Rvp2018's Posts
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Shma before you leave, I see not much has changed, UON still the destination for all top exceptional brains and the course remain as were 20yrs ago. https://www.uonbi.ac.ke/news/uon-admit-50-top-students-country The University of Nairobi will admit 50% of the Top KCSE students of 2019; The top students choice of courses is medicine, engineering, pharmacy, computer science, actuarial science, and architecture , among others. |
Indeed you're very young - there is hope for you. In our era - there was no mass cheating because there were no telephone except landlines, letters and telegram. In my course there was no B+ admitted. The Computer Science degree at UON- cut off point was aggregate of 46 points out 48. That mean you need to score As in four key subjects (48) and almost A in aggregate divided by 2 if I remember JAMB weighted formulae. There were a few A- (strong) but most folks were pure As(92-96). I recall in our year there 111 As and about 500 A- minus in the entire country - those that didnt fly abroad - generally did Medicine, Pharmacy. Computer Science and I think actuarial science was also new exciting course for most folks.Most of engineering you could get by with 42 point - except Electrical Engineering- and also Architecture was in high demand. Law was 40s but you needed to score an A in English. Medicine cut off was 47, Computer science 46. I have never gotten A- minus in my life except in English and Kiswahili. I dont read that much - because I have an almost photographic long term memory - but I had lot of problem with short term memory -so I'd forget stuff like keys - but I simply never forget things I read - I am a walking memory of many things that interest me. In campus I use to work fulltime from 3rd year and I use to read for only two days before exam - the entire course that I didnt attend - except if teacher was keen on marking register. Dont compare yourself with me. My primary maths score of 99 (KCPE) is yet to be broken in my school now going into 30yrs. Languages were only things that gave me lot of trouble because they are unstructured. Shma: |
South Africa racial politics. It doesnt need any rebuttal. It's elephant in the house.
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Of course when you live where there is no sun - in the cesspool and armpit of Africa - I can understand. chrisooblog: |
Not bad for the fallen giant- I see you got two medals. If my running tribe (Kalenjin) was to listed...it would be 2nd after US - with 8 kenya medals - three in Uganda (including gold) - and probably first gold for Kazakistan - and probably 1st bronze Isreal will ever get - 13 medals. chrisooblog:
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Dont project you weakness on Kalenjin. Kalenjin - just a section Nandis - fought the mighty British for 15yrs - longer than anyone in East Africa. Unlike most of you - Kalenjin dont consider Kikuyus as masters. Despite their numbers, we have beaten them severally, in the 1990s, Moi made them sing in two elections. In 1950s-1960s - we didnt join Kikuyus - Kalenjin were in KADU - and only joined KANU when Moi was VP. We bid our time and got presidency for 24yrs. When Kikuyus tried to upset the power pact - Kalenjin went on rampage - killing and blundering. After 2007 progrom when Kikuyus had leadership but it couldnt help them - country was a week to civil war- Kikuyu understand for peace to prevail - Kalenjin must never get that angry. Long story short - Kikuyus knows the only people they need to make peace with in Kenya are Kalenjin. We have best land, we have money, we have warriors, we can literally cause war anytime anyday. We have LEVERAGE. You got nothing. Just loud wailing and cries. That is why they have refused to follow Uhuru because they are afraid of the consequence of such a power pact unravelling. Kalenjin backed Raila out of anger and almost immediately regretted - because boys CANNOT WIN POWER - Kalenjin did everything for Raila - provided him intelligence, money, and even went to war - he collapsed in Sagana and came back with development ministries. That is despite Ruto telling him that bare minimum was to get Finance or Security. That day Kalenjin elite realized they had gone to war with little naive boy. At that point, Kalenjin realized they had made a huge blunder, and we had to back the proxy