Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / New
Stats: 3,194,755 members, 7,955,871 topics. Date: Sunday, 22 September 2024 at 05:34 PM

Olawalepopoola's Posts

Nairaland Forum / Olawalepopoola's Profile / Olawalepopoola's Posts

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (of 37 pages)

Politics / Re: London Sunday Times Features Peter Obi (Pictured) by olawalepopoola: 4:53pm On Jan 08, 2023
@ 60 Obi is a youngster? Do the British understand English Language at all?
Politics / Re: Tinubu Will Be The Greatest Mistake Nigerians Will Make. by olawalepopoola: 9:04am On Jan 08, 2023
But Obi is a Saint. Hallelujah
Politics / Re: Kogi State Govt Queries Ohinoyi Of Ebiraland Over Refusal To Welcome Buhari by olawalepopoola: 11:35am On Jan 07, 2023
Out Kings have lost their honours to politicians because they are partisans.
Even if you are supporting a candidate, as a king whose indigens belong to different political parties, you should not make it open. As much as I do not support the actions of the Kogi state governor, the king should used the approach Yorubas calls "Oju aye".
Ipo agba la n ba agba"

1 Like

Politics / Re: No Pathway For Obi To Aso Rock-Bantupage by olawalepopoola: 1:36pm On Jan 06, 2023
What I know is that money will play a key role in this election. Take it or leave it.
A night before the election and even on the night of the election, things can change.
Why is the northwest and northeast important in Nigeria elections? They vote into the middle of the night where anything can happen.
Nigeria elections are like chess and draught games where the best strategist wins.
Politics / Re: No Pathway For Obi To Aso Rock-Bantupage by olawalepopoola: 1:30pm On Jan 06, 2023
Interesting outcomes
tinsel:
No Pathway for Obi to Aso Rock
BANTUPAGE MEDIA DECEMBER 27, 2022
Peter-Obi-Saddened
Like every country, electoral systems are designed to reflect the reality of the land, Nigeria’s is no different. The architects of our electoral system had our diversity in mind, were they perfect? I think perfect is for the dreamer, I’d much rather find out if they had good intentions, from all indicators, I think they did. Many aren’t aware that our general election is not a winner takes all, but a winner of 24 states, or a minimum of 25% of 24 over 36 states, however, it is likely that winning the majority comes with the other caveat on which victory is subject.

We at BantuPage have interrogated the data we received from our physical (face-to-face) poll across the six geopolitical regions, the findings are quite telling. We classified these on states electorates and the candidate’s likeability, winnability and probability. This showed a blockade to LP’s Peter Gregory Obi, NNPP’s Rabiu Kwankwaso and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar pathway to Aso Rock, simply put, their chances look bleak.

Elections in Nigeria are not won on social media, we have heard this statement so many times, but this could not be further from the truth. There are over 80 million internet users in Nigeria with a teeming youth population, an estimated 55 million social media users in Nigeria, ¾ of those are under 40. President Muhammadu Buhari’s last two victories were 15 million each, the number of social media users exceeds that, thus making social media the greatest advertising platform for any candidate.
In the 2015 presidential elections, registered voters were just under 67 million and turnout was just about 44%, i.e., of 67 million registered voters, only about 29 million turned up to vote. Of these, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered 15,424,921 whilst former President Goodluck Jonathan lumped just 12,853.162 votes.

The cry in the South-east for secession and the dislike for President Muhammadu Buhari could have been avoided had these same people turned out to vote for former President Goodluck Jonathan who lost by less than 2.5 million votes. The entire South-east vote was 2,719,658, just about the same number Buhari led Jonathan, turnout amongst South easterners living across the federation was equally low.

If democracy is the government of the people, by the people and for the people, one can question the validity of winning just 15 million out of 67 million voters by PVC ( over 100 million over 18) as inconsequential. The calls for the populace to turn out to vote is echoed all the time, if you don’t come out to vote, you will have another inconsequential representation of Nigeria. In other words, President Muhammadu Buhari won just 22% by PVC holder (13% by eligible voter) of Nigeria’s vote, yet he leads 100% of Nigeria, this is no democracy in my opinion, but to be fair, it is not President Muhammadu Buhari’s fault.

