₦airaland Forum

casualobserver:
Look. Ordinarily these elections don’t mean anything. These elections were significant for the following reasons:

1: it shows governors matter
2: it shows that despite hardship, the electorate are not as against Tinubu as online media will have you believe.
3: it shows the ADC members are not as influential as they claim…..even Obi!
4: it shows Obi will not perform as well in the Christian North. The religious card of 2023 is gone! That will affect his votes in SW and middle belt!
5: it shows Obi rigged a lot of SE votes.
6: it was the 1st test of the coalition and they were humiliated…..even though it was a bye election, it matters!
7: it shows Obi won’t pull as many gotes even in his SE!

It is instructive to note that at the victory rally Soludo raised the hand of the senator elect and told the crowd that while Anambra is APGA but we are sending him to Abuja not to do opposition but to do alliance with the progressives in aAbuja to o which the crowd applauded! I believe SS governors were afraid to be seen to work against their own in 2023. But the defections in the SS has woken them up.

Obi will do well in the SE in presidential elections but what that statement says to me is that SE governors are going to work hard to deliver votes for Tinubu in 2027 and make it harder for Obi to rig. Again like I said this is governors are important. Recent statements by Orji Kalu and Umahi reinforce the realization by SE politicians, that they need to work hard to deliver votes for Tinubu otherwise they won’t stand a chance against the SS when next presidency returns to the south. Like I always say, the entire SW votes are up for grabs from 2031-2055 as we shall not be on the ballot!

The only thing you said here that I agree with is that governors matter. Anyone who denies that governors matter is lying to himself. But their influence is not beyond their SSAs and the numbers their SSAs can influence and maybe the security architecture under their command.

But saying Obi rigged Southeast is just big fat lie. I’ll tell you again that the numbers Tinubu got in Imo and Ebonyi was manufactured by Umahi and Uzodimma.

Will Obi get the votes of Christian north? Only time will tell.

But if we diagnose the Christian north, the only part of Christian north that has experienced something different under Tinubu regime is Southern Kaduna with the restoration of security and the establishment of FMC and a Federal University.

But apart from Southern Kaduna, would you say the same of Plateau and Benue where killings have but doubled? Or Benue and Plateau have no brains? They will still queue up and vote Tinubu abi?

Cherrybae:
Why are you not responding to those who referred you to your previous comment where you boasted ADC will sweep the two seats in Anambra.

You asked you be bookmarked. I'm shocked you have shifted goal post bow to off cycle.

Try and be calculative before you say anything.

All your ordinations none has ever come to past.

I bet you, I will do everything to get your moniker banned for life on Nairaland if you predict anything again and it's fails and you fail to take responsibility or appologize.

Bookmark this my comment.

Enough of this shifting of goal post with cheap excuses.

Accept your party lost, go back and strategize than shifting goal pist

Talk to me when INEC starts conducting credible elections.

My predictions are always based on things happening as they are designed to be.

But when you organize the kind of elections that brought Okpebholo as governor in Edo, you have no right to come here and mock the failure of my predictions.

helinues:
Okay. So ADC and SDP are not also on the ballot? You knew the bye election is not organic yet you claimed ADC would win in Anambra state

We bookmarked your comments by saving the screenshot for future purpose.

You know up till this moment, you are yet to have a single accurate analysis or support on this forum

Because INEC shut down IREV in 2023?

And did you lots not say Obi will not get up to 1million votes in the last election? Was your own prediction right?

sreamsense:
You and many like you always like to dwell in self deceit by always finding formular and excuses to console yourselves even failure. If it were ADC or LP that won well yesterday, in your logical mind; it will determine 2027, right? By now, many obidients would have flooded social media mocking APC and Tinubu. How is it hard for you to understand on time that ADC or LP have been rejected and thrown to the dustbins? Don't you know yesterday election would reshape opinion of people that are considering to join ADC or LP?

People that have decamped will be regretting and doubting themselves in secret that they are assemblies of rejected people. What else do you expect in 2027 that is not close? Obi can't win southern Kaduna again because of Tinubu inclusive governance to them, now you saw how they voted for APC yesterday. Obi can't win Lagos again, Obi can't win Abuja again. Those who are sharp and intelligent in south south have seen the handwriting in the walls and they quickly aligned with APC while you are still consoling yourself in political failure. You will see that Delta and Akwa Ibom will be happy with that yesterday results and will be proud that they made right decision on time. This will make many ordinary south south voters to give their votes to Tinubu/APC in 2027; Obi votes from South south will be reduced.

South east alone can't make him president. Obi criticizing everything blindly in Tinubu governments including what is clear to majority as good policies to be seeing as major political opposition is only exposing himself to be incompetent especially when he counters with unverified statistics to dish out lies that easily bursted. Even Tinubu will get more votes in the south east in 2027 than he did on 2023 while Obi will get less votes from south west and south south than he did in 2023

Don’t rejoice too early.

Even Tinubu knows that he cannot be confident of anything based on yesterday’s election.

