₦airaland Forum

Osogbo and Olorunda are in the hand of APC....Ife too is voting APC.It is glarring the coast is clear for APC victory...

[quote author=datproject post=71357840][/quote]good reasoning and conclusion.... Aregbesola did well in Osun despite salary crisis that affects about 28 states I'm the country. In my opinion the APC will win the election

youseuph:
**** #OSUN DECIDES **


The breakdown of the voter population by local council:
Ayedade 51,252 voters,
Ayedire 25,899 voters,
Boluwaduro 16,844 voters,
Boripe 47,137 voters ,
Ede North 49,130 voters,
Ede south 35,931 voters,
Egbedore 33,925 voters,
Ejigbo 51,623 voters,
Ife central 95,471 voters,
Ifedayo 13,066 voters,
Ife East 81,430 voters,
Ifelodun 57,592 voters,
Ife North 45,435 voters,
Ife South 44,555 voters,
Ila 33,527 voter,
Ilesa East 54,746 voters,
Ilesa West 52,286 voters,
Irepodun 36,556 voter,
Irewole 53,487 voters,
Isokan 38,493 voters,
Iwo 66,657 voters,
Odo otin 48,720 voters,
Ola-Oluwa 25,554 voters,
Olorunda 71,580 voters,
Oriade 47,113 voters,
Orolu 24,914voters,
Osogbo 110,670 voters.

Vote Wisely. Your Vote is your Future. Vote for stability of Development. Do not go for 'Stomach Infrastructures'. Give power to who will be responsible to you. Power is Responsibility. Ibo re ni itokasi bi Ojo Iwaju re yoo se ri. Ri daju pe odibu fun eri okan re ti kii se fun atenuje rara. Agbara re ni Ibo je. Lo daadaa lati gbe igbesi aye irorun fun odun merin tounbo. Iree ooooo. Osun a dara ooo.

good one my brother. but is this the list of those who registerd or have collected pvc?

datproject:
If you really reside in Osun, believe me, PDP may try have up to 5 LGA, PDP can never win. APC will win with moderate margin. The incumbent governor has really tried on infrastructural development, which has accorded him international recognition. Nobody will do it all. He has used wisdom in handling the affair of Osun state. When you compare monthly IGR and what he has been able to do so far, the only thing any government will do is to borrow money like he did for basic infrastructural development, and not for salaries. Even a whole country (all over the world) borrow money for building key infrastructure, even america does atimes. It is not a crime to borrow, but Aregbesola used his brain well by making sure the loan is with very low interest rate and payment plan that will not affect the state has been made. Everybody can see what he has spent money on, which is commendable. He has been paying workers up to level 7, it was only the higher levels, he finds difficult to pay before clearing them recently. There are many other states who are still owing their workers without any or many infrastructural development to bost of like that of osun. Let's use our brains instead of being sentimental.

you possess words of wisdom... I agree with you.

Mostfavoured010:
,give your permutation and let's see how you think PDP & SDP will loose In the remaining 2 senatorial district

In Osun East Apc will win Six local governments in ilesa.... SDP will win Ife East South and Central but North will be shared by APC and sdp.....on OSun Central. Apc will win osogbo and Olorunda and six other councils... Odo otin may not go for ADC.... in my opinion the coast is clear for Apc

PassingShot:
Who has the upper hand in Ikire?

I guess APC

ijeshaboy:
Am from ilesha, no one will vote PDP here, APC has distributed money, even people that are angry are ready to vote APC, PDP candidate image has been spoilt through the media, his nickname is ajobiewe.

I agree with you... ijesa people can die for Aregbesola. All the six local governments there will vote massively for him

youseuph:
Ordinarily I don't want APC to win because of the way Aregbe has treated the workers. But with the look of things APC might clinch it. This is due to these reasons:
1) Osun west which is supposed to provide the opposition q large chunk of votes three strong candidates, hence the votes will be shared among them, while APC is sure of winning Ejigbo LG out of the 10LGs
2) The civil servants that are supposed to give a block vote to the opposition will unfortunately not be able to do so . The votes will majorly divided between SDP, and PDP. Remember workers gave a block vote to PDP in 2014 yet they lost. So with divided votes it will be a big boost for APC
Based on the above coupled with the fact that APC is likely to have between 6 and 7 LGs in Osun central, at least 4 in Ife /Ijesa(Osun east) and Ejigbo is sure in Osun West APC will likely clinch it depending on the margin of victory in the LGs won.

thorough analysis and insightful one.

oluwole1211:
both of them are from ejigbo and not egbedore

good observation

Neyoor:
Well said but one thing you don't know is that PDP were united when Adeleke won Osun west Bye election. There was nothing like SDP then. Omisore have pulled out of PDP together with his loyalists across the state. Take note.


Even with that, PDP won Osun West bye election with a margin less than 35,000 total votes despite winning 9 local governments against 1 that APC won. A margin the whole of Ilesa region where Aregbesola comes from can easily swallow on Saturday .


