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BabsO2's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:44am On Feb 17, 2025
GeeKudi:
It's expected, of course, after waking up to some free shares, those who are interested in the cash would take that option.
Agree those that want to monetize part of their share distribution payment doing so.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:08pm On Feb 13, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
On second thoughts I think I agree with @Hesinme view about the banks.
For those that have alloted shares already, since they’re already listed, they will qualify for dividend. We could see a lower dividend per share for these banks that alloted. The full year earnings will be divided by old shares but the dividend will be paid on new shares.
It could be a much lower dividend yield than we’re used to. What would market reaction be then
I think UBA has adequate eps to support N4 annual dividend payment for 2024 and going forward even with enlarged number of shares. 2024Q3 eps was nearly N15. With enlarged shares and Q4 profits, eps should stay flat. And this eps does not include the gains in comprehensive income. Without further devaluations comprehensive income won't be like x3 profit again. (Year to Q3 profit was N0.5T and Comprehensive Income was 1.6T)
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:47pm On Feb 13, 2025
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/43132_UNITED_BANK_FOR_AFRICA_PLC-APPROVAL_OF_GROUP_AFS_FOR_THE_YEAR_ENDED_DECEMBER_31,_2024_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_FEBRUARY_2025.pdf

CBN reviewers need to sit up. They get to know the dividend proposed by UBA and other market sensitive information which they can take advantage of. Are they more skilled than the Auditors of the banks? What's the earliest time the results and dividend declaration will be released to the public? 2 weeks or 4 weeks?

I estimate a final dividend payment of not less than N2. That is total dividend payment of N4.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:50pm On Feb 12, 2025
ositadima1:
That’s your opinion, and I respect that. But just like you, I have the right to hold mine.

This was the same argument I had with him back then—don’t discourage others just because you got burned in the past. Oando did 13 baggers, and whether you refuse to touch it with the longest pole on earth or not, that fact remains unchanged. It has yet to crash as Oga Emma predicted.

Let’s watch and see.
With weighted average entry price of about N11, Oando is +6 baggers for me right now.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:49pm On Feb 06, 2025
Streetinvestor2:
Oga if you don't know anything in this business till now.You should quit and go try something else. What is the imaginary numbers. You rushed to quote my post as hope analysis to get likes.Did you not see oando q4 results and FY unaudited results. Thr was good improvement in the q4 results and q1 2025 will be better because revenue will definitely increase because production is expected to be higherl . If you no sabi FA stop pretending to know it.
The last ellah lake esult I saw had no revenue
generation. They made expenses from the Air and retained earnings was heading more south.
Bro if you no sabi the business. Is better you calm down to learn and stop doing notice me.What blood asset that is not generating a kobo abi na me prepare the results.
I dey Ellah and Oando.
Ellah is passing through the development stage of a new business. Maybe the palm trees are still in the nursery. As I dey pray make crude oil price no drop nah so I dey pray make Ellah lakes palm trees begin fruit and make palm oil price stay high. Then the company will move to cash cow stage. In both Ellah and Oando patience is key. Person wey no get patience or want now now cash cow stock can go for Presco or Seplat or Geregu sef.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:40pm On Feb 06, 2025
chimex38:
Lol...so you dey follow thread? Here I thought you only speak "stockbubbles". grin

Nice site by the way. Kudus!👍
A nice thread worth following for the investment or is it stock speculation biased. A fair dose of fundamentals, technicals, jokes and gbas gbos making it not monotonous. If I no need the fundamental or gbas gbos post I just jump ahead if I need I read and take (widen my view) or enjoy what it brings.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:51pm On Feb 05, 2025
Princkez:
watch out for institutional investors to take up remaining 3b units @#100 and cash realised to be distributed as special dividend to shareholders...#10 per share
Many ways to skin the cat. Sounds like my xyz way. That way profitability will be accelerated as it is another way of recovering the original funds that was lost leading to the confiscation and redistribution of shares of the former delinquent shareholder.

