The true sense and how it suppose to be is that Abuja is not more important than other states, it shouldn't be compulsory to get 25% in Abuja. What if a candidate gets 25% only in Abuja has he won the elections? No!

Let me now be honest, those who wrote that section of the constitution made a mistake by saying a Presidential candidate must get "25% in 24 states 'AND' Abuja". Talk to me intelligent people this statement is clear and can not be twisted.

Instead, it should be a Presidential candidate must get 25% in 24 states AND Abuja CAN 'make-up' the 24 states". Simple.

The "can" as a probability has settled the issues of the conjunction 'and'.

Over the years how has the conjunction "and" been used in the constitution?

I believe the Judges will not plea that it was a mistake from the Lawmakers that didn't properly state the constitution.

Also, the Judges can not claim to know the mind of the lawmakers better than what the Constitution states.

May God help our Judges not to disgrace the Judiciary.

In 2015, how did the north voted Buhari; this will help you know how to use the word 'tribal bigot'.

149. Notwithstanding any other provisions of this Act, any defect or error arising from any actions taken by an official of the Commission in relation to any notice, form or document made or given or other things done by the official in pursuance of the provisions of the Constitution or of this Act, or any rules made thereunder remain valid, UNLESS OTHERWISE CHALLENGED AND DECLARED INVALID BY A COMPETENT COURT OF LAW OR TRIBUNAL.[/quote]

Does the court have the right to make judgement that negate the constitution?

According to the law, the winner needs to meet up with 2 criteria not one.

1. Majority vote

2. 25%. for 24 states and FCT.


Meeting up with 1 of the criteria does not makes a person winner. A candidate must meet up with the 2 criteria. If non meets up with the 2 criteria run off will be taken from 2 parties closer to wining majority or 25% spread.

Iamgrey5:
Tinubu has won three local government areas in Niger already.

Suleja was a PDP stronghold.

Liar
I have stayed in Suleja.
Suleja has been CPC stronghold
Translate to APC and was APC stronghold till today.
Non indigense and indigenes (Gbagyi) took decision to vote for Labour party.

CoronaVirusRelo:
Many of them are in pains!

I am starting to feel for them, but still happy with their tears!


I warned them, but never listened


Majority now soaked in regrets, pain and agony

Someone came from London, voted APC and went back.

You dey with me for naija cum vote APC dey feel say u done do me, bro you do us. Add 8 years to your year u go know Whatsup. Meanwhile, we just finish 8 years you look your life finish say everything dey alright. Chai!

My pikin go ask me how far we take be like this for this country I go explain how suffer no taya some persons, you go explain how you take wan punish us with APC.

This is my projection and analysis coupled with commentaries that are backed by personal observations and recent opinion polls.

If you're relying on previous elections to judge this one you will definitely be shocked on tomorrow. You must consider religion even over ethnicity.You must consider BVAS machine that will exposé the previous surplus figures in some region.

Also, since electoral structure have been changed, that is, the new electoral Act; blocking any possibility of rigging, the last card is violence and vote buying (which is a little bit weak).

To win the Presidential election the candidate must win 25% of 24 states and FCT.
So having majority vote is not enough to win. That is why a run off is obvious.

If a free and fair election takes place, this is how it would look like

*Highlight of Major Situations*
In the North. There is an amount of persons that are tired of APC and some tired of PDP this set of people have fall to Kwankwaso but I can't tell the degree of the population but I am certain that it is a significant number.

In the South, particularly southeast and south south, a huge number of persons are tired of APC and PDP and these persons have falled to Labour party. NNPP and LP will alter the historic patterns of voting in Nigerian.

Atiku has lost southeast and south south. Northwest is shared with Kwankwaso and northeast between Atiku and Tinubu's vice Shettima, even, Kwankwaso is present there.
To me, who wins more states in north central MIGHT become the president, however, if north central is shared a rerun is possible.

*Analytically*
*Northeast*
Borno APC, LP, NNPP
Gombe: APC, PDP, NNPP, LP
Adamawa: PDP, APC, LP, NNPP
Yobe: PDP, APC, NNPP, LP
Bauchi: PDP/APC, NNPP
Taraba: LP/PDP, APC, NNPP

Lets go,
Northeast is shared between Atiku and Shettima, of cause, we know Shettima can only beat Kanuri part of Borno and Yobe. Atiku have a better part of Northeast, but you see Taraba Obi will partake in the division. NNPP will do better in Bauchi but not better than APC.

