₦airaland Forum

ImperialYoruba:
I thought yanminri does not kneel, bow or prostrate for anyone, elders included.

Has peter obi ever knelt for an ibo elder? But he go kneel for fulani.

There should be a transformer close by in your area.

Isn’t there?

IamAtikulate:
Small secret you no gree keep.

You for allow them to deceive themselves finish. Agbado people released the news to console their urchins after picture of OBJ, Obi and Wike camp emerged.

I even asked one fool to explain how Ikpeazu will go to Abia and convince them to vote a Moslem Moslem ticket and they will sheepishly do that.

Take it or leave, Wike's end will come the moment he declare support for a Moslem Moslem ticket.

Tomorrow na Saturday, in few hours urchins will confirm the PH pressure when OBIdients shut down the city.

Lol!

You know most times when I say that Wike’s sojourn into political oblivion will begin the day he decides to support Tinubu and Tinubu BATstards will come here to argue with me. I have decided to always allow them dwell in their stupidity.

But they should question the political relevance of Southsouth and Southeast politicians who defected to APC in 2015.

Amaechi

Akpabio

Okorocha

Ngige

Umahi

Uzodimma

Andy Uba

Ayade

Orji Uzor Kalu

Name them…

What is their relevance today in Southeast politics and how much of Southeast and Southsouth masses can they influence?

Wike can try if he dares.

pquaver:
National leader of apc was a ceremonious.. He is leader of apc in lagos why not ask if apc lagos goes where he goes? Buhari is apc leader in Orth, wh not ask if the go where he goes?

So Tinubu’s tag of ‘National Leader of APC’ is ceremonial?

Now, what made you think Peter Obi calling Atiku his leader is ceremonial?

Millimann:
Nice analysis OP.

Thank God for social media. It's no longer business as usual when they controlled the media. Now, their lies are busted back to back.

Back then they used their media houses/platforms to spread falsehood against Igbos and even Hausas.

It was with their press that caused the enmity, real or imagined, between the East and the North while projecting themselves as the best people.

The amount of their lies that are bursted these days should make you wonder what volume of lies they told in the past that were never bursted.

Splendid235:
Some people can write ooo.Analytical and succinct are what I have read here.Penguin and John 4B una too much.Keep up the good work.aluta continue,victory aceta.

Thank you comrade!

Nigeria must be rescued.

Aiel123:
I think you're overrating PO
A 90% electoral success isn't feasible in this current dispensation
Unless PO wants to recreate Gej feats.

If GEJ, a non Igbo, got 90% of Southeast votes, what makes you think Peter Obi, an Igbo son who they believe in his capacity, will not achieve same feat?

BATified2023:
They claim peter obi wants to change Nigeria from d normal wolves n he wants to bring d new order but he’s seeking d approval of d same wolves

So if they should support him now,will he say no to them if they need any help later

Oh! But there’s nothing wrong in Tinubu seeking Wike’s alliance?

Or are you confirming that Tinubu is a wolf and therefore is free to seek the alliance of his fellow wolves?

Aiel123:
When I say strong I mean they have political henchmen who are mostly popular among the grassroot and have the financial and otherwise ability to sway,induce and galvanize votes
They're most ward chairmens,wards excos up to the local government level: structure
Now let me cite you an example
Forgive me I want to use APC
Sen. Orji Uzor Kalu won his senatorial district for Buhari in 2019, consequently he ended up being elected senator so we can confirm that he translated his votes to Buhari and APC
U know why?
He's got foot soldiers and robust political structure and huge financial warchest
So when campaigns starts the structure kicks in with a sole purpose : Deliver their party throughout
And moreover the electoral results in SS and SE butress my point on the popularity of PDP since democratic government began in 1999
So the electorates in this zones has gotten used to the dominat political party

Lol!

See how you chose Orji Uzor Kalu for your comparison forgetting his case is just one in a million.

What has been helping OUK is the fact that he is popular amongst his people because of how gives them money and is able to buy the people to his side.

It is the kind of popularity that Ibori has in Delta. Even though Ibori is criminal and Nigerians would not wanna see him win any election, if he comes out for senatorial election, he will win. That’s same thing with OUK.

But aside OUK, how many other APC senators do you have from the entire Southeast?

What I’m trying to tell you is that what delivered OUK in Abia is not structure but because his people genuinely preferred him to his opponent.

About the generality of Igbos that have consistently voted PDP since 1999, it was simply because Igbos never had any alternative political platform that they accepted.

