₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
That is why politicians are resorting to vote buying.in far flung areas,they can hold or connive with inec to transmit false results in places like borno,yobe,zamfara.it is prone to hacking

Nothing so far has proven that the device can be hacked.

And about transmitting false results, are you aware that every voter has to be biometrically authenticated before the machine can record it?

So, except INEC deploys a compromised brand of the machines to the areas you mentioned, I do not see false results being possible like they did in 2019.

Sunday2021:
Peter Obi agenda is to divide this country. Ipob has suspended their agitation and start supporting Peter Obi because he promised to divide the country if he is elected as president.

Go and get update from your WhatsApp group… them no tell you say this one no dey sale?

Peter Obi is the owner of Fidelity Bank that has branches nationwide.

His Next Cash and Carry is one of the biggest supermarkets in Abuja.

Now, how do you want to convince Nigerians that such man will abandon those assets and divide Nigeria?

Bros just go and get update.

Mynd44

This should be on front page

Truthisunique2:
clown no be to dey shout jagaban, na reality be the issue

The people who wanted change are not robots that don't need change again

Nassarawa, Niger are tired of bandits, getting kidnapped, and paying ransom

Benue, Plateau are tired of jihad killings and raids by fulanis

Abuja is tired of the incompetence from apc and the house to house raids without government doing anything

Kogi is completely exhausted with apc in all ramifications

North central Christian would still vote against apc if no christian

North Central Muslim would still vote a core muslim over a fake one

Religion and ethnicity plays the politics in north

So after admitting Benue and Plateau are tired of the Fulanis, you are still expecting them to vote Atiku who is also a Fulani?

Truthisunique2:
my stand is clear, amaechi was the best choice in apc but in that absence I go for atiku

The betterment of this country is always my stance

That you moved from Amaechi to Atiku instead of Obi is actually shocking and inexplicable but I know it’s your right. So exercise it.

Truthisunique2:
Fayose is a clown of what use was he in the last Ekiti election

How many votes could he pull in primaries

We are not desperate about winning Yoruba votes

Atiku would strow in there and pick his 30-35% and move

SS would cancel whatever victory SW would give apc

SE, NE in the cooler

NC in the cooler

We share north west

So you are now supporting Atiku and you had the intrepidity to say SE in the cooler? For who?

IamWonderful:
Pandora Peter Obituary has agree to be vice president

In your dreams

garfield1:
You are right but my problem is why you can't vote out failures like ikpeazu.look at Otti wasting away.

The terrain of the ss is different from se.most rural areas of south east are developed and urbanized but most rural areas of ss are in pure darkness and disconnected from the cities.my village is like another planet from calabar.no matter the rural sensitization,most of those people still prefer broom or umbrella.those traditional voters are very conservative.it took years for apc to start making grounds in the ss,labour can't do this within six months.labour party was very popular in crs in 2014-2015 even more than apc.they fielded very popular candidates but won nothing.it will be very difficult for obi to breakthrough.he needs top bigwigs to defect from apc and PDP and funds.popularity like love is never enough.you need political warriors lot noisemakers like okupe...

My happiness is that we now have a three party system,the political space is opening.

There’s something you are not understanding…

Do you know what gave the youths the confidence to start this ‘revolution’? The Electoral Act 2022 which provided for Electronic Transfer of results. And that’s why the youths campaigned so much for that Electronic Transfer of votes to be included in the Electoral Act and for Buhari to sign it into Law.

We both know there might still be some loose ends but it will not be business as usual.

Now, with Electronic Transfer of votes, you no longer need bigwigs and thugs to protect your votes because as people are voting, it’s counting. That’s what is giving us the confidence.

Do you think we will be doing this with this level of confidence if it was the era of incident form or even the era of Electoral Act 2010?

Incident Form and electoral fraud is the reason Alex Otti is not the Abia State Governor today and you know it.

Theodore Orji was an INEC Commissioner and still retains a lot of influence in INEC especially as regards Abia election. Recall during collation of results in 2015 when the State Returning Officer rejected the result of a certain LGA that was deemed incredible and Theodore Orji led his men to the venue and next the returning officer succumbed?

