Casualobserver's Posts
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Dapson73:As it stands, an ibo man cannotr win an election without Northern votes, he should have tried again with Atiku and let people especially Northerners get comfortable with him as VP in the same way an unknown Osinbajo has become a household name in the North because he had Buhari's trust. that would have been his audition!!! Instead he has just destroyed any hope of attaining the presidency for both himself and the PDP come 2023 because he has just decimated the votes of both camps, votes that even if he had stayed in PDP would likely not have been enough to unseat APC. |
PrinceOfLagos:Do you see anybody with PDP ticket in Anambra quitting? the people who quit were people who lost in the primaries. |
Buckeyemedia1:You have hit the nail on the head. igbos are actually larger than they seem but they are mostly outside the SE. The result of that is 2-fold. 1) the SE as a physical region has lost it's political influence as a source of votes......believe it or not the recorded votes from the SE at the last election was one of the smallest if not the smallest of all the 5 regions. 2) an ibo man living outside the SE in a region dominated by an opposition party might be unmotivated to go out to vote against the prevailing party in that area because they can be identified and may become targets, so many living outside the SE stay at home....that may be different if they have someone on the presidential ticket though. However, no matter how many Ibos votes exist in Nigeria, they will need Northern votes...no Northerner is voting for an Ibo...and thats all you need to know about the prospects of an Obi or Ibo presidency. This works in 2 ways: it could be we have underestimated the votes of the ibos outside the SE all these years because they do not vote because they have no skin in the game or they are to diversely spread out to make a difference. |
farem:That's nice.......but does he have delegates or as someone said are they just respecting him because he is a sitting vice president? |
DrAkpa:carry on, this is why you will never be president of Nigeria. The irony is I can bet you dont live or earn your living in the SE and whether you admit it publicly or not in your private moment you know I am right and that is what you find so painful. You cannot survive or flourish in the SE especially in the wasteland it has become thanks to IPOB. |
DrAkpa:you are digressing, your entire land mass is about the size of Oyo state so you need Nigeria to survive. Thats the problem with you people always resorting to insults. oyo is a better place to be that the SE where you cannot conduct your business for fear of being beheaded by your own people. Nobody from oyo state is fleeing to Se or the North because of terrorism and insecurity. |
DrAkpa:i meant Oyo state!!! |
Patriotic9ja:Shehu Sani fought and was imprisoned by babangida for fighting for the actualisation of June 12, he was again jailed for life by Abacha .... so put some respect on his name!!!! If you want to yap people like Obi, Dino, Saraki etc fine but Shehu Sani is a true patriot. We are enjoying the fruits of his sacrifices, the others have not done anything for anybody except themselves. He is a twitter politician only because of the kind of politics we run in Nigeria. It is because of the struggle of people like Sani that Buhari is able to become a civilian president in Nigeria. |
bennybuhari:By this weekend all these fanboys and girls on nairaland and twitter who are not even registered party members with fantasy candidates will understand the value of years of building a political structure. |
Galaxyowerri:PDP wants to win the presidency 1st, Tambuwal and Bala Muhammed have said as much, you need a candidate that can win or gives them the best chance to win!! What is clear from your post is that Obi is largely an ethnic candidate. you have mentioned "Igbo" "igbo" so many times and there is the problem with Peter Ibo..in the same way you subconsciously see Obi as an Ibo candidate, so also the Northern voters. Nobody can win an election in Nigeria without the support of the Northern masses. Yes there are some youths in the SW and other places who support Obi but his fan base is largely Igbo. I challenge you to persue tsocial media and look at the names of of Obi's supporters, they are all from the south, you wont find any northerner supporting Obi. The Northern masses are not going to vote for an Igbo as president and PDP cannot afford to give Obi the ticket, this is just the reality of where the Ibos are in the political landscape of Nigeria. It is a catch 22 for PDP, Obi has growing support in the South but none in the North but even his southern support is no good to PDp because for every supporter he picks in the south he loses 2 or 3 in the north. Without Obi PDP have damaged their chances unless APC self implode but with him as their flagbearer they had no chance in the 1st place........Know this and know peace!!! What you think of obi is not material. nobody cares if he is the best thing since sliced bread if the people with the votes wont vote for him then it is story. people talk about how Awolowo was the best president Nigeria never had but he was never able to get the votes where it mattered. VOTES WIN ELECTIONS!!!! |
