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BabsO2's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:38pm On Dec 13, 2024
chimex38:
Good question. same thing I always ask myself.
Always Missing in Action
Cocoa has surged this year in $$$$s more than doubling in price shocked

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
See the last set of trades for our OANDO today grin

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:34pm On Dec 13, 2024
megawealth01:
Meristem Customer Service just gave me this response...

"Kindly be informed that the stock market opens from 10: 00 am and closes by 2:20pm Mondays to Fridays"
Perhaps 2:20pm is when the last trade can be submitted. By 2:30 no trade can happen again officially.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:25pm On Dec 13, 2024
megawealth01:
No longer 2.20pm?
I think it's 2:30pm that's official close.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:54pm On Dec 13, 2024
toyeoye:
Not quite close at the time of posting the update sir.
Thanks.
The market closes at 2:30pm I notice the fastest brokers report the closing report earliest by a few minutes to 3pm. Suggesting final data is not ready until about 15 minutes or more after market closing. Thus I guess your site may not have the final data until about 3 pm also depending on when the final data comes from the market for day.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:44pm On Dec 13, 2024
toyeoye:
ARADEL has somehow leaped into top 5
Market has closed. So this should be the closing picture for today.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:42am On Dec 13, 2024
megawealth01:
Nigeria Cocoa Exports Jumps By 300% From ₦‎161.8 Billion To ₦‎644 Billion 

https://www.businessamlive.com/nigerias-6bn-cocoa-potential-drives-demand-for-serious-productivity-investments/
Interesting. So Nigeria with current price of Cocoa can make $25 billion from Cocoa. What the governors doing to make states safer and more attractive for business ventures. The $25billion can even be more if the right Nigerian entrepreneurs (investors) are in the value chain. This is one of the reasons I took some of Ellahlakes, hoping the management does good with all what they say on their website. FTN Cocoa why are you missing in action here?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:06am On Dec 13, 2024
megawealth01:
Do you have a price projection in the long term for uba?
That is in the hand of Mr Market who can even decide to bring the price further down instead of up. I can only guess dividends should be about N4 yearly going forward or at worst should not be less than N3. I can also roughly bet EPS going forward should not fall below N12 even with the expanded number of shares.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:00am On Dec 13, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
The guys in palm oil business na kill by yr end oh.I bought 1.5 litters of palm oil at #4500 yesterday for the quantity needed.The thing shock me though the vendor says it is of very high quality and not mixed
Okomu retails it palmoil in supermarkets. Very lovely palmoil. The last I bought this year was about N11k for 4 litre bottle
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:49am On Dec 13, 2024
robobo:
u sabi, plus another advantage is it help prevent the Ote$ effect/threat (hostile takeover)

this is an example of situation where our (retail investor/minority) interest (better pricing) aligns with that of mover/shakers.
After the RI and records are updated it will be clear if Tony took more UBA. This may only be know after about 6 months.

Tony buying a major chunk of the RI at a price higher than what the retail market offers injects money into UBA for the benefit of all shareholders. This is unlike a major shareholder buying up shares in the market to raise prices by injecting money into the hands of traders without long term benefits in terms of enlarged shareholder funds. I like this approach by Tony. This makes me give UBA a long term value (treasure) stock rating. This rating means those currently holding UBA should not sell it, but rather look for other shares to sell should they need urgent 2k.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:07am On Dec 13, 2024
Mpeace:
I pray Elumelu considers taking more shares like 70-85% stake in his listed companies. It will help him(and help us too)
I think he will take more of UBA (and help us too by creating new higher price support for UBA). Doing rights at a low price would have resulted in a lower price support for UBA.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 5:02pm On Dec 12, 2024
Raider76:
Who will buy @28 when the RI is @25, a more than 10% difference? The extension of the RI period to 30th December may also be discouraging people.
How can the extension be discouraging people?
I think the extension can only help to increase participation and not discourage anyone who wanted to subscribe as the change of date was only know a day to the original closing date. And the N25 RI price looks fairly attractive once comapred to many other banks.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:32pm On Dec 12, 2024
The offer volumes on FBNH is not relenting. With the extension of the RI the pressure just seem to be mounting. And the FBNH bullion vans are no where to be seen in the market.