Uhuru for another 10yrs, Now see people who have backed Raila - it's been 40yrs of crying and wailing. An idiot like him cannot win presidency. Does he even have 10 billions kshs to throw around? Gideon Moi is trillionaire(KSHS). Ruto is mutli-billionaire. You cannot get power in Kenya without billions plus many many others things. Raila right now is totally dependant on Uhuru - he would otherwise be holding a paybill number asking for fundraising. I want you to watch how Ruto - a real man - is going to win power - Uhuru has thrown everything - including the kitchen sink for five years - he cannot beat Ruto - because Ruto is smart, has money, and counter-intelligence. Kalenjin-kikuyu power pact will last because both parties want it to last - if it doesnt - kenya may not last. Obiano13: |
Nope. Kalenjin are electing 20yr old to leadership more than any other community. That mean post-Ruto there is sufficient talent coming in. I would worry about other communities electing disanours. I was with Tolgos @UON - we use to play pool together @Mamlaka hall when Moi was president - he just finished two terms as governor - Murkomen was a year ahead of us. Kericho senator is younger than me. Nandi governor going for his 2nd term was elected senator in his two...now going for his 2nd term. My own mp is my agemate and playmate...now going for 2nd term.We now have 24yr old as Bomet Women Rep, 29yr old as Nandi Women Rep (she already did 5yrs as MCA), the list is endless. Wakina Murkomen are just 41, Kiptoyot is probably 35. And they have already carved national niche. Ruto himself is just 55yrs. Having joined politics as 31yr old like Moi. Ruto has 20-25yrs before he get to Raila current age. Kikuyus are also starting to elect young leaders...but generally speaking no other tribe in kenya has as many young leaders as kalenjin...Murkomen at 40 is going for his 3rd senate term...kiptoyot before 40..also third. Shma: |
How is that related. China is a dictatorship. And it economy is firing in all cylinders. As long as we are able to do peaceful transition - we are fine. jl115: |
Ruto was running Jubilee 1.0 so how did it expire in Moi era. Uhuru was always a Kalenjin elite proxy or project because he was known as useless chain smoking drunkard. When he ditched Ruto - Gideon Moi took the driving seat. You cannot win power without numbers, money, tact, and etc. Uhuru is trying to use Raila as proxy hoping he dies after 2 yrs . But Kikuyus have not bought into his scheme. Therefore the battle long ended. Kikuyu-Kalenjin pact will see us through to 2040. After Ruto 10 - Gachagua or Ndidi will do 10.Shma: |
The lameduck is gone. He will be jobless in a fortnight. Only Chebukati will annnounce the winner and hand over the certificate. Unless Uhuru kills him btw now and 8th August - Chebukati and four commissioners are firmly in team Ruto. Uhuru has 3. Chebukati is the presidential RO. Election will be rigged by both sides whenever possible. Rigging probably underway now with recruitment of CRO, ROS and name it. Who then recruit POS who are pliable. Uhuru the drunkard slept - and woke up - to find Ruto owns IEBC. They are now having loose bowel movements as they race against time to beat IEBC. I am sure both sides are racing to influence the POS to rig for them whenever possible, to bribe agents to look the other way, and name it.Technology - will help eliminate some of the rigging. Uhuru has been outfoxed and outstmarted. Now his remaining card is to sabotage election - which will lead to civil unrest if not war. Shma: |
Ruto has elevated Kenya politics into a semblance of issue-based campaign with a coherent national message and coalition of the poor - Hustler Nation or Revolution. Anyway I see you're really angling to get tribal. When it come to Kalenjin. I think you underrate us despite the fact that Kalenjin has been president or vice/deputy president for a combined period of almost 50yrs out of 60yrs Kenya has been independent. Moi did 10yrs as Vice and 24 as deputy. Ruto is just finishing his 10yrs.We are 2nd to Kikuyus when it come to being political force - we have a say in about 11 counties - we will have deputy governor or governor in those 11 counties - kikuyus come 2nd with 9 I think. The rest struggle with 4-5 or 1. We have about 50 Mps - Kikuyus are about 5 more than us. Kalenjin and Kikuyu dominate gov circles - so called systems and deep state. Raila become something - PM - because of Kalenjin.Luos are down and out...now Kalenjin are a million plus them demographically - because of HIV-AIDS and Odinga messed up politics lead to under-development. Once in 2009 - Kalenjin and Kikuyu decided to make peace - realpoltik I dont see how you can beat such a twin force. Uhuru has tried to undo the peace/power pact - but majority of Kikuyus - both elite and esp the masses - have refused to board. So basically prepare for Kikuyu-Kalenjin power pact for quite sometime MzeeMwenyewe1: |
