₦airaland Forum

aswani:
What did I just read from Penguin2?

Despite the lengthy nature of the tome, this is the kind of stuff that we should be reading.

We don't have to back the same candidate but we can still appreciate each others opinion.

Well done Penguin2, there's hope for Naija yet!!

Thank you my dear.

In the end, our collective goal is the betterment of Nigeria. A Nigeria that works for all us.

LegendHero:
Okay let’s discuss it without Bias.

In this last election, do you think Obi as the presidential candidate and Atiku as VP will generate more votes than what Tinubu/Shettima would have gotten?

Almost half of the votes Atiku had in the North will be totally wiped out if Obi had been the presidential candidate. Infact more than half.

See Kwakwanso, he prefers to be a minister under Tinubu than to be a VP under Obi. If you think about it for a minute, you will understand why an Obi being on the ballot might not necessarily produce the winning ticket.

First of all, Atiku is no longer eligible to serve as Vice President so he’s out of the equation.

But regardless, I totally understand what you are saying. The hatred for Igbos is real.

But what do you suggest the Igbos do? Give up and stop trying or continue to vote for northerners?

obembet:
I read all this article and I see alot of sense there. Let pray for Tinubu to deliver his best also for pray him to live long.

I hope ur fellow Obidient won't tag u corn 🌽. I Ruth said something similar to this but she was treat by her fellow Obidient... They nearly kill her.

Lol!

It was Ruth yesterday. Today it’s Akin.

I think a lot Obidients are usually unnecessarily emotional.

Patriotsleague:
I need your opinion on this topic trending on nairaland. https://www.nairaland.com/7723775/police-locking-up-people-misdemeanor

Ok

Patriotsleague:
Nice, the state government should promote tourism in their states, it's a foreign exchange earner.

I’m just surprised that the place doesn’t get talked about the way it should and like the beauty and wonder it is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vKRTkNcWRxo
There is a tourist attraction sleeping in Enugu. It’s the beautiful, ancient and mystic Awhum Waterfalls in Enugu State, Nigeria.

After watching the video above, you will not believe that a place like that exists in Nigeria and yet government didn’t invest towards making the place accessible through provision of road infrastructure and security which would attract more visitors on frequent basis which the government can monetize.

The waterfall is only accessible through a natural cave that is itself a beauty and a wonder to behold.

I understand that the waterfalls is situated within the land of the Awhum Monastery that is owned by the Catholic Diocese of Enugu which has converted the place to a place of seclusion and prayers rather than opening it up to tourists which is what such a place should be.

But I wishe the Enugu government can find a way to reach an agreement with the Catholic Diocese in Enugu so that the church can open up that area for government to provide the necessary infrastructure that would enable the waterfall become the choice place of tourists like it should be.

Nlfpmod
Mynd44

Please help expose this beauty from the East.

LegendHero:
Let me tell you what you don’t know, even if LP and PDP form a coalition, PDP will still produce the president and LP (Obi) will be the vice. That is the only arrangement that can bring success to them.

If that happens, it still dosen’t show that Igbo are strong in politics and strength. You can only show strength in politics if you play it at the highest level and win.

Igbos are scattered in the country but don’t still have the numerical power. You can only influence election in a place if you are the majority. It’s easy to block you from voting if the indigenes truly want to do that but no one can block you in your region because you have all freedom.

Let me tell you, if Igbos living across Nigeria had voted in the SE instead of outside the SE where they reside, Obi would have gotten more vote. Think like a politician abeg.

Lol!

This your kind of defective thinking was what cost PDP victory in the last election.

People were begging them to zone the ticket to Southeast and midwife it for Obi, but they argued that only a northerner can bring them victory and that’s why I like what Obi did by leaving them and telling them to try their luck.

What I’m saying is that the PDP can win election with Obi as the candidate if the levers of the PDP in the north work sincerely for the party.

My only problem is that what Tinubu is currently doing is blurring the line of opposition in the country. We might need some time before we can truly say which politician belongs to which party.

LegendHero:
No, Igbo clearly hate Yoruba but they just mask it because they are mostly on Yoruba soil. It is glaring to all that Igbo hate Yorubas and this is no secret.

What I don’t like is double dealing. No need sweet talking it, most Nigerian tribes don’t love each other, we are all just tolerating one another.

Igbos play a better game at hiding their hate because they play a better game of victim complex. The civil war narrative help them with that and even if an Igbo man clearly show hatred towards you, he’ll still try to mask it as responding to perceived injustice against him.

People usually think I’m weird. But I think Hausas are better ally to the Yorubas than Igbos. I will defend this my statement a thousand times.

Everyone thinks the Hausas are better allies.

