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PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:30pm On Apr 16, 2011
JaaizTech:
There is a slim chance of this happening, I can only think of 19 states (Zamfara,Yobe,Taraba,Sokoto,Niger,Nasarawa,Kwara,Kebbi,Kogi,Katsina,Kano,Kaduna,jigawa,Gombe,Borno,benue,bauchi,adamawa,plateau) in which Buhari is sure of getting over 25%, but with the low figures being posted in the south west in particular, it is possible He still gets majority over a very slim margin. For example at my polling station it is about 800 cpc votes to 100 pdp votes, that 700 margin can cover about 5 polling booths in lagos.GEJ on the hand is likely to score very low in core north (e.g Sokoto, Yobe, Kano, Katsina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Borno, Gombe). there is a slim chance it can happen
^I believe you are asking what happens if:
A. The candidate with most votes does not secure the required spread
B. A second candidate ends up having the required spread but not the most votes.

The rules are clear: In such a situation, there will be a runoff between candidate A and B, with a simple majority being required.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:21pm On Apr 16, 2011
Results from kufang Miango Road, Jos, Plateau State: PDP 737, CPC 8, FRESH 6, DPP 5, ANPP 5, BNPP 3, ACN 0, invalid 15.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:17pm On Apr 16, 2011
Why ACN is trailing PDP so far in Lagos. . .

PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:07pm On Apr 16, 2011
KWARA

Ilorin East

St John unit: PDP 271; ACN 18; CPC 18; MPPP 1; PDC 1; PMP 1; PPP 2


St John LGEA 3: PDP 219; ACN 11; CPC 28; LDPN 1; MPPP 1; NCP 1; NTP 1; PMP 1

Magaji area 2: ACN 14; ANPP 1; PDC 1; NCP 1; CPC 14; PDP 196

http://234next.com/csp/cms/sites/Next/Home/5690533-146/election_results_live_updates__.csp
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 6:05pm On Apr 16, 2011
JaaizTech:
But my grouse now is, if  candidate A gets the majority of the votes (134(1)a) and candidateB gets more than 25% of votes counted in 24 states(134(1)b). What happens, will candidate B be declared winner or will there be a re-run. I am really concerned because very few are aware of this provisio, and it is a potential recipe for crisis .
^Constitution is clear: There will be a runoff between A & B.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 5:40pm On Apr 16, 2011
At the end of the day: the results will probably replicate the 2003 pattern with the possible exception of Buhari adding Niger and Kaduna state to the states he won in 2003.

[img]https://www.nairaland.com/attachments/415237_2003-nigeria-presidential_gife00d1c2de6cfcef806bc31423234456f[/img]

A loss for GEJ in the NW has always been expected. So no surprises there.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 5:34pm On Apr 16, 2011
themano:
With the results i am seeing from all over the North,
^Show us the results. And scratch Plateau state from that list. and I guess you forgot Nasarawa state is in the "north" as well:

beloveeed:
@ NAsarawa State polytechnic Lafia polling unit

ANPP 5

PDP 378

CPC 87
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 5:16pm On Apr 16, 2011
Sagamite:
And it is really tosh to say OBJ stole $16bn because:

1) I read somewhere that an analysis done revealed $3bn was the amount not accounted for. So the whole $16bn was typicla Nigerian hearsay that turned into "fact".

2) If OBJ stole $16bn, he would not have the same regards he maintains in the West.

3) OBJ, unlike the typical criminals like IBB, has not for a second hid from the media. He has granted interviews several times to defend himself robustly.

In my view, what ever the amount of money looted for the power project was not looted by OBJ. He most likely was incompetent, careless in the management, but I don't believe he looted it. So I don't think there is anything like "OBJ's $16bn".

Ribadu went after CRIMINALS. That is what matters to me, not their moan that they are being prosecuted based on selective justice.

It is like armed robbers saying why is the police only focussing on their patch.
^100% agree with these.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 5:12pm On Apr 16, 2011
^The trend in Lagos seems to confirm the ThisDay/Ipsos polls.
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 5:04pm On Apr 16, 2011
From the Buhari4change facebook site:

"Katsina PU:20/21/04/019
PDP:215 CPC:184 ACN:0" some one from katsina should confirm this reuslt
PoliticsRe: Presidential Election, 16th April, 2011 by aletheia(m): 4:45pm On Apr 16, 2011
Senator-elect for Lagos Central Senatorial District, Mrs Oluremi Tinubu Saturday lost her ward 9 unit 034 to the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP.

