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Ositadima1's Posts

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Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m): 5:26pm On Sep 14, 2022
Oshokhai69:
Guy stop talking rubbish and learn to grow. Only the Central Bank can print money through a minting subsidiary. This is the practice globally. No commercial bank has the permission to print money. Stop talking out of your smelly asshole and learn from people wey sabi.

I really feel like lashing you 600 strokes of the cane on that your bald head right now angry angry
Comercial Banks "print money" by issuing loans. End of story.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m): 4:00pm On Sep 14, 2022
ojesymsym:
I have read/ heard this concept before and suspected that it was what you meant.
However, you used the catch phrase "Print Money" whereas the correct term should probably have been "Create Money".
I made very clear what i meant when i mentioned stocks do something similar. I didn't use d word "print money" in its literal sense. I am not stupid or am I? grin

Besides, it is actually same, d physical money is indistinguishable from the ones "created" by d banks.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m): 3:47pm On Sep 14, 2022
ibechris:
This kind economics must be from another planet.
With all due respect to your personality,I think this is what I call economic terrorism.

This is not doable any where in the world. Banks don't print money.
How Bank Lending Really Creates Money, And Why The Magic Money Tree Is Not Cost Free

How is money created? Some is created by the state, but usually in a financial emergency. For instance, the crash gave rise to quantitative easing – money pumped directly into the economy by the government. The vast majority of money (97%) comes into being when a commercial bank extends a loan. Meanwhile, 27% of bank lending goes to other financial corporations; 50% to mortgages (mainly on existing residential property); 8% to high-cost credit (including overdrafts and credit cards); and just 15% to non-financial corporates, that is, the productive economy.

Money is created on faith alone, whether that is faith in ever-increasing housing prices or any other given investment. This does not mean that creation is risk-free: any government could create too much and spawn hyper-inflation. Any commercial bank could create too much and generate over-indebtedness in the private economy. But it does mean that money has no innate value, it is simply a marker of trust between a lender and a borrower. So it is the ultimate democratic resource.

Money is created when banks lend. The rules of double entry accounting dictate that when banks create a new loan asset, they must also create an equal and opposite liability, in the form of a new demand deposit. This demand deposit, like all other customer deposits, is included in central banks’ measures of broad money. In this sense, therefore, when banks lend they create money.

Nor does the creation of money by commercial banks through lending require any faith other than in the borrower’s ability to repay the loan with interest when it is due.

Commercial banks’ ability to create money is constrained by capital. When a bank creates a new loan, with an associated new deposit, the bank’s balance sheet size increases, and the proportion of the balance sheet that is made up of equity (shareholders’ funds, as opposed to customer deposits, which are debt, not equity) decreases. If the bank lends so much that its equity slice approaches zero – as happened in some banks prior to the financial crisis – even a very small fall in asset prices is enough to render it insolvent. Regulatory capital requirements are intended to ensure that banks never reach such a fragile position.

It is of course possible for banks to lend more than the population can realistically afford.

In contrast, central banks’ ability to create money is constrained by the willingness of their government to back them, and the ability of that government to tax the population. In practice, most central bank money these days is asset-backed, since central banks create new money when they buy assets in open market operations or QE, and when they lend to banks. However, in theory a central bank could literally “spirit money from thin air” without asset purchases or lending to banks.

The ability of the government to tax the population depends on the credibility of the government and the productive capacity of the economy. Hyperinflation can occur when the supply side of the economy collapses, rendering the population unable and/or unwilling to pay taxes. It can also occur when people distrust a government and its central bank so much that they refuse to use the currency that the central bank creates. Distrust can come about because people think the government is corrupt and/or irresponsible, as in Zimbabwe, or because they think that the government is going to fall and the money it creates will become worthless (this is why hyperinflation is common in countries that have lost a war). But nowhere in the genesis of hyperinflation does central bank insolvency feature.

Certainly not commercial banks. People trust the money created by commercial banks firstly because it is exchangeable one-for-one with central bank created money, and secondly because governments guarantee its value up to a limit . Deposit insurance effectively turns the money created by commercial banks into government money.

But even the money created by central banks requires a government guarantee. The dollar is backed by the “full faith and credit of the U.S. government.” And central banks are mandated by governments to maintain the value of the money they create. That’s what their inflation target means.