The Igbo thinks so. As does the Yoruba. That’s why they keep pitching us against each other and benefiting from it.

They would have benefited from it again in 2023 had Obi not come into the race to cancel out Atiku.

See, I think the Yoruba and Igbo need to sit down and have a proper conversation if we must continue to exist together in one country. We simply can’t continue like this.

LegendHero:
Even before Peter Obi come into the scene, Igbos never hid their hatred for Tinubu and even Kanu had to instruct his disciples to burn Tinubu property and go after him. They have always cursed and abuse Tinubu even before 2015 let alone 2023 of Peter Obi.

Igbos have shown their hatred for Tinubu ever since it appears he is now against their agenda in Lagos. They want to have a say in Lagos but they believe Tinubu strongness is the hinderance.

No need whitewashing it, Igbo hate Tinubu and it is their right to do that. That you’re trying to link it with Obi only show you don’t know what you are saying.

I’m happy you are now limiting it to “the Igbos hate Tinubu” and not that erroneous assertion you people always make that “Igbos hate Yorubas”.

You guys know we don’t hate Yorubas, we just hate those who hate us and go against the interest of those who against ours.

LegendHero:
Let me tell you this, no politician need to appease to the Igbos because the Igbos only play one-directional politics. They face one way, no matter the circumstances, their votes will always be one way. So why do you need to appease them?

I’m not saying it’s a bad thing. It’s very good and I hope the Yorubas can think like that too in our voting pattern but it just seems we and the Igbos are totally different people and both method have their advantage and disadvantages.

The Yoruba way of having a distinct mind and ability to vote differently is one of the greatest advantage because it makes politicians appease the Yorubas. You will have a mind that, this people might vote me and they might not. I can appease to 35% of them to vote me and leave the 65% to do what they will do either ways. Jonathan did it in 2011 and did it again in 2015. Atiku did it in 2019 and Atiku/Obi did it in 2023.

Like you said, Tinubu told his comrades that they don’t need to invest too much in campaigning in the SE because he knows there is nothing on earth he can do that will make them vote him. So to him, the SE is useless to his success and when he eventually won, he is not bounded by any fears of SE voting against him in the next election like he would towards the North. Infact he may choose to not construct one single runway in the SE and still win the next election. That is the danger of one-directional voting as a bloc. When you do that, you better succeed coz if not, politicians will see that the voting bloc is useless to them.

The strongest enemy is the one you can’t predict his moves. SE is not a strong enemy to any opposition politician, if not for the SS that always align in some brotherhood to the SE, you guys would have understood some things already about power games.

I’m glad that you acknowledge the fact that the Igbos voting pattern is not entirely a weakness. Because had Obi not contested the 2023 election, Atiku would be president by now because you know who Obi voters would have voted for.

So, why the voting pattern of the east is good is because once they are supporting you, you have the votes of the entire region and most politicians would want that.

Again, do not forget Igbo voters scattered all over the country. Their numbers are not that insignificant.

So, it would be perilous for any politician to think he can do without the east (SE/SS). Because if the PDP and LP join forces in 2027, Tinubu might be in for a long thing even though we won’t be expecting elections to count anyways.

Britishpea:
Security will improve
Eduction will improve

Economy will improve
Electricity Will improve
Tinubu has good hands to deploy to work. Contrary to what someone said above that Tinubu’s men ere heading nonsense states. All those people are fantastic guys under a transformative leader this is why the likes of Dele Alake, Wale Edun, Osinbajo, fashola, Opeyemi Bamidele, Aregbesola performed very well under Tinubu’ government as a governor. Buhari didn’t parade illiterates but when a leader appears to be semi illiterate with no dexterity the subjects will likely fail and this is not in the case of Tinubu. He’s smart, still cognitively sound and intelligent. Tinubu now has new crops of guys to inject into the system. Government operates on policy analysis and injections. Buhari won’t even understand the policy let alone the long and short term effect unlike Tinubu. That’s why Buhari failed.

Tinubu is a liberal man. I believe he purposely identified with Islam because of politics. He is not a core believer of any religion. Safe to say that it doesn’t mean he doesn’t believe in anything contrary to your point relative to this issue. He believes in God but he also believes that you have to do more of things with your God given strength. Money, wisdom, power to negotiate, convince and dislodge are strengths to him. The issue of religion can’t stand in this government. In fact I see more of those fake pastors being arrested soon. There will be a leveler among all believers in Nigeria under him.
Expect restructuring in all certainty which will be heralded by population exercise soon.

Tinubu will do well. Nigeria has been degenerated to a low. It will take a lot of hard decisions to get it moving in the right direction. Fingers crossed!