Another thing is that, it was a sympathy vote they casted for Ademola Adeleke then because of the death of his brother. If he had contested under APC then, he would have won as well.



We have three governorship aspirant from Osun west alone and they are going to share the votes unlike the two way votes they casted during the Bye election. Infact, Results from Osun west will be the most scattered votes. Akinbade, Adeoti and Gboyega Alabi will scatter the region's votes for him yet he would win with slight margin but would suffer massive defeat from the other two senatorial districts

Good conclusion and permutation

Neyoor:
Well said but one thing you don't know is that PDP were united when Adeleke won Osun west Bye election. There was nothing like SDP then. Omisore have pulled out of PDP together with his loyalists across the state. Take note.


Even with that, PDP won Osun West bye election with a margin less than 35,000 total votes despite winning 9 local governments against 1 that APC won. A margin the whole of Ilesa region where Aregbesola comes from can easily swallow on Saturday .


Another thing is that, it was a sympathy vote they casted for Ademola Adeleke then because of the death of his brother. If he had contested under APC then, he would have won as well.



� three governorship aspirant from Osun west alone and there are going to share the votes unlike the two way votes they casted during the Bye election.

You fully understand Osun politics with your objective analysis. Osun Central and Osiun East will vote APC while Osun west will be divided by the opposition parties with APC having some considerable votes there too. In my opinion the coast is clear for APC victory

Mostfavoured010:
If you're in Osun, you'll understand how the election result will be, people aren't voting for party, they are voting for personality, PDP loose in Osun last GOv election because of the strongholds that decamp to APC what happened during the second term election of Bisi Akande would have repeat itself , take a look at the breakdown, some strongholds in OSun APC decamped to ADP, some are serving state Hon and former commissioners in APC and Former Gov Oyinlola, the fact that APC flag bearer will follow the step of Aregbe in managing the state and will make people not to Vote for APC especially the state Govt, Workers & students of tertiary institutions, election isn't predicted by crowds that attend the campaign or social Media polls, Osun West is a base of APC ,in the previous Bypass election ,despite the power of incumbency and federal power, APC lost woefully to the, If APC had given Adeleke the ticket, he will won. Omisore should have settled for senate ticket cus its sure he will win but not in Governorship poll, APC ,PDP and SDP has the money to but votes but will will vote massively for Sen Adeleke, not because people like PDP but because of the love people have for the late Sen Adeleke and besides PDP is still a strong party in the state.
breakdown of the election result as follows:

Iwo Local Government: APC-12,205 PDP-12,547

Olaoluwa Local Government: APC 5,316 PDP 5,618

Ayedire Local Government: APC 5,360 PDP 5,789
Ejigbo Local Government: APC 12,229 PDP 9,723

Irewole Local Government: APC 8,952 PDP 9,096

Ede North Local Government: APC 2,784 PDP 18,559

Ede South Local Government: APC 2,096 PDP 13,406

Ayedaade Local Government: APC 7179 PDP 9,061

Egbedore Local Government: APC 4,768 PDP 7,142

Isokan Local Government: APC 5227 PDP 6,539

Your permutation is respected. However you did not talk about Osun Central and Osun East. please give your permutation in the two senatorial districts too and your final opinion on the overall result

fergie001:
Nice thread....
People who will vote,no abuses,no foul languages....

Except one or two permanent mischievous persons (they know themselves)

This is how a thread should be...thumbs up,guys..

I wish Osun Good luck on Sat.....

Good observation. This is a mature thread I have seen so far on Nairaland. people's opinions are respected with good use of language even when there are differences ...I am proud of all of you on this thread. keep it up

Neyoor:
That's just it and it still doesn't change the fact that PDP will win not less than 6 L.Gs convincingly in the west because that's where their candidate hails from and the yearnings of people from the west for power will pull them through.

When PDP captures West and APC captures Central. The East will be the determinant and that's where PDP will have problem.


Aregbesola is from the East, Ilesa and it's environments alone house 4 L. Gs which Aregbesola will deliver convincingly. Omisore will capture Ife zone and PDP will hardly win 2 L. Gs in that zone

You are right. Additionally Ilesa has six local governments that can die for Aregbesola. They are Ilesa west and East. Atakumosa west and East Obokiun and Oriade. APC will win convincingly there

Neyoor:
This your opinion looks sarcastic. Osogbo is having two local governments and the results from there alone can convincely outnumbered that of 4 L. Gs in OsunWest. Osogbo witnessed unprecedented development it has never witnessed in the history of Osun state and the people there will reciprocate that gesture by voting for APC.


Apart from that, Osogbo and EDE people have been enemies from time immemorial. They've never been on thesame lane. Late Adeleke also had problem there when he won Osun election in 1991. It is the believe of Osogbo people that Ede people will claim there land if they should allow them to get to power.


