₦airaland Forum

GabrielYulaw:
I have heard enough stories about equipment shortfalls to cause me nightmares. And heard of troops being on station for 4 years and up. The Nigerian Army has lots of problems. No one is denying that. These problems appear to have been analyzed in exhaustive detail here, with lots of applicable solutions proffered. However, it seems the army will not admit that it has problems nor take remedial measures. That is the main problem.

The US Army with all its training and equipment have been known to abandon whole strategies for new ones when it's not working same with the British Army. It is not like you are fighting stones they too adapt. The problem right now is the Army leadership continues to stick to the old strategy of far flung FOBs that in all is basically acting as Quartermaster for the enemy in a bid to hold ground and save the C-in-C embarrassment in an election year. It's either that or they want the continued losses to give the President enough pretext to declare a state of emergency and postpone the elections if he feels sufficiently threatened to lose. The fatigue, loss of morale and non-suitable equipment in response to an evolving new type of onslaught is what can befall any army and the response to that is to fall back, re-strategize and mobilize adequately to meet it.

GabrielYulaw:
My apologies but I never implied that buying a Sukhoi would magically win the war. The Sukhoi acquisition would merely be in tandem with deep change in tactics, weapons standardization and optimization, the expanding of the armed forces and the encouragement of innovative thinking to battle unconventional forces.

Tell the guy word abeg

patches689:
You have battalions in the NE that have been deployed there for years on end

Guys running around without essential equipment

Mix-matched gear and vehicles that results in ammo and spares shortages

An army that is generally over-stretched with not enough spare battalions to allow for more training and rest

And serious shortfalls in doctrine and officer training - the real cause of the recent FOB losses

You have access to an in-depth assessment made by a highly experienced Nigerian born professional
Yet you are talking as though an Su-34 is the solution?

It’s getting harder and harder to take this place seriously

Doctrine is not a one-size-fits-all in counterinsurgency. You evolve doctrines based on identified gaps in lieu of combat engagements as we see with the NAF bridging the gap between force projection and force protection. Metele was not as a result of a flaw in officer training but ISWAP's transition into a sophisticated enemy not anticipated by dug in forces a situation that any Army would need time to adapt to regardless of how welll trained. Stop fixing square pegs in round holes. There's almost nothing new in that report. The NA will rise to it.

The shortfall right now is funding and equipments to meet the more sophisticated threats we face. Nigeria's junior officers at the front only need strategic leadership from the military high command that is yet to tactically adapt to the realities on the ground. The FOBs have not worked is not an indictment of the young officer you deploy to deter the enemy but an indictment of the overall strategy that calls for change.

Henry240:
Until we can improve our defence budget, the Tucano and JF-17s are the most suitable aircrafts we can get.

The cost of running a twin engine aircraft is very, the cost per flight hour and maintenance costs are huge.

However, apart from strategic bombing, i don't see much practical use we have for the SU-34.

The current method with which the Nigerian Air Force conducts operations is impeccable. We don't need to change how we operate, what we need are more aircrafts to be on-station for round the clock operations.

The SU-34 is not necessarily a CAS in the mould of the Tucano. Fast jets such as the JF-17 can provide CAS while we await the Tucano which has an amazing loiter time.

The idea of buying solely from the US is strange to me, we initially placed an order for 3x Tucanos from Brazil, it seems like NAF has shelved that idea.

What the Nigerian Air Force needs are light weight multi-role fighter jets in proper numbers. A minimum of 24 JF-17s. We could add 12 units of SU-34 for strategic bombing, however such a purchase would never happen for the Nigerian Air Force. The service has never purchased a twin engine fighter or fighter-bomber.

This is good. If what I have read in the last hour is implemented such as having these assets in sufficient numbers this war would be going much better and not only that but deter a further resurgence as we now see.

SternProphet:
The SU 34 will never be able to find and kill Boko Haram as cheaply and effectively as Super Tucano. The Super Tucano can be used proactively, loitering with its boring turboprop engines droning on and looking for insurgents with one pilot scanning sensors poring through sahel savanna brush.
The other scenario of scrambling high flying SU 34s to counter random raids by 500 ISWAP guys on distant Nigerian Army who frequently melt away in many predetermined directions is interesting but far stretched.
I would rather buy 12 more Super Tucanos and save all that operational cost.

I believe SU 34 will be acquired but will purely be a more strategic asset available to warn neighbours that we have the reach to strike insurgent camps in their countries if they don't act to proactively remove them. That's all the usefulness of SU 34 to the COIN effort. SU 34s also give capability to effectivrly police the Gulf of Guinea and threaten possible strikes at Libyan terrorist camps if need be.

