₦airaland Forum

Tayser:
He won't need to. Finally, this time round all stars have aligned in his favor.

on 10th August less than two months.. you will see him lose with huge margin. My prediction is Ruto will win by 54 versus 45 with wajackoyah taking 1 percent.Kenya election are easy to predict because of its ethnic orientation and as long as Raila has failed to get Kikuyu vote he is going nowhere.But no need for long arguments...let wait for 50 days

I am sure you're typing this amidst the humming melodies of generators. Nigeria the zoo I didnt even mention. I mentioned South Africa. You're NOTHING. A dysfunctional country. Ghana is better than you.

Compare yourselves with Somalia. Burundi. Chad. Niger. Such countries.

Balogunodua:
You dumb Kenyan will keep catching up in your fantasy land with Alice as your companion while the hellhole called Kenya rot away in an endless pit of suffering, starvation and destruction...



Now go FCK yourself and say hi to the drunkard you called President...

There is good reason why he hasn't been elected. His father was like Nyerere, Nkurumah and other misguided socialists or communist.

His father became Kenya 1st Vice President and he got shipped to East Germany - where he studied communism and other Russian nonsense. He came back and tried to overthrow the gov and failed severally.

He nearly succeeded in 1982 - when coup plotter took over gov for 6hours - they got drunk - and were taken out one by one - and Moi gov restored.

He was then jailed for 9yrs - got luckly as his father pleaded for mercy - his co-plotters were hanged to death.

His father then run for presidency in 1992 and came third. He run in 1997 - I was in high school then - came third or fourth - and has over the years failed.

This is his last run.

He has absolutely no chance despite being supported by gov and Uhuru. Ruto my candidate is incredibly brilliant tactician with money and unmatched hunger or ambition for power.

Ruto is 55yrs - he is approaching 80yrs. He can barely stay awake. We are going to end his misery in 55 days.

obaaderemi:
If you get Odinga, there would be governance reforms. That guy has his own special agenda since the 80s, probably in line with his father's ideas.

Yes apart from health concern - I think Tinubu has the cojones to reform Nigeria. Nigeria requires someone who has three balls. Obasanjo for me was that kind of leader. Ultimately lots need to change. In Kenya we are building on the gains. We have 2nd republic with new constitution...and we just need to fully implement it. We dont need governance reforms...we just need to reform our work ethic.

obaaderemi:
Tinubu is a better manager of resources than obasanjo or Okonjo. He dreams big, like he did for Lagos when he was governor. And swatting aside the grand fulani coalition against a southern presidency to emerge his party's candidate shows he hasn't lost his touch despite age and recent battles with his health.

By the time a progressive such as Tinubu finishes 8 years, Nigeria would solidify its rightful place and there would absolutely be no reason for a debate with countries such as Kenya on development.

Like I said I cannot be objective because I am deeply involved in Ruto campaigns. You're free to support the perenial loser Raila and we meet on 10th august. I definitely strongly belief that Ruto is an exceptional leader. That is just me. I am sure your political opinion is also right. Nobody here is wrong. We get one ballot. We tick. No explanation. No right. No wrong. We wait for the results. Whoever has more votes win - and we wait for 5yrs.

cossano:
stop embarrassing Kenyans abroad, what kind of nonsense is this? Ruto a great leader? Oh please!

With Ruto; Kenya in 10yrs will have caught up with South Africa; and poor Nigeria can only dream; We have 50 days almost to elect a Meles Zenawi who will transform our society. And we have good base to start with. I have been volunteering on Ruto campaigns working long hours - we are confident we will beat Raila who is backed by the drunkard president like an African talking drum of Cameroon.

We have the most complete political player - Phd, orator, quick thinker, tactician, smart, name it.

Our calculation is Ruto will win by 55 percent and will have 210-220 mps - ony 10 shy of absolute majority required to change the constitution.

If you listen to Ruto - you immediately know - he is not average politician - he is smart as whip

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4UIksvFAFI

GeneralDae:
Lol . Okay oo

He cant. Too old. Ruto doesnt joke. Raila violence start in 1982 failed coup and is ending in two months. He can barely stay a wake.

You should listen to Ruto - so you know what leaders nigeria are missing. Ruto is closest to Meles Zenawi we have in Africa.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4UIksvFAFI

GeneralDae:
Hope Ralia would not cause infighting and riots if he loses?

