₦airaland Forum

teemanbastos:
This is a good writeup.
Not a politicallybiased post.

I agree.

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The President seems to have an unending knack for self-damaging mischief.

Hmm.

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LOIUSXIV:
In 2011,Mr. Jonathan comfortably had 25% in 31states.but what's the relevance of 25%(24states) if the 1st and overRiding requirement, 'MAJORITY OF THE VOTES' is not met?it is important to note that 25% is not a MUST unlike 'MAJORITY'or technically, 'plurality'.so much emphasis is being placed on '25%'and for the PDP that's dangerous.for once, 2011 is not 2015.a lot has changed.the worry for both PDP and APC should be turnout of their supporters.that's where the difference would be made.
Delta, Rivers,Imo,Lagos, are some states Mr .JONATHAN got more than 1million plus votes.with the exception of lagos.dejavu is inevitable.Jonathan's margins were also huge in YORUBA STATES except OSUN.APC does not have the national spread of the PDP but it does not need it.knowing PDP HAS MORE WAYS TO maneuver through the Constitutional requirements,APC would be more concerned about denying the Incumbent, 'MAJORITY' IN THE FIRST BALLOT.then '25%', becomes useless.APC candidate Mr.Buhari got 25% IN 16 STATES in 2011,all in the North.in 2015,VALENTINE'S DAY, He's guarateed 25% in seven Southern states, even in ONDO AND EKITI states where PDP governors hold sway.in AMAECHI'S Rivers,Mr. Jonathan's 2011 margin would shrink but not by much.its more difficult for Mr. BUHARI TO Meet the 25% requirement than Mr. Jonathan. 16+7=23,NOT 24.MR.BUHARI'S hope is then a majority in the first ballot.anything short of that is defeat.
Much has been made about the NORTH-WEST&SOUTH-WEST electoral bank but the significance of Boko haram-ravaged North-East is more important for the APC as APC MIGHT BE VICTORS IN YORUBA STATES though by slim margins(EXCEPT osun) which does not bode well for the 'majority'calculations.a low turn out in the north-east region would spell doom if APC HOPES TO NEUTRALISE Mr Jonathan's advantage in North -Central.neither APC nor PDP is sure of huge victory in ONDO or EKITI.Mimiko's influence would count in ONDO but it would be by a tiny margin. for the APC, The battle for 'MAJORITY' IN THE FIRST BALLOT, OR PLURALITY is then a do or die thing as its the only path for victory.APC's strategists have a huge task in convincing north-east BUHARI FANS to shun the fear of boko-haram attacks and come out to vote. how Mr. BUHARI'S reverrence and cult- figure status would allay such fears would manifest on Valentine's day.

Having been able to see past the poor writing style/prose used by the OP, I think the original post is actually a very intelligent piece of work.

Well done, OP @LOIUSXIV.

(I have quoted it [the original post] verbatim so it should be easy for me to make a reference to it in the future - if necessary.)

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Unbelievable, (the subject of this subject is.)

Hmm.

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mrvitalis:
thats a sendoff clap .... or cant u see jonathan walking down the road alone
...and no buhari there means he has taken it place

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shachris03:
There is no single PDP state that is happy with the just concluded primaries. PDP is now practising selection instead of election.

Governor Rabiu Kwankwaso alluded to the bolded a couple of weeks ago already, in fact. Kwankwaso explained then that it appeared the PDP had abandoned the party's traditional ways that was assuring wins during elections, i.e., that the PDP now practices selection rather than election; that it was the party's previous practice of true internal democracy that would normally encourage the party's contending candidates to get out there and campaign and win votes for themselves - and by extension, the PDP.

Kwankwaso then went on to add, that the table has now turned, that it's now his (Kwankwaso) new party - the APC - that now practices true internal democracy, and is making the party's contending candidates to go out there, campaign, and get votes for themselves - and by extension, the APC. And that he believes this model would almost guarantee success for the APC during the coming elections.

I think that, depending on how far true and imbibed in the APC Kwankwaso's analysis is, he's probably on the right track in his expectations of an overall victory at the polls for the APC.

We shall see.

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KwoiZabo:
Buhari couldn't even get 50% of the votes so how can he win the presidential elections. This is why PDP said APC does not have a presidntial candidate.

Sorry, but you have a poor sense of arithmetic. Buhari actually received 57% of the total votes cast. And, considering that the two next big fish (Atiku and Kwankwaso) are both from the same region as him, Buhari - and those that worked for his victory - really shone at this primary.

Having said all that, the entirety of the APC party machinery - including those that lost at this primary, will have to have the same focused hands on deck from now on, in order for the APC to stand a good chance of wresting power from the PDP at the center in the 2015 general elections.

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naijadeyhia:
doing the math it seems Rochas got 1846 votes. hence handing the APC presidential platform to GMB THE GREAT!!!

F A I L, Sir...

Having said that, Chief Rochas Okorocha did make a respectable showing. Kudos to him.

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You're quite reputable, so, following on here too, @_w...

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Please put the letter on here, along with your post - or adjacent to it, otherwise, I ain't reading no letter.

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nationwide1:
Don't mind them bro. I hope they won't kill themselves from high BP. After all, the real voters don't know Nairaland.

No, of course, they don't. However, that wisdom goes both ways, don't cha think? Hmm.

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espn:
I understand..i dnt knw wat u digging!

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Matthewbriggs:
I never called any one a name caller ... What you just did is a perfect example of card-stacking propaganda device that involves bending the truth. Read my posts. I basically called out where they were using such propaganda device.