So, faith in money is, in reality, faith in the government that guarantees it. That in turn requires faith in the future productive capacity of the economy. As the productive capacity of any economy ultimately comes from the work of people, we could therefore say that faith in money is faith in people, both those now on the earth and those who will inhabit it in future.


Culled from Forbes.com
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m):
Oshokhai69:
Guy shut up there and stop misyearning and misinforming people..who told you that banks print money? That’s a very foolish talk. Only the central bank can print money!!!

I wish I could locate you and give you 60 strokes of the cane on that your yellow bald head angry angry
The antics of a pompous fellow, the one who thinks he knows it all.

Let me give you a piece of advice, whenever you come across a new or strange idea excessive restraint, take some time and think it through, do some reasearch. Thats how we learn and grow!
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m): 9:26pm On Sep 13, 2022
Olaide1295:
When faced with two difficult options of either defaulting on its debt or printing more money to pay back (which causes inflation), the government will definitely chose the latter.
The former will cause immediate social unrest so it is not even better. CBN has no choice but to continue printing Naira for the foreseeable future. In other words, naira will continue depreciating unless the government finds a solution to the revenue and spending problems.

By the way, CBN has also printed about 20 trillion for the government which is not even recorded yet in our debt. Once it is added, the debt figures will balloon.
Is it only CBN that prints money? Banks print money all the time when they lend money. What of the stock market? When a stock goes up, say 10%, everyone who owns that stuck commands new money and it doesn't matter that the individuals that caused the rise exchanged less than 1% of the outstanding stocks, and money can be destroyed during bears.

By the way, Nigeria is still better than some countries sha check below. That is Argentina, inflation has finished them.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 7:51pm On Sep 13, 2022
pizapato:
I was actually expecting Zenith to hit N18.5-19 after interim dividend but it has refused to go down. May be it will fall towards the end of the month sha

The price of WAPCO might go up if they decide to pay interim dividend after Q3.
WAPCOs paid on 23-6-21 and on 19-11-21 last year.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:17pm On Sep 13, 2022
Zegra:
You want to sell Wapco based on technical or fundamental ?
Neither, more dividends and hope that zenith covers d gap when market starts going up...
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:09pm On Sep 13, 2022
20 region seems to be support for both GTCO and ZENITH. All things being equal, any further deep should prompt a buy, i think so.

I am planning on selling wapco and dangcem so i can buy zenith...
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
D
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 1:38pm On Sep 03, 2022
Fidson experienced huge volume spike in d last 2 days(Something may be cooking). 80% sure it shall blow pass 11 soon.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
ositadima1:
[s] Not a buy tip: Oando:Buy 4.85, Sell @ 4.36(10% stoploss) or 6(24% gain) or Sept ending(gain or loss) [/s]
Not doing too badly giving general market dynamics.
TV/Movies › Re: What Series Are You Watching Now? Part 2 by ositadima1(m): 12:30pm On Sep 02, 2022
You Mr. up there, when you see your enemy tell him, "This is as far as you go. No more. This is it." Then end it.

In another news Ring of Power is here baby, 2 episodes out.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
thesilentone:
I don't average down. Why throw good money away when I can see it is in a clear downtrend.
You have a point, but then GTCO has not experienced full offer or full bid since march 24, and that was probably cos of mark down. Infact the last time it experienced a full anything was in April 2021.

This leads me to think that once the seller is done we are most likely going to see many full bids (or full offers).
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:16pm On Aug 29, 2022
thesilentone:
It is searching for a bottom, hasn't found it yet. The seller is conscious of the #19 relief area. If it doesn't bounce there, journey mercies to near #17
Same with UBA. I have a suspicion that until the seller or sellers are done trend continues.

Doesn’t seem to be particularly due to performance, just that the seller(s) wants out and has loads of it. If so, it looks good for accumulation and averaging down.
TV/Movies › Re: What Series Are You Watching Now? Part 2 by ositadima1(m): 4:23am On Aug 23, 2022
Davidganna10:
I love this guy villain vibes
Me too, go watch d movie Morbius where he futured as Marlo if u haven't, great performance.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
[s] Not a buy tip: Oando:Buy 4.85, Sell @ 4.36(10% stoploss) or 6(24% gain) or Sept ending(gain or loss) [/s]
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 11:35am On Aug 19, 2022
RabbiDoracle:
NSE bearish? Some stocks could be, but the overall health of the market as seen from the index is still bullish.