How can bag seals be used to rig election? IEBC is the deep state. The rest are desperation. Chebukati is the guy who will announce the winner - and he has only one name - William Ruto. What is clear - desperate Uhuru deep state - are trying to scare away Smartmatic - technology provider- so the biometric identification doesnt happen. This is Museveni playbook but Kenya is not Uganda. I think if election goes manual - Ruto has more organizational ability to outrig the drunk Uhuru and his lackey Raila. In fact its for their best interest to have IEBC do a thorough job so their loss can be less embarrasing. Shma: |
We could crash if only we dont manage our political transition. That I agree. We are limping. Ghana will probably go down before we do. Once we elect Ruto - in two weeks time - we will avoid IMF kind of mess - by employing unorthodox methods to get out of the last three economic turbulences (COVID-19, Ukraine & Politics). I imagine many countries are similarly limping. As for Tanzania - I havent checked lately - but did you stop cooking economic data. Magufuli was trying to manufacture growth after realizing running up and down like headless chicken was not transforming TZ but scaring everyone (investors, citizen) away. Kazikazi: |
His usefulness ended in 2010 with enactment of new constitution. That is why in 2013 he got beaten by two ICC indicted people - despite being PM with half cabinet and being supported by US/EU. It was a very shameful drubbing. We are now on the 2nd republic - and the issues we faces - Raila is least qualified or prepared to deal with. Governance issues are now secondary - the main issue is the economy, poverty, employment . Tanzania can do with a Raila. Otherwise it's like ANC of South Africa - useful when they were fighting for majority rule - now useless and incompetent in face of new challenges in RSA. MzeeMwenyewe1: |
Polemics. Let agree on some basic facts. Jubilee 1.0 was a coalition gov btw URP(Ruto) and TNA(50) Jubilee 1.0 delivered. UhuRuto defended it's track record and it 2017 increase it's mandate from 51 to 55 percent. Most people voted Jubilee for 10K rural paved roads (that Ruto made it happen by working on new road standard for low seal volume) and world fastest electrification (from 2.4M connection Kibaki left to now 8.1M) - again through Ruto effort. A million tablets were delivered to all public schools including them providing electricity coverage. Ruto stood tall in 2017 and defended Jubilee 1.0 impressive record. It's scored almost 90% - only failure was maybe Stadias. Let move to Jubilee 2.0 Uhuru decided to run things alone - or with help of Raila. You now do not want us to talk about Jubilee last 5yr record or even Uhuru. Because it's been an epic failure. Yet Azimio is coalition btw ODM and Jubilee principally. How do you want kenya to take you seriously if you cannot defend your last 5yr record? People know Ruto was the brains and muscle of Jubilee 1.0 and that Uhuru was mostly drunk. If Uhuru had controlled is inferiority complex - and agreed to allow Ruto to run things - we would be far ahead. Ruto has said no problem - we will do Big 4 again - lets talk in 3yrs when it will be nailed. That is why Ruto and his party UDA are now most popular in Kenya. Uhuru is less popular than weed man Wajackoyah. Raila is slow punctured on all the four wheels - cant move forward or backward. In two weeks time - Kenyans will decide! Do they go for someone who is brilliant, effective, efficient go-getter like Ruto or an old tard who can barely stay awake like Raila. All we pray is that desperados now trying to frustrate IEBC will realize they cannot win and start running to exile before Ruto gets them. MzeeMwenyewe1: |