Moving on to the 2019 Presidential Elections, this time the registered voters tally was higher, 83,344,107 by PVC holders (over 100 over 18) but turnout dropped to just under 35%. This time however, his vote total dropped, he, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered just 15,191,847 votes, a drop of over 300,000 votes. His rival Atiku Abubakar performed slightly worse than former President Goodluck Jonathan, with 11,262,978 votes. The cycle continued, just under 30 million out of 83 million voted, and President Muhammadu Buhari took home again just 18% of Nigeria’s vote by PVC holders (13% by eligible voter), yet again another inconsequential representation.
Interestingly, President Muhammadu Buhari bettered his performance in the South-east, from 198,248 votes in 2015 when his popularity was high, despite Obi teaming up with PDP’s Atiku, Buhari doubled his numbers in the South-east to 403, 248 votes. In fact, he scored 25% or more in three South-eastern states, the first time in his career of running for the country’s top position. Is Peter Obi really a noisemaker, or are his supporters empty vessels?

As of the time of posting this video, INEC has recorded 96.3 million PVC registration, an increase of over 12 million. Going back to Peter Obi being the social media President, let’s dissect this a little more, shall we?

We have seen a wave of young people taking part in Nigeria’s presidential election like never in our contemporary history, with the vast majority clamouring for Peter Obi, the Labour Presidential candidate. Bear in mind that Nigeria’s median age is 18.1 years with 52% urban population and a whopping 60% being under 35 years. Only 2.7% of our population are over 65 years, let’s put this in numbers, shall we? 2.7% of 210 million gives you just 5,670,000 people.
The overwhelming majority of these young people are on social media, and they made up the overwhelming discrepancies of those not turning up to vote, however, this time around, all indicators are pointing to a willingness to vote by young people, if this were translated to reality in the 2023 Elections, Peter Obi could do what none has ever in the history of Nigeria. Those reverberating the social media president mantra should better think twice, something is happening to Nigeria that may just take everyone off their seats. A new political character is being formed, adjust to this, or regret forever post February 2023.

Remember at the beginning I said Obi, Atiku and Kwankwaso’s chances to Aso rock looks bleak? Let’s dig into this, shall we? Our Polls conducted between late November and early December 2022 puts Obi ahead, but make no mistake, ahead in popular vote counts. In the North-west and North-east geopolitical zones, there are 13 states, Kebbi, Sokoto, Zamfara, Katsina, Jigawa, Kano, Kaduna, Yobe, Bauchi, Gombe, Borno, Adamawa, and Taraba. Except for Taraba, give or take Gombe, Obi was barely making up 5%, if you deduct 13 states from 36, you will have 23 states, by that number, Obi has already lost the election even if he were to win every state in the South regardless of the popular votes he amasses.

Further to the obliteration of Obi in the North-west and North-east, Obi’s performance in the South-west was equally, or thereabout trailing in the South-west except for Lagos, and maybe Oyo, our polls predict that Obi won’t make 10% in Ondo, Ogun, Osun and Ekiti. This further reduces Obi’s state tally, in the North-central, his chances in Plateau and Benue seem very promising, 25% in Nasarawa and Niger is very debatable, but Kwara and Kogi casts mix outcomes, however, by these alone, Obi cannot cross the line.
Obi, based on our polls will win all South-east and South-South states, that is 11 plus Plateau, Benue, 25% in Kogi, Nasarawa, Lagos, Ondo and just maybe Niger, that will leave him at just 16 states, far off Aso Rock than when he started.

