Rvp2018's Posts
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slowpoke, IN TERMS OF SCALE WE CANT BUT IN MANY AREAS QUALITY WISE WE HAVE WORLD CLASS AGRICLUTURE obaaderemi: |
He sounds more sane than you.Buhari himself came to admire our cows.We have milk tankers exporting milk as far as zambia and soon milk powder to nigeria.Danone bought stake in kenya brookside.Our horticulture is world class.Our tea world class.Our coffee still doing good. obaaderemi: |
START WITH TEA .If you have drank black tea outside china and india chance are high it was made in kenya.If you ever bought a flower like rose in Europe there is 50% chance it was grown in kenya.If you have been to any supermarket in Europe and bought groceries groceries..you wont miss kenya vegetables.We just overtook south africa in avacados.Worlwide if you buy nuts like macademia it likely its from kenya.Our dairy sector is now Africa best and Buhari came to see it.Some of our cows watch TV and sleep on mattress..so they produce 40 litres of milk daily.Some of the best coffee worlwide are from kenya.Our agriculture is for most part world class..expect for low dollar cereals Danielnino00: |
This is only possible because you've imposed really prohibitive taxes on imports( better quality beers)- which isn't a bad thing - but clearly Nigeria private sector can only thrive with huge protection from federal gov - and has long way to compete regionally - leave alone when Free Africa Trade get to Nigeria - I really doubt you can sign this nwoke37: |
NWOKE,44B CAP OF your stock market is nothing to shout about.Nairobi stock market is around 25b.Check JSE for real 300b dollar economy.Then come and talk about your phoney 370b economy powered by yams.And if you remove Dangote companies from NSE there is little else left.You private sector is roughly the same size with kenya if remove the oil industry or about twice with it.its very hard to trust any data from yemi kale....so i rather go with imf that found your informal sector to be 65%. |
![]() Daejoyoung: |
Nollywood apparently is a company that employ people.I thought it was an industry ran by mostly self employed freelancers producing cheap movies. |
Where do you think Brazil sits on? - If you did basic geography - you'd know it sit on the same tropics as Nigeria - within Amazon - that has way more rainfall than congo-niger belt. Sorry Leroy - I get your sarcasm ![]() Leroy19: |
You clearly have time on HongKong and Taiwan. I guess you cannot stand the honesty and intelligence of Obi guy - that probably the only Nigeria here with some brains. I am not surprised. Expecting to have sound debate with a Nigeria or Tanzania is really setting yourself for failure. Your poor education shines through. You cannot argue based on facts, empirical data, logic and just plain common-sense. You rather resort to cheap insults and adhominen. Let me tell you there is really no need for any data - common sense tell me for a country with possibly a labour force of 80-90M - nollywood is very tiny piece of the pie. I can tell you without checking any data that most nigeria are 1) farmers 2) small scale traders - etc etc and very few are in nollywood! You cannot sustain 1M people in creative industry. I doubt even US can do that. Daejoyoung: |
It is a crazy place - completely insane - I don't how 200M people can be this DUMB. The more I am here the more I am intrigued and of course this is infotainment. It's like reading those nigeria 401 emails but this time from official nigeria gov sources. darfay: |
The world most amazing farmers - just armed with the ever dependable hoe - generating more agriclutural output than Brazil that has 10 times the land size and uses huge machinery.https://www.synergos.org/sites/default/files/styles/16_9_1280x720/public/media/images/hero-2016-nigeria-kogi-and-benue-3.jpg?itok=jACZXSVG |