But the redistribution is excellent as it appears management is confident the turnaround they have started will generate enough money to strengthen the balance sheet.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
chimex38:
True.. No doubt
but here and there isnt in their numbers.
Pray it’s that small cloud, the beginning of abundant showers of blessings.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:45pm On Feb 04, 2025
Locotrader:
Una don begin turn English upside down because of Oando.
Too much ogogoro for the parry
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:41pm On Feb 04, 2025
chimex38:
Na wash joor
Nigeria ko Nigérien ni.
I no read the story. But it could be related to some Nigerians coming to attend dental clinic in Nigeria as there are some advantages for doing so. Or like that CNN anchor story.

Former CNN anchor Isha Sesay, of Sierra Leonean descent, brought her mother to Nigeria for medical treatment. She praised the Nigerian medical staff for their exceptional care, noting that her mother was admitted to Lagoon Hospital in Apapa, where she spent three months in the Intensive Care Unit. 

Stuff like this here and there.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:52pm On Feb 04, 2025
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:50pm On Feb 04, 2025
mikeapollo:
How can that be done?
Distribute ones and monetize which rest?
Is it that complicated.
Out of xyz units, distribute x and sell yz and put proceeds into balance sheet
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:03pm On Feb 04, 2025
Raider76:
I believe you don't own any Oando shares. Because I don't think any minority shareholders who know the potential capital gain in Oando shares in the next year or two will ask for cash, or any other option, at this time.
I am saying distribute some shares and monetize the rest to boost balance sheet and profitability.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:52pm On Feb 03, 2025
Streetinvestor2:
Based on what naija management can do.They should give me my own let me decide the best way to use it.
Can you say whr the money gotten from selling the fuel stations went .Abeg no loud this option oh
They can always steal whatever they want to steal if they are bent on it. And they can distribute as they deem fit. So no worries. But if they have decided to distribute shares they better monetize it to improve profits while giving out something immediately to shareholders also. They can always continue chop profits in fat emoluments etc instead of creditors collecting a larger chunk. Abi OandO is part of the creditors ni.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:54pm On Feb 03, 2025
Bagwa:
You will soon hear from Wale ASAP

Huge is coming Feb , June 😃
Wish a major part of the shares to be redistributed is sold publicly or privately or to creditors and the money reinjected into the shareholder reserves and balance sheet.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:13pm On Feb 03, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Na wa oooo, I am yet to see mine
Maybe they are loading turn by turn and not in one go. Surprised I didn’t see breakdown of what was added and when. Perhaps they will load that later too.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:46pm On Feb 03, 2025
eddyakinrinde:
Please when did they credit your Zenith shares
I looked at my CSCS statement online to see my portfolio at end of January and saw my zenith had increased by the amount for rights and PO I applied for. Clicked to see more details but no further details came up. Usually one can see further details of when such additions occurred - date and volumes.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
PuristForest:
If our TA does not work, how have we been recording over 200% in most of the assets that we document, check our twitter handle and get the gist, i held myself from making this post about the market cos i always know that folks will generally not receive it well but i had to say it so that people be cautious and maybe perform better due diligence before jumping into buying...Even in the red years, there will always be winners. Our TA is strictly based on principles of Elliot wave theory and it works for the most part becuasae market moveements are driven by human psychology and moves in cycles of optimism and pessimism whcih are reflected indistict wave patterns. you dont have to believe but there are rules in everything in life including the market. One of many pointers i can give you towards a bearish market in Q2 is the ASI itself, we will be hitting a market top in april at about 108k after a 5 wave impulse, when that happens, then our next support will be 100k and that will take us to about october, that 6% decline will not come easy i can tell you for free..do the maths.
Worst case scenario is a flat market and not a fall due to any wave theory

I think effects of naira devaluation can mess up any TA waves without some correction or adjustments for massive devaluation. Also fundamentals in Naira terms is on upwards trajectory for many stocks with low levels or none existing overvaluations. Also the economy is still experiencing growth. Worst case I forecast is a flat index and not a drop. This can materialize from a global problem like rapid oil price drop. Without a negative impactful global (or local) event the market will climb up. Perhaps gradually perhaps steeply.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:31pm On Jan 27, 2025
Deepseek hitting US AI Big Tech shares shocked.

