₦airaland Forum

Obinoscopy:
Recall I had performed an analysis of the presidential results on the IREV portal and came to the conclusion that APC won based on the results on IREV. See link to the thread here: https://www.nairaland.com/7626424/inec-result-analysis-based-samples

However I noticed some discrepancies in the result for Rivers State and decided to probe further. Again I used simple random sampling and multistage sampling to ensure that every polling unit had equal chance of being selected. I used a sample size of 198. I got the sample size using the formula:

Sample Size = S/(1+S/N)
Where S = z²*p*(1-p)/e²

And where z is the z-score which is 1.96 for a 95% confidence level
p is the population proportion of those who voted in Rivers State which is 15.6%
e is the margin of error which we take as 5%
N is the population size (total number of polling units in Rivers State) which is 6866.

The result is mind boggling.

RESULT
So after collating the results sheets from randomly selected 198 polling units, APC got a total of 4637 votes, LP got 8129 votes, NNPP got 47 votes and PDP got 3578 votes. So LP (and not APC as we were meant to believe) got the majority of votes followed by APC, then PDP and finally NNPP. Infact LP got more than 50% of the vote such that if you combine APC and PDP votes its still less than LP’s votes. This corroborates Peter Obi claim that he got 50% of the votes in Rivers State.

This means LP won more than 12 States (13 States or perhaps more) and APC won less than 12 States (11 States or perhaps less). With this result, I begin to wonder if there are other States with this kind of glaring discrepancies.

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Caveat:
Whether the results from IREV is authentic or not is a matter for another discuss. My focus was just to use the results I saw on the IREV Portal.

ganisucks:
Labour party will be rebuilt into one like the communist party of China. That's the plan. I pity the APC, and PDP.
If you know the story of Chiang kai shek, you'll know that despite the fact he fought with everything he had, Mao Zedong still seized China from him, and chased Chiang kai shek to Taiwan.

Everybody will be wearing black shirt from next year😞😢

ezechi242:
By your useless landlord was still shamelessly stealing from the little votes he got from the north ...aren't you ashamed of yourself?

CorrectionFLuid:
You know no one believes these silly lies you just told, which the intention is actually to divert and to digress. But try keep your comments to the topic. Thanks

Fattesticles:
Why are APC afraid of interim government.

Is buhari not the best thing that happened to Nigeria after catfish pepper soup?

The same Buhari should remain there till court case is done na, why are you crying?

babajero:
Or even use a fraction of it, to settle the impasse in the education sector, causing unnecessary strikes every year. I remember the buhari corrupt government said there was no money for education but have upto 300billion to approve for embezzlement.

loosecanon50:
Labour Party is more than a party, it’s a revolutionary movement that will revamp and sanitize the political space from killers and thieves.

Peter Obi will soon reclaim his mandate and solidify the foundation of the party. So, any member who defects will be at the loosing end.

XY23:
" I [Shettima] will be in charge of security, BAT economy"
Good morning.

PointB:
Kanu is in Nigerian custody, or?

JasonScoolari:
People from different tribes residing in Lagos suffered because of the calamitious utterances that this bastard made and the inexplicable and unconciable alliances he developed to carry out his evil act before and during the elections.




They should not just ban him from entering the U.S, they should also use him as a scapegoat and deport his miserable son...

To those fools in abject poverty defending MC Oluomo, this is your master and his useless children in the United States.

bcomputer101:
Who's your English teacher?

Incase of next time, "he has caused so much damage".

Maxymilliano:
Citizen Agba Jalingo was arraigned on a 3-count charge case instituted against him by Frank Ayade's wife.

Justice Zainab ordered Agba's remand at the Kuje correctional Centre till Thursday this week where his Bail application will be heard while the trial will commence on the 31st of May, 2023.

Massiveglory:
Does not change the fact that balabaluu is a drug lord.
A drug lord will not preside over Nigeria

oluwaseyi0:
it's multiple red cards that will reset their brain

26 years old claiming under 17 still want to intimidate referee ?

BurialGround:

The hypocrisy of these people smells to high heavens.
Your brother Samuel Ogundipe is the publisher of peoples Gazette, he was the one that published the CJN picture on wheelchair claiming that he's having a secret meeting with Tinubu.

You Yoru.bas left him and are attacking igbos and Obidients over what Ogundipe published.

TUFIAKWA.

SmartPolician:
The US and UK government should make sure Wike, MC Oluomo, and Hope Uzodinma are on that list. Those people are a threat to Nigeria's democracy.

N3TRAL:
There's no contention here. Even Atiku's and Obi's lead counsels know they have no case.

If we no ginger clients to file cases in court, how litigation lawyers go take chop?

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[color=#7FFF00] ASIWAJU [/color] [color=#B8860B] IS [/color] [color=#7FFF00] COMING ![/color]

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Teddy0147:
That’s the bitter truth I’m not obidient but do you know how much I make on YouTube and how many Facebook and Twitter Instagram I promoted with obi … some of those influencers don’t like obi they are just building their brand and page

totit:
Edo no be Lagos ooo


Edo poeple don collect. Dude even insulted their OBA in the said video.

Lmaooo

searchng4love:
They should put their house in order first

BRIMBRAM:
This is the new song today, 25% of FCT Lol. .

Mind you Asiwaju will be the first Nigerian that will be president without a 25% at the FCT. He is called ASIWAJU by destiny. The first amongst all. a

As well as the first Muslim-Muslim, President, Vice President based on competence and not sentiment.

famology:
Oshiomhole
Secondus
Ayu


Same pattern, same strategy. Wike I dey see you oooo 🤣🤣🤣. Judiciary will finish the rest.

Villa12:
who are you for we to Mark your word biko?

Anyway, i don't take anyone using this line of word serious. If we check very well na Obi supporters you go be. Bunch of mark my words like say you be the alpha and omega.

Your Obi don lose so go sleep you no get talk abeg

kelechi50:
One thing is certain, wike removed secondus for his personal interest and planted Ayu to his own disadvantage

Law of karma is at work
Same Wike will also be betrayed mark my words
It's a question of time.

DeJoeee:
Fight don start
Wike 1 vs Ayu 0

Jostoman:
Nobody said he has not lost a case before, people are just acknowledging him that he is a brilliant lawyer

SHIVA001:
Exactly Formed in February 2013,APC the party is the result of a merger of Nigeria's three largest opposition parties – the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), and the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) which made it Strong. You have to merge and include if you really want to win so that you will be strong, that is why when they said LP had no structure, obi got annoyed. But that is the bitter truth.

Jogs1900:
OP , hope you are ready for them because they will descend on you.

SmartPolician:
This is what politicians always expect from Oseni Rufai, but dude normally shreds them into pieces and they start attacking him. 😂😂

Rufai is so knowledgeable and fearless and desperate to see Nigeria progress. If you are a politician looting the money of this country, don't allow Rufai to interview you because he will rip you apart.