Don't forget Oyetola is from Central, Boripe local government which he will win convincingly. How about Ikirun where their king led the APC rally and used thug to disrupt PDP rally there last week. If worse come to worst, APC will still convincingly win 7 out of 10 L. G in the central

This permutation is thorough and indicates you are an insider in Osun State. I agree with you.

senatordave1:
Apc is too entrenched and established to be voted out.the pdp candidate is even worse plus everyone understands why aregbe is owing

Good reasoning and conclusion

vacettetommy:
If you ever stay/reside at any major town in Osun central you won’t be boast of APC winning 5 LGA’s not to talk of 9. Without rigging and vote buying I swear APC is a goner in Osun State. People are suffering and they can’t just wait to vote APC out

Your opinion is respected but time will tell if it will be so. If APC won Ekiti and Ondo I strongly believe it will win their base in South West.... Osun State.

Cajal:
....egbedore may not go the way of PDP.... I know najeem....and prof mojeed

You are right both of them are bigwigs there.... Good permutation

Without sentiments Osogbo stadium was full to the brim yesterday.. All seats in the stadium were occupied with thousand others on the field and many others outside. However the bitter truth is that Ilesa people will never abandon APC beacause of Aregbesola. The party will win all the six local governments in Ilesa. That is a certainty.

APC will win Ilesa West Ilesa East Atakumosa West Atakumosa East Oriade and Obokun... APC will win Ayedadade Ejigbo And Irewole and six or seven Local governments in Osun Central..................PDP will win Ede North and South with Egbedore..... ADP will win Iwo local govt..... ADC may win Odo Otin slightly..... SDP will win Ife East South and Central.... Ife North is either APC or SDP..... Any party with 15 local government wins will present the governor. Your guess is as good as mine... However I'm almost sure is APC

Critically evaluate the Osun state and give your result permutation. Please don't attach sentiments.

Johnnyessence:
cc mynd44 cc Dominique cc seun cc oamj4 cc lalasticlala, please kindly pull this post down. online Nigeria poll doesn't says what's on ground in the grassroots areas. besides the APC is a strategist that's looking for another means and his team to stategise against other parties. forget about online poll. it doesn't hold any water here. it is the grassroots poll that determine the will of the masses on their various candidate. so pull it down OK. let me come and be going. good evening.

online vote is immaterial. it is just an outlet for self expression momentarily. It does not hold water.

APC

APC

Will Ede votes alone determine the next governor? time will tell? we will all see how divided osun west will win Osun East and Osun Central...imposible

1Timoyhy 2 vrs 11 to 12 gives the scriptural stand on what should take place in a congregation. No woman should be a teacher in the congregation. Additionally no woman should be given any pastoral position in the congregation. 1 Timothy 3 vrs 1to 12 Any church that does contrary is only doing its interest .Bible's position is clear and sacrosanct. From my observation only Jehovah's witnesses are following the scripture on this matter.

I saw a pretty lady in a car going to Akure .She is just 16 years old. She stopped schooling in primary 5 and has been working as a house help for different families for 6 years .She said she is from Benue state.Her salary is paid to the woman who went to Benue to pick about 20 of them
.I was touched by her story. Why is this Child Abuse increasing? What is your experience? Any way out?

Give your opinion and analysis

Who Will win Osun gubernatorial election?Give analysis

Ologogoro:
Abi o, those people saying bad things about APC and aregbesola are people.that have not been to Osun or people that have their families contesting for one position on the platform of the opposition Parties.
Though he is owing SOME civil servants, but the infrastructure development in Osun is clear for all to see.
Good roads every where and great improvement in the education sector of the state of Osun.
I challenge all those against are gondola to show me any state in the south west (Except Lagos) that can match Aregbesola achievement in the space of 8years..

Kwara Ekiti Ondo

Osun people still prefer social infracsture to stomach infrastructure.Aregbesola has a lot of works to his credit. Granted like about 27 states in Nigeria there is a salary crisis in Osun .However apart from Lagos no other state has witnessed development in the last 8 years like Osun. The victory is sure for the APC in the election. The question is how will the victory come? Apc will will in osun central .it will also have votes in osun west which has been divided by opposition. Apc will win in six ilesa local governments. Ife central will vote Omisore but the party will still have vote there. Ife south and north will go for APC but ife east will be shared by the APC and SDP because modakeke people will not vote omisore.. In view of this. APC will still have majority votes and win the election

Ologogoro:
Be deceiving yourself, Omisore's defection from PDP was what APC needed to win that election and it happened.
The crisis rocking PDP in osun is alarming, Just visit the various constituency in Osun most notably ijesha north it is PDP vs PDP for various post, PDP members don't even know if to vote on election day or not.

Civil servants did not vote for Aregbesola in 2014 still he won the election..... Same thing will happen in September.

4601CE:
Less than 20% of those people at the rally are civil Servants . So shut up .
Osun is APC .
Don’t ever compare Aregbe with that stupid Fayose in your life .

In 2014 civil servants did not vote Aregbesola but masses and youth did. The divided opposition in Osun will clear coast for APC victory. It seems Osun people appreciate social infractstructure more than stomach infractstructure .From all indications APC will win the election