₦airaland Forum

tuniski:
Atiku's victory electoral map will shock Buharideens cos he will win in places you never gave him chance.

He is probably popular in places we did not give him a chance but he will never win there.

PHILipu1:
Lol.
And there is also disadvantage that he is not a Southerner and a Christian like Jonathan.

Do you still expect all the 2015 votes for Jonathan in the south and Christian area to be intact for Atiku a Fulani and a Muslim?

Why looking at the advantage also look at the disadvantage that Atiku is also a Fulani and a muslim

What 2015 results sef?. Fakery. We were at home watching and they were rigging the declaration. The North waited before declaring their own remaining fake votes in a states and that was it.
The PDP will see pepper tomorrow. The truth about 2011 and 2015 elections will come out. Fake figures country.

ednut1:
Sw votes are always divided last last buhari or atiku wins by 200k. Talk about the zones that matter. Make una stop dey rant above

The problem with SE that does not divide votes is they could not help GEJ, an incumbent. They voted or rigged or padded 98% for him, these guys from "Igbos don't have a leader, every man is for himself " region .

flowmama:
Lols...

Buhari can't get 68% in the south west bro, how? The best he can get is 60% and to say he will get 40% in South South is funny... The best he can garner is 25% (this is me being generous).

South East have there son as a VP candidate , the first time a major opposition will field an igbo man as vp within the last 20 years. Now tell me how someone who got less than 5% when a non igbo contest will not get 25% now when igbo interest is at stake. He should just focus on getting 10% from the igbos... Nothing more than this...

SW have their son as VP and two possibles for President in 2023. How will PDP not lose massively in SW in spite of unpopularity of Buhari amongst some Yoruba middle class?
PDP has ZERO machinery in SW and it is deliberate.

Excaperx:
Akwa ibom
Cross river

River state
Bayelsa state

Edo state
Delta state

Can buhari get more votes than 2015?

YES!. PDP votes will be also much reduced. He might win A. Ibom, Edo, C.Rovers and Delta states

babyfaceafrica:
so the report is false?...can I see some proof?

The report is false. The state govt moved to close the gap in PVC collection months ago.

flowmama:
Sure...It takes a smart person to take a leaf out from failed campaign like APC had to avoid same mess.

Buhari divided his own votes in Ogun and Imo by telling supported to vote anybody they like in the gov. election.

He single handily made an enemy in Hope and Dapo. Their supporters may decide to pay him back for his anti-party statement.

Good one for Atiku. He has no enemy amongst the two PDP factions yet in Ogun. Good strategy to have avoided the campaign

Did you think about what you read in the thread?.
Kashamu is aldo working for APC. He has bad EFCC cases.
What vote division?. It's wiser not to take sides.
Buhari has very badt (dangerous) people working for him in Imo. Okorocha and his opposing Senators. They will do all they can to deliver the Presidential votes though I don't think APC will win Governorship.

Atiku will win only 7 states cleanly. He does not have the governors. Obi has lost the entire elite in the SE. The masses in the SE like him but are divided between voting and boycotting.
Akwa Ibom, C. Rivers, Delta and Edo not looking rosy as in 2015 for PDP added to the fact that 2015 results were even faked for PDP. Buhari will score more than 5 times his 2015 votes in those areas.
Atiku could win Lagos if only the PDP in the state were not so stupid and weak. Atiku has lost Kano and Sokoto. Sokoto will be lost narrowly.

flowmama:
You are very right. That is what zombies don't understand. It's not gov's duty to provide job but to create an enabling environment for employers of labour. That's why Jonathan U-win is more commendable compare to this Npower.

Another thing is that although the number of Npower beneficiaries like you said is small but llok at the smiles on the faces of these people's family anytime they notice their son or daughter give them money... Even the family members will want a continuity. Those are the two sides. Anyways the exercise is just tomorrow. We can only predict and analyse...

To simplify Buhari's entire portfolio of employment generation to just N-power is simplistic. I have dozens of youths talking to me about rice farming at the moment. I know those going into soya, cassava, maize, plantains et.c.

Atiku's so called employment generation is faulty. Let me SHOCK you - Businesses have stopped generating jobs !!!.
Most new businesses are coming with technology that eliminated jobs.
In fact the news is very bad for young people. You need to stop deceiving yourselves and stop falling for old fashioned economic ideas. There is no "employer of labour" who will solve Nigerias jobs problem. Your coumtry is 200m, it is producing more than 200, 000 graduates yearly.
AI is coming within two years into most sectors. Jobs are dead.
Buhari/Osinbajo plans are better - small holder farming with small scale AGRO processing.
Next that thing will work - service sector jobs around new infrastructure like railway attendant, ticketing, terminals and rolling stock maintenance. Go to London, New York or Berlin
Another jobs area is srlf employed skills provision - plumbers, electricians, carpenters, mechanics, caterers et,c servicing urban middle class in big cities of Lagos, Kano, Phc, FCT, Ibadan, Asaba.