So, Abia people have been trying to liberate themselves but godfathers are too entrenched. But I believe all that is about to change now.

slimjohn2k5:
Truth be told
I support Peter Obi but I am afraid he has not reached out deep enough.
Social media and reality are 2 different divide.
You can win electiion on social media and lose in reality.

As much as I wish him well, I believe there is more to do.

Do you still hold this opinion sir?

Tinubu urchins will be busy trying to smear Obi with ethnic slurs.

By the time they realize what is going on, we will be sowing Asoebi for Obi’s swearing-in ceremony.

Ndi ala!

Don’t blame a pig for lying in the gutter because it’s the only bedroom it knows.

So, don’t blame Tinubu urchins for spoiling for violence and war and crisis because that’s the only thing they know.

Reason as this is why Tinubu should never become president because thuggery will now be elevated above honourable professions. MC Oluomo is a living testimony.

LeoDeKing:
Obi supporters can continue to bullshit themselves on social media about one imaginary arewa support for pandora hoebi presidency.

A typical northerner doesn't even know who pandora hoebi is, and even those that know about him don't give a damn about him.

As far as northerners are concerned, the two contestants are athifku and Tinubu. Who they support, only time will tell.

Surreptitiously, Kwankwaso is inexistent to you.

I’m not surprised anyways because it’s usual of you people to deny reality until it dawns on you people.

You denied reality in Edo guber elections until it dawned on you people.

You denied reality in Anambra guber elections until it dawned on you people.

You are denying reality again until you see it happen.

This is the same Arewa House where Tinubu held his useless colloquium and was falling like an idiot without bones and you people celebrated the fact he held function at Arewa House.

Same Arewa House has been approved to host Obi event under Elrufai nose and you still won’t smell the coffee?

McCoy662:
Nice one

Tinubu urchins will be here trying to smear Peter Obi as an ethnic champion and an Igbo project, by the time they realize what is going on, Peter Obi shall have taken oath of as President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Peter Obi is Nigerian Project, not Igbo Project.

Tinubu and his urchins have failed.

Coalition of Northern Youths for Peter Obi will on Saturday, 2nd July, 2022, launch #Arewa4PeterObi.

What is most amazing about the event is that it will be holding at the almighty Arewa House in Kaduna.

See flier below for more information.

Lalasticlala
Mynd44

garfield1:
Hmm,I never knew anpp won any local elections in the east beyond 2003.I knew of acn in anambra.it was more common in ss.one thing I notice about ibos is that they love voting for popular candidates.this is what helped buhari in 2019 and will help tinubu in 2023.while obi had catch fire in ss,he is only popular among the urban youths in ss.he is unknown in the rural areas and labour has no grassroot structure so dont conclude for ss though I prefer him to win than atiku unlike you guys.

I usually laugh when you people say he’s not popular in rural areas as if those living in the urban areas fell from the sky.

As Obi is popular in the Urban areas, so is words getting to those in the hinterlands about what is happening.

And one thing to know about the Igbos is that our heart is the same. If I take a decision here for instance, I can give you a 98% guarantee that Igbos worldwide will take that same decision I just took. Our spirit seem to always align. And that’s why we are always angry at dubious politicians because we know they are lying to themselves and trying to deceive the people for pecuniary gain.

Another thing you should know is that sensitization just started. Remember we are less than 2 months into this. By December of this year, the difference shall have been clear.

garfield1:
Honestly,I won't argue with you about obi margins in se.if he gets 80% or 90% its better so that atiku would be left with nothing.dont forget that even before apc,you guys still voted against acn,anpp or cpc,ad.you love PDP.do you realize that most of the atiku supporters I see are Igbo's.some obi fans are closet atiku fans...all am saying us that the margin between apc and PDP won't be much.it will be like anambra election

We voted against ACN and other parties you mentioned because of what they represented.

Tinubu was leader of ACN and it made the party to be viewed as Yoruba party and Tinubu’s vehicle to penetrate Southeast; we didn’t want that. Same way Yorubas see APGA as Igbo party.

ANPP, like APC was viewed as Hausa party. But people like Sen. Ali Ucha of Ebonyi State won election as ANPP candidate as far back as 2003/7.