✅✅✅

seunmsg:
You got two things wrong in your assessment of the president. Asiwaju Bola Tinubu will never be an anti-Igbo president. Tinubu understands the Igbo hatred for Yoruba people long before he was even elected governor of Lagos state. That he tried to build a bridge with Igbo politicians despite the historical hatred shows he’s not a vindictive person.

A lot have been said about Tinubu appointing Igbos into his cabinet in Lagos, but beyond that, Tinubu supported Igbo businesses to grow. He supported Igbo politicians like Mbadinuju and Ngige who were orphaned in their own party. Tinubu is a deals man, he will make more attempt to make deals with Igbo leaders. He will not be antagonistic to the south east in anyway.

Secondly, Tinubu will not bring any Alpha beta kind of arrangement to the Federal Government. As president, you have access to unlimited resources already so you don’t need to go extra mile looking for resources. Again, Alpha beta was a child of necessity to support the opposition movement back then after AD lost the south west to PDP’s rigging in 2003.

Tinubu has achieved his lifelong ambition already, he doesn’t need an Alpha beta kind of war chest to fight any battle again. He’s an old man who has seen it all. He will simply do the best he can for Nigeria and go home thereafter.

Tinubu can’t be thinking of making deals with Igbos and his boys in Lagos will be thinking of making laws to target Igbo investments?

Or you don’t know that the law they talked about is being prepared for Igbos?

Dotherightthing:
Great piece!

I salute your objectivity

However, I trust Tinubu to do everything within his power to have the Igbos on his side.

And it's very easy to get the Igbos - appointments, appointments, appointments.

In no time, the core north will go against Tinubu based on his policies. The lopsidedness that he will correct won't go well with them.

The south and middle belt will be his saving grace.

It will be difficult for Tinubu to get back into the good books of the Igbos now. Especially when you consider the mess that the past election created between Yorubas and Igbos and how Tinubu boys in Lagos seem to be out to target Igbos and their businesses and investments in Lagos.

Does that look to you like someone willing to bring the Igbos close?

LegendHero:
I think Obi analysts fooled him or probably they made a mistake with the numbers they worked with. They thought there are more christians in the North than available. So, Obi gave the religious arm of the campaign to the pastors and instead focused more of deceiving the populace with “don’t vote me because I’m christian” to whitewash the propaganda.

I will say Labour Party played a smart game. If you check the election result, they cleared almost 85% of the Northern Christian votes. Now imagine we have lot of Northern christians or a 60/40% Muslim/Christian North, don’t you think Obi would have been president by now?

Lastly, Nigeria election is more than the masses. The masses are just pawns who indirectly dance to the tunes of the elite. If Obi like, he should give 1million each to all Muslim Northerner, they still won’t vote him just as the South Easterners won’t vote Tinubu in the last election. So why appeal to a base that won’t vote you? So It’s better to just appeal to your own base and go all out for it.

An example is Kwakwanso. That man should have been Obi VP, but he wouldn’t do that because he just can’t. He even prefers being a minister under a Tinubu than being a VP to Obi. You can see how the human mind and conviction work?

Obi’s analysts didn’t fool him anything.

Obi won the last election.

Why didn’t INEC allow transparency if they didn’t see that Obi was on course to victory?

Listen, the last thing Obi would have to himself during the election process was to lie to himself about his chances.

Obi was on course to victory before INEC happened.

Or you don’t see anything wrong in the conduct of the last election?

LegendHero:
Personally, I am more of a pro-Tinubu/pro-Yoruba than pro-APC. I am not sure if you can spot the difference but I know what I’m saying.


If General Enenche will be important in his campaign team and would deliver sizeable votes, why can’t he pitch it to the Obidient and get buy in? There are several people in his campaign team that are either with APC before (Kenneth), investigated by EFCC (Okupe) and etc. Does that stop him from including them in his campaign team?


GAC in Lagos are as powerful as Tinubu collectively. Also, Tinubu is somehow indifferent to Ambode and whether he goes or not, he dosen’t have that much personal interest in it. If he truly wants Ambode to continue, he will persuade the GAC and heaven will not fall.



@ the bolded, I don’t think you guys understand what’s called boldness or toughness. The only instance you always give is that Obi got his mandate back by fighting them Ngige et al. That is just the court doing and not about toughness that I’m talking about.

Tinubu fought against the federal government of a hardened man like Obasanjo. That is what is called true balls. An example of balls is how Tinubu stood against Buhari cabals in this last election, it it was Obi, he would have left APC before the primaries. But Tinubu came on TV and lashed out at Buhari Emilokan speech, told him he cried on TV and told him how he made him. Walahi, you might think what he said is normal, but only few men can get away with that.

