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Mikeapollo's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:19pm On Sep 04
londonerr:
You can't abandon Wale after luring Peter to it
Me lure Peter ke?
Peteru that is always hunting for hunters at a bargain (bargain hunters)? grin
I would still keep my units if there is very fantastic, positive news; don't see myself dumping all my units.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:15pm On Sep 04
unite4real:
if this is how you measure valuation with a straight line, dem go job you in the stocks market easily.

Why did Aradel not go to N10,000 since Seplat is now selling intra day around N14,800.

You need to wait for the prospectus to be out. You will know the total number of outstanding shares. Do your due diligence with their reported financial reports and then take your decision after seeing their income statement, Balance sheet and cash flow.

It may shock you that the N525 is expensive
Theoretically, you are spot on.

But the refinery enjoys some industry monopoly and leverage (free trade zone, less taxes etc.) which Seplat and Aradel do not have.
If Alhaji pays dividends in USD for the FY2026, then the price will go higher in 2027.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:06pm On Sep 04
ogawisdom:
Get your money ready to pack shares its about to go down. cool 525 could become 2000 in 2yrs.

Aradel @ 1500
Dangote refinery @ 525 grin what are you seeing cool

Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote said that the long-anticipated initial public offering (IPO) for the continent's largest oil facility—the Dangote Refinery will open on September 14.

The stock will be offered at N525 per share, he said on a recent television show. Dangote Refinery aims to raise approximately $5 billion from the blockbuster offering on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), before a planned London Stock Exchange secondary listing in three years time...
If we compare the N525 to prices of other stocks like DanCem, Aradel, Seplat etc, you realize that the IPO price is not too high.
So interesting that I would have benefit of feedback from Oando AGM to know what to do with my units.....either keep all, offload some or everything to buy the IPO.
Anyhow, anyhow, 'ororo'' still dey there! From ''oil and gas'' to ''oil and gas''
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:45pm On Sep 04
SonofElElyonRet:
My "running mate" that is running after me... I have some tashere in Ellah and eyeing Zichis in case it falls yakata
So you are now Barkin Zuwo, abi? grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:37pm On Sep 04
Few days sago, some people were describing Dangote as ''not serious'' becasue he had shifted the date of the IPO a couple of times in the past!
I just shook my head when I saw the post.
The way we talk in this country ehn?
Business › Re: Dangote Refinery IPO To Open In 12 Days, Targets $5bn Raise by mikeapollo: 4:32pm On Sep 04
HacheNoire:
Not jumping in. Will wait for it close and allow the dust settle.
Wait until no dusts settles.
You think anybody would sell his shares at a discount to the IPO price?
The least price you would get it, if ever, is N600.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:11pm On Sep 04
SonofElElyonRet:
Why you no add Ellah and Zichishuh
grin
Why are you frowning?
You said you are no longer under any tension from any stock?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:31pm On Sep 04
elengine:
Including company that left in 2021 right? Make you na continue. People should not waste their time, the adults here have made up their minds and know who to vote for or not. All these wont change anything and if it doesnt, why dissipating your efforts to write, post and even share incorrect information
Are you referring to Nairametrics or who?
Because you must have seen the source where the article was copied from. Or did you notice that anything was added or removed?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:04pm On Sep 04
ghm:
True!

Here's the question for you, others and all of us: Under this administration, are Nigeria's macroeconomic indicators improving or deteriorating?
You need benchmark and timelines to be able to provide unbiased answer. Improving or deteriorating when compared with what/when?


But personally, I don't want to dabble into this today.
The verdict is out there by the people.
If I say my opinion, I may be accused of bias.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:41am On Sep 04
lionshare:
To create jobs you need better macros; from that list 5 of 6 coys left 23/24 which buttresses my point.

https://businessday.ng/news/article/uber-to-take-over-glovos-african-operations-in-massive-16-9bn-delivery-hero-deal/

NG is the fastest growing market for glovo.