*North west*
Jigawa: APC/NNPP, PDP...
Kaduna: APC/LP, PDP
Kano: NNPP--APC, PDP, LP
Katsina: APC--PDP, NNPP
Kebbi: APC, PDP, NNPP,
Sokoto: PDP, APC, NNPP, LP
LP is almost not appearing in most Northwest states this is where APC intend to take the lion share but was cut short by Kwankwaso, PDP is relieved with the emergency of Kwanwaso. We see Kwankwaso shaking Kano and Jigawa, this might be as a result of the high populations of Hausas who might play the ethnic card to support their brother, Kwankwaso. APC and PDP underate him at their peril. Don't be shock if Kwankwaso wins Kano he remains the second force in Jigawa or almost draw with PDP. One thing is certain for Jigawa APC will not win with a bigger margin.

Meanehile, Kaduna is out as Labour party is taking southern Kaduna and making road into the northern Kaduna through Datti. If Elrufia works harder Kaduna can be a battle ground and PDP is not insignificant here. The remaining Northwest is scattering among Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso.

*North Central*
Benue: LP, PDP, APC
Kogi APC, PDP, LP
Kwara: APC, PDP, LP
Nasarawa: APC, PDP, LP, NNPP
Niger: APC, PDP, LP, NNPP
Plateau: LP-PDP, APC
Federal Capital Territory: LP, PDP, LP

Here, religion is the card, we see Obi shaking Benue and Abuja as he drills a little through Plateau, particularly, Christian areas of Plateau. Also, Obi has taken the Christian areas of Nassarawa and Niger. Kogi is APC very non-negotiable. APC and LP will share north central, surprise right? PDP remains third here. Infact, I predict that PDP might not win any state in north central at most Plateau, but they could maintain second in some states.

Without sentiment, notice, for the first time northern Christians will be testing their voting strength. I can tell that Obi will get more Christian votes in the north than in the southwest. Meanwhile, APC remains strong in north central facing stubborn LP. PDP is no longer the main opposition here.

*Southwest*
Lagos: (maybe, LP) APC, LP, PDP
Osun: PDP- APC, LP
Oyo: APC, PDP, LP
Ekiti: APC, PDP/LP
Ogun: APC, LP/PDP
Ondo: APC, PDP/LP

For southwest, Tinubu would have win hands down but religion has given Obi an advantage as many pastors are making body languages to suggest Obi.

In Southwest, APC will do well but not as expected, if you think that Nigerians are not sentimental in regards to religion then you have not been following Nigeria politics. PDP have 2 states in Southwest, APC have 4. both PDP, APC and LP will share Southwest but APC shall take the bigger potion.

Atiku will do less in southwest compared to 2019, maybe, for the obvious reasons, it is because, a Fulani just finished 8 years and another is coming.

Lagos is war scatter (like sharing) but Tinubu will win Lagos except miracle happens for LP.

PDP will win Osun because of Adeleke but this is now shaking following court decision questioning Adeleke's victory.
Although, in southwest part of the surprises is that, LP *might* beat 25% in one or two states there. This prediction is based on religious card be played.

*Southeast*
Ebonyi: LP, PDP, APC
Abia: LP, PDP, APC
Anambra: LP, PDP...
Imo, LP, PDP, APC

Here APC has no appearance in Anambra state, that's an opinion based on observation, PDP are coming second with almost insignificant figures.

*Southsouth*
Delta: LP, PDP,
Edo: LP, PDP, APC
Akwa Ibom: LP, PDP, APC
Bayelsa: PDP/LP, APC
Cross River: LP, PDP, APC
Rivers: PDP/LP, APC

Since 1999 both southeast and southsouth have been voting for PDP, LP changed the narrative and this is a big blow for PDP. Regardless of Okowa being Atiku's vice, I predict Labour party winning Delta because of ethnicity influence. Maybe there are more Igbos in Delta, remember, I said maybe.
LP will win Edo with a fight, while PDP will become second because of it's a PDP state, structure will work here. While through Adams Oshimhole's influence APC will get significant number though remain third.

AkwaIbom is LP, Bayelsa is battle ground between PDP and LP. PDP has always win Bayelsa, Jonathan former PDP Presidential flag bearer is silent and the silence is a disadvantage for PDP.

Rivers, a G5 state, particularly Wike state, he has been the black sheep in the PDP fold. His moves remains unknown, but for me he is confuse and I think Rivers is LP, this is debatable but it won't go easily PDP will fight politically to win Rivers but to no avail.

*Final Drops*
I can predict that there is no block vote from any region except southeast and partially south south. Also, I can categorically tell that, if there be run off it would be between Tinubu and Obi except Atiku makes surprise victory in northwest.
But if it is between APC and LP then Obi need miracle to win.