Well said this time. I think we are all on the same page here. Our only draw back now is the military leadership and the political class that can't seem to see the reality.

GabrielYulaw:
The role I see the Sukhoi 34 playing is to launch from Kaduna with extra fuel tanks and stay on station for up to 24 hours with in-flight refueling. That way it can take care of any insurgents that might appear at any time of the day or night. We can buy the tankers or make them ourselves.
The Tucano is no doubt a lovely aircraft with very low operating costs. However, it can only carry 1.5 tons and its top speed is less than 500 knots, Suppose a base is being overrun and its presence is needed fast, can it make it in time since it lacks mach speed and afterburners? I doubt that.
The JF-17 Thunder is also a lovely plane. But it simply carries too little payload and is not armored like the Sukhoi. Plus we are buying pitiful amounts of both. So pitiful that it makes absolutely no sense. What's needed is a heavy multi role aircraft with long range and heavy payload in the range of 8 tons and up. The Sukhoi 34 carries 12 tons, but the only problem is that it is maintenance-intensive.

I concur. Actually I'm sold to the idea of a heavy air-superiority aircraft like the Su-34. It is time to act.

patches689:
The research done (anon posted here) suggests otherwise. You should read it.

It’s not a question of spending on big ticket items or more air-power.

I read it. Even ISWAP can anticipate what measures he suggested. I have submitted a more unpredictable one.

I don't agree with everything posted by the author especially with that part of it's "not a question of spending more...". The writer himself identified existing gaps in ISR capacity and his pessimism in closing that. I disagree. When you are faced with an existential threat you do everything you can to overcome it. And in all fairness to the Nigerian Armed Forces there is nothing projected by the writer that has not been done. Furthermore the CDS continues to generate forces for mission purposes the only question is of what quality and though the Military is stretched it is not overwhelmed. The facts on the ground point to the need to adequately fund and equip the Nigerian Army that bears the brunt of the fighting in the north-east.

GabrielYulaw:
I think you just spoke my mind I remember saying we should buy the Sukhoi 34 and lots of them and a Nairalander rebuked me saying we don't have the funds. lol. This insurgency costs us tens of billions of dollars yearly both directly and indirectly. So no amount is too big to spend buying the right armaments to properly fight it.

The Su-34 is an excellent platform for counter-air and counter-surface combat roles. Actually Nigeria shouldn't be shy to pick up a few examples especially that Russia is willing to put up the funding but the NAF as a professional organization factors in operational costs in its acquisitions which is why as all evidence points to it is settling for a mix of the JF-17 Thunder & Super-Tucano 4th generation combat aircrafts which delivers the same results for a fraction of the cost of running and maintaining the Sukhois. As much as we hate to love the Tucanos the specifications we are getting are actually highly deadly machines in the sky. The problem with our acquisitions are the numbers are too few for the threats we face, it is still a glass half full. The major problem right now is the Nigerian Army.

kikuyu1:
That was actually a prime example of MISMATCHED DEFENSE SPENDING! He spent 5% of GDP in 2011 to buy a mere 7 Sues-to deter who? How many are still flying? What's the CPFH of those heavyweight twin engine deep strike fastbirds? How can a 5th world country keep them airborne in hi tempo ops against a peer to peer engagement or the endless LRA,cross border ops beloved of M7? What's the state of UPDF lift,choppers,MRAPs etc etc? What about the housing and soldiers welfare? I can't confirm but IIRC 2 were written off and only 3 are flyable despite the pics we constantly see here. Ask nemesis8u,the IAF experience with those maintenance heavy birds. Also is it wise when your entire airforce is based at a single airfield:strategic depth?
Imo,the UPDF priority should've been housing! The mass currently inhabit mud walled housing referred to as ''mama,ingia pole pole,''woman,enter carefully! However,the dictator gives zero effs and prioritises his OWN WANTS OVER EVERYBODY ELSES NEEDS! I also hear the biggest source of loss of Sue fliers is not desertion or combat but KQ! As soon as they hit 500 hrs they make a beeline to Nairobi where their multi engine rating in high performance jets is eagerly snapped up by Kenya airways.
That Sue episode caused much laughter here in Nairobi!
Edit:that oil;yet to be sold to pay for the Sues might not even be his!Typically,the Congolese say he played the usual map sleight of hand and the oil fields actually lie ACROSS THE BORDER.