First I am trying to avoid a long winded hongkong+Taiwan argument by defining the parameters of our engagement - which is why I shared kenya data - Obviously KENYA IS NEVER COMPETING with Nigeria - you're competing with DRC and Tanzania with likes of your neigbours Niger, CHAD & Benin in bottom 10 of any index out there. Cameroon and Ghana seem to be fairly progressive. We will get down to GDP contribution. You do not dispute the crazy fact that Nollywood is second to agricluture in labour contribution. Kindly enlighten us. So you have a million actors and actress - and muscians - that pretty huge. Okay first breakdown for us your labour market. How many farmers are we talking about. I am assuming out of 188M people - about half are kids (under 15 or over 65) - so we are talking a labour force of 80-90M. Kindly breaks this down for us - how many people work in public sector (federal+state+local), how many work in private sector (?), how many work in informal-sector including farming, and the JEWEL on the CROWN - NOLLYWOOD.And for reference in just the state of California - the city of LOS ANGELES - HOLLYWOOD(maybe a thousand times bigger than nollywood) - only 2.5% of private sector work in that industry. This is your brazil baseline - 10 times bigger and using a tractor yet you the crazy nigerian claim to use only 1/10 of the land tirelessly working the hoe to get the same output - 9th world wonder. Daejoyoung: |
Before we discuss Nollywood contribution in value(GDP) in dollars; let talk about Labour; so give me a summary of your employment data; I know it's pretty hard considering it's a jungle there but tell me how many nollywood actors and actress we are talking about here. I can help you with kenya's labour data so we can have structured conversation. More than half our people are under 15 and over 65(dependant - not working) - so we are talking about a labour force of 15-20M workforce supporting population of 45M. We have about 0.8-1M people employed by gov and it's agencies - public sector; we have about 1.5-2M employed formally by private sector - private sector We have about 12-15M employed informally (Informal sector) -majority being farmers (7.5-8M) -others are herders, drivers & conductors in public transports, masons & related in informal constructions, salonists,etc). [s] These are ballpark estimates from my memory - the correct figures are just about there.[/s] I don't think we can even rank our riverwood(creative industry)- musicians to artist - because their number would never make even 0.0001% of our labour force. I am all hears - I am waiting to hear that you have 100M nollywood actors and actress In the absurd things we have learned about nigeria - including 80-100B hoe-powered agriclutured - this one will top it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Nigeria trully a crazy place.Daejoyoung: |
Saying it it many times doesn't give it credence. The same way you're bleating about Taiwan-Hongkong so many times! Just give sound argument why you think kenya GDP is 60 or even 30B - and those of us who think it should be 100B - will be here to make counter-arguments. You're clearly unable to defend Yemi Kale nonsense that alleges your hoe-powered agricluture is equal to Brazil or the equally insane argument that NollyWood is worth 50B dollars & is 2nd biggest employer in Nigeria.We are waiting to hear you shred Kenya's GDP and knock off 30B dollars off it ![]() obaaderemi: |
Hahaha. I think it about time. Nigeria clearly has a long way to get to Kenya. I see people are now scrapping the bottom of the barrel debating tagential issues like Hong kong, Taiwan and Tanzania. Nokio1: |
Which river - I controversy is probably around the site temp structures - fencing close to the road - TayserMahiri: |
Nairobi's six AVIC (one of china biggest companies) towers already 40 floors -Nairobi Global Centers. https://c2.staticflickr.com/2/1863/43375029055_e8dcd3181c_b.jpg |
After describing Nigeria Bubu's as lifeless - Trump invited Kenyan president Uhuru to White house https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c6sYgykXQio |
Easier said. Here is Nigeria tax regime. VAT is already 10% - so moving it 16% - will probably add a billions dollars. PAYE is already 7%- 24%(max) - very little headroom there - and Corporate tax is already 24-30%. And there is a lot of double taxation - with federal and state allowed to levy taxes. PAYE - which account for nearly 60% of kenyan taxes - look like this. Kenya Monthly Bands of Taxable Income (KES) Tax Rate 0 – 12,298 10% On the next 11,587 15% On the next 11,587 20% On the next 11,587 25% Over 47,059 30% Personal Relief: KES 1,408.00 per month Minimum Taxable Income: KES 13,486.00 per month And Nigeria (annual - divided by 12 and convert to Kshs - you'll see kenya tax regime is even lower) Taxable Income Cumulative Taxable Income New Tax Rates Up to 300,000.00 300,000.00 7% 300,000.00 600,000.00 11% 500,000.00 1,100,000.00 15% 500,000.00 1,600,000.00 19% 1,600,000.00 3,200,000.00 21% Over 1,600,000.00 24% In Nigeria you start paying taxes if you're earning 70 dollars per month - while in Kenya - it starts around 135 dollars per month- give and take the reliefs offered. Kenyanstar: |