Finally, surprises are possible, because of the economic situation of the country and APC Muslim - Muslim ticket; there might be high voters participation from individuals particularly Christian areas in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa giving LP one time escape victory. I repeat surprises that can give ESCAPE victory is possible. As many sees Obi as the Messiah.

This is my opinion say yours

If a region is more populated than another and one wins the highly populated region losing 3 or 4 other region. It will be unjust to declare such person winner. President of all not one.

So if a person gets 28 million votes in10 state another 22 million by having 25% across 24 States and FCT. The 22 million guy wins.

At last, them done play their last card and them no jack-pot.

If you know the functions and operations of BVAS you will chill.

They have never voted in the history of Nigeria election. Also, Shite Muslims have never voted in history.

KingKO22:
Even with that 10m

Soludo will drag small
Ikpezu will drag his own
Umahi will snatch his own for us
Hope will highjack his own for us
Ugwuanyi will also overthrow his own for Atiku


Finally Obituary will be left with 1.5 votes from SadEast and be declared as president of IPOB and CAN 😀🤣😂

Atiku will take some in northeast and Kwankwso will now finish work in northwest, especially Kano.

Labour party have no enterprise, we are aware of millions donated to the obidient group both within and abroad. Such money must be followed up cuz people who donated them money are individuals who posses burning passion of changing this country.

Are you aware that in recent time, non party members that identified themselves as obidient where cumbing the northeast and northcentral, most of them didn't ask for shi shi.

Recently, some northwest LP leaders decamped, you behave like one.
But e go shock una, the people has decided to hell with those against the people's decision.

Non LP supporters stay off na family business.

KingKO22:
You this small boy with container business that is aspiring to rule a country with over 200m people

You want to turn Nigeria to Anambra ??

Obi: You where no get billions or use bullion van, after you become governor you blow, you wan expand your Lagoon stealing pattern to Nigeria??

dustmalik:
You still don't get it, do you? Any online poll you conduct today, Obi will always win, no matter whose timeline you conduct it.

If you recall correctly, in 2019, Buhari lost all polls, online and offline. In fact, when Buhari was pit against a Stone, the stone won with landslide.

Come Saturday, when votes start to trickle in from all over the country, reality is going to set in.

I expect to be insulted, as is now usual.

BVAS will shock you

Body dey sweet me, I no be Kwankwaso fan you suppose know my party by now.

I know the north practice polygamy but I am struggling to put it into logic.

All over the world, swampy and riverine area are more populated than desert or near-desert areas. It is only in Nigeria that it is different.

Look some figures

Niger population is 26,516,733 as of Tuesday, February 21, 2023, based on Worldometer elaboration of the latest United Nations data.
https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/niger-population/


While, the current population of the Republic of Chad is 17,667,893 as of Tuesday, February 21, 2023, based on Worldometer

https://www.worldometers.info/world-population/chad-population/

26,516,733
17,667,893
= 44,184,626

What is the population of the north again?

BVAS will help us understand a little

Even Okowa knows he can't win Delta talk more of south south.

Shettima knows he is no match for Kwankwaso and Atiku. And APC last card is "Buhari campaign for us".

If Datti can deliver southern Kaduna we are fine.

Election no be do or die.

Na APC government make Nigerians ment. Abeg avoid some kind persons:

Those coming back from ATM
Those buying petrol at unbearable price
Those paying POS charges

Them dey vex

Ofemmanu1:
Mr Stingy got me tho..


..But when I look at the billions Tinubu is taking home monthly just because he is Lagos ex governor, and how his henchmen cornered Lagos fortunes with Bullion vans.

And I look at how Peter Obi rejected everything, including his gratuity and the "No Shishi Paradigm" I become so tempted to vote Obi.

But as a professional tribal bigot, yeeboe Ipob slayer and a naturally w!cked person, I will vote BAT.

The testimony of an individual
"I hate healthy Presidents, I love corrupt and drug Lord Tinubu because he speaks my language".

You can't support Buhari 2 times (2015, 2019) and be a good person. One might be mistake but two is purpose.

If you're relying on previous elections to judge this one you will definitely be shocked on Saturday. You must consider APC failure as confirmed by all political parties, including APC presidential flag bearer Tinubu.
You must consider religion even over ethnicity.
You must consider BVAS machine that will exposé the previous surplus figures up north.

Analysis
Northeast is shared between Atiku and Shettima of cause we know Shettima can only beat Kanuri part of Borno and Yobe. Atiku have a better part of Northeast, but you see Taraba Obi will partake in the division.