We need some otedola kind of person to buy up Access its needs to move up smiley
You're right at the bolded.
I made similar comments, but someone decided to misread what I was driving at:
Good macros help to create and sustain jobs. Bad macros do the opposite.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
SonofElElyonRet:
The Frontier classification may prevent dangote refinery price from dipping upon listing as envisaged by Mega and Co.. might even experience a price spike.. not financial advice..
I dont see investors selling their shares at a discount to the IPO price.
The refinery enjoys a monopoly, and very likely to declare profits for 2026. And Alhaji has a tendency/history of paying dividends to IPO subscribers.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 10:12am On Sep 04
lionshare:
I don’t think this is about being cheap per se. It appears they simply weren’t nimble enough to operate effectively in this kind of business environment. This exit has actually been a long time coming. Besides, I read that they are looking to invest in Glovo’s African operations, which means they will still have an indirect presence in Nigeria.
Other companies have also left.......https://nairametrics.com/2026/09/04/7-global-companies-that-have-pulled-back-from-nigeria-under-tinubu/
Were they also ''not nimble enough to operate effectively in this kind of business environment''?
God help us oo. We need these companies to come back. Guys need jobs
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 10:05am On Sep 04
Seven (7) Global Companies That Have Pulled Back From Nigeria Under Tinubu

https://nairametrics.com/2026/09/04/7-global-companies-that-have-pulled-back-from-nigeria-under-tinubu/
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:52am On Sep 04
olaremint:
They left because they could not cope with the competition, Nigerians prefer cheap things even if it’s fake, most people prefer cheap indrve with their useless vehicles because they are way cheaper
U can’t use indrive vehicles in SA or Egypt
You are probably right.
But human beings everywhere prefer cheaper things. It is a basic economic principle.
For instance, Chinese products have been able to penetrate the US and European markets because they are cheaper, and the people went for them because of the affordability.
Travel › Re: FG Thanks RCCG For Donating Towards Evacuation Of South Africa Returnees by mikeapollo: 9:45am On Sep 04
Omooba77:
FG Thanks RCCG For donating towards evacuation of South Africa Returnees
Shame to the FG!
But I also think the church could have used the money to achieve a better result---there are so many unemployed and hungry families/youth in the country and that money could have been used to help thousands of them.
Spending over N350m naira on just 500 people is not efficient enough for me.
The FG should have paid for the flight tickets
Foreign Affairs › Re: The US National Debt Has Surged Past $40 Trillion by mikeapollo: 6:14pm On Sep 03
HacheNoire:
The US national debt has surged past $40 trillion. ‘The US cannot continue on this trajectory with the tax rates that it currently has, giving out the benefits ... that it currently does.

https://x.com/reuters/status/2095515945838031125?s=46[/quote]The US can just print the dollar currency notes and give it to their creditors and settle their debt.
It is not like Nigeria and other countries that need to produce and sell goods and services before they can earn dollars to pay their debt.
That is the strategic advantage that US holds in world economy today, until it is reversed or changed
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:39pm On Sep 03
ghm:
Let's get the facts straight.

Uber is restructuring globally, especially its African business. They currently operate in more than 70 countries. They exited China a while back (I guess you know why I reference China; it is a great economy), and over the last two years, they've left 4 African countries (out of 9) as part of a broader reorganisation.

I follow Uber closely because I hold their shares.
Fair enough. May be Uber has its own peculiarities or special case.
But let's also remember that a company may operate in a smaller economy and still be more profitable (return on capital), than a in bigger country (e.g. China, Nigeria etc.).
Sometimes, economic and other factors - insecurity, conflict of interests, ease of business, corruption, legal issues etc. may also cause it.
But as general rule, most companies do not want to leave a profitable country, unless other factors are more compelling to them than profits
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
SonofElElyonRet:
Catching its breath before continuing the downhill journey grin
Mercy won't like my post cool
Somebody has been co-opted into the dreaded "Agba Camp" , upon all our hues and cries!.
Incredible!
But God dey and He will deliver us the "oppressed victims"
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:33pm On Sep 03
awesomeJ:
What gun?

Someone said Moniepoint left the UK not because of bad economy?

Then you made a flawed argument that UK's economy has been bad before Moniepoint went in, therefore by your own reasoning, the economy which had been bad before they went in was what caused their failurehuh

Come on!
Stop quoting wrongly just because you want to contribute!

Where did you see or read that I said specifically that the UK economy has been bad before Moniepoint went in, therefore the economy which had been bad before they went in was what caused their failure? PLEASE SHOW ME WHERE I SAID SUCH!