Almost everyone agrees it was foolish spending for Uganda but the point is the intent. That's the point.

kikuyu1:
Idk the exact figures but isn't that difficult with 8 or 9 operational alphas;themselves limited to a mere max 2.5T payload?

The C-130s can be utilized for such roles...

EVarn:
I This is exactly what sensible people have been saying, why can't we pacify Libya?

However, I see a problem with exporting this war, it would begin to attract more active engagement from foreign powers. The greatest mistake will be if France, the US and allies hijack the war for their gains.


If we want to stem the problem, the best thing is to go to Libya with a coalition of Nigerian, Algerian, Egyptian and Moroccan forces under a wider AU mandate. It would be within the context of the planned African Regional Standby Force. Secure that country and install an interim government, and we will begin to see light at the end of this BH/ISWAP tunnel.

I like this. Having a coalition is always a plus. But we must begin at home. We can't be teeing up with Egypt and Algeria that fly Rafales and Sukhois with the F-7Ni.
Our defence spending smacks of an unserious nation. A good point but we must bring something to the table.

Nigeria is a huge country and if it arms adequately with a defence budget of 5 billion dollars or more it would be enough deterrent to keep anyone from fighting us.

numbered:
The enemy also has a say you know.The moment we "take the fight" to Libya the hidden nails planted in the NW will show themselves .What we can try for are cross border raids to destroy their camps and 1. we don't have enough helicopters 2. the French have obstructed nearly every effort by NAF to strike bh camps in Chad.I agree we dont act our size,always trying to match our neighbours instead of peers like SA and Algeria.

Some point but the enemy isn't exactly caring for diplomatic niceties, they are everywhere wrecking havoc. Cross border raids utilizing the SBS is one good option to feel out and draw out the hidden enemy but it would only suffice in the interim cos as you highlight that enemy would have a contingency plan. So arming up first of all is a prerequisite for credible deterrence and when I say exporting the war it doesn't have to be the Nigerian Army full on ground for an invasion which alerts your enemy (they know even when you are mustering forces) but subtle ways (a job for the intelligence community who know what to do but held back by Nigeria's big brother policy and unwritten non-aggression stance against neighbors) to infiltrate and provoke the enemy which keeps him busy at home (right now ISWAP & its sponsors has no distractions allowing it time and space to strategize, mount and rest after attacks) while you hit with mortal strikes with advisably a limited invasion to create space on the borders neutralizing the flow and source of weapons, men and material that clearly is sustaining this insurgency. If Nigeria wants peace it should wake up to action not what currently obtains making us a joke even to our enemies. Niger just mocked us in their parliament for losing multiple army bases to ISWAP.

numbered:
Exporting elsewhere? won't work,just ask yourself why they (malians,nigeriens,camerounians & Chadians) are trooping into Borno to fight.What is in it for them ( fighters and their foriegn sponsors ),why should they leave Nigeria alone? .Note that Borno has both Uranium and Crude Oil (lake Chad Area) and it's one of the most important markets to the Central African region.

And did you see where I mentioned "acting our size"!. How much deposit of crude oil did Yoweri Kaguta Museveni find before he started buying Su-30 jets. Serious countries or sorry serious leaders don't joke with their national sovereignty, people and natural resources. If you took the pains to tell us the high value resources in the Chad basin couldn't you also imagine that without commensurate defence spending in training of men and purchase of equipment hostile forces may seek to mine it for revenues. This has been the way of the world from time immemorial -- men fight wars for land and resources even water. Today they fight it in more sophisticated ways. Do you think ISWAP is fighting only for religious gains. No one goes to war for nothing or start a revolution in a non-viable economic space. In formulating defence policies geo-strategic countries commonly adopt a policy of deterrence by arming adequately, funding R & D and churning out highly trained forces that makes any would be aggressor or proxy think twice of upsetting the status quo. Why won't minion countries or BHT challenge the state. They know you have the resources but not the muscle in terms of modern armaments to stop them. Right now what Nigeria is doing is a joke for a country its size. BHTs resurgence clearly shows it is again an existential threat to the fatherland and by now we shouldn't be talking of 1 billion dollars but a minimum start-up of 5 billion dollars a year to have a modern military. Could you imagine France is faced with this threat and they would be spending peanuts to prosecute it. Right now we are to a large degree an anaemic fighting force tasked to fight a modern war. Look at us running around in soft skinned technicals.

