₦airaland Forum

Azimio causing chaos knowing they have no path to victory;


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-jQPznvkrY

Luos transffered from Kibra to Langata after 2017 - but we got governor and pork. Keep Langata and the Kibra slum.

StivoH2022:
You said Ruto has been working on it for 15years only to get this

Tom Wolf of Tiffa clearly has no shame. The same with Azimio - backed by gov and everything - now they are causing commotion trying to stop tallying. This one is gone.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r-jQPznvkrY

Just40:
That's the disadvantage of running a super strong currency.... Everything made in your country becomes super expensive..

The advantage is that, everyone wants to store value in your currency hence you'll have to keep a lot of gold as reserve in order to redeem the circulation, and this becomes a hedge against inflation and allows you to print more money.

In infect, you can say the Swiss Franc is gold backed at least at 50% by law

That makes sense

Or the luxury of a small country that is wealth and tax haven. The Swiss, Monacos, Luxemborg, Qatars, Dubais, the Singapores, the HongKong live in their own world. These are not folks who check price tag - but brand or quality. Swiss honey or even fish is going to be 3 times more expensive. Anything made in Swiss is expensive. But it also premium. It highest quality.

Just40:
Exactly so.... That's the advantage of running your own country monetary policy void of influence from globalists.

Ruto run against the gov and opposition combined and prevailed. They are in state of shock and panic. Election body has to make sure everything is in order...every T is crossed and every I is dotted. They will eventually go to supreme court.

And that is because Ruto has a revolution that will turn their economic machines upside down.

And those with criminal stuff will be going to jail.

They are scared and they are hopeless.

descarado:
Asked a friend and she said ruto won but has not been announced. Why is it not announced yet.
I thought everything was done on Saturday?
Or is there rerun in some places?

I am in switzerland now; I am not aware of anything that has changed; France; Italy and Germany are dealing with stress; Swiss is an exception - prize are always high anyway - so it's inflation proof. Germany normally has lowest inflation. France and Italy the highest. Generally Swiss live in their own bubble and will buy anything made in Swiss even if it' twice the prize.

In short the swiss dont give a damn about inflation - they are inflation proof - because they will buy stuff on normal day that is some serious factor higher across the border - for them it about the country, the swiss brand as highest mark of quality, and their own world. You find the same in Luxemborg, Monaco and such small rich countries. These countries that value premium/brands - more than prize. They dont buy value - they buy brand.

Just40:
Yes there are countries not experiencing an inflation nightmare... Wake up from the alternate universe that destructive central bank policies want you to believe in.

Have you heard of Switzerland yet? Learn how they do it by running their own separate monetary policy


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ikBZWrz65Ic

Kenya election update;
Parliament ; Ruto has it.

I will do a postmortem but so far I predicted Ruto will win; will have parliament, senate, governors. Your famous opinion pollster are taking a hidding.

For example - this was governor prediction - I scored 40 out 47 - that pretty awesome. Last time I scored 39 out 47.

Tentatively I scored 85% (A+) that is no joke

The Final Governor Race Prediction
Party
UDA 24
ODM 8
UDM 3
WIPER 3
JUBILEE 2
ANC 2
FORDK 2
UPA 1
INDEPENDENT 2
TOTAL 47

CODE COUNTY PREDICTED WINNER PARTY
1 MOMBASA UDA - deffered
2 KWALE UDA - correct
3 KILIFI ODM - correct
4 TANA RIVER UDA - wrong - odm
5 LAMU ANC - correct
6 TAITA TAVETA JUBILEE - wrong - independent
7 GARISSA ODM - correct
8 WAJIR JUBILEE -?
9 MANDERA UDM - correct
10 MARSABIT UDM - correct?
11 ISIOLO INDEPENDENT - correct
12 MERU UDA - wrong - independent
13 THARAKA-NITHI UDA - correct
14 EMBU UDA - correct
15 KITUI WIPER - correct
16 MACHAKOS WIPER - correct
17 MAKUENI WIPER - correct
18 NYANDARUA UDA - correct
19 NYERI UDA - correct
20 KIRINYAGA UDA - correct
21 MURANG'A UDA - correct
22 KIAMBU UDA - correct
23 TURKANA UDA - wrong - odm
24 WEST POKOT UDA - correct
25 SAMBURU UDA - correct
26 TRANS NZOIA FORDK - wrong DAP
27 UASIN GISHU UDA - correct
28 ELGEYO/MARAKWET UDA - correct
29 NANDI UDA - correct
30 BARINGO UDA - correct
31 LAIKIPIA UDA - correct
32 NAKURU UDA - correct
33 NAROK UDA -? UDA leading - mostly correct
34 KAJIADO ODM - correct
35 KERICHO UDA - correct
36 BOMET UDA - correct
37 KAKAMEGA ANC - deffered
38 VIHIGA ODM - correct
39 BUNGOMA FORDK - correct
40 BUSIA ODM - correct
41 SIAYA UDM - wrong ODM
42 KISUMU ODM - correct
43 HOMA BAY INDEPENDENT - wrong ODM
44 MIGORI ODM - correct
45 KISII ODM - correct
46 NYAMIRA UPA - ? UPA leading - mostly correct
47 NAIROBI CITY UDA - UDA leading - mostly correct
Total 47