PMB/Osinbajo have the right approach for a high population developing country in a context where jobs are dying. Atiku is a scammer. Actually only 40% of his businesses are profitable and those ones depend on governments or some government incentive. We hear he moves money around from the not profitable to the profitable to pay salaries.

PaChukwudi44:
Lol Kwankwaso will make the difference in the states you mentioned.Besides Atiku is fulani and Muslim.

Kwankwaso supporters dont like Atiku more than Buhari. You guys are too simplistic, why?.
You just expect Northerners to carry the same image of Nigeria as SE, SW or PDP. That's childish.
What we hear is that Kwakwansiya is fighting more for governorship than against PMB.
Kwankwaso himself is not PMB's rival but friend who sees him as a mentor. Kwankwaso has already lost PDP primaries, what food is Atiku giving him that he will put his political future in jeopardy?
Buhari will take Kano easily but there maybe serious violence during governorship elections.

Rivers, Delta, Anambra, Akwa Ibom, Ekiti and C. Rivers results in 2015 were fake. Kano, Katsina and Borno results were also fake with underaged/foreign voters. Any calculation based on 2015 elections is stupid ( no apologies). PDP will never score 98% of votes cast in those areas again in the future of mankind.
PDP already lost Akwa Ibom and C.Rivers is shared.

Atiku will do worse than GEJ tomorrow and PDP will lose Presidential elections. They will retain most Governors. There will be many HOA reps, Federal reps and Senators from new parties.

Buhari only determines when he will leave and his body language is that he won't leave.

Atiku will lose the election by a sea slide.

Obama has written books and given lectures since leaving govt.

The sum total of these analyses is that Buhari wins.
NW, SW, NE, so what remains. What these guys have done is play with percentages in favour of Atiku even though they concede Buhari wins more zones, what idiocy?.
An incumbent wins 3 most populous zones in Nigeria, is strong in two SS states, stronger in the SE than he was in 2015, yet loses the election. Ok u na try.
Only in Nigeria does this kind of analysis reach the opposite conclusion. It's actually not partiality, it's fear and desperation.

No way Buhari loses the election. You call yourself an analyst and you are basing projections on 2015 figures. 2015 election was 60% rigged.
It was a lie that PDP got all those figures in the SE. I also think Buhari got under aged votes in the North but he now has the federal police, army and air force.
Where on God's good earth are Atiku votes going to come from with 22 APC governors and 6 other possible governor assets in the PDP tending towards Buhari?.

hephhay1:
Atiku will definitely get up to two or three states in south west.

Atiku is more popular in Lagos than Buhari but he will not win Lagos. He is probably more popular in Ondo State as well but he won't win it.
There is a sophisticated and professional way of looking at things. There is nothing driving the vote for PDP in the SW. The entrance of new parties and voter apathy will affect the elections. Voter apathy is real. People are hungry. Osun State had large turnout only because of money

Adamawa, Benue and Akwa Ibom for Buhari. Yes Atiku is from Adamawa and was Gov there for less than two months. Yes Benue was a victim of herdsmen but it's aldo the land of new farmer millionaires. Akwa Ibom has internal tribal issues, Akpabio is strong and GEJ is not on the ballot

deomelo:
SE governors are really not interested in Atiku, even Obiano is not hiding his own rejection of Atiku and the PDP. I don't blame him, PMB completed a 26-year-old PDP abandoned project in his state in less than 3 years and he's completing another 2nd NB the PDP left and abandoned on the drawing board.

Are SE PDP governors running after Atiku? No. Are they shouting Atikulate all over the place? NO.

Years of PDP rigging against APGA, Obi vs Obiano issues, 2023 ambition of other Igbo politicians, IPOB sit at home orders. These are the negative things that will afflict Atiku in the SE. Elections according to the standards set by PDP are not won by the sentiment of the masses. They are won when FG, State Govts, Nigeria Police, Nigeria Army and INEC agree. We await shockers on Saturday.

NothingDoMe:
The thing they surprise me oh. Even the person has clearly come out to say it was forged with evidence. APC still nor gree.