I expect they will continue to run South Africa. The South Africa blacks will take any suffering before they allow Afrikaan party or coalition to rule over them again. At least with ANC - there is no apartheid like happen in National Party of the before. You need to confront the racial reality. You dont yet have the tribal division like Kenya because the racial divide(prospect of white rule) is a real threat to the majority of blacks they cannot afford the luxury of splitting into tribes. jl115: |
Who is Azimio Chairman? Uhuru. How can you not discuss the elephant in the room? The thing is you cannot box debate. If you ask an experienced politician to talk about climate change - he will find a way to talk about other things unrelated to climate change. Raila is getting hammering - mostly 1) Uhuru - his gov failrues, state capture - and 2) Age. Raila by some twist of fate decided to go to bed with Uhuru. He cannot run away from him. It most inopportune time to be an incumbent now because global economy is sick. Incumbents are getting kicked because inflation is hammering folks and voters are not in the business of understanding or excusing gov. He went for the money, system and deep state - and he is harvesting voter anger due to inflation. MzeeMwenyewe1: |
Okay I cant argue with you on the nitty grities but looking at the map - ANC is all over - except in the cape of good hope. Hope springs eternal. jl115: |
He has been outfoxed - Ruto is not only leading but has IEBC under lock & Key. I dont think Uhuru has folded camp yet - though he is doing the bare minimum and as always promising to go big next week/month/ - so maybe he has. They are now fighting IEBC. They just spend 8B kshs on maize subsidy. He tried to issue 1M titledeeds but it seem many peasant were not bothered to go collect them. Kibicho and Matiangi are going round organizing chiefs but they dont seem to have the money to finance them - my bro works for prov administration in Kiambu - Kibicho gave 600k for 400 chiefs/ass - 1,600 per person and their assignment was to look for 35 votes each. The money was hardly enough to cover their fare back home.The problem of course Ruto has huge momentum working for him, Rigathi finished off Martha last week, and we have the presidential debate that they aint sure anymore of attending. Looking at the cards Uhuru can play now - sabotaging IEBC is pretty risk - could results in a civil war - and I dont think he want to go there. So it likely they will attempt to rig - and if it fails - wait for the results. Depending on how the margin of defeat - looking increasingly overwhelmingly - they will go supreme court or they will scatter. Uhuru should be busy negotiating a jail free card if he was smart. kikuyu1: |
Quick look of 2021 local election in South Africa https://elections.timeslive.co.za/results?type=1091&mapType=results It appears to me that apart from Eastern and Western Cape where Afrikaans & colored are the majority; ANC pretty much dominate South Africa - and will continue for the forseable future. EFF has better chance that DAF - because it can grow it support - the white party has no prospect amongst the majority black. But hope springs eternal. jl115: |
Yes IRS surveys are the best of the worse - Kenya opinion polls have long way to go - they so inaccurate they almost get it wrong every election. They still do 1500 sample in a complicated tribal country - and in era of very cheap telephone interviews. They have very little probative value except in an election where winner is obvious. kikuyu1: |
Verbiage. Shma: |
No he doesnt. He always speak the truth. Stubborn truth - Early this year - it already exceeded 100% https://guardian.ng/news/nigeria-on-fiscal-cliff-as-debt-service-trounces-revenue/#:~:text=This%20is%20the%20first%20time%20the%20country...&text=for%20price%20instability-,Hard%20times%20are%20already%20here%20for%20the%20Federal%20Government%2C%20hard,or%20exceed%20100%20per%20cent. Hard times are already here for the Federal Government, hard, as its debt servicing exceeded retained revenue by as much as N310 billion in the first four months of 2022. This is the first time the country’s debt service to revenue ratio would hit or exceed 100 per cent. Now I am reading things have gone further haywire....as of mid this year. Bloodofthelambo: |
Let me cut you some slack. You're learning the ropes. We can only have sane conservation after 9th August. If you will show up here. Your old dude is getting a beating of his life. Remember these figures on the morning of 10th August. Raila 7m(43-44%). Ruto 9m (55-56%). In about 16M of the total votes. Shma:
