₦airaland Forum

Meanwhile, Tinubu BATstards are still burning tyres and constituting nuisance to public peace.

The ones sponsored by Folarin are burning theirs in Ogbomoso.

The ones sponsored by Omo Agege are burning theirs in Warri.

While the ones sponsored by Eleyi of Ogun are burning theirs in Sango Ota.

I’m expecting Ganduje and Elrufai group to start their own in Kano and Kaduna respectively.

That’s what they will do until February 17th deadline for deposit of old notes will also elapse and they will go deposit the money with Elrufai.

Ndi ala!

wegevv:
It has happened 7 times in the last two elections.

In 2019 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 2 states (Kano and Katsina) and came very close in Kaduna with approx. 993k. Atiku did not get close in any state. The highest votes PDP got in a single state last time was approx 650k in Kaduna.

In 2015 Buhari's APC got over a million votes in 3 states (Kano, Katsina and Kaduna) and came very close in Bauchi with approx. 992k. Jonathan's PDP also got over a million votes in 2 states (Rivers and Delta) and came close in Akwa Ibom with approx 953k.

This year there seem to be 3 major contenders in many of the most populous states. Do you think Obi (LP), Tinubu (APC), Atiku (PDP) or Kwankwaso (NNPP) can get over a million votes in any states?


Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo
nameo

Obi can do a million votes in Anambra, Imo and Lagos, ceteris paribus.

vicdom:
If you join the FCT and the 36 states, it would be 37 then. Which means, it will no longer be 24states required, it will now be 24.6 = 25states.

True.

Maybe what the law states is that you must get 25% in Abuja too.

This shit is getting technical 🤦

wegevv:
Very possible.

I think it would head to the supreme court if a party wins the popular vote and meets the spread in 25 states but not in FCT. Unless INEC behave themselves and clarify before the election.

I think the FCT argument shouldn’t be my problem since Obi is sure to win there.

But what I that provision means is that we have 36 states, if you add Abuja, we have 37 sub nationals.

Now, I think what law means is that should get 25% of votes cast in 2/3 of these 37 territories. I don’t think it means you must get it in Abuja.

Hoelujohn:
What is difficult in him getting 25% in Ogun state? I teach in a school where about 80% of the pupils are Yorubas. Infact I will do something now. I will ask them to write down the party the parents are supporting. I will update soon
These are for three classes and all pupils are 9+. One of them tried to write twice , that was the cancelled one. The "smartest" class of them wrote in the 3rd column.

I hope this won’t get you into trouble if they go home and tell their parents you asked them to do something like this?

I’ve been a school administrator and I know how some parents react to things like this.

vicdom:
Abuja is not a state nah. That's why the constitution separated it from the 36states. It says 25% in 2/3 of the states and FTC. I see lacuna in this part of law. AND and OR seems that 25% votes in FCT is equally required.

I think by AND, the framers of the constitution joined the FCT with the rest of the states. So, that provision shouldn’t be ambiguous.

buchilla:
Are u convinced Obi will get 25% in Ogun,Ekiti, Oyo,Osun, Kwara and Kogi. I'm sure of Adamawa, Nasarawa, ondo, Taraba and the rest. Please Let's be Objective on this. I need encouraging response.

Check out my posts, I am like the most objective and rational Nairalander there is. I don’t do emotions.

What I wrote up there are backed by empirical facts.

ImmaculateJOE:
1. Abia
2. Anambra
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Akwa Ibom
7. Bayelsa
8. Cross River
9. Delta
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Lagos
13. Ondo
14. Ogun
15. Benue
16. Kogi
17. Nasarawa
18. Plateau
19. Adamawa
20. Taraba
21. Kaduna..
I'm so sure of these states for the 25% spread.

Hoping for the following states to give us the spread.
22. Oyo
23. Kwara
24. Niger
25. Gombe..

Lol!

I don’t factor Niger in my calculation but I don’t know why you guys don’t think Obi will get 25% in Oyo. Are you guys aware that that state is a little cosmopolitan?

Meanwhile I found out Abuja is not part of your count, why?

wegevv:
You think LP is completely lost in Niger?

Based on these results they should be targeting those states as well as Niger, Osun and Kwara.

The only other state I'd pour resources into at this stage is Kano due to its huge population for the popular vote but they're not getting 25% there.

If I were part of LP strategists, I won’t advise them to waste time in Kano.

I’d rather they focus more on Kwara, Nasarawa, Kogi, Oyo and Osun.

No need pursuing a lost course.

ImmaculateJOE:
I still have my doubts about the spread..

My last count gave me 21 states..

1) Abia
2) Anambra
3) Imo
4) Enugu
5) Ebonyi
6) Rivers
7) Cross Rivers
8 Edo
9) Bayelsa
10) Akwa Ibom
11) Delta
12) Lagos
13) Ondo
14) Ogun
15) Ekiti
16) Oyo
17) Osun
18) Plateau
19) Benue
20) Taraba
21) Kaduna
22) Nasarawa
23) Kogi
24) Kwara
25) Adamawa
26) Abuja

Only about 1 or 2 here might slip out.