From the data I have seen - Nigeria informal economy is around 64/65/70%(charterhouse,imf, nbs-yemi kale) OF GDP - which is nearly twice the sub-saharan africa average of around 30% - or what is expected of a developing nation (around 40%) or country in transition around 35% like Kenya(34%). The likes of south africa,mauritus, botswana and namibia which are middle class countries have informal sector of 10-20%. South Africa informal sector is 8% of GDP and it employs 27% of her labour. Kenya's 34% of GDP and it employ 75% of our labour. Nigeria's 65% of GDP possibly employing 95%?? of her labour. Now if you take 65% of 320B (let's take Yemi Kale cooked GDP at it' very highest) - you're talking 200B dollar economy that is informal and hard to tax. What remains is 120B economy with half of it oil (oil industry is already over-taxed!!) - leaving a nigeria formal sector of around 60B dollars - now slice that 60B into public formal (federal+state) and private formal - and you're talking PRIVATE FORMAL ECONOMY OF 30B dollars - which explain why you taxes you collect are about the same as Kenya. I bet that formal private sector is probably telcoms MTN & your banks : & insurances) and few companies in between owned by Dangote. In conclusion there is very little wriggle room for Nigeria to grow it's revenue when it has a weirdly large (read GDP is cooked or economy is messed up like TZ - a former communist state with very tiny private sector) informal sector. Normally you'd expect informal sector of around 30-40% for developing economy at Nigeria stage but employing at least 70% (like in Kenya). Informal sector in Kenya is the main employer but it's contribution to GDP is 34% (from lows of 20% in 90s)...and we are working on formalizing our economy....with great help from M-pesa(mobile money). In retail & wholesaling - we are already second to south africa in formal trade (through super-markets & malls) at around 30% of people shopping in supermarkets rather than small corner shops - we are also formalizing transport sector - turning our dafno/matatus into co-operatives. The same is through for many small holder farming - I can go on and on - but we are making tremendous progress to move our informal sector from 34% to something like 20%. Tax wise - you need to do lots of stuff - but first I'd say let mobile banking thrive - and you can be able to tax it. VAT/Sale tax - where are the ETR (electronic registers) that are complusory in Kenya for example. IN SHORT NIGERIA IS SIMPLY TANZANIA OR DRC - MINERALS, SMALL PRIVATE SECTOR AND REST OF THE COUNTRY JUST GROWING TUBERS. nwoke37: |
It appear you vat is 5% federal and 5% state..10%..which below kenya 16% or South Africa 15%...but with nearly no formal private sector..you aint going to collect nothing. |
I understand the fuel subsidy but vat of 50%..if you are 25%..then no wonder nothing work.our vat rate is 16%..Nigeria need to formalize its economy and it will start getting taxes. grandstar: |
The argument falls flat because brazil has 10 times your land..so even if Brazil was to deploy nigeria high tech hoe subsistence farming..its gdp from agri would ten times nigreria.Of course we know brazil are kicking arse in tropics agri wise..make common wisdom that agri can only thrive in temperate countries a joke.Your gdp is not cooked.its an overcooked joke on nigerians.You should be complaining on why your gov is doing this to you...cooking growth on books while on reality youre suffering.You deserve way more global aid to combat poverty grandstar: |
yeah traditional agri cannot generate 100B dollars. Your hoe simply cannot do that. Unless you're telling us we've been wrong and nigeria just discovered new ways to get more output from their hoes.Daejoyoung: |