Ruto who is one front runner is now live on NTV. I am personally deeply involved in his campaigns and I cannot be objective - but I believe Ruto will beat Raila like an african drum. Ruto is intelligent, charismatic, well spoken, hardworking and a natural leader in the mold of Meles Zenawi, Kagame and Museveni in East Africa.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k4UIksvFAFI

Meanwhile Kenya heads to it's general election in less than two months. Kenya has held general elections every 5yrs without fail since independence in 1963. Only Tanzania and Zambia are amongst few countries to have done the same for that long.

The battle has officially reduced to 4 candidates - from 60 candidates - because of stringent requirement - a president or a governor must for example have a degree- to avoid Buhari type - and must collect 48,000 signatures bla de bla.

The front runners is current deputy president Ruto - and former prime minister (when kenya had transitional gov following 2007 post election violence) - Raila. They are neck to neck.

Next is guy who want legalize weed, introduce snake farming, four day work week, and suspend the constitution after he is elected - one Prof Wajackoyah who has 16 degrees and is nut case. The last is pastor I think.

Governors race - of the 47 governors - The mercurial charismatic thug Sonko who was impeached in Nairobi - has moved to Mombasa - and if he is eligible will win second city - by landslide. Drug kingpin, land fraudster, a jailbird, and an alley cat - Sonko - has been blocked for now - for being impeached in Nairobi - but if eligible will make the record by running two kenya biggest cities as it's governor.

That is what democracy give you....a whole array of characters.

If Obasanjo is still eligible why not elect him. He was by far the best president of Nigeria. Next you can ask WTO to release DG Okonjo - that one woman who can fix Nigeria. But I agree Tinubu if he is healthy is way better than useless VP of Buhari - that weakling of a prof.

Whatever you do - look for a reformist - for Nigeria NEED RADICAL DEEP REFORMS - that only Obasanjo was able to undertake as he switched the country from military dictatorship to democracy.

The current VP look like a quintessential conformist. Obina might be hobbled by Igbo exceptionalism.

The other guy - who lost to the useless Buhari - is also good. I guess he comes from north and Nigeria is tearing apart on it's seams and another Northerner will just send it more and more to civil war.

obaaderemi:
He is no saint. But he is a total capitalist. He brought a lot of positive attention to Lagos and left behind a solid team. Most of Fashola's projects were his idea. Remember when he brought Enron to Lagos and the FG frustrated it.

His creation of extra lcdas in Lagos was in response to the north instituting sharia law in some of their States. If there's any of these contestants who can stand up to the north, it's Tinubu. Look at how he spoilt buharis game plans at the primaries. He can offer a lot but his health falls under a question mark though.

Interesting - yeah our coast represent huge potential - that remain untapped.

kikuyu1:
Speaking of which recently I was in Msa. I drove down again to check out a Patrol (the same level with ZX performance wise), research jaggery ( rmbr 3 yrs ago I told you about sugarcane in Kwale? Those MOFOS still haven't paid us!) and what may very well make me move base to the coast permanently: fish biz, incl RAS mariculture either land RAS, Recirculated Aquaculture System which uses tanks (check out https://kamuthangafarm.com/ Mua Hills, gallivant , you know the place?) or sea cages.
Mzee, Kenya lies within the tuna belt! Do you have any idea how much Japs pay for bigeye, albacore and yellowfin?
Mind you Atlantic Bluefin easily costs 4x these Indian Ocean types. Anyway, we're farrr behind the curve- Uhuru did good with the Blue Economy thing but we're so behind in fishfarming it's not even funny.
Will get back with a more detailed post.

We are not talking now- we are talking the future. Chinese cities 30yrs ago where shi.tholes - now!!. Nairobi is already the top city in Africa by Expat.

What QOL are you talking about...are you going to rank EIU (economist) above everything else.

10yrs from now - Nairobi will be untouchable in Africa - maybe Cairo will have something to say.

jl115:
agggg please not this "most dynamic" kak again just look at the cities mentioned.... 90% including Nairobi are literal sh1tholes!!

Now tell me where does Nairobi rank on an index that really matters... Like QOL?

Kenya as whole has long way to get to South Africa level - Nairobi as a city - NOPE. This is very real - done by the 2nd biggest real estate company in the world

jl115:
how?.... We spend six times more on infrastructure than Kenya..... Even though our infrastructure gap is less than 1% of GDP....... Kenya has a 11% infrastructure gap..... But you think you are catching up??