Another example of balls is Tinubu withstanding the Naira change ambush, instead of isolating all Buhari men, he instead divided them and use them against Buhari cabals. He took everyone important to Buhari away from him, starting from his wife, his confidant El-Rufai, and most strong Northern politicians including the main ulamas and the Northern governors. He got so strong such that Buhari had to prove on Election Day that he voted Tinubu. To be honest too, Buhari himself is indifferent to Tinubu winning or losing, so he exerted minimal force against him but Buhari cabals are totally against him.



Yes, there are some things that cannot be said on the campaign ground. Also, restructuring cannot be done alone by the president and he needs the buy-in from the National Assembly. Tinubu is from a school of thought of restructuring and I’m pretty sure even without saying it, most people can predict his moves. However, I hope he also dosen’t get changed by the curse of Aso rock such that he overlook restructuring too like other presidents. He should at least grant state police even if he won’t do any other thing.

I don’t know why I’m getting Fergie001 vibes from you all of a sudden?

When did you become this reasonably engaging?🤔

happney65:
If Tinubu were to be progressive minded as you said, He would not have brought Buhari. He wouldn't.

Like I told people. He isn't different from Buhari. Infact he is a Buhari Pro Max. The coming weeks and months go show us the truth

It was politically expedient for him to. It was purely politics for him which I disagree with.

Tinubu knew Buhari was incompetent but he found his popularity useful.

His calculation was that if GEJ had won second tenure in 2015, by 2019, power would return to north.

By 2027 when power would have come back to the south again, he would be too old to contest.

That’s why he brought Buhari.

To him, Buhari was a necessary evil towards his ambition.

Bluntguy:
It's not appointments that gets the Igbos by your side as a Nigerian president. It is how far you go in healing the wounds of the past. You just need to make them feel wanted in the Nigeria project. Anything aside from that, you are in for a long tortuous journey in your presidency. The Igbos don't kowtow to anyone. You can count on them if they promise you their support. They don't pretend to like if you begin your government by marginalizing them. Tinubu's government is just a few days old so they are waiting to see where he leans. That will determine how his government fares in the next four years except the courts say that Peter Obi is the rightful winner of the last election.

You are right.

Unfortunately a lot of people don’t know this. They think if you appoint Igbos then you become a friend of the Igbos, no.

The Igbos will watch your consistent utterances and actions and behaviors towards them before they start to gravitate towards you and take you as a friend or as an ally.

If you try to pretend to like us, we will see through your pretense from a million miles away and resist you with more aggression.

Buhari tried to pretend to like Igbos by choosing Igbos twice as his running mate but we saw through him and was never deceived. We ended up being proven right when he eventually got power and became a disaster who doesn’t like anyone but his fellow Fulanis.

You don’t impress Igbos with appointments. You impress us by becoming our friend in truth and in spirit.

Usonkwu:
If Tinubu was so concerned about security, he wouldn't have opposed the cashless policy so strongly. Buhari bungled it, sure. But it's about the best policy from that administration, for me.
I predict a steep decline in security if the supreme court rules against cbn by December.

The reason Tinubu and his men went against the cashless policy was because it was making the APC more unpopular and further damaging the party’s chances at the polls.

Again, the policy denied Tinubu the deployment of the huge stockpile of cash he would have used for vote buying across country which would have helped him have a less contentious ‘victory’.

It’s not because they didn’t know that the policy has some good side too.

Zxcvbnmghtr:
Another new convert. Am a convert too. Penguin2 there is nothing to be ashamed of. Our goal is to flourish in the prosperity we all deserve from Nigeria. Like some other converts have said. "I don't care anymore if Obi is not president. All I care about is a working Nigeria and so far Tinubu has been on the right track, if he will be able to fulfill our dreams, what else matters".

I have no doubt that once the 10th Assembly kicks off, Nigeria will take off on a high. I wish you the best penguin2. Cheers!

Go back and read my disclaimer; it’s the first paragraph.

Don’t make me insult you by calling me any convert. You have been warned.

happney65:
Dear Penguin,

I didn't want to reply this post but my spirit keeps on pushing me back. I want you to bookmark this and come back to it in about a year or so may the universe grant us good life.

You see there is little or no difference in Tinubu and Buhari and you are already falling for the same set of propaganda they deployed in 2015.

Referring to Buhari's appointees as almost illeterates is unfortunate. Adamu Adamu might be a nonesense minister of Education, but he isn't an illeterates as he is a PHD Holder. So therefore Tinubu's appointees won't be different from that of Buhari.

I mean Buhari's appointees might be mostly of his ethnic block but they were Men and women of timber and calibre. They couldn't perform because their head which is the president do not seen to know what he is doing.