BHT knows how many planes you have and types and what times they are up in the air therefore exploiting existing gaps. You think it's strange they effectively overrun bases. We should have right now a 24 hour RECCE overflight covering every square inch of the north-east, Chad, Niger & Cameroon and calling in airstrikes. ISWAP couldn't even lift a finger when you do that. Alas! We can't. And without exporting this war to Chad up into southern Libya we should stop talking of ending this war. If Nigeria is truly the giant it claims it is it should be able and rightly so to pacify Libya the conduit and source of all our woes today. Take the fight to the enemy which is the best form of defence. And the core benefit of franchising this war is that Nigerian citizens cease being the casualties of this war which is the first and major responsibility of any power.

GeneralFarouq:
You sound like...

Get some basic education then come back.

Aura2:
I can't remember discussing voting with you, whichever direction you wish to vote, it doesn't mean you shouldn't have a grasp of your economic history, that's more embarrassing.

Don't hide under the shades. We know who you are.

You might want to have the last word. A gentleman understands that so you may afterall kids are that way.

Henry240:
I don't know where we would start from to begin to salvage the Nigerian army. If the army performed it's role well, the Air Force wouldn't suffer some of these losses.

...this might seem far-fetched but following on that though might seem unfair (the world ain't a fair place anyways) as I've insinuated before the war should be expanded by exporting it elsewhere. Commanders and the intelligence community in Nigeria should devise means and strategies and take steps to export this war elsewhere. That is what big nations do as wars of this nature hardly go away easily. Except for Niger and to some extent lately Cameroon, Chad has not been helpful enough. It's time to call it quits on the big brother mantra and do the needful to protect the national integrity. We know BHT sees Maiduguri as its spiritual home and right now is dictating the nature of combat on sovereign turf but except we franchise this war and have them lose momentum we will be in a forever war whoever is in power in Abuja. It is time to start acting our size first with military spending that is at the moment a joke for the kind of threats we face.

Aura2:
"Recession" is recession, "underelying matter" is what it is, I wont take your underlying matter analysis seriously when you mixed up the real dates of the recession, it doesn't show depth nor content.

You don't even want me to take you on the economic challenges of the 80's, I have known since I joined this forum that Nigeria has the highest number of individuals saying what they have no clue about especially in public, thats embarrassing.

You are embarrassing to civility and common sense.

You think I expect you to vote otherwise. That would make me swim in the same mud as you. Nah! Go on ahead and vote continued mediocrity. Appalling times.

Henry240:
Na purple heart dem wan chop?

There should be a comprehensive insurance support system for families if fallen brothers-in-arms.

Sure of course.

The military does have something like that. But again this is Nigeria. However a Purple Heart is symbolic.

Henry240:
I don't know where we would start from to begin to salvage the Nigerian army. If the army performed it's role well, the Air Force wouldn't suffer some of these losses.

Henry let's not be too hard on the boys. Painful losses of men and material is the reality of war. We have already lost so many and that in turn affects the morale of the troops. No one likes bleeding where he bled before like Baga right now. This has been a long drawn out war and the symptoms we see today in the rank and file of the NA are not unique to us alone. It happened to the French and Americans in Vietnam. Overall I don't personally see the Nigerian soldier as the problem (there's always one or two bad eggs), I see the command leadership at the very top the problem.

In my proposal to salvage the situation is to start from the top. Someone should have anticipated this resurgence of BHTs and already prepared counter-offensive strategies. Right now that is non-existent. The Army under Lt. Gen. Buratai is sticking to its guns. Most Generals in Iraq were known to do so with mounting heavy losses until Patraeus showed up.

We need new set of eyes on this war, a different combat mentality. The FOBs combat posture evidently is a sitting duck for ISWAP drug-fueled suicide attacking formation. Since strategy can be open debate I'd propose collapsing the FOBs for a tactical retreat to heavily mined and defended lines in which ISWAP would be drawn into a killing field by heavy artillery and carpet bombing airstrikes. The initiative must be taken back. No commander to my knowledge appears to be thinking along these lines and the High Command clearly are loth to losing territory for fear of political reprisals for the C-in-C in an election year.

But holding ground against a determined enemy that acts like it's got nothing to lose and it doesn't comes at a high price. Collapse the FOBs, draw out ISWAP and disorientate its command leadership, rank and file with scorched earth bombings and then have a highly mobile guerrilla-like AFSF go in with speed to mop up. This might take time but is one option on the table.

I estimate ISWAP with its current strategy should have at least 10,000 fighters or a stream of it to maintain its current offensives on heavily defended bases. And this enemy is not counting the cost and one factor to that is that perhaps a high ranking middle-eastern Amir might be in our midst.

The tactical approach to executing this plan obviously should be top secret. This plan is doable with the current inventory of the Nigerian Armed Forces.