Get real bru

Very much doubt - right now it's Joburg, Capetown, Pretoria and Durban - which are in Nairobi level - but Nairobi will leapfrog them - because Nairobi is growing in all parameters - and at much faster rate.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fB3yN-ITb2U

jl115:
except basically every South African city since we are decades ahead

Once again I'd like to remind you that Nairobi is 4th world most dynamic city. 10 more of years of construction - and no sub-sahara city will come close.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RMjkHxLp1BA

I see depression everywhere with 30yr old second hand cars.

obaaderemi:
See greenery everywhere.

Compare apples with apple and Oranges with Oranges.
Public infrastructure - your budget is 4 times kenya - though you spend 65 percent on wages and 30 percent on recurrent expenditure.
That leaves you only with 5 percent - for infrastructure.
So if you budget is 130b (last I checked)
That mean you're spending about 7B dollars on development.

jl115:
@shma

Your latest budget for energy, infrastructure and ITC... Was Ksh335 billion

South Africa
Public infrastructure - R812 billion
Energy - R9.2 billion
catalytic and blended finance projects(for infrastructure) - 17.2 billion
ISA fund-R96billion


In other words SA spend about $60-64billion on infrastructure a year and Kenya spends around $2.8 billion.....

Exactly. PPP is use for poverty analysis.

jl115:
poverty figures factor in ppp thus the above is irrelevant.

You can try catch up if you can but Nairobi has joburg on her sight.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6cdGYdeL7J4

Reminder; this not even 1/4 of Nairobi. Stop heckling; Nairobi is on it's way to overtaking Joburg.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EuoAznN-Alc

Heckling will not slow down Nairobi

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UpfIKfg1qC0

samorobo:
Lmao,I put it to you blind goat that Nairobi is nothing close to Addis Ababa. Now hurry,take that to the bank and cash it taahira.

There many parameters - p2p, m-commerce, etc - so be careful out there

GeneralDae:
Kenya's Q1 mobile money use is 15.6 Billion dollars.

https://english.news.cn/africa/20220524/9c004d1e81d74cf7b78fca452e03dc33/c.html

Mpesa transactions just only more than half of Kenyan GDP ( probably 60 Billion dollars)

https://fortune.com/2022/03/08/mpesa-fintech-safaricom-innovation-kenya-africa-mobile-money-unbanked/

There is almost nothing you can teach us Nigeria.
We send engineers to China.
But even more than that we had China come to kenya and expand our existing Railway Institute of Training.
Now it regional(Africa outside RSA) school of railway engineering.

Kenya Railways Trainining Institute.
https://www.rti.ac.ke/
The Railways Training Institute now has the capacity to train up to 800 Kenyans using the same standards used to train the SGR Kenyan staff who undertook a training exercise in China.
The institute has been upgraded at a cost of Ksh1 billion and it now includes modern laboratories and technical workshops that will be crucial in training the people who will work on the SGR.

samorobo:
Lol alll this noise for what exactly? Oga get your locals to incorporate with the Chinese in construction or fold your hands and watch them keep giving you substandard infrastructure like your entire sgr and more recently that stretch of road that will faded out in 6 month max

Less than Kenya MPESA - now close to 300B dollars - mobile money transaction alone.

Safaricom records show the mobile money platform increased the total value of transactions by 34 per cent last year to hit the Sh29.5 trillion mark for the financial year ended March 2022.

This saw earnings from the platform increase to Sh107.7 billion having grown from Sh82.6 billion in 2021, indicating the increasing importance of M-Pesa to Kenya’s financial sector.
https://www.pd.co.ke/commerce/m-pesas-transactions-hits-sh30-trillion-126812/

GeneralDae:
Cashless transactions in Nigeria rose 44% year-on-year in Jan-April 2022, to hit 117.33 trillion naira (280 Billion dollars). This is 35.79 trillion naira more than the 81.54 trillion (194 Billion dollars) in Jan-April 2021.

Source: NIBSS NGR.

