₦airaland Forum

Blakjewelry:
Perhaps you haven't meet that someone you will cherish their presence.

I guess so

Hmmmm

I’m not married and I don’t think I’m ever getting married.

I get easily irritated with women being around me for long.

I’m just comfortable with fvck and go.

Maybe if I ever decide to marry, my wife would be staying in Enugu while I stay in Lagos. I will just be visiting her once in a month and sometimes 2 months.

Anything other than that, I might seek for divorce within one month.

buhariguy:
hope and okorocha will vote for obi, are you happy now

You know I purposely didn’t bother replying your mention because you are out of touch with reality by a million miles and it’s needless engaging you.

I agree with you that Obi will not win a single Local Government Area in Nigeria even in Anambra.

Are you happy now?

DadaHammed:
The guy siddon for Iragbiji dey write nonsense. Let him wear any shirt with APC on it and walk on Ihiala-Orlu road and see if him eye no go see him ear that day.

Lol

Devil Umahi engaging in the last kick of a dying man.

He will be roundly defeated come 2023.

Roboto11:
Hope he would continue after Obi loses next year?

Obi will win.

Thank you

Obi might just pull a stunt and win Kaduna.

I hear he’s garnering a lot of support in the state.

Not just from Southern Kaduna but also from the Muslim side of Kaduna because of Yusuf Datti.

Surprises await us in 2023.

DadaHammed:
If you carry APC flag in Orlu, Orsu or Oru today as we speak, you will be burnt alive go and ask his right hand man C.O.C Akaolisa who is from Awo-Idemili in Orsu LGA.

Not a single APC banner or poster exists in those areas. Even Uzodinma knows this. APC politicians from those areas don't even go home. They've all fled their ancestral homes ... . Put call and verify.

You are the one deceiving yourself.

Leave that guy and his delusion.

You know they’ve never been to Southeast. They just sit wherever and make spurious claims.

They don’t know that APC is like taboo in the Southeast.

If not for result that Hope Uzodimma wrote, what would he be doing in Imo government house? And somebody will be using Uzodimma to have hope of delivering votes to Tinubu.

Let those people come to any market square in Imo and say they came to campaign for APC na.

garfield1:
It is impossible to have a non rigged elections

And that’s Tinubu’s only hope, right?

That no matter the reforms, he must find a way to rig the election?

Does a popular candidate depend on rigging to win an election?

VULCAN:
It's actually you that is an idiot because no sensible economist in the world will back up your statement.

A country that exports nothing apart from crude oil and imports expensive petrol, has 90m people in extreme poverty, with a true unemployment rate of 50% and is import dependent for everything cannot have a strong currency.

Taking panadol will not cure brain cancer

Every plane that flies in with cargo leaves empty, every ship that brings in full containers, leaves with empty ones and you think that changing the colours on the currency will suddenly make it valuable.

Jokes

Asides low export, another thing hurting the naira is dubious FX marketers who hoard dollars and do all kind of things that further strain the Naira.

Are you ruling that factor out?

Ogbeniomo:
does it mean that those that stock billions can't use it acquire properties and still maintain their stolen wealth thereafter?

If you have a house you are selling for 170million naira now and I want to buy it, but I offer to pay in cash, will you accept?

If you say yes, tell me how you intend depositing the 170million naira cash before January 31st next year without running into trouble with EFCC.

Osamabinladenik:
ID APC gets 10% in Rivers, come back to this post and call me a bastard.

Tinubu is practically unsellable in the south except Southwest on tribal basis

Lol!

You just told the guy the honest truth but he likes to argue foolishly.

Folks like him are those who say Obi can’t win even Anambra.

Imagine him saying Wike and Amaechi are too big to work for Obi… as how?

Owologbo:
I'm an Obidient, but his analysis is fair.
A lot can still happen before next year though.

Same thing I said.

His analysis seems very realistic.

