The earlier Urchins understand that the better for their mental state!

Its an insult to call Jonathan clueless. Only an idiot with brain gay will call Jonathan clueless.

A gave birth to my son a virgin. Ndị ala!

It's actually sad that Tinubu's wife and Children allowed this ailing old man to be dragged around in the name of greed. Someone with obvious dementia and other complicated health issues. It's truly a shame!

From licking mic , to Bala blu, to gazelle garagara and now sewing cloth !

Trollronaldo:
These 7 states below are the only states with more than 3million PVC holders. In particular order:

1. Lagos
2. Kano
3. Kaduna
4. Rivers
5. Katsina
6. Oyo
7. Delta.

These states hold about 27million voter's cards, which account for about 30% of all the voter's card in circulation.

Let's try and give a realistic view candidates chances in each states.

1. Lagos state: while APC or any party Tinubu is in has always won Lagos state but there has never been a time Tinubu's party won Lagos convincingly in any presidential election. As a matter of fact, there's a hypothesis that suggest that the results that always pan out of lagos is usually rigged via overvoting for Tinubu's party, while we can't point to any evidence but it's very plausible. This time, BVAS is going to reveal a shocking result in Lagos (TRUST me). Tinubu may or may not win Lagos, if he wins, the margin will not be very wide, it has never been. His win in Lagos will be so close that it won't be relevant. I see Tinubu getting 40-45% of votes in Lagos state. Peter Obi may snatch 35-40% while Atiku will work with 10-15%.

2. Kano
Kano is the turf of kwankwaso, this is his terrain and even if he's not gonna win any state, he will win want to prove a point with kano. I see kwankwaso winning kano massively. He has this cult of followers that are domicile in the state. They see him as a god.
I can place my money on kwankwaso getting 50% of kano's vote while Tinubu and Atiku share the remaining. Tinubu might only be able to get 15-20% here, Atiku will get 20-25%, Obi will be able to get a pattry 5-10%.

3. Kaduna
Kaduna is a battle ground, very unpredictable to call. With the crises in Southern Nigeria and the religious tension in the state, this state has never given block votes to any party. Even Buhari couldn't get block votes here. I don't see Tinubu doing as much as Buhari here, however I think he will get 20-25%, Atiku and Peter Obi will also get about 20-25% each. Kwankwaso should be able to get 15%, kwankwaso is going to steal a lot of votes from APC in northern Kaduna that would have ordinarily given APC the win.

4. Rivers
This is a known PDP state, however things are changing. The governorship aspirant of APC is famous, the G-5 saga is messed PDP chances and the people of Rivers state, however the people of rivers state don't really fancy Tinubu. Their attention seems to be heavily tilted towards Peter Obi.
The obedient structure is strong here, so I see Peter Obi getting 60% of what comes out here. Atiku will get 20%, Tinubu may get 10%.

5. Katsina
Katsina is also a Close call. Kano has a lot of influence on what happens in Katsina, which means that kwankwaso is going to do well here, although it may not be enough for him to win. This is an hausa and Fulani land, I see Atiku getting the most votes of 40%, while Tinubu and Kwankwaso get 25% each. Obi may not get up to 5% here because this state is not as metropolitan as Kano.

6. Oyo state
This is a PDP state, however that won't really influence the presidential election that much. It will only influence the gubernatorial election.
It's a Yoruba state, people will vote along tribal lines however many Yorubas don't want Tinubu, many don't like APC, it means that Obi will be their option.
I see Tinubu winning this state with 50%, Obi getting 25%, Atiku would get from 10-15%.

7. Delta
This is a strong PDP state and even the vice-presidential candidate of PDP is from this state. Although they have a strong APC aspirant for governor, it's not going to play a major influence in the outcome of the presidential elections. This state is obedient, very obedient so a perceive a battle between PDP and LP.
PDP may 35%, LP may get 40% and Tinubu will get 10%

Your analysis shows some level of display of understanding of the true reality. However, I don't see PDP getting 35% in Delta State. Okowa is an under performing governor, that will affect him!.The best Atiku can do in Delta is 20%, Obi will not get anything shot of 60% in Delta State.

Hahahaha.... Quota system Almajiri forgot that numbers could not give Buhari president!

He made a Statement that shows that most people who support Tinubu knows he is actually not the best! They are doing so because of their hate for Obi and the strong voice of his supporters!

LadyExcellency:
Kwankwaso said Labor Party is ethnic party with so much bitterness as if Peter Obi is his enemy.

That is the only campaign line core northerners know. They can barely compete on fair ground with any Southerner. That's why they keep displaying their quota system entitled mentality everywhere they are given little opportunity!

Investogist:
“We are where we are because of the mistakes and wrong choices made by the very people entrusted with the business of governing Nigeria in the last 24 years.”

Read full article at:
https://investogist.com/key-takeaways-from-rabiu-kwankwasos-chatham-house/

There is no key take away from that Almajiri outing.

uba1991:
mumu! Why not reveal it? Or you don't want Namdi kanu to be released?
Is this not the same Wike that killed thousands of ipob terrorists in Rivers state? Wao Wike is pressing the mumu button of ipob and zombiedients.

It's still the same secret that Rocha's used to get his Senatorial seat.... The same secret is what made Emefiele to buy form as CBN governor, the same secret is why Peter Obi will win election.