I made a general statement that bad economies do make companies to struggle or fold up.
And as far as I know, no company experience (Moniepoint experience in the UK inclusive) can be used to overturn this general theory.

The main topic or statement is that Uber left Nigeria because of harsh economic condition. Any other analogy or discussion has to either support or disprove that statement . So Moniepoint leaving the UK has to be situated within that context.

The UK economy has been very bad for some years now. And worsening economic situations (in any country) can make things worse for any company in that country. Whether that was what happened specifically to Moniepoint or not is not my point.
I raised a general theory in macro-economics.
Cumulative years of bad or economic situations could surely affect companies that were hitherto doing well, unless there is any form of ''immunity'' or ''bullet proof'' that is known to guarantee and prevent every company from such effects or events..
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:00pm On Sep 03
lionshare:
In essence are you saying companies never close shop in countries with improving or great macros?
Never.
But the rate and tendency for companies to close shop is higher and more prevalent in bad or deteriorating economic environment than during stable or improving economic environment.

It's like this:
People die. But more people die during periods of wars, natural disasters, epidemics, pandemics etc.
And more people are born during periods of peace, economic bouyance, fortunes, etc.

What happened during Udoji Awards in the 1975-76 is a typical example.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:36pm On Sep 03
awesomeJ:
Nobody says a bad economy is desirable for businesses.

I was just pointing out that it didn't follow for you to discount the brother's argument in the manner you did sir.
Don't jump the gun!
The original discuss/topic was about Uber leaving Nigeria. It was said that Uber is leaving Nigeria due to harsh economic environment.
Then, Moniepoint leaving the UK was introduced into the discussion, to suggest that Uber leaving Nigeria was not due to bad macro-economic factors.

Hence, my advice that UK economy is generally bad now, so it is not a good example, whether companies are leaving the UK or not.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:19pm On Sep 03
awesomeJ:
How? did? his reference spoil it?
So you're saying Moniepoint went into UK before brexit?

Or the UK economy was booming when Moniepoint went inhuh

Since you yourself mentioned the bad trajectory has been on for nearly a decade which is way before Moniepoint went in, you're the one who countered yourself.


The bad trajectory of UK's ecomony was a constant before and after they went in, so It's only logical for you to agree with the man that their failure in that market isn't correlated with the performance of the economy.
When an economy is doing badly with each passing year, it has cascading, cumulating effect which makes things more difficult as years go by.
Similar when an economy is improving, it produces effects that make things better as years go by.

The UK has been in bad shape for sometime now.
Whether Moniepoint exited UK because of poor business model or not, it does not erase the fact that a bad or worsening economy would make things more difficult for even companies with hitherto ''good'' business models. That was the point of reference in Uber leaving Nigeria
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:54am On Sep 03
ghm:
Let's keep this about business models, not macroeconomics
[Moniepoint didn't fail because the UK economy is struggling.

They exited because:

The UK remittance market is saturated – Competing with Wise, LemFi, NALA, and Taptap Send. Customer acquisition is expensive, margins are thin.

The UK is expensive to enter – £1.2m setup costs, $2.5m regulatory deposit just to get licensed. Compare that to Nigeria or Kenya where they already have infrastructure. Heavy overhead for a market with no existing advantage.

It was an opportunity cost decision – Moniepoint processes $294bn annually in Nigeria. They're expanding in Kenya and other African markets. The UK was a distraction, not a core market.

Volume isn't viability – Demand was stable. They grew transaction volume 70% but still pulled the plug. Growth without margins is just vanity. That's a product-market fit problem, not a macro failure.

Bottom line: They didn't leave because Britain is failing. They left because their money works harder in Africa. That's strategy, not surrender.
Business models cannot be discussed or debated in a vacuum as there are factors that enable such models to succeed or fail.
Business models can be affected, positively or negatively, by the macroeconomy.
Why do you think companies that depend on heavy imports of raw materials or machinery (all over the world) for their operations usually struggle or fold up whenever the local currency is hugely devalued?
For instance, the viability or otherwise of a transport business (like Uber) will definitely be affected by astronomical rise in price of fuel. (even though I am not saying this is the main reason for them leaving Nigeria).


The UK economy has not been doing well in recent times. Other countries would be better as examples to support your argument.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:13am On Sep 03
Agbalowomeri:
grin grin grin grin grin

Orun m'oru grin grin grin grin
Please, let Baba Sala rest in peace, abeg.

