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Manonamission's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:34am On Nov 27, 2017
Mpeace:
I use pufin on my android, and its not working too. Can't even view stocks and trades. Morgan capital with their issues.
"Please be informed that we are currently experiencing a technical issue on our itrade server certificate which makes logging in through “Google Chrome browser” pops up an error message.

Kindly disregard that error message and follow these steps:

Use “Internet Explorer Browser or Opera mini Browser”
After clicking on our Itrade URL, if an error message pops up concerning server certificate, kindly click on “CONTINUE BROWSING”; it would take you to our normal itrade login page where you can login and carry out your transaction.

However, client that are using a mobile device to trade can continue trading without the error message popping up.

Please note that this issue has been escalated and our technical team are currently working on it.

Kindly bear with us on any inconveniences that this might cause."

You may follow the same procedure with Puffin. Not sure it'll work though.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 3:04pm On Nov 24, 2017
Manonamission:
Dangcem pushing the index up. Well done cheesy
So while men slept, the index pitched a 3-month high at 37,365.91 Weh done.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:49pm On Nov 24, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:46pm On Nov 24, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:19pm On Nov 24, 2017
Mpeace:
Fcmb loan provisions(impairments) fell from 34billion last year to 12billion this year, meaning that they saved as much as 22billion. Yet the bad result. diamond took 35billion loan provisions.
Foreign exchange gains booked last year is insignificant this year, hence the 'bad' result. FCMB won't crash as such (in my opinion). Left for market to decide
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:08pm On Nov 24, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
INSIDER TRADING!!!
Would this insider be kind enough to look at my side? Waving from the flour side cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:49pm On Nov 24, 2017
fxuser:
serz gap up
opening 16.42 on big vol
engulfing weekly candle developing
NBST! Dangsugar not smiling
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:25pm On Nov 24, 2017
Dangcem pushing the index up. Well done cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:15pm On Nov 24, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Is this 'Numbers' or HoPe?
You decide. That's why you're Agba.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:54am On Nov 24, 2017
locodemy:
sir i am also holding unto my analysis.
what happened in maybaker MUST surely happen in Transcorp.
oga currentprice.......Transcorp will make one very rich soon.
This is one of the few stocks that will defies NUMBERS simply because its a growth stock.
Just position yourself as well irrespective of the NUMBERS.
Very inconsistent guy cheesy . You mean it's not about 'NUMBERS' in this case? Na you shout Numbers pass grin grin

Actually, there's more to numbers than EPS, PE etc Based on Numbers, Transcorp is the most efficient and best run Genco in Nigeria at the moment. Barring any disruptions to gas supplies and transmission issues, TUPL is poised to be the market leader in Nigeria. Currently leads Kainji, Egbin and Afam in terms of average generated capacity.
Transcorp (TUPL especially) is on an aggressive growth looking to more than double current generating capacity. TUPL is the cash cow going forward and still enjoys Pioneer status (Tax relief). This is translating to improved revenues and margins. Govt intervention (NBET PAP) is paying dividends already.

I'd like to even speculate here that Transcorp's strategy might be both organic and inorganic growth. So it's not impossible to read of an acquisition of one of the power plants up for sale. Whoelse should be given the nod, if not an efficient and capable hand? HEY! JUST SPECULATING!

The hotel business is suffering a bit compared to previous years on account of the closure of the Abuja airport(now reopened), renovation project and lull in political and economic activities.

I must warn the OS is scary at 40.6B but the market will reprice this stock as the 'Numbers' become simpler or are translated to easy-to-understand metrics.

Also note that TUPL is not wholly owned by Transcorp PLC. Non-controlling interest is another issue with this company

Disclaimer: I am in this bus so my ability to make sound judgement could be severely compromised.

If you got dirt on Transcorp, please be kind enough to throw it up otherwise forever remain silent in Tritritri's voice cheesy grin cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 10:19am On Nov 24, 2017
In Fxuser's voice;

Dangsugar gap up
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 10:11am On Nov 24, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Wave 3 of the major Elliot wave moving in within 2 weeks
Long bull like no other
Call for reinforcement to hold down nse screens to prevent a "bull-crash"

Fasten your seat belt
What's the name of your bus and who's the driver?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:51pm On Nov 23, 2017
tritritri:
Aberg Just leave OANDO out of this...oando has ruined many life .
cheesy cheesy cheesy grin grin grin cheesy cheesy cheesy

This guy sef.......discover your talent abeg
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:35pm On Nov 23, 2017
locodemy:
What is cooking in uba is also cooking in Transcorp.
it wont take time the kasala go burst.
Loco! Loco!! Loco!!! How many times did I call you? Don't tell me you have come again o. What news is cooking in Transcorp that you have been talking about since?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:27pm On Nov 23, 2017
@Samguru shocked shocked shocked

Are these fresh revelations or you knew all these about the company when you were targeting N4? I assumed the reconstruction news was the only problem the 'Numbers' crew had against this stock.