The off cycle election is not usually organic. Only mobilized voters go to polling stations which makes the best mobilizer win.

helinues:
Weekend wey go flenjo, you should start seeing the sign on Friday

ADC and LP won zero seat.

The politicians which you guys are claiming have one vote, you people forgot that they also have loyal supporters that are ready to follow any direction they take.

The bye election is a clear sign that the coalition/opposition don't stand a chance in 2027

Labour Party was not on the ballot yesterday and you know this. Stop being mischievous.

Again, one thing I noticed about off cycle elections is that it’s not organic. It’s usually won by the candidate who mobilizes the highest voters to the polling stations.

The Bye Election has come and gone and winners declared by INEC .

But one thing that stood out to all political watchers is that the supposed coalition party candidates didn’t win any of the contested seats across the states. This has made naysayers to begin to write off the coalition already; declaring that 2027 is already a done deal for Tinubu. But is it?

Should we judge 2027 by results of this bye election? I guess not.

You know why? Because people are rarely interested in these bye elections unlike the general election where there’s usually almost a nationwide lockdown and people are eager to go out and vote.

Or should we expect that this is what 2027 will look like?

alsudan:
Politics is not emotions.

Worst is, the North will get back to power in 2031.

But if Obi refuses to Deputize Atiku and Tinubu wins, can you guess when an Igbo Man will be anywhere around the Presidency? Not in the Next 32 Years Minimum.

If the SE like, let them fall for the South West Propaganda of Obi Presidency or Nothing.

Same SW deputized under Buhari, today they occupy the Number 1 Seat.

Bottom line is, if Obi doesn't get to Aso Villa as President or Vice in 2027, the Igbo Presidency Agenda is Dead and Buried.

Shove the “Igbo presidency” balderdash in your behind.

Do we look like we care?

We’ve not been president nor vice for nearly 50 years and we are still the richest tribe in Nigeria and will continue to be. So, you don’t threaten us with that rubbish.

You lots can queue up and vote for Tinubu in 2027. And when he’s done, let him handover to the north with another Yoruba as Vice President. And when they are done, let another Yoruba become president.

And through that circle, the north will still be the most backward region in Nigeria playing catch up to the Southeast.

So, tell your people to keep the presidency for a 100 years.

And goodluck with that.

mirrael68:
This submission makes all the sense available. The North can't always eat their cake and still have it. Their cup is full, it's pay back time. It's either Tinubu continues or Obi comes in. Most likely I believe Tinubu will continue and completely or significantly undo all their strangle hold in vital sectors of the economy. This will force the North to look inwards and come up with vital self discovery for survival thats unique to them outside power play all the time that's done nothing for the common man. It's a great time to be alive in Nigeria to see real change loading.

Completely right!

I had this argument with some guy on Twitter who was trying to preach to me on how Obi should accept to be Atiku’s running mate in 2027 so that ‘Igbos can get into the corridors of power’.

I told him one thing, the north keeps playing that game with us and it’s time we stopped them from using us. And this is not even any southern solidarity nonsense, it’s the fact that the north needs to be taught that they are not the only ones who know how to play the power game.

So, in 2027, if they are tired of Tinubu, let them support Obi and Obi alone as the alternative.

If they are not ready, then let Tinubu finish his 8 years. And just like you have said, I trust Tinubu and Wike to break every stranglehold they have anywhere when they return for second term.

We won’t be the worst off.

kedeojo:
obi is out of the equation. Northerners expecially the core north will never support Obi a known tribal and religious bigot to be president.

Congratulations to you and those who made the calculation.

benzion72:
Hope you can say that of President Trump

In Trump’s case, America didn’t have an alternative to Trump. It just had to be Trump.

But is that the case with Nigeria now?

Is GEJ the only person that can get the job done?

APC can transmit results electronically and have the ability to see real-time results but INEC can’t.

Fools will still defend INEC.

ogascomax:
Remove Obi because as far as the North are concern Obi does not exist in the North. Why do you think they are courting Jonathan. If Jonathan knows that the coast is clear then nothing can stop him from winning. So he need to have assurance that Atiku will sit aside. It's high time you guess stopped thinking that Obi will be allowed to win 2027 election. He has only one base right now, which is South East. Those numbers he had in the last election he won't have them this time.

What will happen to those numbers?

Whose base is South South?

And who will win the Christian North?

destinychildolu:
Don't tell me you are not smart. It's all part of the game. APC doesn't want Obi and Atiku together. So in your mind, you think Obi will win against Tinubu? Don't play. He can't get a total of 500k votes in North West and North East.

You people swore Obi will not win 1 local government in 2023.

Did you not?

Kukutente23:
@fergie001
So what was the final decision of the court in the case?
That's the important thing not a counter affidavit that inec refused to take a stand on all the while the confusion was ongoing
I heard the court gave judgement in favor of Abure. If that's correct then the affidavit is not worth the ink in which it was typed

Finish the report na. Didn’t you read this?

The court struck out Abure’s suit which is what actually elicited celebration in Nenadi Usman’s camp.