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Nigeria operate on it's own universe. Debt servicing ratio of 130 percent. Arent the oil revenues helping? But I read production has fallen to below a million barrels per day - below Angola. SUFFERInSMILIIN: |
There is a good reason why he has been rejected since 1982. We are two weeks from permanently ending his misery and then rescuing his people from his violent grip. The Luo Nyanza used to produce great brains and now it's a wasteland. Siaya his home county lead in mortality rate. Siaya records the highest crude death rate nationally, with 15.5 deaths recorded per 1,000 people while Makueni records the lowest with about 5.5 deaths recorded per 1,000 people annually kikuyu1: |
You're really blowing a casket way before the 9th august Let us try have an adult conservation. I dont remember the last time I bought Kerosene. It must be about 20yrs ago when I last saw a kerosene stove and a lamp. I dont even see it being sold in petrol station anymore ever since it was forced to retail at same price as petrol/diesel. It was mostly being used by crooks to adulterate petrol and diesel - and frankly those panelist were more interested in side-shows than substantive issues. Price of bread, Ugali, rice, meat...yeah those kind of things I would expect someone would know. Shma: |
This as it should. At least Suluhu doesnt have Magufuli chip in the shoulder. Continue exporting raw materials to kenya. We will export finished goods you way. We now have about 1 billion dollar trade. Tanzania’s major exports to Kenya include cereals, wood and vegetables and Kenya’s exports to Tanzania include soap, coated flat-rolled iron, and packaged medicaments. Kazikazi: |
So Itumbi has monopoly of fake accounts. Online polls have evolved. I personally keenly watch opinion polls including online ones. In early part of year Ruto was ahead. In mid feb-april - Raila caught up - when he signed Kalonzo. In May Raila was actually ahead of Ruto - this was Martha momentum period. Online polls around that period were neck to neck. Then Wajockayah happened in June. From June 30th (July) when Ruto launched his manifesto - it been a rout - every opinion poll online - Ruto plays around 60 percent - Raila is struggling to get to 30% percent. I believe that was momentum from Manifesto Launch.Rigathi I believe has given Ruto yet another impetus. I expect Ruto to play around 65% of opinion polls online going forward...the thinking class definitely think Ruto ticket is now the most sensible choice. Next week Raila had better do a good job to turn the tables. Good luck - he will be facing a colossus Regarding the debate - Rigathi went for jugular of Uhuru and Martha - and ignored Raila. It was a brilliant strategy. Martha was toungue-tied when confronted that Uhuru was Chairman of Azimio. When Martha tried to hit Gachagua on corruption - Gachagua fired back on BAT bribery and the went home to Kirinyanga land scandal. All what was left of Martha after that was heap of make up badly applied and her kitenge dress. Gachagua walked away with the winner BY FAR. MzeeMwenyewe1: |
Rigathi was winning by default because AZIMIO had caricatured him as a cartoon - and they believed their own propaganda. That is cardinal sin in politics. DO NOT CONSUME YOUR OWN PROPAGANDA. Twitter, Facebook, Youtube. Everywhere there has been a poll - Rigathi won. Look for all opinion polls done in twitter, youtube and facebook; find me one where Martha won. This is tragic because AZIMIO decided to run propaganda that depicted Gachagua as incompetent buffon - for almost two months. They should not have turned up for this debate - but they are foolish because they eventually believed in their propaganda. Those of us who have watched Gachagua before - knows he became Ruto DPORK because he is very good debator, very good propagandist and very eloguent. I really pity Azimio because this not debate like next week - I dont see any effect from Raila/Ruto - everyone knows Ruto is better communicator - nobody will be surprised that Ruto will come tops. But for Azimio this very tragic - I see them losing 5-10% in Mt kenya - from little 20% they had- they caricatured Gachagua for months as unworthy buffon, believed in their own propaganda and then come the match up - everyone was surprised that Gachagua was lethal, well spoken presidential and passionate. Lesson no 1 for Azimio. Never believe in your propaganda. Martha should not have shown up for debate. Gachagua badly needed this debate. Martha is well known...she didnt need to show up. Last minute she should have called in sick .Uhuru in 2017 refused to participate in the debate because he didnt need it. Martha didnt need this debate to repeat herself - her brand is known - Gachagua badly needed it but pretended he wont attend until last minute. Raila-Ruto match up is for me no biggie - both are well known. Uhuru needed to debate Raila in 2013 - he didnt need it in 2017 because he was PORK - and he skipped it.MzeeMwenyewe1: |