Before APC, the only opposition candidate in the presidency has always been Buhari who the Igbos abhor.

Then eventually APC was formed and Igbos, seeing the circumstances that led to its formation and the party also choosing Buhari as candidate, they canceled APC and vowed never to have anything to do with it. And they have been vindicated. Haven’t they?

But that’s not the case in 2023, the Igbos have finally seen an alternative platform they accept; and with PDP refusing to zone the Presidency to the southeast despite our faithfulness over the years, the voting pattern will not be anything like what you are used to seeing before.

Peter Obi will get 90% of Southeast votes. Take it on authority from me.

Amumaigwe:
An incisive analysis. Well done sir.

Good to see you found it sensible.

A certain post about Wike’s men preferring to work for Tinubu than Peter Obi was pushed to front page earlier in the day and I couldn’t help but cringe at such falsehood.

I would liken the report to the report that was once made of how Soludo said Peter Obi and Labour Party will Labour in vain. From the headline of that news, I, and most people who understand the dynamics on ground, knew it was practically impossible for Soludo to make such statement. That post was hurriedly pushed to front page despite us calling the attention of Nairalanders that the news is false because Soludo will never make such statement.

But what happened? Post had barely stayed an hour on front page when Soludo’s rebuttal came in that he never made such statement. Soludo knows that such utterance will automatically sign and seal his political future in Anambra to the negative.

Now, the post in the morning came in, about some Wike’s men preferring to work for Tinubu because he has ‘structure’ and because of ‘competence’.

I want to state categorically, albeit not authoritatively, that that news is false; fake news. I’m trying to wrap my head on who in Wike’s camp that would prefer Tinubu over Obi.

Who in Wike’s camp prefers Tinubu?

Let’s list them for a clearer review. Wike, Seyi Makinde, Ortom, Ikpeazu, Donald Duke, Mimiko, Fayose, etc. Now, who amongst these men would prefer Tinubu?

Is it Wike who knows that Rivers people will never vote Tinubu even if he shares 1million naira to each of them?

Or Is it Ortom whose people APC led FG has supervised their massacre? You mean he would go home and tell Benue people to vote APC? What did Tinubu say or do in their years of peril?

Is it Okezie Ikpeazu whose Abia State is the hotbed of restiveness that will go home and tell Abia people to vote Tinubu over Obi? Are you kidding right now?

Or is it Donald Duke who has not hidden his disdain for Atiku for his old age that will now turn around to support Tinubu whose age is not any different?

That leaves us with Makinde, Fayose and Mimiko. I’ve heard Tinubu helped Mimiko to power when he won the governorship. Would Mimiko wanna pay Tinubu back? Fayose seems to prefer his fellow Omoluabi over Omo Igbo, while Makinde might not want to ruffle feathers of some Yoruba traditional establishment in Oyo who are likely queuing behind Tinubu. But are they the people who want to work for Tinubu?

Don’t forget that Fayose’s younger brother just donated his hotel to Peter Obi. If that doesn’t give you a pointer to where Ayo Fayose stands, I wonder what would.

So, my conclusion is that that news is a figment of the imagination of the writer or at best, a Yoruba man, sympathetic to Tinubu’s ambition, in Wike’s camp granted the interview which I can tell you for certain does not represent the view of the majority in Wike’s camp.

Wike and his men will not work for Tinubu.

Aiel123:
First of all I'm not a fan of Tinubu
Since you asked Tinubu will win all SW states(Ondo is dicey oo) but I don't know by what margin
Borno and Yobe are Siamese twins no need telling you it's APC all through
Add Kwara and some NW states (If Buhari raises Tinubu's hand)
PO on the other hand will be in battle as PDP is strong in SS and SE

When you say PDP is strong in Southsouth and Southeast, do you mean govt appointees who are not up to 5000 or are you talking about the generality of the masses?

jumper524:
One of the criteria people consider in voting a leader is if he has a chance against others.
Politicals permutations and grassroots campaign is the main criteria for getting the votes. Not just noise.
Take university SUG election for example, a lot of people would be hyping the most popular candidate but the smart ones amongst them would take his campaign to the female camp. The girls always have the votes while the boys have the noise.
2 months back, it was as if Atiku was never in the race. It was almost as if Peter Obi has gotten it all, well ever post on Obi trends on Twitter. It was a new publicity opportunity.
David hundeyin moved his popularity to the next level. But in just few seconds, things are already changing.
Bayelsa governor, delta governor have asked its people to work for Atiku.
We saw the fitness match for PDP in cross river. People are beginning to see the real weight.
Wike camp has chosen tinubu over while Mr Obidient is still paying mechanics to open free workshop in kano for Obidient.