StivoH2022:
Wishful thinking gone wrong

The polling and voting happened in polling station. The documents are sealed. What can be done is re-tallying. But boxes cannot be unsealed except by court order - and it will be supervised by high court judge. This avoid abuses. Kenya is a low trust society. Ghana is better in that regard. Our tribalism is very serious.

Just40:
The purpose of recounts is to make sure that everything was tallied properly which means, if there was an error in the first count, a recount will correct it since all the polling station documents and votes cast are made available at the constituency level collation center.

And this is supposed to be done with the various party agents available to watch the process, who already know the results from every polling station in that constituency.

This way, courts only come in when parties can't agree on the results from a particular polling station or constituency.

There is room to retally the total but not alter primary document.
The ballot recounting can only happen under high court order.
The ballots are kept for three years
Presidential petition is heard and determined in 28 days.
Kenya became 1st country to annual a presidential election
So there is no problem - if polling station data has issue - and the contest is very tight - normally high court order a recount - and can declare new winner or order repeat election.

Just40:
That's a recipe for disaster...... Room

Elections are not supposed to be like that ... If what you're saying is true, then it means there are no room for recounts as well.

DENIAL PHASE. You're not making progress. NOTHING WILL CHANGE. Final tally is known 50.5%

StivoH2022:
I know the gap will be small...maybe at some point Ruto will be higher but at the end Raila will be on top

NOPE. Everyone Knows Ruto won. In the entire world. The form returns were 99% available 24hours after election.

In 2013/2017 we had digital transmission of results - our perenial loser - and his supporters - got into a serious shock - because three hours after end of voting - the figures settled - and never changed as they should. They cried server rigging, computer generated, algorithm - why are % not changing - yet polling station were keying in data.

Now with these ones - images are send - then everyone slowly calculate. They have the time to go through all stages of griefing - by tomorrow they will be very peaceful

You've seen their shock, anger, depression, bargaining... I say we keep this system...it a week of healing.

https://forms.iebc.or.ke/#/

Just40:
That is sad because by this time, Every media house and election watchers should have an idea of who has won or whether there need to be a rerun

I hope you're seeing the trend - it started at Raila 63%. One more hour - you'll be asking IEBC to stop the count.

StivoH2022:
.

I am reading that US and UK have told Uhuru to back and go - together with Raila - or sanctions will start to fly.

Travel and financial sanctions against him and his family looming if he tries to refuse to hand over to the rightful winner. US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken and UK Secretary for the Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO) Liz Truss to inform him in separate phone calls on Saturday
SOURCE: AGENCIES

Keep the champagne on the ice. It's done deal. These Azimio guys are going through the 7 stages of griefing.
There is no miracle - there have been many independent counts done.
Ruto has won it.
Kenya has finally defeated it's dynasties - who hijacked our independence - and created parastic elite
We are going for BIG RESET.
It going to be PURGE.

I am praying for Miguna Miguna - the fiery Canadian based lawyer to lead THE PURGE

GeneralDae:
But why is the election result delaying like this? See me, I already prepared for my owambe party with rvp2022.

In kenya they cant. The polling station final declaration CANNOT be altered even if you can see a mathematical error. Doing that open room for mischief. It simply NOTED DOWN. That polling station has error of this nature - and used it as it. If a problem is serious - it's excluded from the tally

The const tallies and national tallies can be altered if an error is spotted because they are not the primary document.

Just40:
commissioners at national level can't alter elections....

If tally error is made at polling station level, the error can be corrected at the constituency level where all polling station results collated after general recount is done.


After that recounts is done and the results sent to the national level, no one can make changes again unless the candidate ask for a recount of that constituency again.