But with new alliances likely to happen before February next year, those figures can change greatly

garfield1:
You lie sir.I told you bvas is an upgrade on card reader.if it doesnt read your fingerprint,then it can scan your face.it is bimodal hence the B.it does not vote,it only accredits voters.it can be hacked.you yourself said it minimizes rigging,it doesnt stop it.before results are transmitted live,people can manipulate it

He told you simple thing…

Can you give your analysis from a non-rigging perspective?

ganisucks:
I laff when I see people shouting structchulk up and down. They don't know what they are up against. They don't know what Klaus Schwaab and George Soros can do. By the time they see buses packed with voters going to every polling station, their eye will clear. When for every one APC paid voter, there are 10 LP voters, they will finally start using their brain.

Wetin bring Klaus Schwaab and George Soros into Nigerian Election?

Osamabinladenik:
online polls are good, but we cannot overrule the Nigeria effect and rigging as well.

This election is between PDP and LP to win. Had Atiku not emerged, Tinubu would have cleared Northwest and Northeast because those guys are not sensible voters by average. Now they have to chose their person against APC structure, this is when Tinubu started losing the election. APC go try, but their bad performance and Tinubu's image will be used against them a lot, even in the north.

Had Obi not emerged from Labour Party, The election would have been over before it started because it automatically means that southeast and southsouth will vote for Atiku. He will beat Tinubu to stupor.

The emergency of Obi favours Tinubu, in many ways. He wouldn't have had any chance at all

You are right again

Osamabinladenik:
1. Southeast
Abia: LP 75:,
PDP: 15%,
others: 10%

Anambra:
LP: 80%,
others 20%

Imo:
LP: 70%
APC: 20%,
others: 10%

Ebonyi:
LP: 70%
APC: 20%
Others:10%

Enugu:
LP: 75%
PDP: 15%
Others: 10%
Reasons: Because Peter Obi is very popular here and people won't vote for a muslim-muslim ticket. PDP still has some voters here hence I'll be distant second. Tinubu is not popular in this region at all but some APC states like Imo and Ebonyi will give him little votes because of APC structure.

2. Southwest

Lagos:
APC: 60%
LP: 35%
Others: 15%

Ogun:
APC: 65%
LP:25%
Others: 10%

Osun
APC: 65%
PDP:15%
LP: 15%
Others: 5%

Ondo
APC: 60%
LP: 25%
Others: 15%

Oyo
APC: 50%
PDP: 20%
LP: 25%
Others: 10%

Ekiti
APC: 70%
LP: 20%
PDP: 10%

Reasons: while this is Tinubu' region, many people won't vote him because of his antecedents, Muslim-muslim ticket and again. LP will be second here because of these.
APC will win for tribalistic reason anyways.

3. North Central

Kwara
APC: 65%
PDP: 20%
Others: 15%

Kogi
APC: 35%
PDP: 30%
LP: 25%
Others: 10%

Nasarawa
PDP: 30%
APC: 30%
LP: 30%
NNPP: 10%

Abuja:
LP: 40%
PDP: 30%
APC: 20%
NNPP: 10%

Niger
APC: 35%
PDP: 35%
LP: 15%
NNPP: 15%

Benue
LP: 55%
PDP: 25%
Others: 20%

Plateau
LP: 35%
APC: 30%
PDP: 20%
Others: 15%

This will be the toughest region to call, LP will get votes in Christian dominated part of North Central, APC will get votes from APC states, PDP will also get votes because of some northern influence. There will be no clear winner here.

Northeast

Borno
APC: 50%
PDP: 30%
NNPP: 10%

Adamawa:
PDP: 70%
APC: 10%
NNPP: 10%
LP: 10%

Yobe
PDP: 50%
APC: 30%
NNPP: 15%
LP: 5%

Gombe
PDP: 50%
APC: 30%
NNPP: 15%
LP: 5%

Taraba
PDP: 50%
LP: 30%
APC: 10%
NNPP: 10%
Others: 5%

Bauchi
PDP: 60%
APC: 15%
NNPP: 15%
Others: 10%

Reason: this region is Atikus region, he will get votes based on tribalism, however APC will become second because of existing structure there. Kwankwaso is all a little bit popular here while LP won't get much from this region.