Atiku’s dilemma is also bleak but better than Obi’s. Our polls predict less than 10% throughout the South-South and South-east for Atiku, that is already 11 states lost, in the South-west, Atiku could make 25% on 2 or 3 states, the same applies in the North-central. In the North-east and North-west, we predict a possible 25% on each of the 13 states, still, that brings him to 18 or 19 states, way short of the 24 required.

Kwankwaso’s reality is the bleakest based on our polls. Kwankwaso could carry Kano, or guarantee his 25%, he will have some numbers in neighbouring Katsina and Sokoto, but that’s it for us, so his chances are next to none.

Tinubu is the master of all of these. We predict a Tinubu coming first, but short of overall majority. He will win all 6 South-western states in a landslide except Lagos. He will also make up his 25% in all North-western and North-eastern states except for Adamawa and/or Taraba, that’s already 17 states in his pocket, then in the North-central, he’s sweeping Niger, Kwara, Kogi and Nasarawa leaving him with 21 states. In the South-South and South-east, Tinubu, based on our polls won’t make 10 and 5% respectively, still, he will come first and PDP’s Atiku second. Obi and Kwankwaso will both be eliminated.

It is important to point out that this prediction is based on our polls, and reality on the ground, however, if young people were to turn up in their numbers as predicted, Niger, Kogi, Kwara, Ogun, Osun, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, and Kaduna (South) could help Obi cross the line, or at least, make it to the second round.

If you like what we do, follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and other platforms. We are an independent media company focused on Nigeria and its affair, we have a weekly Talk Show in the open park of Jabi Lake & Park, Abuja, this will be posted on our YouTube channel once a week, if you’d like to take part and you are in Abuja, send us an email at info@bantupage.com.

https://bantupage.com/no-pathway-for-obi-to-aso-rock/
Education / Re: ASUU Kept Mute As University Fees Go Up by olawalepopoola: 11:09pm On Dec 30, 2022
When ASUU de fight and shout then all of una de talk say their own too much.
FACE IT.
Pay the fee

10 Likes

Politics / Re: The South Westerners. by olawalepopoola: 4:59pm On Dec 29, 2022
But still the Yorubas will vote BAT. He will get at least 60% of SW votes

2 Likes 1 Share

Politics / Re: 2023: Who Among These 4 Contenders Can You Trust With Nigeria's Treasury? (Pic) by olawalepopoola: 4:29pm On Dec 29, 2022
None. Even Obi de go there to chop him own.
Politics / Re: Adeleke Sacks 12,000 Workers, Dethrones Three Monarchs by olawalepopoola: 3:14pm On Nov 28, 2022
Osun people eyes go soon clear.
Power intoxicates

68 Likes 9 Shares

Politics / Re: Tunibu Supporters: What Does It Mean To "Recharge Lake Chad"? by olawalepopoola: 6:58am On Nov 27, 2022
In Geology, to recharge a lake or well is to put water into it.

1 Like

Politics / Re: The first Oil Field In Northern Nigeria (Photos) by olawalepopoola: 7:56pm On Nov 22, 2022
BanyXchi:
This is great, now the country can disintegrate in peace and we Yorubas can have our own country.

And btw, Abdul, we have oil in abundance in Ondo and Lagos, we should just go our separate ways and end this satanic British contraption, a evil contraption created to rob Peter and pay Paul. #Yoruba_exit
I concur. Let everyone go their separate ways

1 Like

Politics / Re: I Will Mobilise Labour Party Members Against Peter Obi In Rivers- LP GOV Cand by olawalepopoola: 8:35am On Nov 18, 2022
XerXers:

Thank you. They think Peter Obi is a baby politician. It's Wike's event, not labour party event. He must say everything that favors Wike in order to get his support for the presidential race
At the detriment of his party candidate. If you were in the gubernatorial candidate shoes will you accept such treatment.
Be factual, Obi fumbled. Shikena.
Education / Re: Best Federal Uni To Study Masters Program In Geology Or Geophysics? by olawalepopoola: 8:01am On Nov 12, 2022
I am a Geologist. With your first degree in Physics it is advisable to go to FUTA for M.Tech in Applied Geophysics.
Please if you don't have a first degree in Geology don't go for M.Sc. in Geology because there are some basics you must understand especially field mapping techniques.
Also I will advice you stay clear of Ife Geology if you love yourself.
Great day.