Again, I’m sure you understand the concept of ‘inertia’ - the initial resistance of something at rest to set in motion or something in motion to come to rest. The Southeast and Southsouth people have so far been suffering an inertia with PDP which Obi has changed now. Obi has been able to finally set the region into motion of movement away from PDP and it will not be business as usual.

APC and PDP might win state elections o, but you see presidential election, don’t go there.

I urge Northeast and North Central to immediately issue their own statements demanding the Vice Presidential slot.

Since North West wants to be mad make all of them begin mad at once.

cktheluckyman:
Tinubu is anathema in the SS.They already told him that in Edo when he tried to play Godfather

That’s the word - anathema.

But these Tinubu boys who have never left their Local Governments will be telling you Tinubu will get 30 percent of votes from each Southsouth state instead of listening to reality as it is being relayed.

Their problem is that they believe in Umahi, Uzodimma, OUK and Co.

garfield1:
You guys are always bringing unrealistic factors.there is no way tinubu or any southerner csn be loathed than buhari in the south.upon all buhari did to ndigbo from python to mnk,you still gave him vote so you will give tinubu too afterall several hated politicians in the east win electuons and apc has gotten stronger.

At least we agree that obi will clear the se but am not sure if he will win abia and Enugu esp Enugu,PDP is solid there.I didnt say tinubu will poll more than atiku totally.I said he will get 30% in 3 states though he will poll more than atiku in 2 of those states narrowly...

It should be like this obi 3 mil,atiku 800,000 tinubu 600000...

Whatever tinubu polls in the east will not matter as far as obi wins.the ss is where the real battle will happen

Chai!

Garfield1… you are so out of touch from the reality on ground in Enugu and elsewhere in Southeast. Enugu will give Obi 80% of their votes at least. I need you to realize that what has been giving Igbo votes to PDP is not because PDP is so entrenched, it’s just because APC is not an option.

Now there’s a viable alternative to APC and PDP with the fact that PDP just spited the Southeast after over 24 years of loyalty and you still don’t see all those affecting the voting demographics of Enugu?

Imagine giving Tinubu 600,000 votes in Southeast… well, let me not say die.

But I wanna assure you that 80% of Southeast votes is for Obi and you will see higher voter turnout in a proportion never seen before.

Just watch out.

Olaoluwa122:
As they hate fulani...they hate Muslim Muslim ticket more....

They hate Fulani

And they hate Muslim/Muslim ticket

Yet can’t simply bring yourself to admit that Obi will be the beneficiary?

garfield1:
If tinubu wins sw,wins north central,lost nw narrowly to kwankwaso,share ne to atiku and obi wins se and atiku wins ss narrowly is a tinubu win

From admitting that Obi will win Southsouth, now it’s Atiku?

Olaoluwa122:
You dey mind him??Atiku will win South South...win North East...Come Second In Southeast...that's enough to project him to asoRock

You seem so far from reality and it’s not good for a young man which I think you are.

Everyone else, even those on ground, agrees Labour will win Southsouth but you, an Olaoluwa in one Southwest state thinks Labour Party is an online noise?

Why do you people like deceiving yourself?

garfield1:
Ebonyi.you yourself agreed that PDP is dead in ebonyi. With umahi conceding indirectly that labour will win and with him or his Bros being on the ballot,he will work very hard to stay close to obi.don't forget he gave buhari 25% in 2019.with PDP out,nothing will stop 30%....

Abia.apc dominates abia north and with PDP zoning to ngwa,PDP won't be spared.the umuahia people always vote against PDP plus apc guber candidate is from there.abaribe has left PDP..they gave buhari ,25% despite what he did to nnamdi kanu...

In IMO,uzodinma has won always all polls since he was sworn in.he won even in owerri zone.apc dominates orlu and okigwe.he won't be contesting so he will have time to unleash mayhem on PDP.again,his second term is hinged on apc winning aso rock.dont forget ihedioha/anysnwu are fighting for IMO PDP. 30% shouldn't be hard for a smooth criminal and strategist like uzidinjo though obi will win here...