Kyase:
Omo
Kwankaso don bruise some people ego today for London

Andrews liver salt party

You must be shallow to believe that Kwankwaso bruised anybody's ego! Someone that was giving a platform to sale himself and he went there behaving like a typical entitled quota system Almajiri.

Even if Joe Biden leads Atiku's campaign and Trump Tinubu's campaign, Obi will still win!

uba1991:
Today is a day I saw Peter Obi supporters fighting because of money.
This show of shame happen along abattoir Reyfield road.
At about 1pm there was free for all among Obidients who accused a particular woman of trying not to share the 22 million Naira send from the DG, the woman was physically assaulted, the busy road was blocked until commuters beg them to park very well and settle their disagreement.
The commotion lasted for about one hour thirty minutes.
When I asked what the money is for, one of them told me that the money is the mobilization money that they were supposed to mobilise supporters from plateau state to attend the Peter Obi rally in Kaduna.
Infact someone among them shouted that the woman don't even have PVC when she tried to accuse them of not supporting Peter obi but they are just after the money.
This show of shame happen between Namua junction and Airfoce base Jos.
Seriously I pity Peter Obi when I heard that they are, just after the money not the candidate. Even the woman (their leader) was accused of not having PVC.

No pictures, no video .. who is shameless here?

Aboki na aboki. This is what a so called PhD holder went abroad to be discussing? Talking like a typical entitled Almajiri!
A PhD from a northern university is like HND in the south East! North no be the one wey I stay?

They think say crowd for rally they win election! Majority of Obidients are busy doing underground work while some people's only achievement is crowd at rally! They tried it in Enugu it backfired!

ScamHunter:
From consumption to production

The only person that can stop Obi in this election is God! Unfortunately for Urchins and Mikanites, Obi is God's candidate!

Their rice no dey pass three cups! Na so them be give them 4cups of garri that year!

yarimo:
100% correct Mr KWANKWASO

Only an Almajiri jihadist will say Kwankwaso is right.

Malory:
Soludo is big mistake from Anambra people.

We will correct it come 2026

yarimo:
Step down to someone KWANKWASO is far ahead of in politics. Someone that can't contest and win Senate ship in Anambra state

Almajiri National politics is not Kano politics. Just as you, Kwankwaso is a local champion.

yarimo:
Politically KWANKWASO is far ahead of OBI

Oga Nigerian politics is not Kano politics.

Nairalander248:
Poster above me is on drugs

Anyways VP is a SAN, getting instructions from Primary 6 graduate. U deserve to be the president sir, but Nigeria will always humble you.

Your Alliance with Peter Obi would have been the best for your and your political career, but then Datti is a trusted and tested man.

Just step down for ObiDatti and we will revive your Political Career Sir.

Meanwhile PreElection is here and Obi is winning from every angle.

Where is this poll taking place... Make I go drop my own

Almaigaa:
Igbo people Party

For your mind you made sense? Mtchew!

post=120141634:
Peace is all we want in our nation and peace we shall have.

Peace and all around progress in our darling country is what we want.
We are not asking for more.

God bless Nigeria

... God forbid BAT-thing

Nice one ... If I am Tinubu I will Trademark Bala blu... At least it will be the first thing he achieved without back door.

Everybody knows that.... Obi will ensure that South East will teach others what it means to be a big brother. No capping.... We will be feeding them with joy.

Atiku has only one talent... And that is privatisation talent!

EastAlchemist:
I know my people
Go back there and campaign with money

Stop taking hard drugs

tinsel:

I agree with you. But he will run away from Nigeria after the election like Madueke depending on who wins.

Yeah...

kenedyx:


Hmmm. So you also believe this will affect our relationship? But he's the one who chose not to sell. To me I feel like I'm losing money that I shouldn't..

You don't know the rules of engagement! You are greedy as well. You think he can't sabotage you in the contract or future contract?

What if he had requested rebate? Would you not pay it?

Ikea81:
Hello guys, I am not going to dwell on the character or achievements of Mr Peter Obi....my major reason why he is the best option is that we need to change the political landscape and vote in, a new era and crop of vibrant leaders.

My Candidate before the primaries was Prof Osinbajo. Let us imagine today we were making a choice between Osinbanjo and Obi? That's the kind of political environment we should have by now, we are in 2023. The world have moved on. Nigeria has so much purpose to liberate the rest of Africa and reposition the continent in the world economics..we can't be talking about people like Tinubu and Atiku at this point of our lives.

I believe the population of nairaland should be about 80 percent youth , why all these tribal and unnecessary arguements about voting based on tribal hate. We need to grow out of this and send a strong message that never again , will we settle for less. Tinubu should have promoted an Osinbanjo, then an ibo like me would have voted him without thinking.

We know the truth, that Tinubu and Atiku are not qualified to lead the Nigeria of today. Let us do the right thing....Tinubu saying whether na statistics we go chop, in a data driven age. Where decisions and plans are based on data..oh common now.....we can not afford to make a mistake again in 2023. Once we send the message, then all political parties will wake up and present quality candidates in subsequent elections..

When PDP gave their ticket it downed on me that God made Osibanjo to fail because southern votes would have been so divided given the quality of Osibanjo and Obi. That would have made it and easy ride for Atiku! Sometimes, God works in ways we can't see.