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:05pm On Jan 27, 2025
chimex38:
But they go around marketing convincing the Public to invest?

Bombarding emails to customers to purchase Right Issue and public offers?

Holding webiners, whatsapp sections, public enlightenment, etc

Spending heavily in terms of time analysising companies result as they come every quarter, Being abrest of daily happenings in the political scene and world economics to stay informed as frontliners, just to dish out up-to-date research and point out recommendation to the public on weekly basis.

All these doesn't mean anything to them personally?
Because they don't personally spend money abi?

In my opinion again, It's not massively possible?
Probably, very very few of them don't.
Perhaps many live pay check to pay check due to inadequate salaries. It’s easier to invest when one has money left over after completing all expenses.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:37am On Jan 26, 2025
megawealth01:
I prefer my Access to Oando ooooo
I prefer my Oando to Access.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
OakPearl:
My brother, the executive recklessness is so sickening with these people.
I struggle to see such justification no matter how much explanation I have read about it.
I was so impressed when I read about Otedola’s reaction to that of FBN. And he is a billionaire oh.
I mean, you can still have a very good party without those wastages.
A key root cause reason Otedola was not happy with the send-off party for the outgoing MD of first bank is summarized below.
A top employee of the bank informed TheCable that Otedola was “seriously irked” when he learned that a whopping sum was spent on a send-off party for Adesola Adeduntan, the former MD of the bank who was reportedly forced to resign over alleged negligence in a N60 billion electronic fraud.
https://www.thecable.ng/the-insider-turmoil-in-first-bank-as-furious-otedola-wields-the-big-stick-after-lavish-party/?form=MG0AV3

FBN was not having an end year party for staff, but were having a lavish party with an MD allegedly linked with N60 billion fraud and who was forced out because of the financial losses to FBN and its stakeholders (Staff & Shareholders).

While Oando was celebrating a major key milestone in its history. A parry worth the celebration and creation of memories for the new and old staff of the bigger Oando.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:31pm On Dec 20, 2024
mikeapollo:
So workers need Davido, Wizkid and Burna Boy to keep their spirits high? Incredible So other companies that did not invite these artistes, are you saying that their workers spirits are low or demoralized?
Let Davido, Wizkid and Burna Boy collect some oil money joor. And let the staff parry free with the stars and rejoice for the year's successes. Tony also posted some of his UBA Christmas party pictures online.

Go get your snacks at the AGM grin.

By the way Wale & Management should sell the shares of the debtor to better investors at +N100 and use the proceeds to boost SHF into positive territory while distributing the remaining cash to shareholders to do whatever they choose to do with.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:08pm On Dec 20, 2024
mikeapollo:
Xmas party can be held in a modest way just like other companies. They don't even need to invite any artiste to have Xmas party.
What is the essence of inviting and paying huge sums to 3 artistes when your shareholders are struggling and the company is hugely debt ridden? How many companies did you see or hear that they paid 3 expensive artistes for Xmas party? Will you do thst if your own company is strugling to survive?
Stakeholders like banks and creditors are also there.
We just read a few days ago how Otedola reacted when FBN held a lavish party for a retiring director.
Oando needs to celebrate the big achievements it has made this year with the successful acquisition of NAOC assets with workers. The bigger Oando work force (ex NAOC & old Oando) need morale boosters of belonging to a great BIG Oando to ginger them to do exploits of restoration of assets to top notch production performance.

Abeg the staff needs the party to keep their spirits high to rev up production safely while thinking out of the box and enjoying their team working that will surely deliver results.