While PDP polled a total of 82 votes, the ACN polled 80 votes, CPC had 27, ANPP 2 and FRESH polled 1 vote respectively.

http://www.vanguardngr.com/2011/04/presidential-polls-tinubu-loses-ward-to-pdp-as-aganga-lauds-inec/
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 3:52pm On Apr 16, 2011
AkoEja:
Alitheia, I am apalled by your statement, and you claim to be a doctor working engaged in HIV management. . .How can you say this, and I quote
How can somebody conceive a virus infection?
^Do not annoy me. Can't you read? You are misattributing Ileke-Idi's word's to me: This is what she said:
[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646183.msg8122581#msg8122581 date=1302750772]Ironic.

Actually HIV does show. It does not show for the first few months, even years of conceiving the viral fluids (blood, sperm, etc).[/quote]I was quoting her words in my reply. If you cannot make the distinction between my words and Ileke Idi's words; how are you able to follow the discourse on this thread?
PoliticsRe: I'm Predicting Buhari Will Win On Saturday! by aletheia(m): 1:25am On Apr 16, 2011
Abuja - From all indications, Nigeria looks set to elect two Presidents on Saturday the 16th of April 2011.

Political analysts are predicting that one President will win the mandate to rule over the geographical entity known as Nigeria, while the other President will win the vote to rule over Nigerians on the internet.

Currently, favourite to somehow win the right to rule the land known as Nigeria is the incumbent President, Jonathan Goodluck, but competition for the office of President of Internet Nigerians is still too close to call.

If the outcome of the presidential election is this predicted dichotomy, the Internet Nigerians are expected to behave like sore-losers and insist that their President should have won the seat of the other President as well.

Analysts have suggested that the only way to prevent an attempt by the Internet Nigerians to take over the other Nigeria is to take away their electricity.

This shouldn't be a problem for the likely President of the landed area known as Nigeria. His party has already spent $12billion making sure of that.

-Jowo Mabinu, reporting for wazobiareport.com

http://www.wazobiareport.com/reports/Nigeria-likely-to-get-two-Presidents
grin
PoliticsRe: I'm Predicting Buhari Will Win On Saturday! by aletheia(m): 1:18am On Apr 16, 2011
mrjingles:
^^ The major problem with the buhari campaign is the absolutist , intolerant air that permeated the campaign, he and his supporters have a very dangerous mindset- if you dont support buhari then you must be a clown, an a fool. This is the kind of mindset that people like hitler, stalin and polpot had. Am worried that someone who was head of state 27 years ago so strongly believes ONLY he has answers to 9ja problem today. This mindset is what I refer to as the messiah syndrome and is not far from despotism.
^Excellent description. The BB crowd inherited their faux-messiah complex and pseudo-religious fervor from their principal. They were programmed to be that way by a skillful rewriting of history and a distortion of the facts. There were times when it seemed frighteningly like a personality cult: only Buhari-Bakare can save Nigeria. Really? They forget that it is not corruption that is the greatest threat to Nigeria's existence. It is the tribalism and ethnic jingoism. . .the very things that contributed to the civil war and which continued perpetuation has actually fueled the corruption by denying this nation of the services of its best and brightest on the basis of where you come from. I am from the north, and I have experienced discrimination in my own country simply because I am not Hausa-Fulani or Muslim.
And for all the hysteria and rabble-rousing rhetoric; it is patently clear to the rest of the country that the Buhari candidacy is designed for one end and one end only: to perpetuate a certain hegemony. . .and that is why his support is so clearly demarcated along regional lines. Buhari divides the nation; and exacerbates those fault lines that threaten our unity. For that reason; he does not deserve our votes.

mrjingles:
Fact is that Buhari will lose this election (he may even know this deep down) but the real question is what becomes of CPC? will it grow to become a national party or will it die with buhari's ambition and how will ACN fair? will it be reduced to a "yoruba" party or will it grow to a truly national party? Those are the key questions as for this elections they should forget it and look forward. They lost the elections before 2010 even.
^What becomes of CPC? It will die within the space of 2 - 3years. Or at best diminish to the status of a fringe party. Most of it's candidates are opportunistic politicians seeking to ride on the General's coattails to office who decamped from their parent parties. Most of them will retrace their steps after the election. For example, look at Adamawa state where Marwa jumped from PDP to CPC after losing the party nomination. Now that governorship elections will not hold in Adamawa state this year. . .
ACN can transform to a viable alternative to PDP if they play their cards right. They can do this by turning ACN governed states intoo models of development.
PoliticsRe: Report Your Efforts On Buhari-bakare Team Here by aletheia(m): 7:14pm On Apr 15, 2011
ceah:
we still plan to send out 3 different smses before 12noon tomorrow
^That would be in breach of the electoral law. No campaigning within 48 hrs of the election.
Christianity EtcRe: Question For Joagbaje by aletheia(m): 6:02pm On Apr 15, 2011
nuclearboy:
(where is Aletheia??),
^I am around. . .I stand by my first post on this thread.
PoliticsRe: Breaking News! James Ibori Granted Bail by aletheia(m): 5:07pm On Apr 15, 2011
E be like say shame go catch some people:

