Latvin's Posts
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Very good initiative. This is better than borrowing billions at relatively high interest rates. My plea to govt is to allow the private sector drive this initiative by ceding at least 51% equity of Infra-Co to them, allowing them produce the MD/CEO and some members of the management team. This model has worked elsewhere, notably NLNG where the private companies of that consortium are in charge of planning, execution and day to day management of projects, contributing their funds according to their equities and where necessary, borrowing funds using the strength of their balance sheets. |
It is all power grab. Prof and a few others are forming a new movement which will metamorphose into a political party for the sake of grabbing power, haven lost out in the current APC structure. There is a puritanical air around Prof with this 'I better pass you' attitude. If you want to contribute to national development, you don't wait until you are invited to a meeting. You offer your opinions and support in any way you can and one day your efforts will yield fruit. However, if you keep posturing like an opposition element, people will not trust you enough to work with you. Prof needs to learn the way of politics and use it to the advantage of the nation. With his wealth of knowledge and practice Prof should be advising the President on economic and development matters. People like madam Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala and Akinwunmi Adeshina are doing it on the world stage. Others like Prof Soludo and Bismarck Rewane are quietly offering their expertise locally, waiting for an opportunity to serve at a higher level. Prof can learn a thing or two from these people. |
Whatever she does with her life is entirely her business to be honest. Lesson learnt is to be discreet and keep out of public eye or showing off your progress. If not, you invite these comments. If you can't keep off the public, then expect these sorts of reactions and take it in your stride. There is a reason why the real rich folks don't show off. When you show off, you are trying hard to validate yourself. |
Garbage journalism by SR. |
ShenTeh:Partial opening of course. For the full opening, PMB go show, lol. |
Abdulmumin412:I concur with you. Irrespective of the fact that the SE region is massively anti APC, the law of fairness dictates that facts are acknowledged. The people can counter Ken's observations with facts if available. It shouldn't be politicised. Give kudos where it is due and knocks where necessary too. |
The facts of the matter; - The COVAX initiative aims to secure 90 million vaccine doses for Africa in the first half of 2021 and 600million doses by end of 2021. Another 670million will be secured by African Union for distribution in African countries by 2021 and 2022 - The first 320,000 of COVAX vaccine doses will go to countries with a combination of high infection and mortality rates, new cases and trends and ability to store the vaccine. Rwanda, SA, Cape Verde and Tunisia were selected for this first phase - This should alert other African countries to make adequate preparations to receive doses from the second phase onwards - Payments will depend on individual countries strength to pay but will be guaranteed by African Export-Import Bank up to $2bln My view therefore is that Nigeria and other countries will still get the vaccines but not this first batch. Nigeria now needs to put all storage facilities in place and roll out vaccination programs to show readiness to receive doses probably in March when manufacturers would have produced more to meet demand. Nigeria is also making efforts to secure vaccines from elsewhere but should now fastrack those plans and make it transparent. Notice that other African countries such as Ghana, Egypt, Morocco, DRC, Botswana, Ethiopia etc are also not beneficiaries of this first phase. Let us support govt efforts, criticize their efforts constructively and keep urging them to be transparent, communicate plans and ensure readiness to distribute vaccines to Nigerians and save lives. There is no time to waste. |
seunmsg:These are my views exactly. The first and only concern of private business entities is to make money. They will not invest otherwise. There are areas of our country today that are not economically viable. They require govt investment to open them up, necessarily delaying return on investments. No private entity will risk it. We also have to be careful about how many private entities we allow to take over our infrastructure. It is often a balance. Believe me, the $19trillion or so investable funds lying fallow worldwide will not come from our local investors but from this same Chinese, American and European govts and companies we are currently borrowing from. Our local investors and banks are still too small to play in the massive infrastructure requirement that requires billions of dollars with sometimes 10-15 years gesticulation period before returns are fully made. Point is, it is a combination of tools that will get us there - enabling environment, market driven policies that sometimes lead to paying more for quality services rendered, govt led infrastructure development and concessioning thereafter to recover invested funds etc |
Akinwunmi Adeshina is spot on in his assessment. These facts and figures based analysis brings the issues to the fore. My plea with him is to work with the President to address many of these issues. I'm sure Adeshina knows these things take time. He was Agric Minister and a key part of the economic team in the last administration. He is now in his second AfDB Presidency. If he can work with this Nigerian Govt to completely address one or two of those points he raised before his tenure expires, that will be a good legacy to leave behind. Best of luck to him and his team. |