It's very low risk - than giving someone in Nairobi powers to alter large figures. The max votes per polling station cannot exceed 700.
The pros and cons were adjudicated until supreme court I think.
The court finally declared what had been declared in every polling station is FINAL. If there are issue - you file a petition.
The biggest mischief the president appoint 7 commissioner after long process of vetting/interviews - you give them power to alter results in name of correcting errors - they can get us into big problems.

Just40:
actually it can.... There will have to be a recount if they realize that it was a tallying error... Else the entire form won't make sense because of total vote cast

Kenya Election update.
Post 2007 rigged election - Kenya has made many strides that makes election very hard to rig at any serious scale.
We first invited the South Africa Boer Judge Kriegler, some Ghanians and Zambia to - an international commision of inquiry to study what had gone wrong.
The famous Kriegler Commision Inquired into all aspects of the 2007 General elections with particular emphasis on the presidential elections.
And it came with many recommendations that have been implemented.
That dealt with all rigging scenario except one last piece.
Most rigging use to happen in Nairobi - back office of the election commission - where figures were altered or corrected.
The famous Maina Kia & others high court ruling of 2013 declared that polling station is FINAL.
That means IEBC - commissioners at Nairobi - are USELESS.
Each polling station has max of 700 votes - mostly under 500.
Even if there are errors in polling station declaration - they are FINAL.
This makes it incredibly hard to mess with election - because you'd have to alter 46,000 forms in all the places.
After counting - the results are pinned on the wall, each party agent get a copy, another copy is sealed in the ballot, scanned one is immediately send to const and HQ in Nairobi, and the original is taken to Const - talled to generate form 34B - and then taken to Nairobi.
In Nairobi - each polling station ORIGINAL FORM A is verified - against agent copies & scanned copies - and of course security features.
Impossible to rig Kenya presidential election in any scale

You're wasting time...FORM 34 A - has no "errors" and even if it has - cannot be corrected except in Supreme Court.
Form 34Bs - no one has tabulated them - they are not all out. That error was noticed by a hawk eyed Journalist
Show me one Form 34A - that has been corrected. They cannot. We know many in Luo Nyanza where Raila got 108% of the total votes.

Wuoche:
Continue writing novel as we expose your dirty deals

Singing national anthem when you're not patriotic enough to call Ruto, concede defeat, congratulate him and promise constructively oppose;

Ruto will then move legislation in parliament to create the Leader of Official Opposition with Two Deputy Leaders and shadow cabinet; they will each get a gov office, prado, and staff. They will be occupied by Raila, Martha and Kalonzo - and his shadow cabinet.

In return for all those 30 prados/landcruisers,salary, staff, security and office - we expect them to offer issue-based constructive opposition for 5yrs!! to make sure no corruption happen without them screaming - making sure all appointment in parliament are vetted, committee in parliament works. Kenyans will then get VALUE FOR MONEY.

We want to avoid a situation like last 5yrs where Gov and Opposition conspire against the people. WE LOST FIVE YEARS because it became RUTO RUTO - entire gov and opposition shouting Ruto is a thief - while doing nothing and engaging in MASSIVE corruption.

We have lost 5yrs - we need to recover very fast.

Opposition IS NOT END OF THE WORLD. Azimio have about half the counties to run.

Wuoche:
Rvp bwana why are you disappointing me? You want the Azimio people to laugh while they are praying and singing national anthem? I guess this election is loosening some of your nuts up there

The results are written in these faces

Wuoche:
We keep on moving. There's no crying today

And I am happy we are.
The Nation Media that is giving you hopes - is outdated.
An hour ago - official IEBC results look like this

Wuoche:
We are dealing with verified results from IEBC, not your owned calculated cooked figures.

Calculation that are completed were done on Form 34A - which are irrefutable final forms.

(Polling Station by PO) Form 34 A - 46,205 of 46,229 - only 24 are not online. Independent calculation all came down to 50.5% win for Ruto - 48% for Raila.

(Const Aggregated by RO) Form 34B - are not yet fully been released-257 of 291 - with about few with issues - so so we about 250 out of 290

As of 11.50 a.m. (13/08/22) IEBC Portal has 253 Form 34Bs.
I have tallied 246 of these (7 of them have some issues like missing pages)
From the 226, here is the summary!
Total Voters-18.7M (registered from the 246 Constituencies)
Votes Cast-12.14M
Turnout-65%
Raila-5,690,933 (46.9%)
Ruto-6,366,208 (52.4%)
Mwaure-28,025 (0.2%)
Wajackoya-52,989 (0.4%)
Difference between the first 2 candidates 675,276 votes
44 Constituencies to go and here is the summary by county!
Nairobi - 5
Narok - 4
Garissa and Wajir - 3 each
Bungoma, Homa Bay, Kajiado, Kilifi, Kisii, Kisumu, Mandera, Meru, Mombasa, Nyamira, Tana River, Vihiga and West Pokot - 2 each
Embu, Taita Taveta and Migori - 1 each

Wuoche:
I told you these people were cooking figures

Good. Now we are on the same page. Once Ruto overtake Raila - dont cry hacking or rigging or stop the count.