1 Like

Politics / Re: 90 Missing Jeeps: Osun PDP To Report Oyetola To ICPC, EFCC, Others by olawalepopoola: 6:55pm On Nov 10, 2022
Make Dem swear you in first, why the rush
Politics / Re: Tinubu Replies The Latest Drug Case Issue by olawalepopoola: 7:00am On Nov 09, 2022
Read this...

Religion / Re: Ifeanyi Adeleke: Join Me, Let’s Protest Against God — Lady Tells Nigerians by olawalepopoola: 7:08am On Nov 03, 2022
akelicious:
A lady has challenged Nigerians worldwide to join her in protesting against God after she accused him of allowing singer Davido’s son to die in the tragic accident.




She captured herself in a video as she cried and protested angrily at the most high God for not preventing the unfortunate incident from happening.

https://akelicious.net/2022/11/03/ifeanyi-adeleke-join-me-lets-protest-against-god-lady-tells-nigerians/
She de mad ni.
Can anyone protest against God.
Are you the mother of the deceased?
All because of internet traffic you destroy your generation
Politics / Re: Kwankwaso: The Things To Watch Under My Administration. by olawalepopoola: 12:15pm On Nov 02, 2022
Have AdaObi and Atiku publicly present theirs
Politics / Re: There Is No Party That Does Not Hire Crowds For Rallies – Samuel Yohanna by olawalepopoola: 5:24pm On Oct 21, 2022
femisplash:
Jokes apart, some are trying to be smarter than others.
I beg whose logo is this? I think say na only Tinubu and APC de share money give voters ni? Awon to to won to gbale
Politics / Let Atiku And Obi Release Their Release Their Blueprint For A Better Nigeria by olawalepopoola: 3:32pm On Oct 21, 2022
Today Bola Ahmed Tinubu has release his plans for Nigerians in the next national general elections.
We are waiting for Atiku and Obi own so that we go no who will go vote for.
Enough all these sakamaje
Politics / Re: Peter Obi Certificate Shows It Was Issued On Saturday-photo by olawalepopoola: 4:26pm On Sep 22, 2022
4teenblaq:
Chia, you guys are shameless.. And most of you didn't pass through school. If you do, you won't be disgracing yourselves here..



You are you guys for real?

Certificates are usually presented/awarded to graduates on the graduation day, which is mostly Fridays and sometimes Saturdays..

This shows you guys didn't even go past ssce.

And also you guys, you just shot yourselves at the foot. You have indirectly vindicated peter obi of certificate forgery you accused him of...

Tinubu urchins very stupid humans. Lol

What about this one below it was on Saturday?

Una no well

No. It carries the date of Senate approval
Politics / Re: Davido Blasts Oyetola: 'You Are Actually Just A Bad Human Being' by olawalepopoola: 3:03pm On Sep 20, 2022
HIGHESTPOPORI:
When did Adeleke govern Osun?
Isiaka Adeleke was the first civilian governor of Osun State
Education / Re: INEC Portal Got Attacked From Asia During Ekiti And Osun Guber Polls by olawalepopoola: 1:33pm On Sep 10, 2022
APC. Are you telling us that the results were wrong
Politics / Re: Prof Akintoye Writes Buhari, Says Yoruba People Want To Officially Leave Nigeria by olawalepopoola: 7:43am On Aug 13, 2022
The IPOB should also write officially to the Nigerian government not shouting all about.
Good move by Prof. Nigeria is not working.