North west, we see Kwankwaso shaking Kano and Jigawa, underate him at your peril. Kaduna is out as Labour party is taking southern Kaduna and making road into the northern Kaduna through Datti. If Elrufia work harder Kaduna can be a battle ground and PDP is not insignificant here.
The remaining Northwest is scattering among Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso.

North Central, we see Obi shaking Benue and Abuja as he drills a little through Plateau, particularly, Christian areas of Platuea. Also, Obi has taken the Christian areas of Nassarawa and Niger. Kogi is APC.

Notice for the first time northern Christians will be testing their voting strength. I can tell that Obi will get more Christian votes in the north than in the southwest.


Lagos is war scatter (like sharing) but Tinubu will win Lagos.

Lets leave southeast and south south Obi got the two region. Any other claim is self deceit.

For southwest, Tinubu would have win hands down but religion has given Obi an advantage as many psstors are making body langauge. Atiku have nothing really significant in southwest maybe it is because a Fulani just finished 8 years and another is coming.

I can predict that there is no block vote from any region except southeast and south south.

I can categorically tell that if there be run off it is between Obi and any of this two: Tinubu or Atiku.

But if it is between Obi and Tinubu then Obi need miracle to win.

This is my opinion say yours

Obi can win Benue, FCT and hopefully, 25% in Plateau.
North Central is divided

Abiodunstephen:
Church started in a normal ways, after Sunday school class the main service began.
Praise and worship was so amazing, we dance and praise God in unusual way.
Immediately after praise and worship, Offering and tithe follow and service was getting shape.

The next thing on the service was for the daddy G.O to come to the alter and lead some prayer but when Papa came he started with the topic of whom to vote and how he want the congregation to vote, I was like this is unusual of daddy G.O to be talking about the politics on the pulpit but daddy G.O keep saying vote for the man that has interest of Nigerian, do not vote any old man because is your tribes man.
One church man now asked that please sir who should we vote? pastor was like I think Peter Obi should be the best.
Immediately he pronounce that most member walked away from church with anger that pastor should stop that otherwise they will not attend the church again that they are for Tinubu and nobody can change their mind on that.

This is the first of it kind or maybe it is false.

Reports have that in all Churches Obi is mentioned members react positively. We can see videos of how churches celebrated him.

In Nigeria, no body believed a ruling party will fall until it happened to PDP in 2015

You won't believe until it happens, I am certain that 2023 election is not for the Goliath.

I am among those that believe that 2023 is Mass movement vs the present structure.

I also believe that with the current INEC strategies 2023 election will reveal the robberies we have experience in past elections.

Don't beat your chest or rely on past glory.

I belief that majority of Nigerians are tired of APC and PDP. This tiredness will manifest on Saturday.

FreeStuffsNG:
A renowned Professor of Economics and former CBN Governor who is occupying the office once occupied by Mr Obi for 8 years of mediocre leadership in Anambra under him, Economist Soludo, has passed a verdict on Mr Obi; he regards Mr Obi as a colossal failure in 8 years reign of Mr Obi as Anambra state Governor.

None of the current or past Governors of Anambra endorsed him and none of them can vouch for him.

Any Economist hyping Mr Obi is like the discredited ANAP 'poll' and should not be taken with seriousness.

The current Governor of Anambra state, Prof Soludo, a Professor of Economics and former Central Bank of Nigeria(CBN) Governor, already gave the scorecard of Mr Obi. Soludo said publicly that Anambra state investment that Mr Obi made in the capital market is today worth next to nothing.
The renowned Economist, Prof Soludo stated that Anambra state under Mr Obi took the first position in Nigeria in the democratization of poverty!

Tinubu’s legacy investments are still standing today and yielding huge returns to Lagos state government. He was one of the first state governors to ever use the capital market for raising state bonds, Lagos made huge ROI on its shares in Airtel, Asiwaju initiated the vision that today birthed Lekki Deep Seaport(only deep seaport in Nigeria and largest in West Africa) and Lagos state majority-owned companies like LASACO Plc are doing well in the capital market.

All these manipulation of facts to rewrite history in order to hype Mr Obi will end in 5 days time.when Mr Obi would have been defeated at the polls in a free, fair, transparent and credible election.

The good thing is that his defeat will teach other current and past mediocre governors a lesson: If you do not want to be paying PR guys money to hype you, work very hard in office so that your work will speak for you.
Nigerians will open your record for posterity when you are mediocre in office then come later to contest. No media hype will pull wool over people’s eyes.Serve well. He is wasting his money on sponsored post.smh

Serve excellently like Tinubu served Lagos as Governor for 8 years. Mr Obi and Alhaji Atiku were mediocre in office for 8 years.
check my signature for free stuffs!

You haven't apologize for voting Buhari you planing another one.