Henry240:
Really terrible. Good men lost, aircrafts we don't have also lost.

The pain is real. The Armed Forces should come up with something to honor such acts of heroism. It's time families of the brave fallen in combat receive rewards akin to a purple heart or medal of freedom for valour. It will go a long way to assauge anguish of the soul at such a loss and boost morale which is in dire need.

Aura2:
The recession history of Nigeria is a rule of thumb for every sound economist.
It goes as follows; 1987, 1991, 1995 and 2016.
Stop manufacturing recession in your head.

We hear. You came late to know the underlying matter. Perhaps you were a toddler then I guess or not even born in 1983/84 to get the point here save what you read or was told and that depending on who was doing the talking and recommending the textbook you read. The crux of contention is that Nigeria is in shambles.

In lay mans language a recession is when the economy is doing badly which means when there is economic decline in trade and industrial activity in a given period. For which I inferred that the current poor economic indices reflects same pattern and trends in the first coming of Muhammadu Buhari to power as Military Head of State and Head of the Supreme Military Council (SMC) - a small cabal of men same as today.

In all the years you indicated up there none warranted Nigerians to be queuing up for bread and milk something that happened under Muhammadu Buhari in the 80's and now got worse with suicides owing to the economic hardship in the land. I could go on to punch the numbers of his first rule after taking power and now after he took power in 2015 but only if you force me to and only the blind will deny the similarities.

The point I am making is simple and a little cognitive effort will help comprehend that leopards don't change their spots. So Buhari's inflexibility and stubbornness to listen to reason means there will be no dramatic change to the fortunes of the Nigerian people with him sitting in office as President & C-in-C in Aso Rock 2019.

The man himself confesses that he has no answers to the economy and his only response is to manage what is already there showing you the man is bereft of the idea that one reason one is elected to office is to create wealth. That is lost on him and his many town criers else no one in his sensible mind will vote him twice.

Henry240:
UPDATE ON CRASH OF NAF HELICOPTER IN COMBAT

It is with a heavy heart that I announce the death of the 5 crew members who were on board the Nigerian Air Force (NAF) Mi-35M Helicopter which crashed in combat yesterday, 2 January 2019, while providing close air support to troops of 145 Battalion, Damasak in Borno State. The deceased personnel, whose remains have been recovered to Maiduguri, are:

a. Flight Lieutenant Perowei Jacob - Pilot in Command.
b. Flight Lieutenant Kaltho Paul Kilyofas - Co-Pilot.
c. Sergeant Auwal Ibrahim - Flight Technician.
d. Lance Corporal Adamu Nura - Gunner.
e. Aircraftman Meshack Ishmael - Gunner.

These gallant fallen heroes made the supreme sacrifice in the service of our Fatherland, for which the NAF, and indeed the entire Nation, owes them an unending debt of gratitude. The Chief of the Air Staff (CAS), Air Marshal Sadique Abubakar, on behalf all officers, airmen, airwomen and civilian staff of the NAF, commiserates with the families of the 5 fallen heroes and prays that the Almighty grants their souls peaceful repose. The CAS was in Maiduguri today, 3 January 2019, to convey the condolences of the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Nigeria, President Muhammed Buhari, to personnel of the Air Task Force Operation LAFIYA DOLE over the unfortunate loss. While in Maiduguri, the CAS also received a condolence visit from the Chief of Army Staff, Lieutenant General Tukur Buratai.

The NAF appreciates the overwhelming support shown by the general public to the Service over the sad incident. We continue to solicit your understanding and support as we daily strive to ensure the security of Nigeria and Nigerians.

IBIKUNLE DARAMOLA
Air Commodore
Director of Public Relations and Information
Nigerian Air Force

Terrible loss. We will always remember.RIP brave ones.

Aura2:
There was no recession in Nigeria in 1983

Tell us something new. Buhari's failure to heed sound economic advice all but made that recession a reality to the Nigerian people in 1983 something Shagari's stabilization program would have corrected. His intransigent approach to governance is the point here.
In economics the signals you send out makes or mars.

Henry240:
it's embarrassing.

The country is being run aground and here we are with APC paid hacks setting up fake accounts here and elsewhere to further their disinformation campaign. Notice the monikers springing up here and on yours. If one truly loves this country you will be pained at what's going on yet so called "patriots" are here defending open incompetence. Our fellow combatants are dying for lack of real leadership and support. These are our brothers, friends, children, husbands, sisters, wives, uncles. It hurts and even more cos your hands are tied.