GoooodHardDick:you must be a comedian. Obis' exit will damage PDP hopes for the presidency in 2023 but dont be deceived, look at the votes for Jonathan in SE in 2015 and look at the votes for PDP with Obi in 2019. Obi actually lost votes for PDP in 2019 in the SE. The man is actually not an electoral asset most likely because his supporters are largely urbane ibos who reside and are registered voters outside of the SE whose and votes therefore make no meaningful impact in their states of residence or in the SE. |
GloriousGbola:The irony is that the ibos need Nigeria more than any other tribe. They are businessmen and they need the market a nation of 200m offers them, their whole land mass is smaller than Oyo state so it is not big enough for them which is why they own properties and make their homes all over Nigeria. |
Iamthoney:all your noise only to agree with me |
lugado:Thank you. However the choice of whom to vote for is yours, all i will say is always critically examine the candidate, his vision and his track record. Don't be seduced by empty generalizations, everybody will tell you infrastructure, security, economy, but Nigerians never ask HOW? I wish many of the interviewers would ask the politicians HOW and then you'll see just how empty most of these candidates are. |
MrUchenna1:no be ibos full ghana? |
saintkel:Peter Obi was never going to liberate anyone. IMHo the support for peter Obi is borne out of 2 things, tribe and ignorance. Tribe is self explanatory but the ignoramuses cannot till today tell me what his achievement in Anambra was. the man saved money only for his successor to embezzle, is that a wise and prudent leader? Would he not have been better to saddle the government with debt and even borrow to build roads, hospitals and other visible infrastructure so that there is no money for the successor to steal because he is busy paying debt and the people have infrastructure? He boats he has only 2 shoes and his 31 son doesnt have a car, is that something to be proud of? When he was governor the IGR of ANAmbra decreased but they convinientely ignore it. All we hear is "in morocco", "in china" what of "in Anambra" when you were governor...what did you do what is your legacy, what did you do that people of Anambra are still enjoying today? these are the kind of question we fail to ask that lead to presidents like Buhari. The good thing about peter Obi is that he was never going to win or else people will find out he is just the same as Buhari,,,people are so desperate for change they vote for anyone without a critical analysis of his rhetoric/record. |
abobote:what witch hunting? “The move followed the refusal of the former governor to honour invitations after jumping the administrative bail earlier granted him by the commission. “ EFCC had on January 24, 2022 filed a 17-count criminal charge bordering on diversion of public funds and properties to the tune of N2.9billion against Okorocha. “ The case was assigned to Honourable Justice Inyang Ekwo of the Federal High Court, Abuja but attempts to arraign Senator Okorocha were twice stalled owing to the absence of the ex-governor who evaded service of processes. “At the last adjourned date, March 28th, 2022, Justice Ekwo before adjourning until May 30th, 2022, had warned that it was “the last adjournment I shall grant in this matter”. “In the circumstances, the commission is left with no option than to effect the arrest of Senator Okorocha and bring him to trial.” https://thenationonlineng.net/breaking-okorocha-jumped-bail-to-evade-trial-efcc/ https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/05/25/sporadic-gunshots-as-efcc-forcibly-arrests-okorocha-for-jumping-bail/ |
Islie:Rochas was not arrested for interrogation, he was arrested because he repeatedly failed to appear in court for his trial and the judge ordered the EFCC to produce him in court. He has already been interogated and charged but repeatedly failed to attend court. He jumped bail so he is under arrest and will remain under arrest so that the EFCC can produce him in court for his trial whenever that is. Understand that Rochas was arrested because he jumped bail and failed to appear in court for trial!!!!!! There is nothing to interogate his case is already in court!!! |