Stay put at your ''Access for N10'' lane. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:04am On Sep 03
ghm:
Uber isn't quitting Nigeria because the economy is failing. They're quitting because their model failed here.

They've been complaining for years about drivers gaming the system—fake trips, bonus abuse, account sharing. That's not a macroeconomic problem. That's a microeconomic friction they couldn't fix.

Compare Moniepoint in the UK: they pumped in £2.5m, then exited. Did the UK economy fail? No. Their product just didn't fit the market.

Same energy here. Uber's exit isn't a verdict on Nigeria's economy. It's a verdict on their inability to manage the local reality. The market is still there—they just couldn't make it work.
Your reference to the UK economy actually ''spoilt'' your argument.
The UK economy has been ''failing'' and doing badly for almost a decade now, probably due to the effects of Brexit and other factors
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 10:53am On Sep 03
Bagwa:
ANALYST CALL & MANAGEMENT Q&A | OANDO PLC – INITIATION OF COVERAGE

Renaissance Capital Africa invites you to an analyst and management Q&A session to discuss our recent initiation of coverage report for OANDO PLC.

OANDO is a deeply discounted, reserve-backed turnaround story which is contingent on the execution of its balance sheet restructuring that will allow it to finance higher production and generate free cash flow. Ultimately, this is a high-risk, high-reward turnaround story where successful recapitalisation is a prerequisite for its market valuation to re-rate.

Oando has the reserves to drive the story: the 2024 NAOC acquisition lifted the group’s 2P reserves to 920 MMboe, one of the largest reserve bases held by any Nigerian indigenous E&P. Furthermore, 61% of these reserves are gas, which has strong LT potential for domestic power generation.

We initiate coverage with a Target Price (TP) of NGN123.1/share, implying 262.1% upside.

Join us as we unpack our investment thesis and provide insights, along with senior management.

DATE
TIME
LOCATION
Tuesday, 08 September 2026
2:00 p.m. (WAT)
Microsoft Teams

Speakers:
Divine Olumese: Oil & Gas Analyst – Renaissance Capital Africa
Silha Rasugu: Senior Analyst & Partner – Emerging & Frontier Capital LLP (EFC)
Olumide Sole: Head, Financial Institutions Research – Renaissance Capital Africa
Samuel Sule: Chief Executive Officer – Renaissance Capital Africa
Mr. Adeola Ogunsemi: Group Chief Financial Officer – Oando Plc

Please CLICK LINK BELOW to register.
https://events.teams.microsoft.com/event/73359dd5-60b6-408c-a662-5f3e496e5296@fcf16af1-6749-4cb0-9a81-747f30dfdd7d?source=copyLinkLegacyShareEventDialog
@Bagwa, how far?
Any ''news'' or feelers from your end?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:41am On Sep 03
KarlTom:
* FPI
Yardstick wrt their presence before NG dropped from Frontier... smiley
Clever guy grin
Nairaland General › Re: Man Destroys Wooden Shelves He Built After Receiving Quit Notice From Landlord(V by mikeapollo: 9:24am On Sep 03
Lovelink1991:
A man who renovated the big parlour with modern wood works few months after renting the apartment was serve quit after the landlord saw it and he also inturn destroyed every wood work he has done in the house.

I think it is hightime tenant stop renovating landlord's property to avoid situations like this.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nD5-_8QahU0
Reason why I did not install floor tiles and other items in my former apartment when the landlady started coming up with some lame complaints. Eventually she issued a quit notice and I evavcuated without any regrets
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:02am On Sep 03
KarlTom:
With FDI coming back fully + Frontier Market classification, I doubt the bolded...
The bolded is ''vague''.
What yardstick determines ''coming back fully''?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 7:19pm On Sep 02
Slammmmmmmm:
I really wanna try to stay positive.
Oando is a high risk-high reward stock.
Calibrate and mitigate your risks very well even when you want to stay positive.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 7:12pm On Sep 02
toyeoye:
OANDO at ₦38.30 (+9.43%)
Is this the start of a bigger recovery?
grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 6:38pm On Sep 02
Slammmmmmmm:
Be like say Wale dn ready.
The AGM is in 2 weeks time, may be there is some good news. May be not.

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