PassingShot: NORTH CENTRAL ZONE For a straight forward analysis, I have included FCT in the NC region.
Against my prediction that PDP would win two states in the NC in 2019, the party won FCT to take their win their to three. The herdsmen issue I believed was largely responsible for PDP's showing in 2019 is no longer a major factor in 2023. Also, the fact that Simon Lalong the sitting governor of Plateau state is APC's PCC DG is making me to give APC an edge in Plateu with a win of 35% of the total votes here.
Generally, I am predicting a win percentage of around 38% for APC across this region. Not much if you ask me. I expect PDP to compete very well here, especially in Benue, Plateu, Nassarawa and FCT. I expect a fierce battle between APC and PDP in Benue especially with a very popular governorship candidate of APC there. As such, I believe Benue can go either the way of PDP or APC.
Obi's strongest showing will be in FCT, Plateu (20% each) and Nassarawa (15%). I expect Kwankwaso to outperform Obi in this region with 18% of the total votes.
NORTH EAST ZONE In 2019, PDP won Adamawa by 32,188 more votes than APC. I expected the same to happen in this year's election. I could have allocated more votes to Atiku here but for presence of Kwankwaso whom I expect to score around 20% of the votes across the region.
Looking at the margin by which APC beat PDP in Bauchi, Borno, Gombe and Yobe in 2019 (by hundreds of thousands of votes) and considering that APC maintains their dependable governors and footsoldiers their, I expect the party to still be victorous in the NE region this time as well, albeit with a reduced win margin (45% overall of votes) except in Taraba and Adamawa where I predict a PDP win.
I expect Kwankwaso to score between 20% and 25% in the NE while I do not expect Obi to score more than 2% (2 votes in 100) except in Taraba where I have him getting around 15% (15 from 100 votes).
. The movers and shakers know how to restrict LP votes to 200,231 in each state of the SE like they did in 2019 fir PDP.I come in peace!
Nigerias born in 40s to 50s and those born after with the knowledge of Nigeria will easily agree to the fact the North is dominating Nigeria and will u see why it will be difficult for the region to hand over to the IGBOS now.Those born after 1989 may think all is well in the country till today. Whoever goes back to our history will know that Igbo presidency is reakisable with strategies but it is a mirage now!
The presidential candidate of the labour party Peter Obi is holding no breath in his quest to make Nigeria work again. Peter Obi who is now the leading favorite to win the presidential election next month held his rally in Katsina state where he was received by the citizen of the state.
. When election starts you will see that no true born Hausa man will vote Obi or handover to an Igbo man under the guise of IPOB or ESN....Butter truth!
The presidential candidate of the labour party Peter Obi is holding no breath in his quest to make Nigeria work again. Peter Obi who is now the leading favorite to win the presidential election next month held his rally in Katsina state where he was received by the citizen of the state.
Hopeba: Last week Friday I woke up and discovered a discharge from My penis. I was scared, so I ran to the toilet to pee. After some seconds a clear watery discharge started coming out again..
I went straight to Google and started searching for the symptoms of gonorrhea, and I found out I am having one of the symptoms. But I am not having painful urination or swollen testicles or any sore around my dick..
I guess it UTI.. I have started taking injections and the clear discharge has minimized. And again my pee is now white unlike few days ago. I have spent over 10k..
I have learnt my lessons. Pls anyone with a similar experience can still advice me further..
. Go and do urinalysis ad urine culture test to make sure they bacteria are not their again.Some bacteria will hide behind your prostate only to come back stronger after some weeks....You will be fine!
Omooba77: Arsenal must beat Manchester United in the game.....
. I know we are yet to start the EPL,by the time we start 2022/2023 league Chelsea ,ManU ,Liverpool and Man City l teams will be relegated to Division II. UP Arsenal! The pride of England.
francotunsco: I think these mofos in Kano only go out and join queues whenever they hear music sounds and stage for an event. I can bet with my two balls Pitobi will NOT get 10,000 votes from the multi-million votes in Kano.
The presidential campaign rally of the Labour Party continues today in Kano and everyone is happy to welcome H.E Peter Obi to the ancient city of Kano. These are pictures and video from the rally.
KanwuliaExtra: I think women also go through these. Many women still have to earn income. . . hawk in markets, stay in shops, drive uber, spend long hours catering for parties and plan events. Women also farm and endure lots of domestic jobs like house cleaning and providing laundery services from home to home. I personally know of a woman who fell from okada on her way to providing home-service-manicure/pedicure service and fractured her legs. she was bed-ridden for over a year with 2 small children. Earning a living comes with many risks(enviromental and emotional).