Claiming Tinubu has best hands is also a fallacy. Apart from Lagos, The other states in the SW his people were in charge are nonesense states. Osun state was the Poverty capital of the SW courtsey of Tinubu's right hand Man aregbesola.

Or is it Ekiti? That place is more or less a dead zone. Even Lagos under him became the second worst city to live in the world.

Let's not talk about Lagos itself because even if you put a 10year old as Govornor it can run with or without his input. It was made possible being former federal capital of Nigeria and not the magic of Tinubu

2. Claiming security will improve under Tinubu is a fallacy as there will be little or no difference in the current security architecture.

You referred to the security architecture established by Govornors of the SW which is Amotekun.

Let me bust your brain. It is only Lagos in the SW that doesn't have a single Amotekun force despite sanwo Olu attending their summits.

The creation of Amotekun has helped the SW a lot most especially Oyo state. Yet Tinubu's Lagos do not have one single Amotekun officer because of Tinubu's ambition and not wanting to offend the North.

You see he owes the North,He dare not do anything against them. He wants to be president just to answer the name. He won't do anything spectacular. We will only be taxed more.

No restructuring will happen under him. That I am sure about. Maybe some might happen if Akpabio becomes Senate president on Tuesday which I hope he does.

But if the North becomes Senate president,just forget the Tinubu presidency because they will have him by his scrotum.

The so-called subsidy removal is for government to have more money to embezzle and not for nothing else. It will only lead to more hardship for Nigerians and nothing more.

If I can remember the others you talked about I'll come edit this post

Thanks

I don’t like Tinubu’s face at all, but we have to give it to him that he’s a progressive minded person even though he has a lot of flaws and baggages.

Unlike Buhari who is an ascetic Muslim and feels luxury and having things that make life easy is Haram, Tinubu, being a Yoruba is about the Owambe vibes, the party, the rice, the meat.

Being someone who likes luxury, I see him working to ensure that things that make life enjoyable are available for Nigerians. From improvements in electricity and all.

At the end of the day, I might be wrong, and you will be right, or you might be wrong and I will be right.

We keep fingers crossed.

Impera:
This piece is well researched and not far from the truth on all points. Are you a psychologist?

Lol! No.

I’m a philosopher.

Disclaimer: This is not that your “Obidients are converting to Tinubu supporters” bullshit. This piece is clearly informed by unbiased logical and critical analysis as informed by reason unlike some folks who close their eyes to truth because if they admit it, it will hurt their divide.

With the above having been stated, I want to try to predict what a Tinubu Government will be like.

Everyone knows that Peter Obi is my candidate and my support for him is borne out of informed conviction that he is the best man for the job and would help Nigeria build strong institutions rather than strong individuals as is presently the case. And while we await for the courts to give their verdict on Obi’s petition before them, I will be giving my prediction in supposition that Tinubu will be president for 4 years at least.

GENERAL OVERVIEW
No Nigerian needs an analysis to agree that Buhari’s 8 years was a mistake we should have avoided was it not some people’s greed. Every sector of the economy went on downward spiral until they all hit rock buttom. It was one of the major reasons why a lot of voters didn’t find Tinubu’s APC attractive anymore but he won anyways; even if we have misgivings on how he won. Now he’s here, what do I think he would do differently? I’ll tell you by trying to itemize them into different subheadings for better understanding and so this piece doesn’t get clumsy.

APPOINTMENTS
One of the things Buhari got wrong was appointments. He appointed only people of his ethnic stock. But that wasn’t the problem. The problem was that these people he was appointing were average at best, and stark illiterates most of the time. Somehow however, supporters of his party, including Tinubu supporters, cheered him on and said he was free to appoint only people from Daura if he wished to. Buhari was emboldened by that and he continued. The end result was the disaster his government turned out to become. But it is imperative to state that Buhari’s government didn’t fail because he appointed majorly only Fulanis to positions, no, his government failed because those he appointed, most of the time, had no idea what the hell they were supposed to do (the ex-Minister of Education corroborated this when he said he had no idea of what he was supposed to do in Education ministry when he was appointed).

But Tinubu…
Just like Buhari, he is most likely going to give more appointments to people of his ethnic stock (Yoruba) although not to the level of Buhari (nobody can be worse than Buhari). The only difference however is that the Yorubas Tinubu is going to appoint are going to be bright and sound minds, accomplished in their own rights. Yes, that’s where Tinubu is different from Buhari. Because while Buhari is surrounded majorly by illiterates, Tinubu has a sea of intelligentsia and competent people surrounding him. And so, even though Tinubu would be rewarding his boys, the boys are great minds who are most likely going to deliver in any mandate they are given which would help things move in the positive direction.