They even started eating their own. Look at Air Chief Marshall Badeh dishonored in full public glare and the kangaroo police job on it led by the most incompetent and irresponsible police chief the world has ever seen. You begin to miss people like Arase. Damian Chukwu or Edgal Imohi will do a better job but no it must be the Fulani Idris because they have rule.

Major Generals Irabor and Ezugwu and other crop of Generals will do a better job than the current Army Chief who clearly has run out of ideas having done his bit but yet retained. Air Marshall S. Abubakar will be a better CDS than the current Olonisakin but yet we get saddled with retrogression because of one man and every knows who that is and yet someone wants to tell me rubbish. Let a Nigerian deported from abroad catch you then you go know sey body dey pepper people.

Some of us ain't that stupid cos we know this people will eat you alive if you get caught opposing their misrule so yes one should have a plan B to evacuate.

prolog2:
Nobody takes your revisionism seriously. None of us was born yesterday, you can't just revise what happened before our very eyes. Stop playing politics if you want to be taken seriously. When Jonathan left he had reclaimed Baga, right now the army has lost Baga. Many of the equipments Jonathan bought for the military have changed hands since then. So basically Jonathan's exit level was better than the current level of things. Just stop pretending otherwise, it doesn't portray you in a good light at all.

Tell them the truth. Some of us are privy to what's going on and there are still a few good men from north to south who want to salvage the situation but must cover their backs cos the current government has been out to destroy any one opposed to its ineptitude. Look at them deceiving people with their disinformation.

Henry240:
There's nothing bad about what Babaowen posts. The Nigerian system is rotten and the politicians and military high command are not prepared to fix it.

You need to wake the fvck up! If the country collapses due to incompetence, corruption and ineptitude we all go down with it one way or the other, whether you live in Nigeria or abroad.

The many of you whom you claim avoids his posts are pitifully ignorant. I desire a military that is at-least as strong and as competent as that of Algeria. If it means we'll have to criticize the military until we get a professional, competent, well-equipped and disciplined force, so be it!!

Leave them make dem dey deceive themselves. See how backward that country is and we are singing self ululating songs. They got no idea. Let them go abroad and see what it means to run a country. It comes to a point you call it what it is and make your move. Nigeria is not a shithole but turned into one by its wicked rulers and by a large extent it's own people who will see the light but still choose darkness because of ethnicity and warped religious affinities. They don't get it. Nigeria that don't even know if they are existing. So backward.

SternProphet:
BIG LIES popping.

I keep saying the median IQ in Nigeria is low that is why people pass on FALSEHOOD like a relay race.. They told you Buhari caused recession twice and you just brainlessly repeated it.
What is a "recession" and what does the word "cause" mean?. A recession is three quarters of negative GDP growth and it is usually not caused by the administration voted in to solve the problem.

2014 recession cause = PDP (Goodluck Jonathan)


Buhari caused no recession in 1983.
NPN caused the recession of 1983.
No knowledgeable person is denying it. We were saddled with short term debt by NPN looters and suddenly oil price came down to $9 a barrel. Banks were not honouring our L/Cs. One NPN minister (Umaru Dikko) was responsible for bringing imported rice into Nigeria in a value equal to the entire foreign exchange earnings for 6 months.

All petroleum exporting countries felt the shock of oil price crash . The situation that caused 1983 economic recession for Nigeria was the same as in we saw in 2014 - an import dependent economy, a weak and stupid President in power, looting by members of the ruling party and BOOM.. poverty.

1983 recession cause = NPN (Shehu Shagari)

Nigeria has an economy dependent on one international product. That is the problem.
We know Buhari has improved AGRO exports by 300% and is bringing down rice imports.
What will also help is massive INFRASTRUCTURE construction being done that will not only improve internal economic efficiency but also bring service sector jobs. Railways, their terminals and connecting transportation is a good example of service sector jobs. The great danger us that technology is wiping out jobs globally. All jobs are under threat.
If you want to solve Nigeria's problem, do public infrastructure and get a lot of small holders doing farming.

Atiku and his crooked/scared shitless team (They are all owing banks or have EFCC cases) don't just have a clue.

If I build a factory today, it will take 10 times LESS manpower than three years ago. Technology is wiping out jobs fast.Jobs are dying. Jobs are dying. Jobs are dying. Get your heads screwed on right.

For you office bound, semi idle, non innovative urban dwelling middle class, your problems are many and it is NOT Buhari.
You need paradigm shift.
Artificial Iintelligence is here and your job will disappear. Not may dusappear, WILL DISAPPEAR.
It is not an insidious threat. It will suddenly happen and the global billionaires pouring money into the Industry 4.0 technologies, AI, et.c don't give a damn that you were too weak to feed yourselves under PDP or run your scrappy refineries.