Assuming tinubu doesnt get up to 30%,he will still beat PDP in IMO and ebonyi

Your permutations are quite practical and realistic but you need to know that Tinubu is hated more than Buhari in the southeast.

Another thing is that this time there’s an Igbo son on the ballot unlike when campaigners will tell voters that whether you vote Buhari or Atiku, you are still voting for Fulani. Now, the other option is an Igbo man which will make it near impossible for APC to garner those votes they got in 2019.

Lastly, PDP, not APC, will come distant second in all Southeast states. You can bookmark this.

garfield1:
Saying apc won't get 25% is highly immature and emotional. Even me I can't say PDP or obi won't get that in sw

Ok.

Pardon my hasty conclusion.

Now, tell me where APC will get the votes to make up 30% from Southeast for instance?

Look at the blog reporting it and you’d know where it’s coming from.

But I won’t be surprised to find it on front page.

But even if Mouka did say it, it is what is expected of a religious institution like his.

Even though Osinbajo was a Pastor of The Redeemed Christians Church of God, did you see or here Adeboye make explicit endorsement of APC or Buhari/Osinbajo ticket in 2015? No. But suggestive statements were made and that’s all that did the magic.

So, churches do not explicitly need to endorse Obi and they won’t, but their suggestive statements so far has shown where they stand.

What am I even saying… even the Catholic Church in Benue suspended Fr. Alia and you will never hear the Catholic Church endorse the priest publicly. But those in the know, know that even the Bishop that suspended him is his greatest supporter.

So, Tinubu urchins, there’s no news here. Nothing to rejoice about.

Passionate888:
@ penguin2 where is 'obigbo' in Rivers state?

I don’t think I can help you if you don’t know where it is.

I’m not your man on that.

Ttalk:
How mature you have grown in your analysis unlike the previous emotional junk you previously dish out now and then.

Just remove your personal interest while writing something with this title if you want people to take you seriously

I have always tried to be reasonable sir, I guess those times my analysis didn’t suit your biases and sentiments.

We serve reason here and are always reasonable and less emotional.

helinues:
Have you ever seen Apc permutating of winning either SS or SE? Apc have been realistic with their Politics

25-35% is enough. They would look for the remaining % elsewhere

If there’s any party that would be talking about 25-35% in Southeast and Southsouth, it would have to be the PDP.

Who will vote Tinubu in the two regions?

If APC gets 10% in presidential election then they should be happy.

fergie001:
Penguin Penguin

Wetin I don do sir?

helinues:
President with less than 10% of his party members in reps or Senate..

His policies won't pass his desk

That is for policies, admitted.

But what I’m asking is EFCC chairmanship… are you telling me an EFCC chairman appointed by Obi will arrest Wike after Wike has helped Obi become president?

On whose orders?

Factcheck0001:
guy wike can never support peter obi simply because right now his greatest allies now are seyi makinde n fayose n I believe u saw how makinde stood by wike n even brought him to south west n lately what fayose said about wike being cheated

Wike is a big man n what he needs now if he wants to cross is to make a bold statement,do u think he will make any statement by supporting obi n losing?

Once he joins apc it’s game over n I believe u know fayose stand?

So far, what is explicit about Fayose’s stance is that it’s the turn of the south.

Who they will support amongst the southern candidates has not been mentioned and Fayose clearly said Nigerians should wait and expect news.

So except you have privileged information unknown to everyone else, it’s not known who they will be supporting.

Or do you?

helinues:
The question you should rather ask is

What do Obi and LP have to offer Wike?

What do Tinubu and Apc have to offer Wike?

There is no way EFCC won't pick Wike after his tenure, With Tinubu's presidency, something could still be done about it.

With Obi's presidency, what can he do about Wike's predicament when his party LP won't have 10% Reps or senate to back his personal policies?

If Obi becomes president, who will appoint EFCC chairman?

And are you aware that EFCC reports to the office of the Attorney General of the Federation who is appointed by the president?

uniquetechng:
PDP candidate picked his running from same region as well because that Kwale area is the second largest ethnic group in Delta state, so their choice is strategically thought.

Who are the largest?