@bolded a very good use of testimonial/accusation propaganda device. I never stated I have a monopoly over wisdom or suggested other wise.

Thanks ... do have a great day.

Ol'Boy, you can't spin out of your own disparaging words towards your own countrymen, i.e., if you're Nigerian, and I again quote your words exactly:

Matthewbriggs: What I tried via this thread is enable gullible Nigerians understand...

You have yourself a good day as well, Sir.

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espn:
abi oo..can u prove he dint as well?

It shouldn't be about me, because I didn't take a position, you dig?

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Curlieweed:
Na hunger combined with malaria dey worry am.

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Matthewbriggs:
What I tried via this thread is enable gullible Nigerians understand how propaganda works.

You harass others as being name-callers, yet, you're so condescending as to yourself call/label some Nigerians "gullible?"

Why do people like you want or like to arrogate to themselves the monopoly of wisdom?

Anyways, no sweat... I already above made my point on the purport of your writing.

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Sirniyeh:
Spiritual Advice from the Altar

... In his desperate attempt, Jonathan has failed to learn that the obsessive aura of Aso Rock is brutal if he breaches the agreement with God before Pastor Adeboye for just one term...

@OP, could you please provide your/the evidence that President Jonathan swore before Pastor Adeboye that he (Jonathan) would do just one term?

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Ichiato:
Honestly the post does stink of propaganda to me. He only tried hard to look unbiased but failed terribly.

My own thoughts, too. The OP was trying to be clever by half. Hehehe.

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berem:
why should Clark be worried about Jonathan's safety? Is he the IG of police?

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brownlord:
Not with this kind of English sir, you are worst.

"... you are worst." LOL.



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Ichiato:
Honestly the post does stink of propaganda to me. He only tried hard to look unbiased but failed terribly.

My own thoughts, too. The OP was trying to be clever by half.

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LogicPower:
Every enlightened, honest and unbiased local and international observer of what's happening in Nigeria would reach the same conclusions as this seasoned and respected diplomat, and that is, GEJ does not show enough concern, talk less of the right leadership, in his handling of the terrorist attacks by BH.

Even when such attacks claimed the lives of hundreds of innocent citizens of the country he is supposed to be leading, the impression he has been giving to Nigerians and the world at large is that of an unconcerned, cold-hearted, irresponsive or even irresponsible figure-head.

No wonder he had to defend himself earlier this week in Kano, through his VP, that he (JEG) and his government were not behind the BH killings in the North! This rather strange defence by the president must have come after he had realized how more and more Northerners, both Muslims and Christians, are becoming more vocal in their exasperation at the government's inability to protect them against the brutalities of the BH savages; and their frustration is increasingly turning into suspicion that the GEJ's government, or at least some elements within it who harbour an undying pent-up desire for vengeance against the Northern Muslims and Christians alike (for some historical reasons), are using their positions in the government 'to allow the Notrh to bleed too'.

Although there might not be any truth in all such allegations, yet it is a fact that GEJ's ineptitude and lack of purposeful and committed leadership during, and in the aftermath of, the killings in the North, has clearly created a huge leadership vacuum and divided this country like never before, as a result of which the fertile ground was prepared for all these dangerous suspicions emanating from the North.

Very well said, @LogicPower. Kudos.

(I just had to quote the post in full in order to preserve it on my own side.)

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The Prof is kinda always down-to-earth. One of the parts that got me rocking in the interviews goes:

You don't take Nigerians for granted on the notion that Nigerians cannot demonstrate for long. Jonathan cannot pay N18, 000 as minimum wage but he was quick to approve N5 billion for himself and the vice president. Is their stomach digesting rock?

There's hope still.

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Adelaide2:
Yes because all the protesters were speaking a tribal language of haters:APC

OK na.

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MudRaker:
Story.

Buhari will weep more come 2015.

His supporters will turn against the Yorubas for not giving him the mandate in the APC.

Atiku will emerge the APC flag bearer, and will lose to Jonathan.

Meanwhile, Buhari will go to court to challenge the emergence of Atiku before the election.

The verdict will come 3 mths after the election and the court will rule that Buhari ought to have gotten the APC nomination.

Atiku will then concede his defeat to Jonathan and hand his loser card to Buhari.

Buhari will thus lose the election without even contesting it.

Amaechi ruling in reverse.

Vintage – and typical – Doyin Okupe.

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The subject Z4, if these speculations are borne out – especially on schedule, will be a massive addition to the Android phones ecosystem. Can't wait!

Thanks for posting, @Kelvindwaplord.

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moneymaker24:
Where u for see GTB staff collect salary for Firstbank?

duwdu:
Priceless.
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moneymaker24:
Na only u waka come?? Cos na only u understand that one o.

LOL... ... It means that your parable/joke that I quoted sounded so unique, as in, "one in a million." Really. Well done!

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twosquare:
yawns....when they start from 9inches, you can wake me up!!!

My sentiments too.

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Ositainklord:
now people won't believe my LG L7II isn't techno... dwmn techno taking all the relevant model numbers for PR.
S3, S4, M7, M8, L7,...
they'll soon jump to techno bold 5.

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gonaij:
Nairaland refuse to allow to post the link, u can check the link on my facebook wall, Fb.com/safasarena

Why don't you, the OP, or anyone else just copy and paste the specifications? That doesn't require a link na, abi; see us see wahala ooo.

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