THERE IS A LARGER, MORE OMINOUS GLOBAL CONTEXT THAT WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN 2021 UPWARDS.

I see nothing in PDP manifesto about re-skilling, about small holder agric, small holder AGRO processing, renewable energy. They want to repeat the mistake of 2010 in 2019. It will hurt.

Everybody use your head. We are already seeing that tradesmen - auto mechanics, electricians and plumbers are doing better than office-based, fixed income pen pushers who can no longer steal money due to Buhari reforms but from 2021, even that your job is going.

A courageous, truth seeking person eill see that all Buhari is doing is setting the economy on a sound footing with some temporary hardship. He himself has admitted that there is hardship. My addition to that is whoever taught you there is progress without hardship has destroyed your life.

Look at the rubbish you are writing under the present economic, security and social climate in Nigeria. I was tempted to condescend to you and Iblawi' invectives for the sake of the suffering Nigerian but I'm better. However I must add you are clearly afflicted with the spirit of ethnic jingoism not to see the light.

Shifting blames has never solved problems. The nonsense you wrote up there is akin to the same rubbish we keep hearing today about 16 years of PDP. When you are hired for a job you are hired to clean the stable because you applied saying its what you can do. Assuming you are right about the NPN days under Shagari which is subjective -- If your Buhari couldn't reverse three quarters of negative GDP growth as you allude to in 1983 it is a clear indictment of the mental capacity of the man to bring the change we need.

Worthy of note is what to take away from the Shagari days and Buhari's tyrannical regime is that everyone said there was rice under Shagari; there was food. To this day our mothers still talk about it and I'm sure the majority concurs. But under Buhari tyranny is the legacy then something being replicated again in 2018.

This current government thrives on propaganda and sadly you are victim. Tell us which of the promises they made they have fulfilled. Something everyone can see.

My prior questions you haven't answered yet went on a voyage of rants. Answer! Based on their promises during electioneering in 2014/15 answer the following:

Has Buhari made the Naira equal to the dollar?
Has every unemployed Nigerian youth been paid 5000NGN since Buhari came into power in 2015?
Has all the aged in Nigeria become beneficiaries of a state funded social program to aid our elderly?
Do we have stable power supply in Nigeria today?
Pray tell which infrastructure project was initiated by President Muhammadu Buhari and completed?
Are there still potholes on our roads in Nigeria?
Tell us how many state funded modern hospitals have been built by President Buhari?
Tell us about the state of our refineries under Buhari?
Tell us how many Nigerians have been removed from the unemployment market?
Tell us how many poor Nigerians have been elevated to middle class status?
Tell us how many modern weaponry have been bought for the Nigerian Army and show us where it is? Note I didn't ask for ammunitions.
Tell us how come we are the poverty capital of the world in 2018 with 87 million Nigerians overtaking India. Mind you this is 4 years on since GEJ.
Did he promise all of the above or did he not?

The list goes on but I'll stop here for now but if you insist on your stupidity I'll ask further questions so that your stupidity will be glaring for all to see as usual.

Furthermore, Nigeria is now more divided than at anytime in its history. Under Buhari nepotism has become statecraft which is why fulani herdsmen run amok killing Nigerians and are not prosecuted but Deji Adeyanju is in prison for exercising his human rights.

This man Buhari only appoints people from his northern region into sensitive positions. When he came in 1983 out of the 16 members of the Supreme Military Council only one was a southerner, a Yoruba to be precise. Today when he wakes up in Aso Rock he is surrounded by his Fulani stock in a plural society.

His northern IGP that is an APC apparatchik instead of policing is digging up dirt on every perceived political enemy and locking them up in a supposed democracy.

Voter suppression and vote buying in Ekiti and Osun states is a prelude to what's to come in 2019. Every strata of society has been politicized for Buhari's comeback in 2019. He is not campaigning because he is not fit and because he doesn't need to since they have already decided the results reason he won't sign the new electoral bill except of course Nigerians revolt to deny him power. Even the PDP with all its evil never went this far but alas a tyrant is in power. The pain of it is he deceived us in coming as a saint which he is not.

Any Nigerian voting this man is doing so for parochial reasons, ethnic or religious sentiments. A man whose trademark is always giving excuses and blaming everybody else except himself and talking down on Nigerians home and abroad is not fit to lead Nigeria.

iblawi:
misinformed man.

I will definitely not fight a pig in the mud.