Na wa o cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:26pm On Nov 23, 2017
I advise everyone to put up for sale the Japauls, Daarcom, IEIs of this NSE. The core investors might be willing to set us free.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:19pm On Nov 23, 2017
NoMoney:
Dear Samguru,

I will try to address your concerns

1.Liability: C&I Leasing has a lot of debt which is very sustainable. I will try to explain sustainable. If I can lend money at 13% from a bank and fix in treasury bills at 15% that debt is sustainable and the more debt I collect from the bank the better. If they are willing to lend me N100billion, I will collect. C&I leasing major debts are used to finance the purchase of vessels that are put on operating leases to the major IOCs such as shell, Chevron etc on fixed term contracts of 5-8 years. The cashflow from these contracts can pay off the loans while the vessels have a 50 years life span. Once the loans are paid off the remaining cashflow less operational costs translates to profit.

In lay man terms, If you are asked to take a N1billion loan to build a house and chevron is ready to rent the house for 5 years at N250ma year. In five years the rent pays the loan and interest whilst form the sixth year all the rent is mine once the loan has been paid off and the house is fully yours. Will you be willing to take this loan?

2. Abraaj, Custodian and Allied Assurance Leadway Assurance are major shareholders in the company. The Executive Vice Chairman also represents a major share holder in the company


3. The company offer the following services
a: Leasing of ships to IOCs. Revenue is in dollars
b: Provision of contract staff to major companies including Diamond Bank
c: Sale of Suzuki cars in nigeria (loss making at the moment)
d: Operator of the Hertz franchise in Nigera
e: diversifying into the power industry and other sectors
f: provision of car tracking services

4:Profits have been consistently growing but they need to raise additional equity given the volume of business to be tapped due to the cabotage law which favours Nigerian companies for the provision of shipping services in nigeria. they have previously relied on bank loans to finance the business and paid 2billion interest in 2016.

I am NOT a C&I leasing insider but yes I have shares in the company and I have done my research and the company is a resounding BUY.
I can authoritatively tell you that Chevron won't pay you 250m rentage for your property of N1B except it's going to be theirs after the 5 years. cheesy My brother if it was that easy to make money, we will be seeing N1000 bills on the ground every now and then.
Looks to me like the money will be used to service long standing debt that has been bugging the company and then fresh debt raised for the future. No be small thing.

Reminds me of Japaul (Jegede, God is watching you o). The company paid dividends for a few years, gave bonus and then came for a Public Offer. They wanted to increase their fleet to take advantage of the Cabotage Act. He also mentioned earning in dollars then. Chai see ego cheesy They purchased Tug boats and all. The rest is history.

My point is, don't make assumptions that can be too costly. I see you have done a lot of work in researching the pros of this investment. You should put in double effort to unearth the risk. Thereafter you can go for it with all that you have got, if convinced. I want to assume you have done this sha.

The company appears to be growing but doesn't look stable to me. Anyway, we all take risk. Yeah, the stocks in our different portfolios represent that. All the best bro.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:06pm On Nov 23, 2017
NoMoney:
Please argue constructively and with figures. I find wise cracks about going to the village lame.
I did not value the company at N2.5billion the market values it at N2.5billion (1.8billion shares * N1.30k per share)
Its share holder's funds is around N8billion which is closer to its intrinsic value.
At PAT of N1billion it has a PE ratio of 2.5 which is fantastic in any market very few shares beat that in any market and if you find such jump on them especially if you expect the profits to continue to increase into the future.
Total number of shares at the moment is 1.8 billion shares which will be reduced to 400m shares via reconstruction
After reconstruction, the company will sell 2.6billion share to raise N25billion naira and will now have 3billion shares at about N10 each giving a total market capitalization of about N30billion
To sell rights at N10 the market price might have to get to N12 (which is N3 pre construction)
I never said they are selling 25billion shares at N3, where did you get that from?
That a company is making projections or calculations doesn't mean the market will rubber-stamp it. The reconstruction is 4 to 1 i.e one share for every four previously held.
The reconstructed shares have to be relisted and left to the market forces to price. The management can't tell where the pendulum will swing from post-consolidation price. Capitalization could drop or increase depending on market perception of the stock.
Equity Capital raising is likely a mix of rights, PP and Depository receipts. Nothing is certain yet.

Also note that the company is planning to borrow N20B in addition through issuance of bonds.

Closure date: 20th to 24th Nov. ( I guess ref price for the reconstruction will be closing price on the 20th)

Good luck to everyone embarking on this journey with C&I

Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion. My assumptions could be wrong too.

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:10am On Nov 23, 2017
NoMoney:
I see the share price getting to N3 or (N12 post construction) before the rights issue.