SECURITY
Deep down his heart, Tinubu is pained by the daily massacre of Nigerians all over the country by bandits (baptismal name of Fulani herdsmen). The only reason Tinubu has never been vocal about this is because he didn’t want to offend the north and the northern establishment where he was hoping to get votes from during elections.

What happened during Southwest herdsmen crisis should tell you where he stands. During that time when herdsmen were ravaging the Southwest, the governors of the region came together to form a regional security network and Tinubu never opposed it. Need I tell you it got his closet approval?

So, in security, Tinubu is going to appoint competent hands to head various security agencies with matching orders to halt the killings perpetuated by these marauders. So, I am seeing a tremendous increase in security situation due to increased offensive against the insurgents.

Tinubu is aware of the Fulani expansionist agenda which is aimed at forcefully taking lands from the aborigines of different peoples of Nigeria and trust me when I tell you that Tinubu does not like that at all. He knows he was going to go against a lot of Fulani interests which is why he chose a Kanuri man, another aboriginal Nigerian as his Vice President. The Kanuris has a lot of scores to settle with the Fulanis as do the Fulanis with the Kanuris which makes them not to be best of friends. Recall that Usman Danfodio was defeated by the Kanuris which halted his Jihad into that part of the country and is the reason the Emirs of Maiduguri are not Fulanis.

In a nutshell, so I don’t confuse you, I predict tremendous increase in security under Tinubu as he would ruthlessly deal with the perpetrators, and even their sponsors where he can.

SUBSIDY
Subsidy should have gone in 2012. It is the reason why some of us have misgivings with Tinubu because of the kind of vicious politics he played with the issue of subsidy in 2012. Tinubu knew better than what he did than. He knew that subsidy payment was crippling the resources of the Federal Government but he still went ahead to mobilize protesters against that fantastic decision and bullied Jonathan into rescinding the decision (I blame Jonathan for being so weak). Had subsidy been removed in 2012, we would have forgotten about its harsh effects as alternatives would have emerged and Nigerians adjusted as we always do.

But like someone said, “the best time to remove subsidy was in 2012, the next best time is now”. So, subsidy has to go no matter how painful the side effects may be. The currents are like the bitter pills we have to swallow to cure our malaria.

What some of us are saying, however, is that the removal should have been phased, as proposed by Peter Obi. While cushionary measures should have been set up before the removal as against this brigandage approach with which the entire process was handled.

Now, with subsidy removal, more funds will be available to the FG to share with State Governments. This increase in funds is most likely going to help government at all levels to embark on more lofty and life changing projects for the public good; for those that want to work. While it might mean more money to steal for criminals in power.

RESTRUCTURING
Tinubu didn’t mention restructuring in his manifesto so as not to offend his northern friends and the northern oligarchs, but believe me when I say that Tinubu will, or at least attempt to, restructure this country.

Recall that during his time as Lagos Governor, he increased the number of Local Governments in Lagos from 20 to 60 (I can’t recall the exact number). His argument then was that if Kano State with lesser population than Lagos can have 44 Local Governments, then Lagos deserves more. It was this issue to brought him at loggerheads with then president Obasanjo who asked that Tinubu revert to old 20 Local Governments structure or the FG would no longer release Local Governments funds for Lagos State. Tinubu refused to revert to old 20 Local Governments and Obasanjo seized Local Governments allocations for Lagos State. Lagos Government then took the FG to court and won, which is why the new Local Governments that Tinubu created still stands till today; though not addressed as Local Governments. Other states later took a cue from Lagos and created more administrative areas out of their existing Local Governments.

So, with the above background, you should know that Tinubu has a lot of disagreements with Nigeria’s current structure and would definitely want to look into it. I’ve heard that landmass is part of the calculation for sharing formula from FAAC. Such barbaric calculation was definitely done to favour northern states which has more landmass. I doubt Tinubu will tolerate such calculation anymore.

Similarly, it’s most likely he might introduce State and Community Policing. Maybe not in the way Obi may have proposed in his manifesto but I envisage Tinubu restructuring the policing system to ensure it’s closer to the communities to ensure better security. Remember he introduced RRS in Lagos.

Apart from the police, I equally envisage him unbundling a lot of things that northern establishment has refused to unbundle for a long time because the deliberate imbalance was benefiting the north.

RELIGION
Forget Muslim-Muslim ticket, Tinubu is an Agnostic. Agnostics are people who don’t believe in anything; not in God nor in Satan, nor in powers of spirits. I might be wrong about the details of his believe system but I think Tinubu purposely chose to publicly identify as a Muslim for political reasons. I am surprising that after studying the dynamics of Nigerian politics, he felt he would probably achieve more, and get the north to trust him more, if he identified as a Muslim. So, it is my thinking that Tinubu doesn’t really believe in Allah nor His teachings nor in any moral code; Tinubu has his own moral code. I would want to think that Tinubu believes more in the power of money, strategy and brute force where money and strategy fails. That’s why he lobbies a lot; making deals. He’d offer money to those who can take money, offer position to those who want position and find a way to dislodge anyone who refuses his entreaty.

