₦airaland Forum

afrodoc2:
Whatever angle you want to use, at the end of the day which of these states will Tinubu win in a straight election with Atiku?

Anambra
Enugu
Imo
Abia
Ebonyi
Rivers
Delta
Edo
Bayelsa
Cross River
Akwa-Ibom

[color=royalblue]You are missing my point, doc.

No need to continue[/color]

raumdeuter:
Benue Plateau and Kaduna despite Obi, Tinubu still has a chance of winning or at least get 30% in all of those places. Thats just 3 places

Do you think without Obi, Atiku wont get 70% in the entire SE. Tinubu has zero chances of winning the SE right now with Obi it only ensures that Atiku his major challenger is not the one benefitting. Simply if I (BAT) cannot get it then as long as Atiku does not get it, Its fine

Among the G5 you think without Obi, Tinubu will actually win Abia, Enugu or Rivers in a straight fight with Atiku?
Out of those G5 states, even if the governors old guns to electorates head, the only places Tinubu has a chance are Oyo and possibly Benue

If all the elections was held in Ikpeazu Ugwuayis bedroom Tinubu will never wn

[color=royalblue]You are holding on to Ikpeazu and Enugu.

What about Wike? If Wike supports APC in Rivers, BAT wouldn't win?

Or is it Ortom or Makinde?

APC has the structure to get 25% in every state in Nigeria. I am just wondering where all these humility is coming from. So BAT is now reducing himself to 30% in Benue, so we can magnify Atiku as the winner?

Make una take am easy with the exaggeration abeg

[/color]

afrodoc2:
But this logic no enter. If Atiku wins it only means he would have won with a bigger landslide without Obi. If he gets 52% in this election then maybe he would have gotten > 70% if Obi was absent.

Izzou can you name the states in the SE that Tinubu would win in a straight contest between Tinubu and Atiku?
After that name the states that Tinubu would win in the SS in a straight contest between Tinubu and Atiku?

[color=royalblue]You are looking at it from the ethnic angle. I am also saying there is a religious angle that definitely matters

For example, people of Benue that will vote LP, would have easily voted BAT instead of a Fulani.

The same would go for Plateau and parts of Kaduna.

Also, if Obi did not show up, APC selling BAT as a Southern candidate would have been easier. Governors of the G5 would easily stick with BAT if Obi didn't show up.[/color]

chrisooblog:
Yes a good number of SW voting for Obi are Christians but that is due to a combination of many factors:

1. Osinbajo not winning the ticket rubbed a lot of his supporters the wrong way so Obi will benefit from their protest votes

2. Muslim-muslim ticket is another issue.

3. EndSars

The people voting Obi were never likely to vote BAT check the people that voted for Atiku in 2019 and i'm sure almost 90% are now for Obi. PO will eat Tinubu's pie in Lagos but Atiku will be hurt so badly he might not get 25%.

Without Obi on the ballot Atiku easily gets votes from SE, SS to counter whatever BAT does to him in SW. In the North apart from sharing core northern votes the sizable Christian communities would have seen Atiku over the line.

[color=royalblue]So, if Atiku wins irrespective of all these, who would you say Obi's emergence affected?[/color]

Theflint1:
In 2015 and 2019, Edo was under the control of APC, like you said, these permutations would be revisited post-election. APC won't get 25% from Edo State.

[color=royalblue]You go put money?[/color]

raumdeuter:
That is because Atiku voters are not online. So attacking Atiku online makes no difference

You attack where you will have impact.

As it is today. Obi has stolen Atikus lunch in the entire SE and SS.

APC needs to keep it that way.

Of Obis current support 90% of them would have voted PDP and not Tinubu

[color=royalblue]Most of the SWesterners voting Obi, that I know are Christians.

So if Obi was not on the ticket, who did you think they will vote for?

Like i said, if Atiku wins, Obi was not going to be a problem[/color]

GloriousGbola:
As an aside, amala turning is for agbadorians ; white washing / er anal bleaching is for obidients. Izzou is a fencist so let's just say he is presenting hero as Heineken

[color=royalblue]I am not understanding where this amala is coming from

Larr. ide and Sodik were arguing about violence during elections in Lagos.

Larr.ide said in 2020, there was no violence during Abiru bye elections

I told him that election should not be an example, because APC was going to win convincingly. Even the results show that.

What is the amala in this one?[/color]

Nostradamus1:
On a serious note, Atiku's nonchalant attitude is puzzling.
I just dey imagine if Peter Obi had not garnered massive support, we may see Atiku only on Election.

The guy is too confident(even if he wants to use hackers). That is why I don't trust all this polls they keep posting here. Obi is a 3rd position candidate

[color=royalblue]Obi, coming 3rd is not the issue.

If Atiku wins, it means Obi affected BAT more than Atiku.
[/color]

larride:
Your amala is not turning. Try again.

I mentioned Abiru election, you said because APC won in a landslide, I shouldn't use it as an example.

Oya let's use Sanwo-Olu election that he won in a landslide, you suddenly want to use it.

That's why I said follow the conversation from the start and not try to nitpick. I already said in one of my response to sodiq that there were pocket of violence here and there (which happens in most states of the federation's anyways) but that there was no full blown violence in Lagos 2019 election whether Presidential or Governorship.

If you are looking for full blown violence, Rivers or Imo would've been a better example.

[color=royalblue]I am not arguing violence with you. I simply said Abiru bye election cannot be used because it was already a resounding victory for APC

I neither talked about Sanwo-Olu. It was you who wanted to use it.

I only said Abiru's victory was too clean, for anyone to be looking for violence there[/color]

larride:
So because it was a landslide is the reason why there was no violence or what? I dont understand you.

Sanwo-Olu election was also a landslide, should we talk about that one also?

[color=royalblue]Was it affected by violence?