C&I Leasing is a company valued at N2.5 billion at the moment on track to make N1b full year PAT. How low can it really go? It has the fundamentals to more than support the current share price. The management seems to be preparing the company for the second stage of its growth trajectory given its asset base and deal pipeline.
Conclusions like this can lead to "NoMoney"

Na joke o cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:28pm On Nov 22, 2017
currentprice:
@ Loco. i don't understand all your post. i am looking for fcmb Q3 to update my bedsheet and you saying i hate the stock by pulling it down because your there grin grin grin
you are there doesn't mean we should not raise caution to other shareholder or someone planning to enter the stock because of the penny nature. abeg i have nothing with the stock, let them give us good result today and see my next post. fidelity is a stock i will tell pple to run for their life this time last year may be because of their large oustanding. today fidelity is one of my strong watch out stock due to their latest brilliant performance.

brov grow up
grin
Cc everyone that complains and comes with conspiracy theories when a negative opinion is given about a stock in which they hold positions. We are not your village people o cheesy grin Opinions will always be given whether it favours you or not.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:57am On Nov 21, 2017
chunkuli:
so what is ur take on buying at the current mkt price?
Arrgh!!! You just had to put me on the spot. Well,depends on your investment objective. Don't expect any significant appreciation until well into the new year. Price will range for the period of the rights and considering the limited number of trading days (holiday season) after the closure of rights, not much to expect.

I suggest a four months holding period to reap the gains of your investment (short term horizon).

It's a BUY for the long term in my opinion.

This is a personal opinion.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:32am On Nov 21, 2017
BullBearMkt:
...uac is sitting on its value zone at 17
Rights issue ongoing at N16. To close 22nd Dec.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:55pm On Nov 17, 2017
Dangsugar stands the risk of closing flat even though it's on full bid.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:52pm On Nov 17, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
Me?.. grin
I dance with the wind, like a palm tree on the sea shore so I don't get broken... grin
I walk on thorns in the market like a snail, I never inhibit thorns from growing or bother predicting their sharpness or bluntness.... grin
O'boy! Someone can not play with you again? Na night class I go abeg

My post was directed to Agbalowomeri actually.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 1:35pm On Nov 17, 2017
DeRuggedProf:
Nice one.
GTB no gree crack.... grin
Let us know your revised entry price then. tongue
Abi you still dey wait for N15? cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 11:53am On Nov 17, 2017

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 10:43am On Nov 17, 2017
tritritri:
https://www.nairaland.com/4181191/fg-comes-up-action-plan

is this true ??
It's safe to assume it is. It's in the news already.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 2:03pm On Nov 16, 2017
leo1234:
Currentprice, there is a discussion about dangflour going up there. Can you please help break it down?
Is it a positive or negative development for the company?
I also heard dangflour lost 1 box this week. grin
Wetin consign agbero with overload? "Currentprice" deals with numbers. Seeing is believing.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission:
Coolcash1:
You just veered off! How will you acquire a business and not buy the inventory.... undecided Use your tongue to count your teeth now bros . You wan fall my hand o. To help you, the consideration paid is NET ASSETS (Assets less liabilities) + premium
cheesy cheesy cheesy Say I don old be that o. I counted 32 sha (16 up, 16 down).

Until there's further clarity, I'll stick to my interpretation/position. Let me post Note 27 again and please take note of "Plant and Machinery".

To help you grin

https://www.insolvencydirect.bis.gov.uk/technicalmanual/ch25-36/Chapter31/part6/part4/part_4.htm

"31.6.93 Plant and machinery - general

Generally speaking, plant and machinery is an asset that is used by a business for the purpose of carrying on the business and is not stock in trade, the business premises or part of the business premises [note 1]. The difference between plant and machinery is that generally machinery will have moving working parts, and plant will not (though computers and similar electronic devices are considered to be machinery, despite have no moving parts). The working parts of a machine are also considered to be machinery."

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:56pm On Nov 16, 2017
bigjay01:
are you suggesting they'd be buying Dangote noodles or Dangote flour?
Dangote noodles (finshed products) and Dangote Noodles plants. They are not buying Dangote Flour shares.

The transaction is a De United foods to Dangote Noodles deal. No where was DF referenced. It is expected that their would be Dangote noodles still in the inventory that needed to be sold. You must also realise that the Noodles business was a going concern with daily operations and workers. Besides, De United is expected to continue producing DANGOTE NOODLES for a few more years which justifies the 'stock' purchase. Otherwise, DF would have had to continue marketing+distribution of the stock left.

Disclaimer: This is my understanding of the report and what makes sense to me.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:42pm On Nov 16, 2017
Mpeace:
But dangflour of N383.94mil is not too much as to cause a 300% rise in price. Its just about 45mil units. I know some men here have more than that, esp loco, cadillac, manonamission etc
45mil units!!! I claim it in Jesus name. Flesh and blood did not revealed this to you. I no go fit reject am. cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Manonamission: 12:36pm On Nov 16, 2017
Princkez:
It will also buy stock worth N383.94m, according to a report by Reuters.(pls explain dis)
Stock -the total amount of goods or the amount of a particular type of goods available in a shop (cambridge dictionary)

In other words, finished products available for sale .

Stop allowing your bias play tricks on you. cheesy cheesy cheesy

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