What you need is to get your snacks at the AGM grin.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:44pm On Dec 20, 2024
essentialone1:
grin

at how much?
Bank rates for buying today was about 1540
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:28pm On Dec 20, 2024
mikeapollo:
Not just bad; it is very unethical, unprofessional, insensitive, and stupid (pardon my English).
That is why they made sure the AGM was held before the nonsense party in order to avoid criticisms at the AGM. But they must be called out at the next AGM
Shareholders are not the only stakeholders in Oando. The staff who create the value we all enjoy are also critical stakeholders that have worked very hard in the year and deserve their usual Christmas parry.

Christmas party is not for shareholders but for Oando staff. It's attending AGM and any snacks shared there that is for we shareholders when it comes to parry and merriment grin .
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:22pm On Dec 19, 2024
mikeapollo:
You made good points
But in that case, then there should be a publication saying that the debtor has changed his mind and now willing to pay cash instead.
What we were told in clear language is that management directors have reached and approved a firm agreement with the debtor to settle the debts with its shares. Any cash elementz complicate matterz because there was no specific value placed and agreed for each share at the AGM.
It's how cash is coming into the picture that was making me think of scenarios. If there is a firm agreement for disposal. Then cash may come in from any fat cat that wants to repay a chunk of the outstanding debt for a chunk of the shares. Then some cash can be distributed to shareholders (and perhaps some to SHF) and the remaining chunk of shares not taken by fat cats distributed. shocked
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:13pm On Dec 19, 2024
HesInMe:
Basic accounting should suggest that the repayment of a debt that is already on the books should have no impact on shareholders' equity -- unless there are gains (or reversal of write-offs) arising from the repayment. That's unlikely, since the debtor in this case, Whitmore Asset Management, is owned by Tinubu and Co. That's how riddled with ethical issues this "deal" is.
The message is the debt is written off and currently not in balance sheet assets. That looks clear. But the debtor holds so much Oando shares that can now be distributed to other shareholders except the debtor finds money to pay back to secure some or all the debtors Oando Plc shares from being distributed to every other shareholder.

The AGM letter get as it is worded shocked However my take is, it indicates a form of write-back is coming to shareholders in either cash payment and or share distribution from a delinquent debtor.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
mikeapollo:
If is it true that shareholders actually expressed preference for cash payment, then it shows how shareholders could sometimes undermine their own interest.
What was the value or price that was agreed or placed on each share?
So what happens if Oando management adopts a particular value per share to pay cash to the shareholders and then the share price on the NGX jumps higher the following day or week?
What if the delinquent debtor changes mind and not want to part with any Oando PLC shares or the whole lot of shares and say this one wey you hold be for shirt through AGM I go pay back small small or in full. That means no more shares will be distributed but cash will be the way out (if debt paid back in full) or part shares part cash (if debt paid back in part). And the post AGM letter indicate either can happen somehow as the way forward is not cast in stone with its tone. Any way it goes the money written off from account books will come back to support the shareholder funds. Do you know if the written off amount is big enough to turn shareholder funds positive if written back ?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:54pm On Dec 19, 2024
designking:
I like this sound of this. ₦100 is enough for me.
Remember Mr Time and patience is very important. As it may happen quickly or it may be delayed. But the probability of it happening is far higher now following the last AGM. Once SHF is positive coast will be very clear for uptake by investors. Patience may be needed.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:42pm On Dec 19, 2024
Oando may not move well until its numbers and share distribution become clear. Or until a market mover understands it better and swoops in. Mr Time will bring clarity to the investment value of Oando, Aradel & Seplat and Mr Market will adjust Oando price up. Mr Time has the final say on how high up. This thread has a market valuation of Oando in solid 3 digits above N 170. Patience is key for this Oando parry.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:51pm On Dec 18, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
Check SPDC’s website also. They own AFAM VI
Sunrisepebble:
@babsO2. What Transcorp acquired was the FGs plants and the fast power plant
You're likely right on Transcorp not being the owner of AFAM VI

As its clearly stated on Transcorp PLC's Afam power subsidiary web page that they own I to V with total capacity for 2000 MW.
https://transcorppower.com/tapl/

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