Wuoche:
Stop using UDA cooked data. Let's move by what IEBC is saying.

Kenya election - Apart from Ruto election which is great news, there is an increase in number of women elected. Last time we had 3 women governors, now 7 have been elected.

Seven women elected Governors so far, this is good, dare to dream.
H.E Gladys Wanga (Homa Bay)
H.E Susan Kihika (Nakuru)
H E Cecily Mbarire (Embu)
H.E Anne Waiguru ( Kirinyaga)
H.E Kawira Mwangaza ( Meru)
H.E Fatuma Achani ( Kwale)
H E Wavinya Ndeti ( Machakos)

Nakuru county certainly has taken to the next level - with total domination by women leaders.

Kwale elected a Muslim woman as their governor.

And majority of women leaders elected are under Ruto coalition- and Ruto has made commitment to have 50% women led cabinet.

I have seen more than 10 independent tallies - final tally Ruto has 50.5% (51%) - Raila 48%. Accept and move on. We dont need to argue like folks who never went to school. FACTS ARE STUBBORN. Ruto has met all the requirements - 50% plus one - and 25% in more than half county - today or early tomorrow Chebukati will do needful. Then you have few days to contest the win in Supreme Court. I hope you have evidence because this time Chebukati is on top of things.

Wuoche:
Were you not the same person who said that media outlets are captured by the state? How comes now you agree with the standard? Or you only agree with them when they favor you . What about KBC? Their final tally placed Raila ahead of Ruto.

Source of the data. Veracity of such claims. I expect a few difference because some people are colour blind or confused; they put MCA ballot paper on presidential ballot box. You will see about 1% such case that become spoilt and rejected.

Now why are you guys complaining - You entire GOV machinery, You entire opposition machinery, You have the media and you have EVERYTHNG - Uhuru appointed 4 commissioner recently.

You have billions available from Kenyatta, Moi, Odinga, name all the billionaires, you have everything you need to win.

Ruto's hustler nation - we just have GOD the father.

And we have Ruto very organized, very hardworking, very effective, very meticulous, very committed, and very passionate team.

Hustler revolution (poor man revolt) will be studied for a long time in Africa. Ruto has refused to play ethnic politics - and has destroyed all kenya dynasties.

Wuoche:
That's the final tally. And then I don't think if there will be a Re-run cause IEBC has to answer the variability between Presidential, Senatorial, Governorship and Women rep total cast votes in Mt. Kenya. The mischief UDA is trying here won't be tolerated.

There's no way total cast votes for President can be different with the ones for Senators and Governors in county. In Nyeri County for example 310k people voted for President, 309k voted for Governors, 340k voted for Senators and 305k voted for Women rep. Rvp please explain to us how this variability comes about.

The kids were born when Raila was losing and complaining. They will complain about rigging - now you're hearing IEBC has fake data . He is a perenial loser and complainer. In 1997 - even when he got 10% of the vote - he was still crying rigging. His father in 1992 was 4th - with 17% - cried rigging.

So far with 75% reporting - now we are using tallies from each const.

samorobo:
Congrat,I heard the kalenJin won as you predicted. Now the kids can rest and deactivate those accounts.

Propaganda. Why delete it.

Wuoche:
Rvp this is the final result. KBC posted it then deleted it immediately.

BBC & Reuters. Gov told Kenyan media to stop the count. Now try ordering BBC or Reuters to stop. The forms are available for everyone. Chebukati is a genious who has deflected all pressure. 200 attempt to hack have been made but system remain solid.

Tayser:
The media is keeping you happy. If the figures change they all become fake news

I admire your tenacity. At 70 percent reporting by Reuters - % havent change - 53% versus 46% and 1% for others. BBC the same. Independent tallying the same.

We are down to about 70 const remaining

Tayser:
You just need to be patient. Dont be like other Kenyans who keep speculating day and night. In the end I know your figures will all come crumbling because they were based on fallacies and very weak assumptions. Ruto will not win in the final official tally by IEBC. Forget social media for now. Focus!