₦airaland Forum

omonnakoda:
For this Nigeria? Buhari did this in 1984 . During the change , an Emir father of his ADC, Jokolo entered the country with 53 Suitcases via MMA aiport. Atiku was the customs lead there. The suitcases were not searched

It is the same people that sell dollars in this country. The kidnappers do not need banks.
If you believe this nonsense will work in a country as corrupt as Nigeria you have a lot to learn.

This will just open another industry for bankers and CBN staff to cash out

We are talking about a country where the FG organized an interview exam in a stadium and where snakes swallow money
Please do not make me laugh

Will it work for all? No.

Will it work for some? Yes.

It’s not going to be all gloom.

And hey, even in the US, UK, and those developed countries, there are always people too connected to beat policies like this. But they are always few in number.

So, don’t make it seem like Nigeria is an exception.

Now, being able to return the cash to the bank is one thing, but sourcing equivalent amount in cash again is another lap of the policy that will not be easy to beat because CBN will be putting a cap to the amount they’d be releasing into the economy which will make it difficult for banks to release some certain huge amount of cash to individuals like politicians who would want cash to buy votes.

So, one way or another, the policy will yield some result.

Don’t dismiss it.

nedu666:
Which blokos. The currency comes out on 15 dec. So they hve ample time to either pay in the money into the bank, use it to buy govt treasury bills and bonds, buy stocks, buy dollars, buy properties. Only a mumu can be caught unaware by buhari

Don’t be shortsighted.

So you don’t know that they’ve laid traps for anybody that deposits large sum of money in the bank?

You think it’s easy for somebody with 10billion naira buried in his septic tank to just carry it to the bank without the bank tipping EFCC off?

As of today, any cash deposit above 5million by an individual and 10million by corporate organization is usually reported to the EFCC.

That’s why corrupt people and terrorists who have been collecting ransom in cash are crying.

Think bro, think.

shortIGBOman:
See as this IGBO man dey use mouth dey dash Peter Obi votes from Jos. Jos is North and the North will never allow any IGBO Man rule this Country.

Eyaaaah

Confusion of the mass defection hitting APC in the north has made you not remember that Garfield1 is not Igbo and is like number one Tinubu supporter on Nairaland.

The only difference is that he’s not brainless because he tries to be realistic and say things as they are to a great extent.

It’s democracy, they are free to support who they want.

But I pray for their safety sha, because boys are not smiling.

Who is Gumi to put mouth in Nigeria’s economic decisions?

We should stop giving this man the hype he doesn’t deserve abeg.

[quote author=lhordspy post=117969676][/quote]No go drink Rataki sha

This one wey u don dey post the pictures from Lafia more than Obidients.

Even if na 10 people come out, before now, did you people believe there would be Obi supporters in Nasarawa?

Foolish and hungry blogger with empty brain.

CBN is an independent body and the Finance Minister cannot dictate for it.

Those who have packed money to bribe electorates will cry blood.

Ndi ala!

Lol

I’m sure Tinubu BATstards will be waiting to see empty stadium but them go wait tire.

Peter Obi is winning Nasarawa, Benue, Plateau and FCT; with good outing expected in Kogi too, which will give him victory in North Central.

Add that to over 90% of votes from Southsouth and Southeast.

Add 30% of Southwest votes.

Then add votes from Taraba, Southern Kaduna, Southern Kebbi, Southern Bauchi, Southern Borno, Southern Gombe, etc.

And you would see Peter Obi victory staring at you in the face.

Realtalk20:
This thread is pointless . No one thinks / thought Tinubu can win Atiku in the north. Maybe kids and clueless people.

So you didn't have to waste a whole thread writing this.

Even Obi supporters know that no one can defeat Atiku in the north. This is the harsh reality ,but Obi will win from the southern votes because unfortunately for Tinubu he isn't popular in the south outside the southwest, and even in the southwest he isn't as popular as he thinks

True

NaijaCowFarm:
Fitch like Moodys has nothing to do with politics. The author of the article na mgbati-mgbati man

Exactly my thought too.

