc

Jigawa: apc totally
Kano; nnpp takes kano central while apc takes kano north and south
Kaduna: apc takes north and central, pdp takes south
Katsina: apc
Sokoto: apc takes two,pdp one.
Kebbi: apc takes two,pdp takes one
Zamfara: the three musketeers under three musketeers of yari,sahabi yau and kabiru marafa will clear the senate seats and give tinubu bloc votes


Cc mynd44
Lalasticlala
Frowland
Helinues
Oghenaogie
Shegzy
Noethnicity
Cajal
Midolian
Coolambience
Fratermathy
Kyase
Vicdom
Penguin2
Famology
Quotasystem
Arewanorth
Majole
Asobo1
Silvertongue

kolexxy:
Lagos
Atiku 20%
Obi 25%

Oyo
Atiku 30%
Obi 10%

Osun
Atiku 35%
Obi 10%

Ondo
Atiku 25%
Obi 10%

Ekiti
Atiku 20%
Obi 10%

Ogun
Atiku 25%
Obi 10%

In all, Asiwaju will win the presidential race...Iyanu A Shele...

Donsheddy:
All obi needs to win the election...

S.E - 90%
S.S - 65%
S.W - 35%
N.C - 35%
N.E - 15%
N.W - 15%

Is not realistic. SE 75%, SW 10%, SS 55%, NC 35%, NE 10%, NW 10%. That's all Peter Obi gonna get to likely force a 2nd round with either Tinubu or Atiku


IS THIS REALISTIC ONLY TIME WILL TELL

garfield1:
A win

garfield1:
It is 50 50 but like you know,Cole is a semi politician,fubara is naive.a lot of LGAs in rivers are now with apc.wike has alienated many pdp bigwigs.as it stands,wike is sure of only obio akpor,emohua,onelga,okrika and ogubolo.with how he handled dagogo,he may have lost bonny and degema

Patrioticbreed9:
Four months ago Pdp is assured of atleast 70% of rivers vote, but after what they did to wike, the story now different.

Many riverine are now accepting apc in heart because of their matured politics of carrying everybody along and because of the Tiger himself Rotimi amaechi.

I myself am a pdp man but am forcing myself to hate it, i prefer apc.

Now to the presidential race.. Nwo eli mini will vote another vegitable, plus the muslim/muslim ticket agenda.

This alone plus the intelect of obi is a sure win for obi!.

As for some atiku some will vote, but deffinately not an ikwerre man.

Go to parks Na so,so obi full taxi drivers mouths.

Rivers will deliver for obi.

garfield1:
Riverians know cole,they don't know fubara