Iamthoney:When you were thinking of mentioning Rochas and Ojukwu, something in your brain did not cause you to pause? Who was Rochas at that time? Ojukwu was finished, none of them had the profile of Obi has today, besides those were heavily rigged elections. you might as well have mentioned Onu the current minister of pencils. 1. An ibo man cannot become president of Nigeria 2. Obi's defection has damaged PDP, there is no way PDP produces the president in 2023. this is not sentimental, it's about the numbers. 3. Ibos in particular will vote enmasse for peter Obi wherever he goes Obi but he will not get enough votes to damage APC, all it will do is reduce the PDP votes in the south and hence damage PDP. Know these things and know peace in your life. |
Iamthoney:when you comment engage your brain. was there an Ibo man contesting when Ibos voted for Yaradua and Obasanjo? Ibos vote along ethnic lines, they always have, they always will, they vote for other tribes or other parties when they dont have a dog in the race. |
Obi is contesting under a new party, his letter of resignation from PDP was dated 20th may and he was tweeting about the million man march and still posting poster pictures of peter Obi for president on his twitter timeline as recently as 8.am this morning...after he had resigned from PDP!!!!! He has just killed PDP and handed victory to APC..unless ofcourse APC self-implode in the next few days. |
Iamthoney:No ibo man is voting for PDP with Obi on the ticket for another party. Except you think all the people who voted for PDP in the SE are Herdsmen with PVCs. |
Twoclans:A man who refuses to own 3 pairs of shoes or buy a car for his 30yr old son is not likely to want to pay $10,000 per delegate that likely wont vote for him. I think when it came to paying for delegates, the reality that he isnt going to win dawned on him and Obi is not for wasting money!! .........of course he didnt mind when it was Atiku paying for delegates. |
Penguin2:before Obi left, If PDP were to win, at best, i.e via a miracle they would win by 55%-45%....thats like a landslide which was never going to happen! However by leaving and contesting under another party, Obi has removed his supporter's votes from the PDP column as they will vote for him in the new party.... since Obi's resignation has no effect on APC votes and PDP and OBi's new party will have to share the 55% the net result is canibalise PDP votes and to hand victory to APC. |
MadamVanessa:People should try to comment with a bit of intelligence. Peter Obi candidacy was always a long shot, PDP overcoming APC (whoever the candidate may have been) was always going to be an uphill task. What he has done if he intends to contest on another platform is to split PDP votes, peter Obi is very popular (whether he ever had enough votes to win even in PDP is debatable but what is certain now is that he will take away votes from people who would have voted PDP but will not have enough votes in another party to win. Common sense should tell anyone that!!! The net result will be his paew party wont get enough votes and PDP will have less votes thus aiding an APC victory....unless they themselves self implode The most stupid thing he could ever have done but then, he has a record of jumping from one party to another. I have personally not bought into the whole Peter Obi narrative and rhetoric. Ask his fans to tell you what exactly his legacy in Anambra is and they cant point to anything besides the education ranking went up during his tenure. What exactly is his signature infrastructure project, nobody can answer, they talk about prudence but is it not the money he supposedly saved that Obiana has now chopped, would Anambrans have been better off if he left the state in debt but left behind infrastructure he can pint to? I keep telling people all this talk of "i saved money", to what end? nobody elected you to save they elected you to spend wisely on infrastructure. A man who thinks it is a thing to be proud of that his 30 yr old son doesnt have a car, abeg if the 30yr old son of a billionaire has not been raised well enough to buy his own car you have failed as a father!! All we ever hear from him is "I have 2 shoes", "in japan", in morocco, in china etc etc...when you were in govt what did you do....nothing!!! Under himthe IGR of Anambra went down!!! if you actually put the man under a microscope he is nothing but hot air!!! |