Ok na

Why won't they say it is forged?. It is legally risky carelessness that the report was lifted out of their system?. They could be sued by PDP. In any case, where is the correct report?. PDP should provide it. It's being 6 weeks public knowledge that Ballard is working for them. Let them show the authentic report. It's just 2 days to elections

helinues:
No lefelendum no erection in Biafra land and our lands in SS and Middle belt

No lefelendum, no erection. Yessss.

jmaine:
Stop being a fraud. This nonsense has been debunked by the agency.. Stop following Jeffphilips blindly...

Of course they denied it. Saraki phoned them to complain about the leak and yes they have to deny it. The report is supposed to be top secret anyway so they will never admit to a leak from their end.

dumahi:
Almost like prophesying, a man says:



What do you think about this?

What we think is Atiku has no hope in creation of becoming President of Nigeria.

I have read the report.
It looks authentic apart from one spelling small mistake at the beginning. That mistake is something anybody can make in a preliminary draft.
They even have Atiku narrowly winning Kano. They have Atiku winning Adamawa, Edo, Kwara, Benue, Nasarawa and Plateau.
I know Atiku will lose Kano, Edo, Benue and possibly Adamawa.

Kriptune:
You think Deltans are some uneducated people that can be swayed by decisions of their leaders
This is the south bro

Deltans will unanimously vote Atiku (PDP) and gladly vote Ogboru(APC) as governor as they've been doing over the years.

Two Fulani on the ballot. What fire is Atiku carrying on his head?. Not more than 24 months ago, Atiku was in APC. Please describe what he has special that Deltans will gravitate to.

ydauda02:
Close to call states based on my own prediction =kogi buhari/kwara buhari/plateau atiku/nasarawa buhari/adamawa atiku with slightest victory

How does Atiku rake Adamawa with APC governor in place and many big guns on APC side?.

Fake news.
About three emergency websites have carried this rubbish at the same time. I think they should try more.

DMerciful:
Atiku will get at least 50% of Lagos vote

Atiku will do well in Lagos. He will lose the overall elections badly but Lagos will be a pleasant surprise for PDP. So this crowd means nothing.

SternProphet:
Sometimes you have a large requirement that one supplier can't meet within your allowable lead time besides in the Nigerian context, sometimes you have to spend the money otherwise the CBN pulls the funds to some other emergency.

I don't believe Nigeria deliberately procures from multiple OEMs as a matter of policy.

Meanwhile, how about Russia's shitty Kamov helicopter?.

https://www.facebook.com/1032700920098740/posts/2074986995870122/

jakeporeshenko:
I see 3 different MRAPS in this 1 pic, this is a result of poor planning and procurement process. Logistics nightmare

Sometimes you have a large requirement that one supplier can't meet within your allowable lead time besides in the Nigerian context, sometimes you have to spend the money otherwise the CBN pulls the funds to some other emergency.

I don't believe Nigeria deliberately procures from multiple OEMs as a matter of policy.

How does power failure and reduction of export reduce crude oil prices?. What kind of stupid thread is this?.

xpansion:
You have good analysis but you haven’t dwelled on the muddle belt which APC won last time but have lost grounds a bit to PDP. And the core north which would be difficult for APC considering now the battle is between two core Muslims. Secondly the northerners see it as a gain of PdP wins cause that means 8 years more of power in the north than of APC wins which is just 4 years. Whoever wins favors them.

It's a faulty structure for PDP to have depended for 60% of its total votes from SE/SS alone.
On top of that, everybody knows this historical figure has actually been driven by rigging. Voter turnout has never been up to 45% in the SS yet they racked up these fictitious figures that don't meet up to statistical scrutiny or even the reality of geography.

I believe the regional governors realize this and have struck deals eith Buhari to secure second terms for those of them still eligible.
Definitely, 60% of PDP votes are not coming from the SS on Saturday.

The naked truth will come open on Saturday about the historical reality of Nigerian elections.

I have friendly confessions from hundreds of youth corpses who participated in previous elections about bribery and doctoring of figures.

There is also widespread use of underage voters and aliens up North. Both parties are guilty of this as Kwankwaso, Tambuwal, Atiku and others are now in the PDP.

Expect stunning surprises. Akwa Ibom, Delta are not settled.
Lagos might go PDP.
Generally Atiku will perform more woefully than Goodluck Jonathan and only those who believed 2011 and 2014 figures would be surprised.
PDP has been rigging senselessly. Some areas we thought they were strong were only 'slight majority' areas. Their slight majority areas might change with two Fulani on the ballot.

You get 6 people with brooms to burn, you get them sweeping and then you take 50 photos. LOL.
Buhari has captured Kwara already. Saraki himself knows