eduj:Thanks for contributing to the discourse. This and the contribution you responded to provided informed insights. Many responses so far focused on the borrowing part of the article, with little or no mention of efforts to diversify our revenue and increase tax to GDP ratio. The call for tax responsibility and sacrifice by the President is fine but he and his govt should lead the way by massively cutting cost of governance so people can see what they are sacrificing for. I share a different view from the one you articulated in point 3 of your write up. I believe there is a reasonable road map by this Govt to attain Power sufficiency. The deal with Siemens is planned to guarantee 7000, 11000 and 25000MW of power by 2021, 2023 and 2025 respectively. Part of the deal is to sell off moribund or non profitable power assets to the private sector to invest in and manage. One of them is the Afam 1-4 turbines sold to Tony Elumelu's company last year. I understand Omotosho and Geregu are next to be sold. That is the way to go, involve the private sector to drive growth. Same for the refineries. I will say, sell the 4 moribund refineries to private companies rather than reviving them. Dangote refinery in Lagos, BUA refinery in Akwa Ibom and the numerous modular refineries now coming on stream will get us to full self sufficiency within 3-5 years time. To facilitate these private-led growth programs, the market has to be liberalised and subsidies removed. That is a painful thing to do because of price hikes in the short term, but it is the absolute right thing to do for the long term. Reason why the removal of subsidies from fuel and power prices recently is hitting hard. However with patience, private hands will ensure efficient running of these areas of our economy, they will massively invest and bring jobs and prosperity to the country in the medium to long term. On a final note, govt should focus on plugging tax revenue leakages and expanding the tax base to capture many people in the informal sector not currently paying tax. All in all, it is a mixed bag but more things are looking up and I choose to be more positive. |
GhostWisperer:If i follow your argument on the 'minor' traffic offence, then a 'minor' tax evasion of about £200 shouldn't lead to a whole car being crushed. It is the principle I'm pointing out. |
GhostWisperer:If you refuse to pay your road tax in the UK, your car is taken and crushed. |
Cherez:What is worth noting is that EndSARS protest enjoyed wide support at the onset including governors and govt officials and many folks here have said that time and again. ALL the demands were accepted by govt but some will take time to actualize. The protesters should have adopted tactics to take what govt offered and push through other means for what is left. By digging in and shifting grounds continuously on those demands, the plot was bound to be lost leading into dangerous territory. That lacuna was fully exploited by hoodlums who are also youths and lives and livelihoods were destroyed. It is being clever by half if the protesters didn't see that coming and admit that the ill advised tactics led to the aftermath. There is some responsibility there on the part of the protesters. You can't put your hands up in the air and say you were peaceful and it was hoodlums that hijacked the protest. People who saw what could happen offered their advice but were asked to shut up and mind their business. |
Ezeama400:Prof Pat Utomi is entitled to his opinion. He makes assertions such as Nigeria is more corrupt than before without evidence. This present Govt has not fought corruption as vigorously as the masses expected but it has taken concrete steps in that direction. As an example, its contracting style is to cut off corrupt middlemen and govt officials as seen in the way many contracts are handled - Siemens Power deal, direct Chinese involvement in providing infrastructure, direct payment of sukuk bonds/capital allocations to contractors, growing transparency in NNPC through publishing of its accounts etc. This is the reason why infrastructure is being delivered at speeds we have not been used to in the past. There are issues still with wasteful spending in govt agencies and MDAs that dont add any value and this can be highlighted and progressively dealt with by for instance pushing to implement Oronsaye's report. PMB has less than 3 yrs to go and I think Biden will not concern himself much with interruptions as he has more than enough on his plate domestically to deal with - covid19, economic package for US citizens, Capitol invaders prosecution, deconstructing Trump's legacy etc. I would have expected Prof to busy himself with providing a better alternative and platform to capture power in 2023, not inciting US govt against his country. The world over is going through pandemic induced economic crises and Nigeria is no exception. I plead with Prof to seek constructive ways to offer his expertise. He can do that by engaging PMB's economic advisory committee publicly, providing alternative views to budget proposals, fighting from within his party or being part of a potent third political force etc. |
iamdapsyj:Yes, either what you have said or he is positioning for the Vice Presidential slot. Easy to see through the whole shenanigan |
OkpaNsukkaisBae:So how is that a SE problem alone? You don't think the SS, NC and SW can say this same thing? |
OkpaNsukkaisBae:Most of what is said before now centers around cries of marginalisation and why the rest of the country do not want a SE president. In my view, that is victim mentality and the wrong way to approach the issue. A concrete plan and perfect implementation of how to get both parties to nominate SE candidates as their flagbearers is the way to go. It is hard work but very achievable. One recent example I can give to illustrate my point - prior to the Edo State election, some people were already crying foul, saying APC will rig the election, bla bla bla. But the people got off their backsides, said Edo was not Lagos, mobilized to stop rigging attempts, voted for their choice and defended it with their lives. That was bold action to actualize their collective will. It may not be entirely similar but circumstances are the same |
Tekrify:Now that is critical analysis there. Thanks for sharing your thoughts. I can't agree more. |
kalu61:Very well said |
OkpaNsukkaisBae:Good attempt at analysing the options. Do more of this and deftly eliminate counter options to SE candidates emanating from both dominant parties. Build more bridges, reach out more and play this damn political game to achieve what you want. Quit the victim and helpless mentality and stop blaming everyone else except yourselves |