Southsouth

Rivers
LP: 60%
PDP: 25%
Others: 15%

Akwa ibom
LP: 50%
PDP: 40%
Others 10%

Edo
LP: 45%
PDP: 35%
APC: 15%
Others: 5%

Bayelsa
LP: 50%
PDP: 40%
Others: 10%

Delta
LP: 50%
PDP: 40%
Others: 10%

Crossriver
LP: 55%
PDP: 25%
APC: 10%
Others: 10%
Reasons: There's a big PDP structure here, however the people love Peter Obi hence he will get most votes. APC won't do well here at all.


Northwest

Kano
NNPP: 45%
APC: 30%
PDP: 20%
Others: 5%

Kaduna
APC: 30%
NNPP: 25%
PDP: 20%
LP: 15%

Jigawa
NNPP: 30%
APC: 30%
PDP: 30%
Others: 10%

Kebbi:
APC: 35%
PDP: 35%
NNPP: 20%
Others: 10%

Katsina:
APC: 40%
PDP: 35%
NNPP: 15%
Others: 10%

Sokoto
PDP: 70%
NNPP: 15%
Others: 15%

Zamfara

PDP: 40%
APC: 30%
NNPP: 15%
Others: 10%

Reason: Atiku will get a lot of votes here because of his popularity and Fulani heritage. Kwankwaso will also get votes as he's very popular here but still lacks structure. APC will get votes for Tinubu, however Atiku will most likely win this region.
Obi won't do well here.


Verdict: While I want Peter Obi to win this election and I think he's the best candidate, but Atiku seem to have the best chance because most of our voters especially in the north are not well informed, they don't know what they want hence they will vote along tribal lines.
I see Atiku winning because only PDP has the ability to secure 25% votes in 24% states and still have most numbers. If this doesn't happen, I see a rerun between PDP and LP.
Tinubu will be 3rd because Kwankwaso is going to be a spoiler for him in Northwest and Northeast, Tinubu is depending very much on this two regions to win, Atiku and kwankwaso will give him a tough fight.

Thanks for this very realistic analysis.

The only thing is that I think you reduced Obi’s votes in Southeast. And I don’t also believe Atiku will do the numbers you are giving to him in Southwest.

But realistically, it’s looking like an Atiku victory but Obi is following very closely.

2023 election is clearly between Atiku and Obi.

I’m still looking for the idiots who were arguing with me that Naira Redesign will have no benefit.

People with criminal minds still think Nigeria is a Banana Republic.

Kyase:
He doesn’t rate AWB at all

It’s so bad.

I don’t like the way he’s treating the guy.

Can you imagine he didn’t even make the bench and it’s not as if he’s injured.

But why is Ten Hag playing Malacia at Right Back instead of Wan Bisaka?

Kyase:
Make we swap Andreas with van de beer abeg

Lol!

Why u dey spoil the guy name?

Meanwhile, Tinubu is expecting 1billion votes from Bauchi

Kyase:
I’m against Obi because of three things which I stated here over and over again and not because he’s Igbo and I’m not rating Obi because of the party he’s contesting under not because of his ethnicity

Me sha
I’m still waiting for a candidate that will promise us the following
1: jobs
2: I want price of things the way Yar’adua left it
3: open boarder ( Buhari greatest miscalculation)

Sorry, I’ve not heard why you are against Obi before.

Can you restate them so I’d know?

greenermodels:
All these videos been circulated online are probably government propaganda to garner public support for their badly thought out Naira redesign policy. Who in his right mind would keep rotten money in his home or in a lorry? Nigerians should wise up.
NB: those quoting me should know that all old notes are returned to the CBN for record and destruction so they are in possession of the largest stockpile of old notes in the country. We also read how they have spent trillions in printing new currencies under Buhari so with Aisha Buhari's brother in charge of the currency printing security minting press, this currency redesign policy is possible a big cashout for them before eventual handover next year.