Wetin bring Fitch come politics?

So, finally there’s a report that projects Tinubu as the likely winner of the 2023 presidential elections.

But there’s a problem.

Why are there no statistics backing up their claim like previous polls that projected Obi to win?

Why was there no mention of a single soul that was interviewed or whose opinion was sampled which informed their conclusion?

Did anyone notice that the article is filled with the usual APC rhetorics of “divided opposition will favour Tinubu”, “northerners will not vote Igbo man”?

These rhetorics simply betrays the fact that whatever Fitch published was written at the gateman house at Bourdillon and paid for to be published.

But I’m happy that even the report acknowledges that a Tinubu victory (which will never happen) will bring about chaos and protests. Isn’t that a clear indication of Tinubu’s unpopularity?

Conclusion

The entire article is filled with APC rhetorics from start to finish, contains no statistics and no mention was made of anybody’s opinion being sampled. Whatever they arrived at was based on baseless and inaccurate projections. I hereby conclude that the article failed integrity test as it was paid for by APC propagandists so they could have something to clutch on.

nabiz:
anybody except APC. I hate APC with passion. They are evil party and lack conscience

Are you from Ebonyi?

comrChris:
Francis Nwifuru can't win
Prof Ben. Odoh has spoilt his chance. PDP is taking back Ebonyi

I harbour that same fear.

But remember that Nwifuru has 3 Izzi LGAs behind him. Plus Ohaukwu.

Then, do you think Afikpo North and South will vote for another Ohaozara man to take the chance of Ebonyi South which will now condemn them to another 24 years wait before they will test power.

Do you think?

nabiz:
God forbid. Are you from Ebonyi state

Who’s your candidate for Ebonyi guber?

ImmaculateJOE:
We are saying the same thing Brother, Obi to win FCT, Benue and likely to win Plateau and Nasarawa.

Plateau has a lot of Hausa-Fulani there, plus the Governors influence.. The Muslims there have always agitated for @least a Muslim deputy gov, so I feel by supporting M-M of Tinibu, Tinibu will in turn help them in 2027.

The Muslims in Plateau are very insignificant.

And that’s why the PDP guber candidate had the audacity to fly a Christian-Christian ticket. Do you think he would have done that if there were considerable number of Muslims in Plateau?

Get your facts right.

wonder233:
This permutation takes into cognizance the major factors that shape our elections in Nigeria, i.e ethnicity, religion, party loyalty and voter objectivity.
It also focuses on the three main contenders who stand realistic chances of clinching the race.

Analysis:
In the southwest, a combination of tribal loyalty and party factor will give Tinubu a win. While Atiku and Obi will share the rest equally. Atiku's share will majorly come from party loyalty while Obi's own will be from both tribal (ibos and others in lagos) and objectivity (yorubas who don't share the tribal sentiment).

In the Southeast and southsouth, fierce tribal loyalty will give Obi a big win (especially in the east) while Atiku will nick Tinubu to second place on account of party loyalty votes.

In the northeast, Atiku will take top spot narrowly edging Tinubu on account of religion and region of origin. But Tinubu will put up a good showing on account of his much loved Vice and strong party structure. Obi will have very minimal votes here.
But in the northwest, Atiku and Tinubu will swap places. This is on account of APC having a better party following and an appealing muslim-muslim ticket. Atiku will also do well as tribal and religious sentiments also favour him. Obi's perfomance will be most dismal here.

In the North central, party loyalty reigns supreme in this region for some inexplainable reasons. Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger are staunch APC states. Even Benue that has had it rough in this present regime somehow still give APC sizeable votes. For the religious factors, the Christian population isn't as substantial as people think. The four aforementioned states will give Tinubu a win in the region, while Atiku will come a close second on account of party structure and religious sentiments. And Obi a substantial 3rd on account of the bit of Christian sentiments.