If it is, then iamoyindamola was right then[/color]

larride:
Abiru was not a rerun. It was a fresh election to replace Pepperito that died due to covid.

Gbadamosi was PDP candidate in that election.

[color=royalblue]Abiru = 89,000
Gbadamosi = 11,000

Na this kind result you dey expect violence, ehn?

[/color]

iamoyindamola:
There are actually some targeted areas i don't know how they already know they will lose the booth
They will send thugs to such areas and scatter everything

[color=royalblue]Are you talking about 2019?

My comment was his example on 2020. That election was APC alone. He knows that[/color]

larride:
Izzou abeg abeg abeg

You can follow the conversation from the beginning and not nitpick my post.

[color=royalblue]Your Abiru's example no follow. Abiru was a rerun, that other parties didn't even care.

You have been right with what you said. [/color]

larride:
Same PDP that APC PCC called a press conference to attack Atiku and call for his arrest based on the SPVs gate?

Moreover LP are attacking APC more than they are attacking PDP, you expect APC not to return back their fire?

[color=royalblue]I said APC have spent more time

We don't know what Atiku is cooking, since he has spoken the least amongst the trio.

BAT should also know that there are voters that will choose religion over tribe.

If Atiku wins, na BAT him affect; not Atiku[/color]

larride:
Infact i voted for Abiru in Ikorodu in 2020 and there was no violence.

[color=royalblue]Were you expecting violence in an election that had APC written all over it?[/color]

[color=royalblue]APC have spent more time attacking LP than PDP.

If not for anything, APC and LP should be looking out each other, since they are representing the South.

If Atiku wins, it would be very clear that Obi cut Tinubu ticket.[/color]

iamoyindamola:
Person they outside lagos, only depend on information of here say them say
You are taking him serious ....really?

[color=royalblue]Wait naa

I want to know where we can find Ebira communities in Lagos, and we can ask of their voting population[/color]

OasisX:


Obi will drag 3rd position with Kwankwaso.... that's fact. We have passed phase of politicking, we are now in the phase of permutations and alignments.

Donjazet2...... jungle is actually maturing well, perhaps you are not paying attention. Endorsements are in the bags on daily basis.

Same Lagos, someone said APC will lose..... LOL!
Hausa Community and Ebira Community in Lagos have assured BAT of their votes.

Shettima has cooked well in the North while your VP Candidate is crying on international tv. Contest is between APC and PDP, but there is no crime to hope/dream though by Labour Party Members, especially Obidients.

Election is coming next month, so reality gonna check in soon.

[color=royalblue]Ebira Community?

What parts of Lagos can we find Ebira communities?
[/color]

chrisooblog:
Happy Birthday my co-debater wish you long life full of joy and blessings

[color=royalblue]

I greet you, bros

Thank you[/color]

Ellexy:
Happy birthday anniversary Izzou

Ibunkun1:
Happy birthday chief

[color=royalblue]Thank you brosses.

I dey grateful[/color]

adeotiabdulaziz:
happy birthday senior izzou (otemic 001)

[color=royalblue]Thank you bros

Thank you everyone for the mentions. The birthday done come, e don go.

GloriousGbola, i don come back since.

Larride, so sorry for your travails. Hopefully, you get a better job. Its one thing to win a court battle. Its another for the verdict to be obeyed[/color]

[color=royalblue]Make una help me thank God.

Na today dem born me.

[/color]

https://thumbs.gfycat.com/AffectionateFrighteningBull-size_restricted.gif

nihilistjnr:
Well, well, well....

come and see something

[color=royalblue]See our Moral police

Chai [/color]

EmmanuelScott1:
Inside the bus

[color=royalblue]Chai

So sorry bro. [/color]

EmmanuelScott1:
No, nah normal shuttle bus from mgbuka obosi to upper iweka.

[color=royalblue]You were standing?

Or you were in the bus[/color]

EmmanuelScott1:
Hello guys, how u guys be?

Mehn yesterday, I was robbed in upper iweka at a gunpoint. The funny shit about this, it happened in the afternoon, upon all my shouting nobody showed concerned. They took my phone and car parts I bought in mgbuka obosi.

I thank God Sha for life.

[color=royalblue]Haaaa

Na one-chance you enter?[/color]

Donjazet2:
I'm kinda low-key loving your trolling because I know that when I'm committed to facing you. Na you go first tire, E sure me. so enjoy! No be who first call police dey win case.

[color=royalblue]Grow up.[/color]

[color=royalblue]An advice from the same person that encouraged him.

I like this guy's sincerity..There is truly a time for everything[/color]

Tataffo:
When is this going to end,The message you are trying to pass has been heard loud and clear,kindly give it a rest bro...

[color=royalblue]Me: I totally support DonJ for what he is doing. Dayo should be called out for the tribalist that he is.

DonJ: Kindly join me in calling him out

Me:[/color]

https://images2.imgbox.com/e7/d0/ZNNqbj4Y_o.gif

nihilistjnr:
As in..

It's supposed to be a shift based effort. If Top exposer no dey on seat, deputy exposed suppose step up to the plate

[color=royalblue]No bros

The Deputy role na to hunt for cowards. Him no dey follow Top exposer post screenshots.

Deputy na like the Hypeman. Encourages, defends and charges the Top exposer, but he will never join in the madness[/color]

[color=royalblue]No screenshots of Dayo's tribalism on this page

Why?

We need reminders, abeg

I say a big NO to cowardice [/color]

OkpaNsukkaisBae:
The guy dey far away US dey ball. Nigeria is the world poverty capital/133m Nigerians are living in poverty. Him dey do giveaway on dis forum.(na good thing) imagine after u call him out. Do you think he will credit your account number when next he decides to do giveaway?


No be say dem no knw d truth...they're just cowards!