Japan only mistake was to miss the computer/ict revolution as they focussed on robotics otherwise Japan and South Korea are very rich countries. Economy in developed world is stagnant. It true in Europe - and even in the US (which mostly an exception as it attract immigrants).

tylann:
Always wondered with South Korea and Japan work ethic it also baffles me why Japan's economy has stagnated for 30 years and korea is kidnapped by family businesses

Malawi is going broke - next Ghana

KQ suspend flights due to foreign currency repatriation difficulties

I dont think problem of Africa engineers is technical; there has been no technical advancement in building a railway since 18th century; it remain civil works to flatten the ground; tire two wires together and pour ballast; or building a paved road - remain civil work to flatten the ground, foundation, pour tar or bitumen; difference is minor standards btw countries on the size and dimensions;

Chinese dont have advance tech they use to build their roads or railway compared to Africa contractors. What China have is work ethic - top notch project management - they work 24-7 on a project - and that is what makes all the difference. Generally you need maybe one engineer for every 1,000 workers.

Africans have been sending millions of it professional to train, school, live abroad - but they come back to - to find a culture that reward laziness, corruption and they get used to it.

Few countries that have succeeded in Sub Sahara Africa in stamping out laziness or lack of discipline for me has to be 1) Rwanda 2) Ethiopia. Ethiopia under Meles were able to build about kilometres(not sure) of railway entirely on their own. Rwanda have done incredible job to build discipline in their society.

Chinese are doing great because they work harder than anybody else - they work 7 days a week almost for 12hours everday if not more - Japanase and South Asians generally do the same - that culture of hardwork is what is totally lacking in Africa.

theenchanter:
May God, any of the gods or Gods actually bless Amaechi, our minister of transportation. Dude made sure Chinese Engineers, in collaboration with Nigerian Engineers built the rail lines, he specifically told them not to bring any Chinese Engineer where a Nigerian Engineer can fill.

He even went as far as sending some 200 Nigerian Engineers to china to understudy how train mechanical structures are made..... we now have a train wagon plant here and the Nigerian Engineers have been tasked to build every civil works of rail lines project.

Knowledge transfer 101.

Nobody is going to lend you anymore. Dont even think about it. Even debt vultures will not touch a skunk like Ghana.

Just40:
The graph means absolutely nothing ...

It just mean that is Ghana wants to borrow, it will be expensive.



Unfortunately Kenya so badly need debt and without it, the entire country will collapse and if it borrows too, the entire country will collapse because it won't be able to repay the loans.

You see how desperate things are for you, no wonder you guys are so desperate here.

We are not Ghana morons - we have always manage our public finance prudently.

Just40:
So Bloomberg is no longer credible ?


Before Ghana will go burst, Kenya will not exist as a nation on the map.


Especially with using 80% of revenue to service debt.
Why do you think you currently have fuel lines and food scarcity ?

Why do you think government workers haven't been paid for months in your country ?

Factual

Study this graph keenly - and start to dollarize.

Just40:
so now you don't have more domestic debt than external, you rather balance ?

When will you stop telling lies just to make a point ?

You do what 70% long interest what?

Your debt servicing cost is 14 billion dollars per annum... Tell me more about long servicing..... Stop lying and your country will developed properly.


Ghana has 48% 52% external and domestic debt, last I checked..

Deal in facts

FACTS. Quote data from somewhere credible. Stop heckling. You country will go burst while we are here.

Just40:
Your country borrowed foolishly and spent on unprofitable ventures and now it is unable to pay it public and civil servants because debt servicing is 80% of revenue.

It is even not able to buy fuel..

Economics is not your thing humble yourself and be taught simple stuff

We balance - 50 percent domestic; 50 external; of the external; we avoid commercial loans like eurobond; we do 75 percent zero interest long maturity development loans from china/worldbank/and such...these are concessional loans...that you dont worry about.

Now move to Ghana almost 80 percent external debt; almost 80 percent of that external debt is commercial; CRAAZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZY

One good thing - you're in good company in Ghana - everyone there seem to been mad !!

Just40:
only a fool will out borrowing the private sector in the domestic market .... No wonder Kenyan private sector is not able to create enough jobs for Kenyans because they can't really expand profitable businesses.


A govt duty is not to borrow in the domestic market when it needs funds.
This is counter productive


You simply don't know much about economics

You respond with evidence - not diarhoea!

Just40:
first of... Get your facts right

Ghana debt to GDP is not 70%


Ghana debt to revenue is 45% as at April


Now what's your next desperate excuse for Kenya 80% debt servicing?