What I’m saying here is that Nigerians may not have to worry much about Tinubu and his Vice President being Muslim because the President believes in nothing; except money is a religion. As such, I see the religion or adherents of any religion being shortchanged. Tinubu has never showed signs of extremism in the past.

DOWNSIDES
Having mentioned the good things to expect from Tinubu, I want to conclude this piece with the downside of what a Tinubu government portends.

IGBOS:
When Tinubu first came into politics in 1999, he extended hands of friendship to the Igbos. This he did by appointing some Igbos into his cabinet. His intention was to try to build a bridge between the East and the West so they can unite and challenge the north with common and united front. But I think Tinubu’s frosty and messy relationship with Obasanjo caused his image to dented amongst the Igbos who saw Obasanjo as a friend of Ndigbo. Having seen that Igbos have taken the side of Obasanjo, Tinubu the abandoned any further push towards friendship with the Igbos and chose rather to align with the north against the East. This decision further damaged Tinubu’s image in the East and amongst Igbos who now became his most vicious opponents.

Having achieved power, I envisage a subtle sustenance of the age long Nigerian State policy of “Never Allow the Igbos Rise Again”(NAIRA). I say this because Tinubu no longer hides his disdain for the region and its people which was corroborated by his erstwhile supporter and former SGF, Babachir Lawal who said Tinubu asked them not to go to the Southeast during campaign for the APC primaries. So, Igbos should not expect anything from Tinubu’s government. This is not to say that he will not do one or two projects in the East, but overall the affairs of the East would be least of Tinubu Government’s preoccupation. The only thing is that the Southeast would benefit from some of the unbundling that Tinubu will do through restructuring.

ALPHA BETA/TAXES
Tinubu commissioned Alpha Beta to collect Lagos Government taxes towards the tail end of his administration as Lagos governor. Granted that the company has helped Lagos increase their IGR and eliminated a lot middlemen who would have been pilfering large chunk of the IGR, people have consistently expressed misgivings with the percentage this company takes on every amount it generates. But despite accusations, Lagos has retained Alpha Beta as its tax collector.

I might be wrong, but I won’t be surprised if Tinubu attempts to make Alpha Beta the agency in charge of revenue collection for the Federal government. The only thing here is that to make that happen, he must go through the NASS. Would the NASS approve it? No one knows; but Tinubu has his ways.

Again, I see increase in taxes and widening of the tax net. So, Nigerians should be prepared to start paying tax on a lot of things. Just as those who have never paid taxes in their life should get ready to start paying taxes.

EMPOWERMENT OF CRONIES:
Tinubu will empower his cronies and his boys/men; and he has a lot them. News is already circulating that his government plans to sell some of NNPC assets. Don’t be surprised when you see his business associates winning bids to buy those assets and even many more that would come in future.

CONCLUSION
I didn’t intend for this piece to be this voluminous but it ended up becoming so. But I need any reader who would read this to understand the submissions above are purely my personal opinion as informed by reason and devoid of any political, ethnic and primordial sentiments and biases.

So, while I hope that the courts will do justice and return Peter Obi as the duly elected President from the 2023 presidential election in Nigeria, I am predicting a positive presidency for Tinubu supposing he was to be there to be ther for four years.

But as with all social experiments that is always at the mercy of rational actors and unintended variables, the predictions above are subject to social and political variables that may alter one or two positions differently.

Penguin is a bird of reason!!!

Nlfpmod
Mynd44

wahalawahala:
headless chickens...no be wetin una talk when the statement was issued . We all saw how u guys were having orgasms and applauding the nonsense but u don dey change mouth again say na Tinubu😂... You two faced hypocrites 🙄

You and who is una?

Can you show me what I said about it?🤔

homosapien:
One thing you can't take away from politics is lobbying. You lobby your political associate to achieve your goals.

How much dollar did Buhari spend to clinch APC presidential tickets during his first term??

Obi doesn't have that charismatic nature of taking the bull by the horn. It played out in Rivers when he went to see wike.

Imagine how Tinubu went about convincing wike to work for him and how Obi went about the whole thing.

I respect Obi because of what he was able to achieve for himself as person, but when it comes to politics, he is still in learning phase.

You are a child if you think it was Tinubu that convinced Wike to work for him.

What made Wike work for Tinubu is the fear of Igbos, that’s all.

Wike, being an Ikwerre, felt an Obi presidency might give Igbos too much power that would affect them who claim not to be Igbos.