OVERALL SUMMARY

Tinubu Atiku Obi
50% 25% 25% SW
8% 12% 80% SE
10% 15% 75% SS
42% 46% 12% NE
47% 45% 8% NW
40% 35% 25% NC

Verdict
The election is close to call, the actual number of voters that turn up will determine what these percentages will amount to in real numbers.
Tinubu seems to have a slight advantage as the areas he has good projections also historically post impressive turn outs. But whether they will be sufficiently motivated to for him is another thing altogether.
For Peter Obi, if Nigerians were more objective and less swayed by tribe, religion and party affiliations, he would have stood the best chances. But unfortunately, party loyalty is a big thing among a majority poor, uneducated population.
While for Atiku, he stands a realistic chance of upending Tinubu if he can manage to get tribe and religion to overtake party structure and loyalty in regions Tinubu looks set to take that he considers his backyard. And he has realized this and is going full throttle in that quest.
Inteesting times ahead.

3 reputable poll organizations have released result of their poll giving Obi victory in all the polls.

How did you arrive at your own result?

Imagine saying Tinubu will win Atiku in Northwest. If care is not taken, Tinubu will come third in Northwest behind Atiku and Kwankwaso.

I wonder if you people live in a hole.

Na FG go tire las las.

Oji mmadu n’ala, ji onwe ya.

Ndi ala!

As much as I hate APC, I want Fr Alia of APC to win Benue governorship and I think he’s going to win it.

Just like I want Francis Nwifuru of APC too, to win Ebonyi guber.

Every other position can then be Obified.

Na FG go tire las las.

Oji mmadu n’ala, ji Onwe ya.

Ndi ala!

ImmaculateJOE:
Tinibu may win Plateau, but it's gonna be very hard.
From my permutations Tinibu will just win the NC slightly above Peter Obi..
He has Kogi, Kwara for sure. Significant votes in the remaining 4 states +FCT might give him an edge.
Obi on the other Hand is sure winning Benue and FCT, plus significant votes in 4 other states minus Niger state.
Atiku has the chance of winning only Niger state.

Benue - Obi
Kogi - Tinibu
Kwara - Tinibu
Nasarawa - Any of the three can win here
Niger- Atiku
Plateau- Either Obi or Tinibu
FCT- Obi..

ACN had good outing in NC even before the formation of APC, look at the figures they pulled in 2011 in Benue even with an unpopular Nuhu Ribadu.

garfield1, Penguin2

In the North Central, Obi is winning Benue, Plateau and FCT; with good outing expected in Nasarawa and Kogi as well.

Do you speak with people on ground at all or you are basing your permutations on what happened in the past?

So you mean after the massacre of Plateau people by Fulani herdsmen, they will vote a Muslim-Muslim ticket?

Michelle70:
So u feel LP will win PDP in SW?
THE Only region LP will win PDP is the SE

Oh!

So PDP will win LP in Southsouth, Southwest and North Central, Abi?

We are done talking

Michelle70:
Shebi u know say three strong force will be contesting and not two?

if Tinubu takes 50% of SW
PDP takes 30%
Obi is left with 20%

So you think Atiku will win Obi in Southwest?

Seriously?

Bigleaf1006:
For PDP and LP rivers is a must win as loosing there will grossly affect either of them as both depends on rivers as their strongholds......but for APC,its about getting something substantial say 30-35%,this would have been near impossible if wike atiku feud did not happen and if obviously had an effective structure to commandeer votes.

You don't necessarily have to win all states to win a presidential election but strive to get up to 30-40% from your opponents stronghold.

So who do you think Wike will throw his weight behind in the presidential election?

And tell me, asides Southwest, which other region do you think Tinubu can win? Be realistic.

They claim they are popular yet they are scared of a free and fair election.

Ndi ala!

Even if Tinubu appoints the Pope himself as running mate or donates his entire life looting to the Catholic Church, we won’t still vote for him.

Benue is Obidient.

After voting Obi in the presidential election, we will vote Alia in governorship election.

Thank you.