James Ibori Extradited to the UK (Updated)
April 15, 2011 - 14:55 — siteadmin
caption: Ibori off to London-Cartoon by Freida Okono

James Ibori, the former governor of Delta state, was finally extradited to United Kingdom today after the London Metropolitan police foiled his latest plot to flee from the United Arab Emirates through a series of complex legal manipulations he hatched in Dubai.

Ibori was re-arrested last night in his Dubai mansion and taken to an extradition processing center from where he was later flown to the UK.  He is expected arrive in London at about 1:00p.m. local time.

SaharaReporters learnt from UAE government sources that the former governor was accompanied by officers of the UK Metropolitan police Proceeds of Crimes Unit.

Ibori will face three separate trials in the UK relating to money laundering and theft.  Some of his accomplices, including his wife, Theresa; his sister, Christine Ibie-Ibori; and a mistress, Udoamaka-Okoronkwo (nee Onuigbo), are already spending prison terms in various jail houses in the UK.   Just over a week ago, on April 1, his UK lawyer, Bhadresh Gohil, was given a 10-year sentence.  The sentence will run concurrently with a previous seven-year conviction.
PoliticsRe: Has The Cpc Been Renting Rally 'crowd'? by aletheia(m): 4:55pm On Apr 15, 2011
Jarus:
You will see tomorrow whether Buhari rented crowd or not. If you think PDP will still win Kano, Sokoto, Kebbi etc in the presidential election, then Monday is around the corner. CPC's mistake of selecting unpopular candidates plus the various  cases of 2 aspirants still fighting for ticket till election. But in presidential, you will see whether his crowd are rented or not. Will he win election? I doubt it. But will he win NW where he pulled crowd? I have no doubt.
^There, that's better.
PoliticsRe: Report Your Efforts On Buhari-bakare Team Here by aletheia(m): 4:47pm On Apr 15, 2011
seal777:
U need to see how those hausas pounced on me requesting for posters and starch for unward pasting.
CPC=Fulani ("Hausa"wink supremacist party. "fower" must return to the "north". We are "born to rule". grin
PoliticsRe: Foreign Reserves Now $35 Billion? by aletheia(m): 2:53pm On Apr 15, 2011
babaearly:
Hey great googler, can you show us Nigeria's trade deficit and trade surplus for 2010?
^All the information you need is just a few mouse clicks away
Nigeria's Foreign Reserves and Balance of Trade:
http://www.cenbank.org/IntOps/Reserve.asp?MoveDate=4/15/2011%206:35:09%20AM
http://www.cenbank.org/out/2010/publications/reports/rsd/development%20in%20the%20external%20sector%20of%20nigerian%20economy.pdf
Nigeria's economic indicators (including those of 2010):
http://www.economywatch.com/economic-statistics/country/Nigeria/

Current Account Balance (US Dollars) for Nigeria in year 2010 is US$ 26.969 Billion

This makes Nigeria No. 13 in world rankings according to Current Account Balance (US Dollars) in year 2010. The world's average Current Account Balance (US Dollars) value is US$ 5.40 Billion; Nigeria is US$ 21.57 more than the average.


In the previous year, 2009, Current Account Balance (US Dollars) for Nigeria was US$ 23.78 Billion Current Account Balance (US Dollars) for Nigeria in 2010 was or will be 13.43% more than it was or will be in 2009.

In the following or forecasted year, 2011, Current Account Balance (US Dollars) for Nigeria was or will be US$27.54 Billion, which is 2.11% more than the 2010 figure.

Source: http://www.economywatch.com/economic-statistics/Nigeria/Current_Account_Balance_US_Dollars/
You can also try the economist.com (IMO, one of the best news magazines out there for lay men wishing to improve their understanding of economic affairs)
PoliticsRe: Foreign Reserves Now $35 Billion? by aletheia(m): 2:31pm On Apr 15, 2011
[quote author=bk.babe97y link=topic=646416.msg8130391#msg8130391 date=1302839944]ROFLMAO! Nigeria has a much better trade balance than the U.S? Then You compare the U.S Foreign Reserves to that of Nigeria?! Oh boy. . . .