That generally problem with Raila - he cannot run complex political strategy - like Ruto has done - because it takes more discipline, more handwork and organization skills. Raila cannot run a kiosk and has come this far because he is an Odinga. So when this come to end in two weeks - it will come down to Raila leaving two birds in hand (NASA stronghold) to chase the one bird in the bush (Mt Kenya). As for Ruto - he is effective, efficient and really work hard - always will be in office by 6am - the problem he isnt an economist of course - so he needs the like Ndii and other brilliant minds to give him a workplan. China and even close home Ethiopia managed to do miracles because they get brilliant people to come up with 5yr plan - and they religiously execute it. Chile under Pinochet got Chicago Boys - top economists - to come up with plan - and he delivered - made Chile the only developed country in Latin America- to join Argentina. Kagame does the same - get a plan and execute it with military precision. The most important thing that is lacking in leadership is people who can get stuff done - without excuses. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fSOdu0I6_Vk&feature=emb_logo If you listen Ndii talk about Ruto these are the take aways to copy someone. 1) Ruto was a believer in these big infrastructure projects as a way of transforming the country (before Ndii changed his mind) 2) Ndii says Ruto actually tried to implement his plans on the ground during the 1st term i.e. he actually does what he says he is going to do (they built 10k roads; put 5 million people on the electricity grid although most couldn't pay; tried to revive the dairy sector through cooperatives by buying fridges & started in Muranga until uhuru stopped it) 3) Ndii says his alignment with Ruto began because of his efforts to stop the BBI which he believed was an attempt to reverse the 2010 constitution and was going to be a disaster for the country 4) After aligning with Ruto to stop the BBI, they then started talking about economics (ruto reached out to him) -- Ndii was the first to tell ruto that his plans to implement his ideas in the 2nd term didn't work because of state capture -- e.g. his idea to help dairy farmers would threaten the Kenyatta's brookside; Other idea's would threaten northlands. Sounds like this was when ruto knew it was over. 5) Ndii has managed to change Ruto's economic ideology -- they will not focus on big infrastructure projects. Instead, they will focus on reviving the agricultural sector through cooperatives which make up 60% of Kenya's economy and get away from big projects. 6) The bottoms-up approach was worked on and sold for 4 years at the ground level (they totally out worked and out smarted uhuru who never seems to have seen this coming) The alliance of Ndii and Ruto might just work. Uhuru was just out-worked ( he was too focused on stealing) and they just out smarted everyone else in Uhuru's camp. Saddamochieng00: |
Uhuru has two weeks to make his last pitch on Mt Kenya. He has serious trust deficit and is pushing an ever harder product in Mt kenya - Raila. Let see if they will pull all the stops the last minute. I know they have rolled out the prov administration but they dont seem ready to spend money - they are giving them 1k . Martha might have destroyed herself yesternight - and the 20% I expected they would get in Mt kenya - might just halved into 10 percent.Saddamochieng00: |
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- he just finished two terms as governor - Murkomen was a year ahead of us. Kericho senator is younger than me. Nandi governor going for his 2nd term was elected senator in his two...now going for his 2nd term. My own mp is my agemate and playmate...now going for 2nd term.