How did you do your own count?

rexel99:
The Governors should also have a taste of the pudding. That's how they also cherry pick court orders to obey. Smh, for Nigeria.

Well, this time around Buhari is not disobeying any court other because the ex parte order that the Supreme Court granted had February 15th expiry date and they did not extend it today.

2 idiots 😏

News has filtered in that the Supreme Court has adjourned the Naira Redesign case till February 22nd without a mention of their extension of the ex parte order on the continued usage of the old Naira notes.

The implication of this is that the ex parte order which was specific on February 15th being its termination date, has expired.

By this, there’s no more hindrance to CBN’s implementation of the old Naira withdrawal deadline which CBN said ended on February 10th, 2023.

With the deadline of the old Naira note already expired since February 10th, the case at Supreme Court would be a mere academic exercise by the next adjournment date of February 22nd.

And considering that the Supreme Court is not likely to rule on the matter on the 22nd, the entire journey of the travelers who call themselves governors is now a futile exercise.

Elrufai don carry this people handicap 🤣🤣🤣

If Tinubu supporters like, let them not deposit their old notes with CBN until February 17th deadline for that one expires as well. Una go use the old notes clean nyash😜.

Fergie001
Garfield1
Moh247
Softmirror
Kyase

ImmaculateJOE:
25% in Adamawa is so sure, no arguments whatsoever..

Same thing I think here.

But if you look at the bar chart, you’d it was indicated red for LP.

See, Obi is winning this election at first round.

wegevv:
Key takeaways according to these adjusted results:

- None of the candidates hit the spread despite adjustment to remove undecided/undisclosed but LP/Obi was the closest with 22 states as well as FCT

- LP have the most number of states where they are extremely unlikely to get 25% (dark red states). But they also seem to have the best chance of hitting the spread as they just missed it in Gombe and Kwara

- APC have the least number of states where they are extremely unlikely to get 25% (dark red states). Tinubu got the second highest spread with 18 states (including the unpolled Zamfara).

- PDP only hit the spread in 2 states in the south (Osun, Oyo and Bayelsa). Atiku had the lowest spread out of the main three candidates

- APC and PDP missed the spread in FCT. They need to hit 25% in FCT to be able to win in the first ballot

Cc:
Digitron
Penguin2
Eriokanmi
Garfield1
Nlfpmod
Seun
Trollronaldo

I must say I’m surprised at the numbers Labour is doing or did in Gombe.

With that said, I think 25% might be achieved in Kwara and Oyo and even Osun, in the end.

I don’t know, but something tells me Labour will do 25% in 6 Southwest states.

LP is also likely to do 25% in Adamawa. I don’t know why the poll is projecting otherwise.

fergie001:
They collect it at my end.. I immediately withdrew 5k only for the next day, they refused.

This morning now, I have gone to two different hair salons, to cut the same hair because I want to finish the old money.

I also bought credits of 3k I deceived one woman to do that, as she saw 3k, she collected it asap. I am left with 200 naira
.

🤣🤣🤣

Do you have objections to why God will not punish you 😎?

lexy2014:
Since you know what judicial precedence is, kindly use it to answer the following questions based on the claims you earlier made.

How does the fact that the Supreme Court has no business with monetary policy regulations automatically mean that it can't adjudicate on issues of monetary policy regulation?

Does the supreme court have business with landlords and tenancy? Can it adjudicate on those issues?

Can you tell me the matters the supreme court can adjudicate on and cannot adjudicate on?

If you say the CBN is an "independent body", how did it require approval from the president before redesigning the naira? Does CBN being an "independent body" exempt it from court rulings?

Does the CBN appoint its own governor since it is independent?

Is inec independent? Can an election result released by inec be contested at the supreme court? Can the supreme court overturn the result of an election conducted by inec?

What is the job of the judiciary in Nigeria?

What is "precedent for position" and what has it got to do with the above questions?

You are now sounding like a programmed robot🤦

You keep reproducing same bullshit posted in your WhatsApp group.

Foolishbuhari:
Very true because of jurisdictional standings. The courts have no powers over fiscal responsibility of the CBN. It's like the Supreme Court ordering the CBN to turn ₦1 to $1. It's impossible 😂😂

Don’t mind Tinubu supporters with cow dung for brains.

lexy2014:
Are you saying you can't answer the following questions based on the claims you made? Did you just make ambiguous claims that you can't defend?

How does the fact that the Supreme Court has no business with monetary policy regulations automatically mean that it can't adjudicate on issues of monetary policy regulation?

Does the supreme court have business with landlords and tenancy? Can it adjudicate on those issues?

Can you tell me the matters the supreme court can adjudicate on and cannot adjudicate on?

If you say the CBN is an "independent body", how did it require approval from the president before redesigning the naira? Does CBN being an "independent body" exempt it from court rulings?

Does the CBN appoint its own governor since it is independent?

Is inec independent? Can an election result released by inec be contested at the supreme court? Can the supreme court overturn the result of an election conducted by inec?