Luckily for u I've chosen to refrain from responding to idi*otic comments on this forum![/quote]^You are actually the one making id!otic comments. You live in the US but unfortunately do not make use of the available knowledge around you. Here is an example of the silly comment you made:
[quote author=bk.babe97y link=topic=646416.msg8125604#msg8125604 date=1302787491]But, I'll tell u: If u ever hear that your country's reserve, a big economy as it is, ever gets to $1billion u better head for the nearest border because at that point it has all collapsed![/quote]^In order to get you to understand that foreign reserves are not the sole measure of an economy's strength; I directed your attention to this:
aletheia:
Then you 'd better head for the US border because the Foreign Reserves of the USA (where you live) as large as their economy is; is only just $133bn; while China's is $2850bn. Do you wonder that China has the USA in a vise grip economically. And BTW, Nigeria has a much better Balance of Trade than the USA.
The point being made which so obviously escapes you is that Nigeria's FR relative to the size of it's economy is even better than that of the US where you live. The problem is that there are so many ignoramuses who have difficulty processing information parading on this forum and ventilating their ignorance on matters that they should educate themselves on. It is quite clear you do not know what the term Balance of Trade means; hence your response which is glaringly filled with ignorance:
[quote author=bk.babe97y link=topic=646416.msg8130391#msg8130391 date=1302839944]ROFLMAO! Nigeria has a much better trade balance than the U.S? Then You compare the U.S Foreign Reserves to that of Nigeria?! Oh boy. . . .[/quote]Nigeria does have a better balance of trade than the USA. You can access this information from any where: it's not hidden.

babaearly:
it's not everything that gets to your head you just spit out! think first
^You babaearly are often more objective than some on this thread: don't you think you should have found out what balance of trade means before coming to "spit out" what you wrote above? So tell me: was I wrong about Nigeria's balance of trade vis a vis the USA? As you can see I was right.

[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646416.msg8130484#msg8130484 date=1302841491]ROTFLMAO!! Respect our NL "Doctor" grin[/quote]^You are such a child. Really. Grow up.
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 2:14pm On Apr 15, 2011
,
Christianity EtcRe: Question For Joagbaje by aletheia(m): 4:07am On Apr 15, 2011
The purpose of this thread looks suspiciously like an attempt to bully Joagbaje. The initial tone seems too much like an attempt to call out someone to a brawl. Was that approach really necessary? Some of us may not agree with a lot of what Joagbaje says but. . .in any case the OP could easily have conducted this business in a decorous manner.
PoliticsRe: Foreign Reserves Now $35 Billion? by aletheia(m): 2:46am On Apr 15, 2011
[quote author=ekt_bear link=topic=646416.msg8128210#msg8128210 date=1302810257]Sounds like fool's gold to me. Industry won't be functional in naija until electricity and road networks are fixed.[/quote]Agreed that without electricity, there would be issues. Good thing though is that there seems to be some political will on the part of the Jonathan Administration or a Ribadu Administration to reform the power sector. So we live in hope.
PoliticsRe: Foreign Reserves Now $35 Billion? by aletheia(m): 8:08pm On Apr 14, 2011
[quote author=X-factoria link=topic=646416.msg8125247#msg8125247 date=1302783957]You won't see the capital projects because you do not have the mental capacity to discern them when they are flashed at your face.[/quote]^
Don't mind the "nattering nabobs of negativity". They have an evil eye and an envious and bitter heart, so they cannot see anything good. For example, the various textile manufacturing plants in the north, that the likes of Buhari and Babangida killed; are being resuscitated. Kaduna Textiles is a case in point.

[quote author=bk.babe97y link=topic=646416.msg8125604#msg8125604 date=1302787491]If u ever hear that your country's reserve, a big economy as it is, ever gets to $1billion u better head for the nearest border because at that point it has all collapsed![/quote]^Then you 'd better head for the US border because the Foreign Reserves of the USA (where you live) as large as their economy is; is only just $133bn; while China's is $2850bn. Do you wonder that China has the USA in a vise grip economically. And BTW, Nigeria has a much better Balance of Trade than the USA.
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 5:30pm On Apr 14, 2011
jmoore:
we should focus on the number that is being reported. 300,000!! This is not true.