When did the 1st and 2nd happen?

You better come back to Nigeria to get good info.

Actually it's obvious to all who's mudslinging here.

I coined the term The Buharist. It is now pervasive by people like you whose emotions blind them to the facts. Emotions can't tell fiction from facts, impossible.

Mr Buharist I live in Nigeria. An objective assessment devoid of ethnic and religious sentiments is that things are worse off now than they were 4 years ago. And this cuts across all sectors of the economy which affects both rich and poor. I hear your cousin talking of an economy that benefits the rich in urban centers forgetting that if private enterprise is allowed to thrive with the right governmental policies it drives growth across board which translates to more money in the pocket and with more money in the pocket people's spending power increases which in turn translates to better living standards that contributes positively to your human development index(HDI) something which has collapsed across the board under this administration. A commoner once told me "we have since past this stage of hunger in Nigeria" referring to how bad things are in Nigeria under Buhari. You want the reality go on the street and find out the facts not rant here on nairaland without any evidence to back up your claims rather condescend to bitter insults.

That a recession happened twice in Nigeria is a fact and happened under the leadership of Muhammadu Buhari as Head of State and President. That tells the mentality of the man. Six months into this administration I publicly stated I'll never talk again about this government because it will amount to nothing. And I was proven right. You are living an Alice in Wonderland Story if you delude yourself further.

In the current Nigeria my personal support to certain families have increased because of joblessness thus affecting my own estate. You think sentiments make great nations! Nigeria will forever be a moribund state because of people like you who will support mediocrity over competence because of the language a man speaks. Look at the analysis following Peter Obi and Yemi Osinbajo debates and you see ethnicity coming to the fore from those defending different positions when everyone knows clearly who won that debate.

Don't tell me about economic matters as clearly you know nothing. Right now as we speak there's no electricity and that alone is enough reason not to vote the man back in power that's how it's done in saner climes. A people is only as good as its leadership. You get what you vote in and don't come complaining rather make a change at the next balloting and be free.

iblawi:
Mr. Internet where do you stay? Abuja, Nigeria or Africa? There are many things I see with my own eyes and don't need online media to get fact.

I personally witnessed some of the shiit activities in Abuja 4 times and I witnessed the Nyanya bomb blast and NPF HQ bombing. I laugh when I here people talking of peaceful protest. How many of these can you boast of? Even if I provide any of what use is it because there are several counter claims out there. Everyone select what suit them.

You sit down in US to claim rubbish you read online.

People like you come online to claim nothing good about a very productive govt.

I'm shocked. So shocked if this is your response. I'm speechless. You didn't answer the question rather attacking my person. It's ok now. I rest my case.

I'd rather we stay on the substance. 2x recession under one man in Nigeria's history. I think that says enough.

Henry240:
It's incredible that people would rather accept embarrassing failure, all because their kinsman is the VP.

Nothing works in this country.

The military has been suffering embarrassing defeats, our Infrastructure is in crumbles, food prices are high, subsidy payment is 50% higher despite claims of deregulation of PMS.

Exactly why I'm waiting for their answers.

Subsidy payments my foot! Something he argued is to cushion against inflation but let's see what he says to find out if it holds water except of course he manufactures figures from space a thing Lai is good at

Nigerian Army:
Line of Fire Maiduguri North-East Nigeria

SternProphet:
What do you understand by unemployment?. Do you know what is called bullwhip effect. Poor economic policies this year will show it's effect in 3 to 7 years time.
For poverty, its even more insiduous. We are already paying for 16 years of PDP in the high poverty rate now and funds outflows out of Nigeria.

Your problem is mental timidity, lack of exposure and tribal sentiment. Anybody who blames the poverty and unemployment now on a 3.5 year government instead of 16 years is a coward and an idiot.
GEJ and OBJ are not more intelligent than you. You have just refused to use your mind.

You stay in a fucking desk bound job cheerleading idiot leaders without vision or passion. All PDP did was loot your generation and the best of Nigeria is already abroad. When OBJ blasts GEJ you are sad, when he floods and supports PDP you are happy.
Buhari is the whip that will cure all your issues.

Mr economist, good to see you.

1. Pls what's the percentage of the unemployed according to world bank data in 2015 under President Goodluck Ebele Jonathan and what is it now under President Muhammadu Buhari in 2018? You can use the governments own NBS statistics.

Pls just straight answers since some of us prefer to see things in black and white and not jargons.

I have follow on questions pls you may be brief this is actually not the right place but economy and defense go hand in hand I'm sure you'd agree with me.