Stress is stress. Nothing to do with gender. If a man is going through stress in a relationship or marriage, is HE THE ONLY ONE FEELING OR CARRYING IT? Even the children suffer it too. Don't make it feel like ONLY A MAN CAN FEEL STRESS. When a woman's husband does not come home late at night, who worries?
Is it not a woman that lost her life pursuing a man(husband o) and his side-chick late last year? The other one (gospel singer and all)died in the hands of her 'religious' husband who was taking all her money. All because she wanted to stay married? What of the one did left school at a young age and followed one man against all odds, had five children and finally set herself on fire in a do-or-die marriage chasing after a man that will not stay home and fulfull his matrimonial obligations?
It has been observed that many more crises are taking place in families nowadays. One of them is our focus here.
Many wives and children now abandon their husbands after the men retire. Some turn children against their fathers while some wives plan to kill their husbands so as to inherit their husband properties.
Why is it that wives want their husbands dead so as to inherit them? Why is it that when husbands are sicks WIves always try to know what is in the wills of their husbands? Why do wives abandon their husbands at the old age and pack to another apartment? Why do wives want to be in control of their husbands at the old age! Why do families crack when the old age is about to set in .
A man was abandoned by his wives and children so much so that he was crying for help in his apartment. When thean died the children slaughtered cows and painted the house.What do you think about this development? What is happening in the families now?
. 1. Only God knows when a man or woman will die. The bible says nobody can add one cubitvro his life span. Many men suffer today yet they live long. Many men enjoy today yet they don't live long. We can do our best but God sees everything.(Awa eda le se tiwa,gbogbo e lo ye Olorun.2. Traditionally men want their wives to outlive men. But it may not be so for God knows who will die first. 3Men takes more risk than women and they expose thier lives to danger everyday 4.The occupation of some men expose their lives to death like palmwine tapping 2,driving 3night gaurds etc 5 . Men don't always have time to pay attention to their health. 6 Men think about a lot of things in their lives food ,housing , protection etc The pressure makes them develop high BP Diabetes etc 7 Some men are maltreated by their wives and fully abandoned which leads to their untimely death. Given all these factors and many others women usually live longer than men.
drlateef: Is it the same forgery case that was dismissed by Appeal court?
. The case I heard was a case of impersonation of Adeleke by a boy student writing his exam at Alayunre.It was Tinubu that waded into the after the plea of Tunji Adeleke after Oyetola won at the SC.. This xaes at the Tribunal is on the source of the Certificate Adeleke who uses a WAEaC certificate when WAEC does issue a certicate for an F9 all round result.Adiyionally Adeleke used a questionabke degree certificate.Peoe all over in Osun even Ede people know that Adeleke is parading questionable results
senatordave1: I think apc will get at least 50 senate seats,pdp 30 lp 20 and nnpp 5..apc should have 150 reps,pdp 100,lp 50,others 60.
Apc should win at least 12 senate seats in nw,11 in ne,10 in nc,12 in sw,7 in ss and 3 in se... Pdp should win 6 in nw,5 ne,4 nc,4 sw,8 in ss and 3 in se..lp will win 7 in se,4 in ss,1 in sw,4 in nc,one in ne and one in nw.
LP cannot have 20 senators..SE will vote LP as the president but PDP will win the Senate seats there.
vicdom: It's sad that the general election would have been concluded before the determination of that case by the SC. So sad!
. Before May 29 issues relating to presidential elections must have been decided at the SC. Input from the Osun election matters will be applied in the presidential election. I hope that isssues relating to Gubernatorial and legislative elections will be resolved by July. Osun election matters will good precedences then!
adesola89: The results announced was based on the form EC8A based on the data the presiding officers extracted from the BVAS machine used for the election. With regards to BIVAS report from the server being relied on by APC, do you know the alledged over voting happe
INEC gave the APC the opportunity to challenge the result.Anaba representing INEC also mentioned it that there over voting in 1750 polling units. It is worrisome that what did not happen in Ekiti came up inOsun.I hope we will not have recurrence in February elections. I am interested in seeing how the matters will be decided from TB to AC and SC finally
Enemyofpeace: Help us solve this matter. Who should buy the pumping machine?
. It is yiur duty to repair your pumping machine if it is faulty. If it does not work again you can buy another one which you will remove when yiu are moving to yiur own house! Many lanlords will say don't use my rent to purchase a new machine. So if you buy it without his involment, remove it when you are relocating to yiur own house.
vicdom: INEC had posited that it hadn't finished with the whole synchronization process before APC came for it. It told the court it couldn't have turned down the legal write they came with, but had told them earlier that it was not through with whole synchronization process. And INEC didn't admit over-voting in 125, but 6.