Yemi Kale is chief chef of Nigeria overcooked GDP. Nigeria GDP has never been 550B or 400B or 320B. That one huge lie. You cannot have 70% of your people living below poverty line (international poverty line of 2USD) and still claims to have such a arse-kicking agricluture that it beat Brazil - with 10 times your land mass. Your agriculture as industry is 40% of GDP (that include agro-based industries like millers) but if we stick to UN definition of Agriculture then it's 20%. Obviously all that IS BOLLOCKS. The reason we are having a debate about agricluture is because it biggest sector of your GDP and it easy to dismantle. We just need to go through all Yemi Kale ingredients....to see where this 80-200B dollar industry is hidden in. You import huge tonnes of food. You economy is simple. You sell oil (30-60B) and you import food (20B possibly). The remainder is what goes to gov as taxes - 10B. Kenya has done very well - we don't have oil - we have 20% of our land arable(with 10% high potential) - and we have about half you land - and 1/4 your population - but see what we've done to lemo - we've made a lemonade. We long ditched or are ditching low dollar value crops like yams or cassava or millet - for top dollar crops like horticulture, floriculture, avacados, nuts, coffee, tea - and we are known worldwide for producing the BEST QUALITY agriclutural products that compete in Europe & North America. Chance are the next time you shop in London or Newyork or Tokyo- you'll buy a made a kenyan made product.Yes we have nothing but pride in what we have done in our country. Yes we have corruption but it's benign compared to yours. Our companies are responsible for FDIS - all the way from Mozambique to even Nigeria. Kenya GDP is all out there - if you want to rip it apart - please do it INTELLIGENTLY - SHOW US WHY YOU THINK OUR AGRI IS NOT WORTH 20B dollars. Bottomline: If you had GDP that Big backed by agric that BIG - you won't have POVERTY IN NIGERIA. And all the efforts by gov to kickstart agricluture would be misplaced because Yemi Kale is already telling us you're there - right now US and China have to worry about Nigeria hidden agriclutural giant. You already have eclipsed Brazil. However nobody has ever seen a ship sailing out of Nigeria with anything apart from few cocoa beans & rubber. Daejoyoung: |
Myth of Nigeria agriculture that statistically compete with Brazil. Just look at number of tractors they have. Nigeri has 22K compared to India's 1.5 and China 2M. Kenya I think has twice Nigerian tractors. Nigeria number of tractors is close to Somalia https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/AG.LND.TRAC.ZS/rankings Nigeria also remain world leading import of rice, wheat and name it. |
I see you're now happy to take a lower realistic figure of 320B(using black market USD exchange rate). Yemi Kale officially still has your GDP around 400B...and at it very highest 550B (2014 or around). Obviously Oil industry is easy to figure out - because it mostly export driven - so there is a lot of data to cross-reference whatever Yemi-Kale cooks up. I think figure of 30-60B usd for oil production annually is more or less credible - depending on volatile oil prices. As for Agri - it's been 20-22% the last few yrs of Nigeria GDP - and according to Yemi Kale's that would be around 100B (more than Brazil in 2014) and now around 80B. It's sixth globally. Everyone of course knows that is BS - and hence Nigeria ECONOMY is also BS. First of all you do not even know what is produced in Nigeria and what isn't - you min of agricluture and Yemi kale have no capacity to do that - they even skipped census for lack of money.When all is said and done - Nigeria GDP - real GDP is btw 150-200B. I'd but it now at 180B dollars. Your GDP per capita would make you LDC like Tanzania. That is where you really belong if you pick any random indicator of progress and development. Kenya GDP is now nearing 90B and our GDP per capita around 2,000 dollars. Daejoyoung: |
Obababoon patriotism is not substitute of facts. If you check countries that Nigeria allege to compete with in the world - they are 10 times larger in land mass, have more advanced agriculture and are noted exporters agri products. Your claim to have Brazil agriculture - a country that has agriculture GDP value of 80-90B - and export around 70B of agriclutural exports - including the sugar and soya beans you are taking in Nigeria. You claim to be near Indonesia - a country that export 35B dollars of agricultural goods - include the rice and INDOMIE you're so much in love with .You claim to have 80-90B worth of agriculture - all consisting of low-dollar value crops like yams - and yet export very little (few cocoa beans,shrimps and rubber) - and you spend nearly 1/3 of all OIL DOLLARS to import food - like Indomie from Indonesia, Sugar from Brazil, Wheat from Russia, Corn from US and tomato paste .Even looking at figures and you 200M population - how do manage to consume 80B dollars worth of yams annually . China and India with their 1.3B people cannot consume all that food that your allegedly produce and consume in your own gardens Brazil has about your population - they consume around 20B dollars of their agriclutural products and export the rest.Obviously this is over-cooked fufu that Yemi Kale and you are trying to pass as GDP .I was expecting you'd defend Nigeria over-cooked GDP sector by sector - but obviously you think you can defend it by attacking the credibilty of kenya's figures. Let go there. Agriculture is indeed the mainstay of our economy and everything you see in Kenya has been built on the back of that sector.Its Kenya account for around 23-5% of GDP - right now that would be anything around 20B dollars. That is when it's strictly restricted to agri as per UN classification - however much of manufacturing is also agri-based and so are many things. We produces 20B worth of agri output and export around 4B dollars. We are world leading exporters of tea, horticulture, flowers, nuts, coffee and many such goods. We have deficit in few foods - small deficit in maize , rice and wheat - . I don't know much about Argentine (apart from their world class beef industry) - but looking at data - it agri is 6% of it's 640B GDP - that put it around 40B dollars. Or twice kenya. So you're wrong. Mr Obababoon your patriotism on anything Nigeria is admirable but Nigeria requires honest conversation because it truly a shit hole - the world capital of absolute poverty - with nearly 70% of it's people living below 2 dollars a day!! You can cook your GDP (which is essentially OIL) but you cannot cook reality. obaaderemi: |
The min of agrucluture when asked for stats quoted indexmulli or was it cia.These guys cannot are fed on kool aid.Only those who've gone abroad know the country is cesspool.Those are the reasonable ones.Those that have lived in nigeria cannot be helped.even lazy tz looks nicer to the cesspoool |
Indeed according to Yemi Kale Nigeria agriculture is so huge its 6th globally as of 2017 just below China,Usa,India, Brazil and Indonesia.Note those countries in terms of land mass are like 10 nigerias.Note those countries appear in top exporters of agricultural products.Nigeria compete with bottom 10 in africa agriculture exports.Nigeria apparently has a hidden gem producing yams,cassava and millet worth 80b dollars now..with high of 100b few years ago.With just 0.9m km sq they are neck and neck with Brazil,India, China and USA with rougly 9m sq kms each.The nearest they can compare is Indonesia with 2m sqm kms.And 60% of nigeria is semi arid North.Please cook if you need to but dont overdo it.That is why nigeria is capital of poverty.Nigeria are desperately looking for zim white farmers to resuscitate their farming as they try to diversify .Their agriculture died in 1970s..but like any poor nigeria con job their gov is claiming despite being 10 times less than brazil they neck to neck output wise..step aside israel or netherlands...here come nigeria the garden of eden.Turning 0.4m sqm of land farmed exclusively on low dollar value crops like yams and sorghum into 100b dollars.Obviously those whove gone to nigeria will tell you of thousand of acres of fallow land like no where in earth.Everyone in 70s basically ran to towns to partake in oil money.Well that is just nigeria wash wash tech..turning a dollar to a million..with special chemical that you need to buy.Never mind most of oil money is used to import food including tomato paste..11b dollar spend to annual import just rice, fish and sugar. |
Yes Oil totally messed up Nigeria economy if not it's politics.It cannot be corruption because kenya is equally corrupt.Indonesia which has about the same configuraiton with Nigeria - faired much better. Obi1kenobi: |
Magufuli is obviously what the doctor ordered for the fools. Just like Babu of Nigeria. kikuyu1: |
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Why do you pull nonsense off your arse all the time? And yes nollywood is the second biggest employer of Labour in Nigeria.