Perhaps this FBNH RI is adding to the market trading sideways as shareholders attempt to sell other shares in other to pick their rights shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
owolabi5:
TRANSCORP MAY BE NEXT!

That dude is grossly undervalued relative to its subsidiaries.

#TONY INDEX grin

#BILLIONAIRES INDEX grin
Transcorp further take off may come after the UBA rights is successfully completed and perhaps over subscribed by accepting some over subscription.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:06am On Dec 11, 2024
parisbookaddict:
i think those FPI will see the naira gains on the dollar as an incentive to stay put on the market. my fear was that a continuing depreciating naira would discourage foreign participation, especially after a trump win. Does anyone else have thoughts on this?
Without some form of currency controls there will be increased demand that will pull the price up as supply is not as high as speculative demands.

You can see the push of speculative demand in the video below


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u0uoeq4nxrY

A relatively stable exchange rate is good for businesses as it allows better planning. While an unstable one is risky for businesses. CBN may need some form of currency controls to stabilize exchange rates. The willing buyer willing seller approach cannot give stability for businesses.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:37am On Dec 11, 2024
Omooloriredade:
When it comes to regulatory disclosures and investor relations, Seplat has such a high standard that it may be almost impossible for Oando to match.

Oh boy! See detailed presentation na. A lot of work sifting through the web, results to find corresponding data on Oando.
Indeed some work needed to compile similar information for Oando. And the compilation may be incomplete especially around funding. From the little work I did it seems Oando has more reserves but lower current production than SEPLAT, suggesting it may need more fund injection to attain potential for the country.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:50pm On Dec 10, 2024
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/42688_SEPLAT_ENERGY_PLC-ANNOUNCEMENT_ON_UK_PROSPECTUS_PUBLICATION_REGARDING_MPNU_ACQUISITION_CORPORATE_ACTIONS_DECEMBER_2024.pdf

Like the information released by SEPLAT on NGX today. I guess Oando must have published something similar. Will be good to compare.

This news didn’t move the market. That means it’s not new information.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:38am On Dec 09, 2024
mikeapollo:
I am not impressed with the 50% increase in output as announced by Oando.
Before the acquisition, Oando, ENI and NNPC were in a JV with ratio 20: 20: 60 respectively
After Oando acquired ENI, their share in the new JV is now 40%, which should automatically translate to an increase in output of 100% or thereabout.
So why are they only achieving a 50% increase 3 months after the acquisition? Are they unable to fully exploit and produce from the fields?
Oando should be reporting at least 80% increase in output by now, otherwise something more fundamental may be wrong e.g. inability to acquire rigs and other equipment to produce crude oil as much as possible.

Experts in the oil and gas sector can educate me on this if I am mistaken.
I read also as a possible reduction in production of the total assets post take over being spun as a rise in Oando production shocked
Looks like the trick didn't work for the market if so as no price rally right now.
They need another catch grin Like say explicitly Oando ramped up total asset JV production from x to y for Naija cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:08pm On Dec 07, 2024
mails4funshi:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mPmz4uaeJdo
Great. In six months it will be clearer if the management is ok if indeed profits start rolling in as said.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:48pm On Dec 07, 2024
grin
crownprince2017:
In anything you do don't let analysis paralysis about Nigeria economy send you away from the stock market, history will be rewritten.
2025-2026 will be massive.
Few words is enough for the wise.

grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:38am On Dec 04, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
In the long run the dollar will always appreciate against the Naira. It is just economic fact.
Dollar forever remains dollar, i've never seen anyone regret buying dollar. Unless you are buying for trading purposes, like those looking to make gains on the trade earlier in the year when Naira fought back a little and later depreciated again
In the global context. Some analysts for several years have predicted a fall in dollar with respect to global currencies. But the opposite seem to have happened in the last 3 to 5 years.