3 Likes

Politics / Re: 2023 Election:road To Aso Villa: Tinubu Holds The Ace, Atiku,obi... Trails by olawalepopoola: 6:29pm On Aug 02, 2022
Thank you for this analysis.
Despite social ranting APC swept all the local government in Ebonyin State.
Despite their setback they won Ekiti state.
Despite losing Osun State they were able gather more than 300,000 votes.
It speaks volume.
Let God will be done

2 Likes

Politics / None Of Top Three Presidential Candidates Deserve The Seat by olawalepopoola: 7:12am On Jul 14, 2022
The top three candidates for the exalted seat of the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria come 2023: Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) and Obi (LP) deserves our votes especially from the south.
My justifications:
1. Tinubu/Shetima: As much as these candidates are presented to the public by the ruling party (APC), the Moslem/Moslem ticket destroys it. Although it is a Yoruba/Kanuri combo.
2. Atiku/Okowa: This combo is dangerous. Fulani at the hems of affairs is no. Fulanization of Nigeria cannot be supported. A Fulani is a Fulani no matter how educated they may be.
3. Obi/Datti: The choice of a Fulani of Mauritania origin as a Deputy to Obi is a negative sign that Obi may not be the right choice. A Fulani is a no for now in Nigeria.
My question is:
Are there no other credible candidates from other parties? Why these three?
Politics / Re: How Swing States Will Vote In 2023 by olawalepopoola: 6:36am On Jun 22, 2022
VaginaMiners:

Lmao.
I'm from Oyo and I can assure you Tinubu would get his highest votes from the SW from Oyo and Osun.
With Tinubu's emergence as APC Candidate, Seyi's second term is shaky .

Who is Seyi in Oyo politics grin If not for the coalition, no way he would have defeated APC in 2019.
And this coalition has collapsed.

The biggest and most loved politician in Ibadan is Ladoja and he would 100 percent work for Tinubu .

See the way they sharply arranged a title for ganduje . That should show you the extent of Asiwaju's reach .

Tinubu would win Ibadan conveniently, dust PDP in Oke Ogun , Ibarapa , Oyo and Ogbomosho.

Where in Oyo state will Atiku defeat Bola Tinubu grin cheesy
Yorubas never de joke when it comes to national politics.
Tinubu may not be a perfect being, who is however? Tinubu has touched more lives in Yoruba race than even Obasanjo.
The closeness of Ogun and Oyo States to Lagos play an important role in bringing needed development to them.
Most Yorubas will vote him because they believed he had political experience through Awolowo's political mentees in Action Group.
For me it is
Tinubu: 70% APC in the West
Others: 30%

1 Like

Politics / Re: A by olawalepopoola: 8:05am On Jun 19, 2022
Poiu11:
aba satellite picture. number of local government in abia state 17 number of local government in oyo state only 30. you can see the checking
There are 33 Local government areas in Oyo state
Education / Re: Forbidden Truth About Christianity And The Bible by olawalepopoola: 6:07pm On Jun 16, 2022
Jesus Christ is still the way, the truth and the life. Shikena.
Politics / Owo Black Sunday: Igbos Were More Affected by olawalepopoola: 7:03pm On Jun 05, 2022
As an inhabitants of the town Owo, it was observed that 80% of the casaulties were Igbos. The Fulanis attacked the Church just as the Holy Mass ended and the priest proceeded outside
Politics / Re: “It Is Better We Divide Nigeria” – Northern Elder (Insightful) by olawalepopoola: 2:09pm On May 25, 2022
ArewaNorth:


Do u think we are stupid?
North and Yorubas never wanted amalgamation of Nigeria and Unitary system, they opposed it to the core but some people pushed for it.
Ahmadu Bello and Awolowo spoke strongly against it and predicted the dangers but they overlooked it and pushed for the amalgamation and Unitary system and here we are today.
Please enlighten us the more
Politics / Re: “It Is Better We Divide Nigeria” – Northern Elder (Insightful) by olawalepopoola: 11:43am On May 25, 2022
O better ooo. Let everyone bear his father's name

3 Likes

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10) (of 37 pages)

(Go Up)

Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health
religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket

Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 57
Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or uploads on Nairaland.