₦airaland Forum

fergie001:
So you think he will win any of the two you mentioned?
Even in Adamawa, you think he'll get 25%, with the presence of PDP & APC stalwarts there?

Is it that people are afraid of saying some of these things I am saying or .....?

People are not scared to say what you are saying…

The thing is that you are so fixated on structure which is useless in our present political space especially with Electronic Transmission of results.

I expected you to be more mentally aware than what you are doing.

Look at a whole Omisore was booed at his polling unit in Osun. He had to leave in shame. Is he not the kind of structure you talk about?

Electorates have realized the power they posses and no politician will lead the people by the nose and tell them where to thumbprint again; except the politician’s choice aligns with the choice of the people.

Or are you telling me that because APC has structure in Abia, somebody will go to Aba on Election Day and tell them to vote for Tinubu in the name of Structure?

Dsalvo:
Lol. How many region does Obi and Atiku have on "lockdown"? I swear you lot and delusional emotions are 5 and 6 or white on Rice.

Who will win Southeast and Southsouth?

Lol

I know Tinubu would be planning terrible things for Peter Obi just like they did to Funsho Williams.

But any of them planning nonsense should know that Peter Obi is now a security risk.

To touch even a strand of hair on Peter Obi’s body is to set Nigeria ablaze and I hope they won’t try it.

tolue42:
So Kogi, Kwara ,Abuja will all neglect Tinubu but vote for Obi ??

So in your hearts of heart, you sincerely believe that Tinubu will win Abuja? You didn’t even say Atiku.

Now, there are 6 states in the North Central plus Abuja which makes them 7.

If Peter wins in Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa and Abuja; plus some percentage of votes from Kogi and Kwara, isn’t that victory in the region?

Or do you think to do the contrary?

Okoroawusa:
See as you talk am e sweet for your mouth.... continue

I made practical and verifiable submissions.

Why not counter me with counter submission if you disagree?

fergie001:
Many people didn't like the way he left APGA.
After PDP, APGA is the Party close to the hearts of people there, until the APC invasion. Otti is very very competent and a good person but politics no be anybody mate.

For Lagos, Jide is already in his second tenure. Even some PDP members will vote APC for Guber and vote Atiku for President. Sanwo-Olu lekan si....... He has not done that well but there is a way Lagos just happens. The opposition is flat, weak, vacuous and come to think of it, GRV was until a few months ago in PDP so they will help cancel themselves out for Sanwo-Olu.

For the Presidential, Tinubu will win Lagos - I believe it is the marginal difference in your strongholds that decides how well you win.

You have a point.

Sanwolu’s second term is all but done and dusted.

But there’s this boldness that might come with Obi’s victory at National level.

The youths might just want to end the Tinubu dynasty once and for all. And if they decide to do that, votes won’t be shared between GRV and the PDP candidate. It will just be a one way traffic for GRV and you never can tell what that would bring.

garfield1:
Those votes were legal.if you can just remove bias and look at the case again,you will see that the ruling was in order...

He is not banking on another court ruling.the truth is that ihedioha can only win in mbaise.hope is in charge in orlu and okigwe

They were legal from legal perspective, but you and I know they were written results.

Don’t argue it.

OGHENAOGIE:
PDP ll win plateau benue Abuja taraba adamawa Oyo ondo cross River bayelsa Rivers Delta Edo Akwa ibom Abia imo Enugu ebonyi... APC ll win lagos osun Ekiti ogun Kano katsina kaduna zamfara borno yobe kebbi sokoto infact all nw ne except taraba adamawa.... Na only anambra labour fit win that's assuming they come out for labour... It's an election between PDP APC... Labour party will win on social media only

Are you sure you know what we are talking about here?

knacker:
This op go always dey his bed dey type rubbish..
Are u in Abia State?

Lol

But who do you think will win in Abia?

garfield1:
If peter wins,most states in ss/se,nc will vote labour based on bandwagon things

Not exactly…

Nigerian electorates are becoming wiser.