INEC has used their own mouth to say that they recognize the Supreme Court judgment under oath.

fergie001:
I shouted myself hoarse on this.
So INEC knew what to do all this while yet...... Better late than never!

Penguin2... as usual!

The game is the game.
Peter Obi will likely contest as President on this platform.

The only good thing about this is that it relieves Otti.

I eagerly waited for this.

My happiness is that those who thought they could threaten Obi with having no platform to run in 2027 and wanted to sandwich him into accepting to be Atiku’s running mate, have lost.

So, ADC should do proper or we are out.

I’ve been one of the biggest GEJ apologists since his ouster from power in 2015.

But if he fails to see the game they are trying to use him to play and falls for it, then I will agree with Baba Obasanjo that he’s truly “clueless”.

How does one leave the status of statesmanship and the global phenomenon that he has become to start running around for campaign?

What if he loses? Do you know what that will do to his brand?

In 2027, the north would have to choose between Obi’s presidency and Tinubu’s continuity.

The ball is in their court.

I have no words for her.

I just pity the young girls they usually deceive with their useless assertions.

They say stupid things about men by day and go behind to bend over for doggy at night.

Men are the prize!

Yoruba is now the synonym for Merit.

Because all other nepotistic appointments have also been on ‘merit’.

All of a sudden, only Yorubas have capacity in Nigeria.

Okay na.

I wish people can know that anything owned by a Catholic priest belongs to the church and not his family especially if he registered such property in his name.

The only way the church will lose this kind of case is if the CofO of the contested property is registered in another person name.

But if it’s registered in the priest’s name, it belongs to the church even if he built it in his village.

It’s one of the downsides of priesthood.

AngelicBeing:
Let me shock you, Tinubu gave me 500 million dollars to bribe voters and l am in the Hotel now, arranging the money for voters and INECK officials, don't tell anyone ooo 😜 Muchecheche 😂

Say cheese 🤓

ogascomax:
That will not stop them to decamp to APC later. Politicians are betrayers like those LP law makers who later moved.

Dem no born any Anambra lawmaker well to defect to APC.

Doing that is tantamount to political suicide. That’s why nobody dares do it.

esnbrutality:
All these points you raised, which are valid, will make RONU-bandits avoid this thread

Lol!

They are allergic to logic.

Very robotic set of humans

fergie001:
INEC is wiser.
They will not exclude the party logo from the ballot.

Oh!

That means Labour Party logo will also be on the ballot then?

seunmsg:
Only Peter Obi and his gang of hate filled obidients are blind to the efforts of Mr. President.

Efforts of Mr President?

I’m sure you are referring to him making more funds available to states through removal of subsidy.

But lemme ask you, where Ogun State’s achievement from the more cash made available to them?

Where is Ondo’s achievement?

Ekiti nko?

Whilst we hold our governors by the highest of standards and are their greatest critics, you are cool with your governors’ ineptitude as long as they are singing Tinubu’s “on your mandate.”

Shame!

Government of the Yoruba by the Yoruba and for the Yoruba.

Make una enjoy!

Election is on Saturday.

Today is Thursday.

That’s one day to election.

And now, court is ordering INEC to enlist SDP candidates for the election after INEC has printed Ballot Papers for the election.

What that means is that the Saturday Bye-election haff dabaru.

Because INEC cannot reprint new ballot papers within tomorrow alone.

And if they go ahead with the election, they will be in contempt of court; rendering the election null and void.

In trying to do the bidding of their paymasters, INEC shot themselves on the leg.

ADC will win the two seats up for grabs in Anambra on Saturday.

Bookmark this.

Not even the worst of rigging will save Solo Nwamgbafor.

Baba wants to go to the hospital.

After that, he will go to Brazil to supervise the new drug shipping channel that he’s establishing through Brazil and Saint Lucia (allegedly)😏

Finally, someone in their circle has openly said what their aim is.

Trust me we are not surprised at all because we know that this has been their aim but unfortunately Peter Obi no be small meat.

You wonder why they are so afraid of him since they claim he’s unpopular.

They know Obi beat Tinubu blue and black in 2023, and with the hunger Tinubu has now sponsored on Nigerians, Obi will add more colours to the beating in 2027.

And hey, Obi will be on the ballot in 2027.

helinues:
Pdp was doing fine until Peter Obi joined and carry his bad luck to the party.

The Pan Africa movement was doing good until Peter Obi joined and then the movement became a shadow of itself

The LP that was doing just fine before Peter Obi joined, what can you say about the party today.

Peter Obi is the mutual bad luck to anything he touches

How many Governors had LP before Obi joined, and how has it now?

How many senators had LP before Obi and how many has it now?

How many Rep Members had the party before Obi and how many has it now?

How many House of Assembly Members had LP before Obi and how many has it now?

The report said PDP has credible candidates.

And then went on to mention Solo Makinde and Bala Mohammed.

I laugh.

In fact PDP should merge two of them as Presidential Candidate and Running and have fun.

PDP died the day Obi left.