From a high of 54,290 to current value of 49,546 is just 8.7% decline. This index doesn't look bearish.
The health of d market looks bullish but... the uncertainty surrounding the market in this period is undeniable.

The chart you displayed can also be interpreted alternatively; look at the period between 2007 and 2008, similar peak, similar drop then market peaked some more(a lot more actually) past 2008 and dropped brutally.

Are we going to experience a similar roller coster? Or it is all down from here?

I think this period is for jijoists, in hindsight some good stocks have fluctuated about a mean in d last 2 months.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:24am On Aug 19, 2022
bennyflipy:
Please is it advisable to sell my MTN shares I bought last December, the price as been falling like wetin I no know embarassed
If it goes below 180 sell, if it goes above 215-220 (7% to 10% up) sell and hold on till markets start showing decisive direction.
TV/Movies › Re: What Series Are You Watching Now? Part 2 by ositadima1(m):
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:15pm On Jul 27, 2022
It looks like there is a stampede for the door on some stocks, bloody week.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 5:52pm On Jul 21, 2022
Redoil:
if i am to invest one million which stocks will you suggest i buy
If you want to play it safe (very safe) go with MTN.

1. It has the least number of negative months, about 6 out 28 - since i started following d market.

2. It has been on accumulation mode ever since.

3. It is d list volatile, very steady.

4. In that 28 months, it as had a compounded monthly growth rate of 3%(not d best but acceptable given d low risk)

5. Airtel is pushing up, MTN may be next in line.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:10pm On Jul 19, 2022
yMcy56:
Outperform UBA in terms of what and what?
Capital appreciation? Financials?
I clearly mentioned stock price or did I not? While one is up 49% the other is 102%, why?

yMcy56:
One thing I know is that Mr. Market do happens to all stocks. Sometimes we wonder why some situations are like that. Even the UBA wasn't supposed to be battered like it is currently but it is what it is.
So, it was battered for no reason? grin

Someone famous once said that in the long term d stock market is similar to a voting machine.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:43am On Jul 19, 2022
yMcy56:
UBA can't be compared to FCMB in this instance.....
Those highlighted reasons were not all inclusive......
UBA appears to be the best in this season........in my layman's understanding. tongue

GTCO: Once the dumper is done (and is appearing so), the rise will likely be faster........started on a slow and steady move already.......all things being equal.

Even at N21.35 yesterday's closing price, GT's Dividend yield is still 14.32%
Followed by Zenith N22 @13.96%
Followed by UBA N7.45 @13.51%
Followed by MANSARD N2 @12.69%
Followed by UCAP N12.85 @11.86%
..........to mention the first 5 as at yesterday's share price.

**NB. Could see that Oga OGG also made some analysis on your comparisons. E be like say I dey on track too. Lol. **
Since 2020 till now, FCMB stocks has outperformed UBA, why is that? Almost 3 good years, is this period not long enough for investors to see value and act accordingly or is there an underlying problem that you are not seeing? Or, even still, has the problem(assuming UBA had one) now been resolved?

Regarding the Oga u quoted, nobody knows it all. I also predicted that FCMB will move up (it is here on this thread) when it was around 1.5 back in 2020 and it came to pass. When I started dabbling with charts, probably a lucky break.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 10:38am On Jul 18, 2022
BabsO2:
Please do you know what is this Investment securities FVOCI that eroded last year non interest income of these banks noted above.
ositadima1:
I think those lines are OCI, Other Comprehensive Income. Probably a negative change of the fair value of d debt instruments they invested in. As long as they are holding, no problem.

Below is a description of OCI:

"Other comprehensive income is those revenues, expenses, gains, and losses under both Generally Accepted Accounting Principles and International Financial Reporting Standards that are excluded from net income on the income statement. This means that they are instead listed after net income on the income statement.