Where did INEC see results it announced? Is it in the constitution that results will be announced after syncronization? Is syncronization in our electioral laws? Is INEC not a case of a child who does not know what to say after he has committed an error? I appreciate your views but I am just concerned about synchnisation as a face cover strategy in Osun Election!
vicdom: Haba nah! How can PDP and Adeleke prove when it was APC that alleged forged result?? The onus lies on APC, not Adeleke to subpoena WAEC, but they didn't... Remember the case of Obaseki VS APC, it was APC that subpoenaed OAU.
On the case of over-voting, it's just 50 - 50. On INEC guidelines, it says that when there are contestation of results from the viewing portals, the EC9 sheets would be checked for discrepancies.
What will now happn sir when BVAS says 125 accredited but. 2001 is posted on the server?
vicdom: Haba nah! How can PDP and Adeleke prove when it was APC that alleged forged result?? The onus lies on APC, not Adeleke to subpoena WAEC, but they didn't... Remember the case of Obaseki VS APC, it was APC that subpoenaed OAU.
On the case of over-voting, it's just 50 - 50. On INEC guidelines, it says that when there are contestation of results from the viewing portals, the EC9 sheets would be checked for discrepancies.
Yiur views are respected and treasured always. In the case of Obaseki and APC ,Obaseki called the UI registrar to prove that his certificate was issued by the school and the school admiited error in the year of graduation indicated. on the certificate .Section 245 of the constitution says the defendant must prove his innocence on the allegation like that of forgery.
Sikay19: Your contribution is valid sir. However, my question is on the certificate issue. does the tribunal has the capacity to adjudge on matter known to be a pre-election matter ?
. Results and forgery can be presented before the Tribunal only if it is instituted by those that took part in the election ! See. Buhari APC vrs ATIKU and PDP 2018 PEPT and SC
garfield1: The case of apc is hinged on two prayers,over voting and presentation of forged documents...
1) evidences before the courts showed that there were discrepancies in the accreditation data.inec gave two different bvas report to apc and pdp and both contained over voting.pdp even denied inec bvas reports at a point and agreed that there was over voting.even inec agreed there was over voting.but the question to what extent? Terms like synchronization of data are clearly illegal and alien to the electoral act.
2) on forgery,adeleke presented a testimonial which he claimed was issued in 1988 bearing osun state when osun was created in 1991.how come? Section 178 clearly states that a candidate will be disq once he presents a forged certificate.again,the apex court said it must not be any kind of forgery but must have been done in aid of his qulaification. That is without it,he wouldn't be qualified and it must be tied to the qualification criteria.it is clear that adeleke forged documents and lied on oath see seleiletimibi vs dide per galadima supra..
In summary,the first prayer is 50 50 but he will lose based on forgery.
Cc mynd44 Lalasticlala Muykem Adioolayi Adexxi Nplfmod Aiel123 Ejimatic Zoedew
. 1 Your analysis is appreciated.I have great interest in the judgement and as I have said before on this platform BVAS is on trial in Osun Tribunal. APC has certified results from INEC .PDP has another. The PDP statisticstian has another. One election different results! What a rape on our democracy! However APC claimed 744 poling units are affected ,PDP said it was 6 poling units INEC agreed there were overvoting cases even Anaba ,INEC lawyer, said in his written address that over voting was in 1576 polling units. The question is how can a person have cases of overvoting with BVAS? It is possible by having a result on EC8 forms very different from what is sent into the INEC portal. No wonder there discrepancies in most EC8 forms and the results sent online. In a case where BVAS reports are different from INEC online results what do we expect from the Tribunal? If INEC conducted election without syncronization of BVAS ,that means the Body was not ready for the election then. In fact the process of synchnisation is alien to our electioral laws. APC proved the case beyond any reasonable doubt as agreed by INEC. In my opinion it 80 for APC 20 for PDP. 2 . Forgery. : The onus lies on the PDP to prove the genuiness of the Adeleke's result by 1 Calling on WAEC to present the CTC of Adeleke results, and bringing the University he claimed he went to to study for confirmation of his result. Neither of this was done by PDP. The question is : Where did he get the certificate he attached to his form when he had F9 in all his subjects and accumulated years of study is alien to both Nigerian and foreign education.?In my opinion ,the ruling here will be 100% for APC and 0% for PDP.
Jones4190: northerners know when is there turn, this is not there turn is the turn of tinubu. emilokan
That is the truth many myopic Nigerians don't understand. We will see how another Hausa Fulani will take over after Buhari.They will tell us if the Hausas only have Nigeria.As for the IGBOS,no Hausa Man will hand over to an Igbo man without consultion.Reasons: IPOB ,ESAN and unknown gunmen!