ImmaculateJOE:
The largest LGA in Rivers is not even PH. Its Obio Akpor, it has times two of Phalga voter number...

Obi wining just Obio Akpor, Phalga, Ikwere, Oyigbo. Will dust off any votes Tinibu and Atiku will get in the remaining 19LGAs.

I don't want to mention Etche, Opobo/Nkoro, Bonny, Ahoda East and West, Emohua, Omuma....
These are LGAs that has large population of Igboid groups..

Obi will sweep all these LGAs

Stop wasting your time on that guy.

Can’t you see he has suspended his brain?

His only hope is in Tinubu and his urchins rigging the election to “outmuscle” Obi. You can imagine

Bigleaf1006:
Anambra was voting pdp because they knew apga wasn't strong nationally and any vote for apga at the national level was a waste of vote.

The loyalty of apga to the obi course isn't guaranteed because if obi succeeds LP will become a threath to apga in anambra.

Peter obi cannot win rivers except we
dont want to be objective. Emerging political trend in rivers at the moment has totally disrupted the calculations of both PDP and LP and this only means the APC will get substantial share of rivers votes that hitherto would have been a tall order.

So who will win Rivers?

garfield1:
You heard from one person that he doesn't mention tinubu that is funding him and you concluded? I also heard from someone yesterday that he campaigns for tinubu.that is how you heard that alia doesn't mention tinubu till hit song was released.apply your numb 6.if alia can campaign for tinubu,who would not? Stop seeking for nonsensical validation

Lol!

You won’t cease to amuse me.

Benue APC composed a song for all APC candidates including Tinubu and you already tag that as Alia supporting Tinubu?

Make I no laugh sha.

If only you knew the stance of the Catholic bishops and Catholic Church in the forthcoming presidential election, you will understand why Alia will just be playing along in anything concerning Tinubu and the presidency.

But make I no talk plenty.

Afenifere doesn’t represent Yoruba race - Tinubu

Pa Adebanjo doesn’t speak for Afenifere - Tinubu

Akintoye’s group doesn’t represent Yoruba race - Tinubu

At this rate, if Adeboye endorses anybody, Tinubu will say Adeboye doesn’t speak for RCCG.

Mad man.

When is Tinubu and his urchins going to accept that they don’t stand an iota of chance and might even lose Southwest?

Ndi ala!

Since 1999, Lagos has not been able to break away from Tinubu’s shackles. He continues to milk the treasury of the state while Lagos can’t provide basic amenities despite its humongous IGR.

Allow Tinubu get a grip on Nigeria and he will turn Nigeria to his cash cow like he did to Lagos.

garfield1:
I quote you to show how how near perfect and accurate I was.it has everything to do.history is important because if you dont know where your coming from,you won't know your destination...buhari and Tinubu are perceived same way and anywhere buhari did well in the south,tinubu too will do well or better esp with pdp weaker.were you not one of those that attacked me when I said buhari will win orlu,abia north and do well in ebonyi? You have no moral right challenge my arguments please as those places are your backyards.
Have you seen me making any projections in Enugu and anambra even though chimaroke is supporting tinubu? I have even abandoned Adamawa and taraba.ss is my zone so leave it.I never said tinubu will win any state in ss and I won't say so but he will come close in crs and bayelsa...
A lot of people in ss are still afraid of obi and his intentions towards Biafra esp the older generation who witnesses Biafra war.

The generation that saw the war in Southsouth are so insignificant in number to make any impact. Majority of the voters are young people who have broken off the shackles of all those propaganda that worked on their fathers.

Tinubu will not come any close in CRS as Obi will win the state with wide margin. Same in all other Southsouth states.

Belluski:
You’re correct... but times have changed, the situation of the country is not helping... i believe the rate of vote buy will drop.. alot will go for choice over money... unless dey want to pay in dollars..lol

The thing is that naira has become so useless that even the 5k or 10k they would want to pay is now useless.

So, I see people looking away from the money and voting their choice.