Well election is still far away and I just hope Obi still have enough social media arsenals sorry scam lies to keep his pvcless youths at bay cos as it stands, people are already getting bored with his lies and more fake stats.

Lol! You guys are very funny.

The fitness work in Cross River was for Sandy Onor, the PDP governorship candidate. It had nothing to do with Atiku.

And the report of Wike and his men working for Tinubu is just the figment of the imagination of zombies.

The turnout is actually for Ladi Adebutu and has absolutely nothing to do with Atiku.

Just like what we saw in Cross River the other day was strictly about Sandy Onor and had nothing to do with Atiku.

It would be easier for the horse to pass through the eye of the needle than for Dapo Abiodun to retain Ogun.

The hand writing’s on the wall like it was in Osun.

Aiel123:
Obi isn't wining any region overwhelmingly except perhaps the SE
And SW is Tinubu's to lose
Sincerely speaking He won't win

Now, where is Tinubu sure of winning overwhelmingly?

chrisooblog:
Even that is debatable. I still the PDP structure in the SE could pull surprises. Obi will win Anambra but Imo, Enugu, Ebonyi and Abia will be tough for him but he could win by a slim margin.

Where are you from?

SenatePresdo:
Kogi is majorly OBIdient

Hmmm!

This is not the first time I’m seeing somebody say this and I’m usually surprised.

You mean there are people in Kogi that are supporting Peter Obi?

Pandev:
votes analysis is not done based on emotions. As of now, Obi won't win even Anambra. There are people who belong to a political party, they won't just leave their party because of religion. Even if religion is going to determine the next president, it is still Tinubu who is going to win. Learn to see things from logical angle so that the results of election won't shock you.

Like you saw it logically in Osun, Edo and Anambra, right?

garfield1:
Peter obi will clearly win benue.majority here are Christians and hate anything fulani.obi will have 60%,tinubu 25% atiku 15%.
Obi will win the fct with 40%.tinubu and atiku will share the remaining 60% equally.with plateau being a Christian dominated state,obi might just win depending on where ex gov and ex convict dariye supports.if he supports or joins labour,obi will win plateau.as it stands pdp has no senator in plateau.their only senator istifanus gyang from plateau north has joined labour.therefore plateau north which is mainly berom who are fierce Christians will divide votes.plateau central will go where dariye wants while plateau south save for langtang will go apc.obi should gave 40%,others share 60%..
With Christians making 55% of taraba,obi will do well here.the people are tired of pdp and gov Darius.if gen t.y danjuma supports obi,he might just win but this is not certain....




Cc mynd44
Kahal
Helinues
Asobo1
Kyase
Noethnicity
Naijjj
Coolambience
Casualobserver
Majole
Omenka
Passing shot

One of the most sincere posts you have made on Nairaland since I came to know you.

Now, if you add all these percentages you have talked about to what Obi will get in Southeast, Southsouth and Southwest, do you still think Obi will not win?

Okoroawusa:
The Muhammadu Buhari Bridge is almost ready.
I will be crossing over that bridge soonest.

The name of the bridge is 2nd Niger Bridge.

If they want to name it after someone, they should name it after Chief Chukwuemeka Odumegwu Ojukwu or Prof Dora Akunyili (the Great Amazon).

Thunder fire Buhari!

mrrandomguy:
Judging from the trend so far, the 2023 election is a 3-horse race between Atiku Abubakar, Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Peter Obi.

Kwankwaso will work for Atiku.

I used:
1. The political developments in all 36 states including the FCT
2. Opinion: private and public.
3. New developments: alliances etc

Atiku was second to Buhari in 2019 and so far will inherit the votes of nothern youths, INCLUDING THE MAJORITY VOTES OF NORTHERN CHRISTIANS.

Tinubu will sweep the southwest and garner votes in the north. But he won't do well in the South-South and South-East.

Peter Obi will sweep the South-East and South-South, and put up a good fight in the Christian dominated parts of North-Central.

Below is the prediction.