For Naira, as long as we consume more than we produce locally, the naira is bound to continue falling especially with our rapid population growth relative to the rest of the world.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:16am On Dec 04, 2024
megawealth01:
The day dollar will fall eh. I just hope people buying dollars to hoard won't regret it sha?
In whatever context you are referring to.

Why will dollar fall ?
and or
What are the things that can make dollar fall ?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:09pm On Dec 03, 2024
megawealth01:
Anyone following stockbrokers recommendations is like someone following Wale and taking all his words to heart grin
Chai. Relax let Wale breath grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:03pm On Dec 03, 2024
GeeKudi:
Sure! If there is no significant pullback by analogue investors and profit takers, it should cross 100 by early next week. Thereafter, we will see how far people can stretch the largesse. May 2025 is too far for people like me. Will only leave few units for the Chinese.
Some stockbrokers too just recommend rubbish or fail to update their recommendations. Read one's SELL recommendation for WAPCO sad in the mail today.
The recommendation should have been HOLD shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:56pm On Dec 03, 2024
megawealth01:
Oando wey go still cross #100

Make Wale finish wetin him and JAGABAN dey cook first grin
Pray it crosses 3 digits smoothly and comfortably this month
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:37pm On Dec 03, 2024
Streetinvestor2:
They will pay me personally nothing less than #150.That is what I have used to calculate my afolabi units..lol.This is by faith.Make dey no try 10WHT on it too
I join you in faith and pray the ones I reported I bought this year on this thread at N37.x I will get nadding short of N150 shocked grin sharperly
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
ghm:
You are right but if we think out of the box, it may occur to us that it is not the same with everybody, situations may differ.
E.g. someone I know:
1. Brought in $10K into the country
2. Changed it at N1,500 to $1, that's N15m.
3. bought 50,000,000 units of Veritascap at N0.30K around 1/11/2023
4. Sold at N1.30 on 11/7/2024 for guess how much - N65m
5. Change 65M back to USD at 1700 that's a whopping $38K - over 20K on top of 10K.

This is real, not an hypothetical story.

It is not recommended for anyone, DYOR, you are the CEO of your portfolio..
Looking at Nov 2023 total volume of veritas capital sold was 438.6 million units at weighted average price of 37kobo this was a massive jump from prior October volumes of 47.8 million units at an average price of 26kobo
So the point 3 is verified doable by smart (abi insider info) money.

Looking at July and August 2024, much easier to take the bullet 4 profits in August but not impossible in July if the seller actively used limits to manage the sales. The transaction volumes for the months of June to August were loud above 400 million units every month.

Verdict: The loud returns possible around those periods.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:10am On Dec 03, 2024
chimex38:
you don join the Ding crew grin
It's good to join in ringing the bell when waiting for market to open grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:00am On Dec 03, 2024
Ding !
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:04pm On Dec 02, 2024
megawealth01:
Top 10 Banks In Nigeria By Shareholder Funds In Q3 2024
https://nairametrics.com/2024/11/30/top-10-banks-in-nigeria-by-shareholder-funds-for-q3-2024/
See Tony's UBA leading with the fattest shareholder funds.

The analyst that compiled this seem to have included Non Controlling interest funds in the SHF computation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:37pm On Dec 02, 2024
megawealth01:
https://businessday.ng/news/article/nigerias-cardoso-signals-rate-cuts-next-year-as-inflation-cools/

Nigeria’s Cardoso Signals Rate Cuts Next Year as Inflation Cools
This should support stock rally next year. I think the high rates are compounding issues right now and sharp cuts are needed as early as January. While other means are explored to tame inflation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:17pm On Nov 29, 2024
BabsO2:
We are waiting for the bullion van at FBNH at market open. What’s holding it back. Abeg make the major buyer resume
The FBNH bullion van attended to two extremely fat transactions for 120million shares at N26. Ummmh.

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