They now scrutinize candidates and no longer by bandwagon.

States in the region you mentioned that doesn’t have an inspiring Labour Party candidate will not go to Labour.

But you see Enugu, people like Frank Edeoga, the Labour Party candidate. Peter Obi victory will increase his chances.

People like the Labour Party candidate in Benue though I think they prefer Fr Alia. But Obi’s victory might tilt things towards him.

Then in Kaduna, Jonathan Asake has been SOKAPU leader and very popular in Southern Kaduna. If Obi wins and Datti campaigns for Jonathan in Northern and Central Kaduna, he might win. Especially when you factor in the fact that APC and PDP candidates will cancel themselves out in Northern and Central Kaduna.

Then Lagos is a special case. Because if Obi wins the presidency, Obidients might make it a case to further embarrass and dislodge Tinubu by delivering GRV. People like Sanwolu but he might end up being a victim of dislike for Tinubu.

All these states I’ve told you are very practical.

Another state Labour Party would have won is Abia with Alex Otti but Abia people have brought some tribal thing to his candidacy which might scuttle his chances. Fergie001 knows the grouse they have for him better.

garfield1:
Tinubu will come second in IMO.stop underestimating uzodinma.that guy is deadly

Deadly?

Deadly because Supreme Court accepted his manufactured results?

You think Supreme Court will accept his manufactured numbers again?

Don’t disrespect Igbos please.

I don’t know who will come second in Imo but Peter Obi will score about 80% of Imo votes.

As ironic as it sounds, Peter Obi is now the only presidential candidate with the largest national spread going into the 2023 elections.

Atiku has only the Northeast and some part of northwest.

Tinubu has only the Southwest (not guaranteed)

Kwankwaso has only the remainder of Northwest.

While Obi has the Southeast, the Southsouth and North Central/Middle Belt.

Those with brains are already seeing Peter Obi’s presidency.

hedonido:
Largely. Because regardless of how the presidential election turns out, whether Peter Obi wins or loses, the Obidients wouldn't turn out for the gubernatorial elections which comes after the presidential elections.

The people who would largely benefit from Peter Obi's momentum are the LP National Assembly candidates in Peter Obi/LP strongholds.

Trust me, a lot of dynamics will change if Peter Obi wins the Presidential election.

There are some states that Obidients might be emboldened to go for…

States like Enugu, Lagos, Kaduna, etc.

Trust me, Obi’s victory at the presidential election will redirect a lot of things.

David160:
Apc won't win ebonyi, cross river and imo

APC will win Ebonyi governorship but not presidential o.

But APC will not retain Imo. Uzodimma is gone.

I don’t know about Cross River; people say the APC candidate in Cross River is popular.

KnowAll:
Obi & Mr Lasun scored a paltry 2,729 votes in Oshun State. I think Obi would have a phobia of campaigning in the SW.

Is that how you console yourselves after seeing the multitude that marched for Obi in Port Harcourt?

Meanwhile, Tinubu also campaigned in that election but got defeated. He had to leave in shame.

That’s his state of origin and his region; he couldn’t influence nada for the candidate of his party.

Who should be more ashamed?

donjazet:
That number is very wrong. This is less than 5 percent of the vote obi will get. Obi is getting 10 million votes from SS and se this election.

Lol! I know na

The percentage was referring to those in Port Harcourt alone.

Lol

When we say Southsouth and Southeast are on lockdown for Peter Obi, Tinubu BATstards will be arguing. I guess their doubts are cleared now.

And guess what, those that came out for the rally are about 30% of Obi supporters in Port Harcourt alone.

Majority of Obi supporters in Port Harcourt didn’t even attend the rally especially because of the rain.

Make peace with Obi presidency

maasoap:
Everything is wrong if it is a man disguising as a woman, that's a deception.