NORTHWEST:
PDP 58%.
APC 25%
LP 2%
NNPP 15%

NORTH-EAST
PDP 61%
APC 29%
LP 3%
NNPP 7%

NORTH-CENTRAL
PDP 41%
APC 31%
LP 24%
NNPP 4%

SOUTH-WEST
PDP 31%
APC 45%
LP 22%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-SOUTH
PDP 33%
APC 17%
LP 48%
NNPP 2%

SOUTH-EAST
PDP 13%
APC 4%
LP 82%
NNPP 1%

ADDITIONAL COMMENTS
1. Obi will not do well in the North-Central as speculated on social media, despite the huge population of Christians in Plateau, Benue, Nasarawa and FCT. Atiku will get most of the votes in this region, followed by Tinubu.
2. Kwara and Kogi is for Tinubu.
3. Niger is for Atiku.
4. There will be a run-off if and only if voter turnout in the south is up to 80%
5. Run-off will be between Atiku and either Tinubu or Obi.

©mrrandomguy

Cc
Mynd44 mynd44 Seun seunmsg

When last did you treat malaria sir?

The 17% percent of votes you gave to Tinubu in Southsouth, where will it come from?

Meanwhile, Atiku will not score up to 15% of votes in Southwest.

Peter Obi is winning 90% of Southeast votes.

70% of Southsouth votes.

40% of Southwest votes.

Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Abuja, Taraba…

Southern Kaduna, even in Adamawa.

Make I no talk plenty sha… just check for malaria first.

Hallucination and foolishness at the highest grandeur.

Tell the PDP idiot to go and treat malaria.

nairavsdollars:
It's not about Emirates money

But about what?

tsdarkside:
you dont get it....that guy burning that thing and another guy sayin burn it is prove enough....
i have nothing to argue with you....

What you have in the video are two Tinubu BATstards that have shallow brains and cannot think for themselves.

They were never Obi supporters and the video proves nothing.

pquaver:
Atiku is his leader according to him. Listen to his speech. If he becomes president atiku will still lead so what the hell are people calling him messiah and different. Do u know what leader means? It mean u will go where goes and u believe in his vision and agenda. Obi has failed before he started

You people have been calling Tinubu the National Leader of APC since 2015…

Does APC and its members go wherever Tinubu directs them?

In life, people have different leaders, from their pastors/Imams to teachers to mentors and what have you. Does that mean it is those people that direct their life and lead them by the nose in all their actions?

Michelle70:
na thesame Rivers we deh.

GEJ got 1m+ votes in Rivers while Atiku got 400k+

If Obi sees votes as much as Atiku did in Rivers, make i shit nail

So who will Rivers people vote for?

Jennifer663:
He fucccked up if its true
But he will still be the next president.

How did he fucccck up?

So because of elections, Peter Obi should not greet Atiku who is his senior in all ramifications?

In 2019, Atiku went against all odds to pick Peter Obi as his running mate despite opposition from old PDP members from the Southeast. Atiku stuck with him which gave him the national limelight which served as springboard for what he is currently doing.

There’s nothing wrong in Peter Obi kneeling to greet Atiku.

In fact, he can even lie down to greet him.

What does that change?

Ignore the idiot that is burning whatever he’s burning… na Tinubu BATstard, not an Obi supporter.

Tell Buhari to release Emirates’ money.

UAE is trying to get back at Nigeria by punishing Nigerians.

slawomir:
Damnnn niggar
Isoright


Government is a continuum son

Lol!

Ganga man…

Got some kpoli to share with a fellow Gee?

doshiyad1:
It doesn't matter who started or finish it, who awarded and release the resource for the contracted.

What is most important is, the end result which is the projects is done and well done.

That's why we have so many unnecessary abandoned project from pervious administrations littered all around the country without completion because of comment like yours ,

Agreed!

If Buhari had abandoned it we still would not have done anything except lament.

ba7man:
Let's just be glad it wasn't abandoned like some past administrations used to do.

I agree with you.

No argument

ba7man:
You didn't use that route regularly under GEJ. You can't grandstand someone that knows what he's talking about.

The construction started at the Ibadan toll-gate and didn't even get to Guru Maharaji's camp under G.E.J.

Thank God Buhari divided the project into 2, awarding CECC to handle the Lagos end while Julius Berger retained the Ibadan end.

But GEJ awarded it regardless.

And work started.

Buhari unbundled and completed it.

All these eulogies are unnecessary. That’s my point.

Why is everything in block letters? That’s against Nairaland rule.

Meanwhile, Andy Uba is a common criminal.

That’s the idiot that BATstards were wishing upon Anambra.

Fools!