Revenues, expenses, gains and losses appear in other comprehensive income when they have not yet been realized. Something has been realized when the underlying transaction has been completed, such as when an investment is sold. Thus, if your company has invested in bonds, and the value of those bonds changes, you recognize the difference as a gain or loss in other comprehensive income. Once you sell the bonds, you have then realized the gain or loss associated with the bonds, and can then shift the gain or loss out of other comprehensive income and into a line item higher in the income statement, so that it is a part of net income"


Copied from a random Google search...
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 3:32pm On Jul 17, 2022
The line-up with regards to upside potential, I am about 65% sure grin :

1. Fidelity
2. FBNH
3. ZENITHBANK
4. FCMB
5. GTCO
6. UBA

After arranging the stocks using the 4 reasons in the previous post it surprisingly matched their PE ratios - Fidelity with d least and UBA the largest!
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m):
BabsO2:
Thanks for the clarification.
I pray the breakout comes good with no breakdown before it happens. Sold a 10+ year NGN bond I had on CSCS above the price i bought it as interest rates are now low compared to when I bought it and placed the proceeds into UBA with a view of getting just very slightly more income. Bought the UBA at N7.50 but can see it closed this week at N7.40 even though online demands daily far outstrip supply. Seems a lot of people want it but at lower prices. But few are selling. Perhaps only desperate sales brought the price down. And not that it really wants to breakdown. grin
I would choose FCMB over UBA for a few reasons.

1. FCMB distributed 20% out of its earnings to shareholders (2022) for about 6.6% yield, while UBA distributed a whole 70% for 13.3% yield.

2. Since March, 2020 (pandemic) FCMB has grown by 100% (doubled) while UBA has done 50%

3. The OBV, on-balance volume indicator shows that UBA has had sell-offs here and there, even recently. FCMB shows slow but steady accumulation.

4. For year 2022, UBA is up 5.59%, dividend and price appreciation inclusive. FCMB is up 13.33%.
TV/Movies › Re: What Series Are You Watching Now? Part 2 by ositadima1(m): 6:41am On Jul 12, 2022
Simonokeh7:
So guys I have started Grey's Anatomy very educative series..

Let's see how much mileage my interest fuel can go..

So I will be giving my update here.
I just finished season 1.

1 down out of 18

Modified

Omo!!!
Can I do this?..
Me that watch series concurrently.
What if i jam another series that takes my interest away.. huh
Same here, I have some very long shows I would want to watch or even finish. The likes of Smallville and Supernatural, a story about two brothers, angels, leviathans and d occult.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 5:30am On Jul 12, 2022
Krisuba:
Doesn't sound logical. How can u be rich if not through your income??
Picture this - I quit my day job and start a business that is lucrative and make 400 millions in let's say 10 years. Now with my wealth I start investing in stocks and bonds targeting 12 to 13% in dividends, if I am lucky I get 20% with price appreciation.

Even though in d next 10 year my investments may have doubled, it is quite different from cost averaging a few hundreds of thousands or even a few millions (Naira grin) a year from savings out my annual salary. The later will see me creating wealth in my old age if i am lucky, who wants dat grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 5:16am On Jul 12, 2022
Toluway:
Haven't you read about Warren Buffett?
Have you? There is a difference between reading a few reported rumors here and there and actually reading the facts.

It seem he speculated with other people's moneys, buying businesses some of which were not even quoted on d stock exchange at the time. The markets seem to have consolidated his wealth not creat it.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 12:11pm On Jul 11, 2022
"Folks, the rich use the markets for income and wealth preservation—not to create it!"

So says MJ DeMarco, na true?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:29pm On Jul 04, 2022
Ibrahim505:
.
I have to abandoned my 2019 zenith dividend as veritas insist i that, my broker did not submitted the signed transfer form to them so, I should send mandate form to them through my bank. Morgan capital even shared with me the copy of the signed transfer form they sent to them.
Are you in Nigeria? If u dey Nija why not got to your bank and have them send the damn mandate form.

Alternatively, register with CSCS, Central Security Clearing System, for a very small annual fee. Among other things, in there you can chat with an attendant who can help you follow it up. I once had a similar issue and the attendant was very helpful.
Investment › Re: Treasury Bills In Nigeria by ositadima1(m):
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