what is the population of the state?
[quote author=baby.me link=topic=646183.msg8126422#msg8126422 date=1302793857]Ask them o. That means everybody will be positive which is a lie.[/quote]^
The estimated population as at 2010 was 3,920,208. With an estimated 300,000 HIV-infected people: it means that nearly 1 in 10 in that state is infected. That's what those figures mean so stop disbelieving.
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 8:56am On Apr 14, 2011
[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646183.msg8122941#msg8122941 date=1302758733]Read over the symptoms and mentioned and tell me if the face is the only place it can be shown.[/quote]^I see: so in your own mulishly and roundabout way, you finally concede that "HIV no dey show for face".
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 6:18am On Apr 14, 2011
[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646183.msg8122890#msg8122890 date=1302758015]LOL. Doctor, oh doctor, is that any way to display your professional ethics?[/quote]^My ethics are intact, but you need educating: you that diagnoses HIV by looking at the face.
https://www.bms.com/images/prevail/rod_olson.jpg
^How about this one? Does he have HIV?
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 6:16am On Apr 14, 2011
@fstranger: that is not the picture of any patient with HIV. The man does not have HIV infection and the image is in the public domain. I would not betray Doctor-Patient confidentiality. smiley
fstranger3:
Are you actually posting real images of patients online?
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 6:11am On Apr 14, 2011
[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646183.msg8122860#msg8122860 date=1302757612]You're going around in a circle. .  . .something they taught you in Mushin Aba-Ile Medical school abi?

"HIV shows for face", want us to go through this again? grin[/quote]^I already told you I know your type. Keep practicing unsafe sex.
Since you can diagnose HIV by "looking at the face" tell me if this poor man has HIV or not:
[img]http://www.dw-world.de/image/0,,2330906_1,00.jpg[/img]

P.S. Kobo can also join you in attempting the diagnosis.
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 6:08am On Apr 14, 2011
dayokanu:
I believe Kobojunkie was being sarcastic.
^No she was not. She said the report was untrue. She was being ignorant. She said:
Kobojunkie:
The news is not true . . . . I have been to AkwaIbom and the people there seem healthy and sound. Anyone who has not been to Akwa Ibom in recent years ought to go back there to see. This report is not true at all.  smiley
HealthRe: 300,000 Infected With Hiv/aids In Akwa Ibom by aletheia(m): 6:01am On Apr 14, 2011
[quote author=Ileke-IdI link=topic=646183.msg8122782#msg8122782 date=1302755953]Once again, did you or did you not assume throughout your garbage of B.S that HIV shows no sign?

Thank you for the distinction. Coming from you, I know you prolly mean the opposite, but prolly dont know the right word to use  grin[/quote]^You are the one arguing with yourself about HIV. Again I ask you to show me the post where I said:
. . .argued that there was no sign of HIV. . .
What I simply pointed out was that most people with HIV infection look healthy and are asymptomatic. For example; how are the sentinel surveys in Nigeria carried out; by examining pregnant women in the Antenatal clinics. This demographic is chosen because they fall within the sexually active age groups which are most at risk for infection. It would interest you to note that nearly all the woman found to be HIV-positive in the ANC do not manifest any symptoms; they are in all respects like every other pregnant woman coming for antenatal care. It only by the routine HIV-test that these women discover that they are infected.

Kobojunkie:
ROFLMAO!!! This is why I said reading comprehension should be stressed in schools. I even went back and explained the reason for that post, yet you IGNORED it! Yes, shettt Mehn!!! cheesy
^Kobo up to her usual dishonest trick of altering her posts, after been shown to be incorrect. In an attempt to dig herself out of a hole; she added the following words to her intial post. Unfortunately, she makes her case worse:
Anyone who has not been to Akwa Ibom in recent years ought to go back there to see. This report is not true at all.
^To argue that because the people she observed in Akwa-Ibom look healthy; therefore the report is wrong, is plain silly, misleading and downright mischievous, because the vast majority of people with HIV infection are to all intents and purposes healthy and do not know they are already infected with HIV.
In our clinic which caters for over 10,000 patients, most of them come to us when AIDS has started manifesting and usually this is when the CD4 cells have declined below 200. AIDS on will manifest at about 2 - 10 years after the initial HIV infection (on average in Nigeria at about 5 years). Where were these individuals in the preceding five years - they were going about their daily activities looking for all the world to their friends, family and sex-partners as healthy.

With a national prevalence of ~4%; this implies that there are millions of people infected in Nigeria. In all of Nigeria, only about 300,000 people or so are on treatment. Only those that know that they have HIV are on treatment; so where are the millions who do not know and who are not on treatment? They are out there in the community, living among us, a lot of them practicing unsafe sex and passing on the virus to unsuspecting others.

"HIV no dey show for face".

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