tutudesz:Rather than demanding, they should negotiate it. This is what Zulum is saying. Nothing is given freely. No use threatening |
Let Reno rain the same curses on his former boss when the pigeons didn't fly in 2014. Until then, I cant take him seriously on this one. How can anyone read meaning into pigeons flying or not when there are more serious issues to engage one's time on. |
Tekrify:Thank you. I was going to type the exact same thing but you spared me the effort. Those clauses in the Chinese contracts are standard. There must be a way to safeguard the loans, banks and other financial institutions do it all the time. The only worry is if the debtor does not intend paying back |
Farki:Where did this notion that the Chinese will eventually take it over come from? We paid the Chinese about 20% of total cost and they borrowed us the balance with the cost of building it factored in. When the Japanese build cars and sell to the whole world, will you still say the Japanese own those cars? When JB build bridges for us, will you still say they own those bridges? Why so negative when you can do much better? |
pompeiimagnus:Don't mind them. Too much ignorance within our population. I bet as soon as Tony Elumelu's name came up as owner of Heir's Holdings, the noise around Northerners/Fulanis quietened a bit. Divesting by selling your shares in a venture is nothing new, happens in every business sector and in every country. There has been several of such divestments in Nigeria's oil and gas sector in the past. It started around 2008-2010 when this same Shell sold its stake in their Western operations. Chevron, AGIP, TOTAL and others have done similar things since then. Those companies realise that they have a lot of assets and can't possibly make the required investments in all of them, so they concentrate their efforts in areas where they have more advantage and can make more money. Often times, these are blocks where they have significant presence on land but where vandalism, community unrest, crude theft and other vices hamper their abilities to operate effectively. Local companies are better at managing such issues and they also benefit by getting into the oil and gas production business thereby encouraging transfer of knowhow to the locals. It is a win-win situation and life continues. The Majors are not leaving the country, just refocusing their efforts in areas where they can do better. |
frankmoney:Thanks for this, merci... |
sonofthunder:Does anyone know the specific Federal roads fixed by RVSG for which they are being refunded? |
Fossil fuels are being phased out and oil will die faster than gas. However, both oil and gas will still be relevant in the world for at least 30 years. In Nigeria we have both oil and gas in abundance. They are both way cheaper to produce and are in large supply than renewable sources of energy. So if you were a Nigerian leader, you would prioritise oil and gas over renewables in the short term, say 20 years. Use those two to massively industrialise the economy and then start planning to shift away from them very gradually. However the PIB should be friendly enough to the investors who now have alternative investment opportunities to fossil fuels and are even compelled by the global world to go green. My advice to the govt is to find a middle ground so that investors particularly the foreign ones with huge capital investment muscle can still bring in their money to invest. Otherwise, we will be seating on tons of oil and gas reserves which will progressively become useless, like coal. |
Igbochief001:Spot on. In politics, you sometimes need to do what it takes to get into power without which all your lofty ideas about governance comes to nought. You said it all when you gave Buhari's example. In times past, Buhari will not touch the likes of Tinubu with a long pole but until he realised that without such people, it will be difficult to get into power. Now he is a 2-term President. Moghalu should keep reaching out to every part of the country. But I doubt if he will achieve much outside PDP or APC unless he is part of a strong third force that is yet to emerge and whose possibility is dwindling by the day. Good luck to him. |
Buharidgeneral:Above statement is factually incorrect. There are 3 modular refineries in operation today; 1. Niger Delta Petroleum Resources modular refinery in Rivers State 2. WalterSmith modular refinery in Imo State 3. Opac modular refinery in Delta State There are 3 more that are almost ready to start operations in Edo, Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom states. Another 10-13 modular refineries are either being executed or in contracting stage. This is aside from the big ones - Dangote refinery in Lagos and BUA refinery in Akwa Ibom that will be commissioned before PMB leaves office and then we won't have to import a single litre of fuel again. I'm not even talking about the 4 moribund FG refineries which I think should be sold to private investors. There is a concerted effort by current govt to put an end to fuel importation through support for sufficiency in local refining. Same for Power, roads, rail, ports etc. If previous govts have done their bit, we will by now be far ahead, taking our rightful position in the comity of nations. We will get there eventually with this type of focus by current govt. |
Tareq1105:Not denying the fact that traffic flow has greatly improved with free passage through those tolls in the past couple of months. If and whenever the tolls are reinstated, effort should be made to fully digitalise tracking and collection and avoid cash collection to the minimum. That will greatly improve transit time through each toll booth. If you insist on paying cash, you pay 5 times the digital fare to discourage cash transactions that slow down movement drastically |
obailala:It is not ideal to move goods from West to East via roads but there is at least the option to move them via shipping. There are ports in Warri, PortHarcourt, Calabar and Onitsha. So if I were to prioritise, those considerations will weigh heavily on my choice. However the coastal rail will still be built |