What is the job of the judiciary in Nigeria?

What is "precedent for position" and what has it got to do with the above questions?

In jurisprudence, there’s what is called Judicial Precedence. It is how cases with similar facts and scenario has been adjudicated on in the past.

So, can you cite a similar case where the Supreme Court has dabbled into monetary policy regulations, whether in Nigeria, America, Britain, or anywhere?

Can you?

chariisGRACE:
Here in Port Harcourt, the old notes are useless.

Taxi drivers no longer accept it.

Lol!

Those who have it should go and deposit it with Wike.🤣

Two things, it’s either the Supreme Court throws out the case or Buhari will disobey whatever kangaroo judgment they give.

The Naira redesign policy must succeed.

Nobody will be allowed to buy the 2023 elections up with ill gotten wealth that they throw around without flinching.

Supreme Court has no business with monetary policy.

Even if he was Labour Party guber candidate in the state, and so what?

The Obidient movement is not about persons or stakeholders.

Without him, those who will vote Obi in Kano will still vote for him.

So he can go to hell.

Mrs Margret Obi is just so cultured and adorable.

Not that agbero that is married to Tinubu 😏

Tor!

What I expect the Supreme Court to do…

I expect them not to extend the ex parte order on simultaneous usage of the old notes with the new notes.

Second, I expect them to hear the arguments of counsels in the case today and rule on the matter today or at most before 20th of this month.

The Council of State has met and backed the policy, so the Supreme Court justices know better than to go against the decision of the stakeholders of Nigeria. I’m sure they’ve been told what to do.

Besides Supreme Court had no business with monetary policy in the first place.

eastgates1:
th
It would have been struck out or the judge would have recused himself from the case over lack of jurisdiction .

Come on, what are you saying?

Do judges recuse themselves from cases their court has no jurisdiction over?

No. They simply decline jurisdiction and strike out the case.

FoolishBoy419:
I will have to verify these claims sha

See, everything I said up there is the truth. There even more that I can’t mention because of difficulty in typing.

Do you know that to ensure he repositions the very essence of Anambra, he changed the motto of the state from “Home For All” to “Light of the Nation”.

The argument then was that “Home for All” could as well mean that Anambra was home to armed robbers, kidnappers, and other social irritants.

Forget, Peter Obi is good. You should know that Igbos are not easily fooled.

eastgates1:
I know but would you react to a request that you did not know about? They should have joined CBN to that case, that way when the court says halt CBN would halt by the way the case is not supposed to go to the supreme court at first it should have started at the high court then to the appeal before supreme court the governors also have abused the judicial process.

I think excluding the CBN from the suit was deliberate by the lawyers of the litigants.

If they had joined the CBN in the case, it would have been struck out at first sitting.

fergie001:
I turned a beggar yesterday, moving from one place to another just to make sure I get home.

Even water, I could not take with old notes. God dey/

But I warned you guys on Monday.

Told you banks were deliberately closed because of that.

Ireportlive:
Trump is made for life and still contesting.. Tinubu is equally as ambitious

You need cash as AdHoc staffs on election day to buy snacks and recharge cards especially if posted to remote areas

If you don't give them cash Tinubu and APC party agent would because APC cares.. plenty cash for them

Is Trump weeing on himself?

Is Trump bulabaing?

lexy2014:
How does the fact that the Supreme Court has no business with monetary policy regulations automatically mean that it can't adjudicate on issues of monetary policy regulation?

Does the supreme court have business with landlords and tenancy? Can it adjudicate on those issues?

Can you tell me the matters the supreme court can adjudicate on and cannot adjudicate on?

If you say the CBN is an "independent body", how did it require approval from the president before redesigning the naira? Does CBN being an "independent body" exempt it from court rulings?

Does the CBN appoint its own governor since it is independent?

Is inec independent? Can an election result released by inec be contested at the supreme court? Can the supreme court overturn the result of an election conducted by inec?

What is the job of the judiciary in Nigeria?

What is "precedent for position"?

Wait! You don’t know what precedence means?🤔

Ireportlive:



Na Tilumbum be their problem

Little did they know Jagaban is sorted for life


.

If he’s sorted for life, then let him stay away from Nigeria’s presidency.

Meanwhile, INEC should do transfer.😏

Must they pay in cash?

lexy2014:
Don't be quick to call people fools if you can't prove that you aren't one.

How does the fact that the Supreme Court has no business with monetary policy regulations automatically mean that it can't adjudicate on issues of monetary policy regulation?

Does the supreme court have business with landlords and tenancy? Can it adjudicate on those issues?

Can you tell me the matters the supreme court can adjudicate on and cannot adjudicate on?

If you say the CBN is an "independent body", how did it require approval from the president before redesigning the naira? Does CBN being an "independent body" exempt it from court rulings?

Does the CBN appoint its own governor since it is independent?

Is inec independent? Can an election result released by inec be contested at the supreme court? Can the supreme court overturn the result of an election conducted by inec?

What is the job of the judiciary in Nigeria?

Can you cite a precedent for position 🤔?