If you think Naira redesigning is a badly thought out policy, then you either have stashed cash at home or related to someone who does.

Naira redesign is a good policy.

Only criminals are opposed to it.

Newton2024:
‘Asiwaju Is My Friend But He Has Lost 40% Christians & Minorities Votes In Borno’ – Ibrahim Turaki
/

Please Op, if you are the one that wrote this, please stop blogging.

What kind of Almajiri English are you using to write like this?

Since 1999, I’ve been hearing Lagos-Ibadan expressway on radio and in our yearly national budget.

It’d be a miracle to finally have a budget without provision for Lagos-Ibadan expressway.

Kyase:
I was in anambra during Obi’s tenure
Was staying in the home town of the then deputy governor and I think Obi did well to say the truth

Don’t mind them.

Some of you keep accusing Igbos of supporting Obi because he’s Igbo but you all know it’s a lie.

We are supporting Obi because of his sterling performance in Anambra. And it’s not what media told us about his work, it is what we saw, what we witnessed first hand. But mind you, I’m not even from Anambra.

Look at Ekweremadu, Orji Uzor Kalu, Rochas Okorocha, etc, Igbos are their fiercest enemies and it is because of their abysmal performance in office.

So, that’s why everyone is mad at Soludo for saying shit about Obi and Soludo knows the implication of his large mouth. But let him continue.

ibechris:
And even sharing kulikuli and branded gari.

Lol! You know them.

mrvitalis:
This is a massive massive boasts for Peter obi

Now there is a real chance he can win honestly

Even if you don't support Peter OBI one thing no one can deny is that Peter obi has done more than anyone expected and he hasn't even peaked yet

Saw a poll in Ibadan Tinubu 13 obi 13 Atiku 3
So another in Ogun Tinubu 10 obi 10 atiku 3

If obi can get 25% in all south west state loss to Tinubu by lees than 1 million in the whole of south west ...and pass Atiku by over one 1 million then brothers and sisters there is hope

I really want to see independent poll of kogi and nassarawa then Niger those are the only north central I don't have idea how they would vote

Obi should please focus on kwara , Niger , kogi , Kaduna , Adamawa, taraba, gombe , Bauchi .......

Hold small small rallies in towns ,go to radio take calls from the people ...25% can be achieved in this regions

Then south west deserve lot of work too

He should not even campaign in South east at all no point ...south South just breeze in and outj

There’s about 40% of Christians in Kogi.

People have argued that there’s about 55% Christians in Nasarawa.

Then there’s about 25/30% Christians in Kwara.

These guys will vote Obi apart from those who are government appointees or those who can’t think beyond ethnic sentiments.

I can tell you the numbers that will come for Obi in Kogi and Nasarawa will shock you.

Lol!

See as endorsement dey pursue Obi left right and center.

Meanwhile the only endorsement Tinubu has is the one he bought from Pa Fasoranti. Others are the ones from MC Oluomo and his unions.

Peter Obi will win

Adblg0610:
It’s a scam . I watched this event on the NTA this afternoon. It has absolutely nothing to do with Atiku, it was the coronation of the new Emir of Katagun, in Bauchi state . If you zoom the picture, you will discover that Atiku was nowhere in that crowd. It’s not a political gathering. The OP was just being deceitful.

Thank you for this clarification.

But I still think Atiku is popular in Bauchi.

Truthisunique2:
when did Bala tell you anything about G5

Na G5 come Bala house while Bala went to Atiku house to tell you who dey find who

Meanwhile we are hearing ibb don resolve G5, fingers crossed

Did you not hear Bala say he was supposed to be in the group but they ex-communicated him?

About IBB reconciling the group, we will wait to see.

But I feel the G5 has crossed the rubicon that it will almost be impossible for them to work for Atiku now. If Atiku wins, they’d be destroyed; completely.