You know what, I don’t think you understand what I’m talking about, so, no need.

LegendHero:
He will attempt to take tough decision but he will backtrack if he face backlash. That is one thing I’ve noticed about Peter Obi.

During the campaign, there are multiple times he take some decision that are not pleasing to his mobs, he always backtrack and delete them back and change stance easily. It’s not neccessary a bad thing, but as a Nigerian president, you must not always bow to pressure because no matter what you do whether good or bad, pressure will be exerted.

If he faces backlash from big men with better power, he will soften and I’m saying this because it’s very evident in his demeanor.

Even Atiku dosen’t seem tough enough to me too.

There are few politicians that are truly tough:
Tinubu, Wike, Fashola, Soludo, Kwakwanso, Oshiomole, and etc.

So you have this rationality and objectivity in you but you always choose to suspend them and argue illogically in support of a lot of Tinubu and APC’s unreasonable decisions and actions?

The one thing I like about this your comment is how you were able to logically lay your premises and derive your conclusion from them; even though your conclusion is erroneous.

Granted, there were times Obi had wanted to do some things during the electioneering campaigns but he backtracked after Obidients kicked against it. One instance is the inclusion of General Enenche in the campaign council. Left for Obi, General Enenche would have retained his place in the council, but since majority of Obidients opposed it, Obi had to backtrack.

But it happens to everyone. Are you aware that Tinubu, on his personal level, had no issues with Ambode returning as governor in 2019? But because majority of the members of the powerful Governor Advisory Council felt Ambode went against their interest and opposed his re-election, Tinubu had to agree with them for Ambode to go. Tinubu would have been firm and insisted on Ambode returning but he risked losing his lieutenants which would be fatal.

So, I just need you to understand that campaigns and governance are two different periods. Obi knew he needed the crowd of Obidients to win and that’s why he pandered to them. Because if he didn’t, he risked losing the wave which would have been fatal to the momentum he was going into the election with.

But had he been declared, it would have been different. Because by then he wouldn’t mind how his tough decisions are seen as long as he knows that the people would realize later that it was for good when the fruit of the action starts coming. But this is a luxury of time he didn’t have during the campaigns.

And taking a cue from his time in Anambra, you would know that Obi is one of the toughest Nigerians alive. Don’t let the demeanor deceive you.

I’ll leave you with one last note, are you aware Tinubu is going to restructure this country? But he didn’t say it during his campaigns so he doesn’t offend some certain demography where he was looking to get votes from. It’s called tact, it’s not weakness.

As usual, Tinubu has recruited faceless idiots to issue statements in the name of Ohaneze to make it seem like Ohaneze is defending a criminal who the rest of Nigeria is celebrating his arrest.

That’s how they bought and commissioned another idiot who calls himself Okechukwu Isiguzoro to issue scrupulous statements in the name of Ohaneze during the elections.

What we don’t understand is why Tinubu and Owambe boys are going this far just to tarnish the name of Igbos.

Or are they so threatened by Igbos?

Lol!

Una carry Amobi Ogah dey get hope.

We have called him to order and he must vote whoever LP chooses on that day.

He’s now a person of interest and any further deviations from him will earn him a recall.

He can dare if he wishes. While Agbado Owambe boys can cheer him on like they cheered Chimaroke into oblivion.

Acekidc4:
It was children of hate that was peddling fake news Upandan. Useless Mofos

Don’t accuse any children of hate sir.

Dem don call Tinubu for phone.

Owners of Nigeria have called him not to touch their boy.

You think Kyari is Emefiele that is Igbo?

zubby4567:
They are I pass there dis morning even the taxi drivers confirm it and that even some task force fight them but d militant injured many of them

Touts are already injuring people in Abuja? Wow!

And MC Oluomo never relocate o…

Abuja is about to enter a long thing.

drlateef:
Very stupid report. When Obi supporters were in protesting in front of court, was it because of overwhelming evidence that Obi was going to lose?

But lost; at least INEC said so. So, it’s customary to see someone who lost protesting as expression of his disagreement with the outcome.

Now, why is Tinubu protesting?

honeyB2018:
I don't wish Lagos State bad, but I have warned both Lagos and all political leaders in the South West. The amount of investment not withstanding, you don't threaten investors in your land.
Go to PH, look at Trans- Amadi Industrial Estate, go to Warri, see their sea port, go to NPA quarters, it has all been a shadow of itself.
It all began when investors and non- Indigenes were threatened. Lagos State be wise. Your economy in the next 10-15, will not be pleasant at all.

“That men don’t learn from history, is the biggest lesson of history.”

Mantilla:
Where in Owerri is this beach located

Igara, Oguta.