Deceiving who?

What advantage does the deception add to the course she’s promoting?

What law is broken?

ImperialYoruba:
It was turn of South, Tinubu did not have to pay anyone to get support.

To win, Atiku needs two regions in South. He already has SS, if Wike plays along. He will pump money in SE and defeat Obi in his own home territory. If he succeed in SE he will win presidency.

So APC know this, and they will work for Obi to win SE.

Thats all Tinubu need to emerge winner, make sure Obi carries SE.

Dream on

Opinedecandid:
Do you believe that Atiku will bag at least 50% of the votes in the North and at least 25 percent of votes from South South and South West, then at least 30% of South East Votes?

You are at liberty to share the remaining portions between Tinubu and Obi.

I need not say more.
It's glaring.
Anyone can read the writing on the wall.

You are too out of touch from reality for me to talk with u.

ImperialYoruba:
This is like asking where Atiku would get delegates to beat Southern contestants in PDP primary.

He focused his attention and dollar rewards on Ibo delegates, they abandoned their cry of "it's our turn" and sold their conscience to Atiku.

Obi is from SE but his win is not guaranteed. Atiku, with dollars, is a guaranteed winner in SE. Mark it down. For the right amount Ibo will deliver SE to Atiku.

If your statement is true about Southeast, it is therefore true about Southwest.

With the right amount, Yorubas will abandon Tinubu and vote Atiku.

ImperialYoruba:
This is like asking where Atiku would get delegates to beat Southern contestants in PDP primary.

He focused his attention and dollar rewards on Ibo delegates, they abandoned their cry of "it's our turn" and sold their conscience to Atiku.

Obi is from SE but his win is not guaranteed. Atiku, with dollars, is a guaranteed winner in SE. Mark it down. For the right amount Ibo will deliver SE to Atiku.

I suppose you will also say that because Tinubu was able to buy delegates from the north therefore he would buy votes from the north too, right?

Obi as a philosopher knows better than throw the trust of Nigerians to the waste bin by stepping down for Atiku.

If Peter Obi wants to kill his political career forever in Nigeria, let him dare stepping down for Atiku.

Nigerians will cancel him.

Most likely true.

Nothing for Nigeria dey move Atiku again.

Man wants to be one of the biggest investors in Dubai with Nigeria’s money.

God forbid!

Obi is genuinely humble. He’s not acting it.

And man is a global citizen.

He was in London two days ago.

Germany yesterday

Vatican today

And US in a bit.

Meanwhile, Atiku and Tinubu are scared of approaching even the US Embassy in Nigeria not to talk of entering America

ASAPFERG1:
I want to see something

When will Tinubu do rally even in his own Lagos?

The rally that was billed for today in Lagos failed to hold, why?

Even though Kwankwaso was there himself, he couldn’t even do half of what Obidients did in Port Harcourt.

Kwankwaso let ego and foolishness deny him the surest path he had to the presidency by refusing to be Obi’s running mate.

Anachronistic bigot!

Brother wey mumu!

Short engine

What difference does it make if @firstlady is a man or woman? Are the things she saying wrong? Is Peter Obi not better than all other senile old men shouting “Emilokan”?

Fraud that called himself lawyer for years is looking for who to call fraud.

Onye ala!

Reality is beginning to dawn on them little by little.

He still had to quip in the IPOB talk.

Reno and Tinubu BATstards should know that the IPOB tag has failed woefully.

Ndi ala!

milann:
what's up? I never knew you were a girl.

Lol!

gentiles:
Votes from we Yorubas in south west and Kwara is enough to make Tinubu president

So far, Peter Obi is the only presidential candidate with national spread.

Atiku is restricted in the north.

Tinubu is restricted in Southwest.

Kwankwaso is restricted in Kano.

Only Obi has support all over the country.

But fools are still hoping against hope for their BATstard Emilokan.

Thank you SMBLF for standing for equity and justice.